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Casey Cavaliers vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 73-79
26-15 12-23 17-22 18-19
Position#10
Record11-10
FormLLLWL
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game86.7
vs
Position#5
Record13-8
FormWLWWW
Points / game88.3
Allowed / game89.6
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers v Ballarat
20 Jul 2025
CASE73
BALL79
27 May 2023
CASE91
BALL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
90-80
90
80
+10
A31/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
100-103
100
103
-3
H06/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
102-82
102
82
+20
H14/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
93-109
93
109
-16
H21/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
89-77
89
77
+12
A28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
83-93
83
93
-10
H29/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
L
86-99
86
99
-13
A05/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
87-109
87
109
-22
H11/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
77-71
77
71
+6
A12/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
94-97
94
97
-3
A18/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-30
18-17
23-15
29-18
30-21
24-30
14-24
32-28
26-16
27-24
26-18
23-24
25-22
21-36
29-28
18-23
23-15
26-19
16-22
24-21
21-21
21-23
18-24
23-25
26-25
20-18
23-26
17-30
18-27
23-18
22-30
24-34
26-15
17-20
13-19
21-17
19-28
20-17
27-22
28-30
182.1Avg total
90.1Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.586.7175.2+1.852%
Season at home (10)89.392.7182.0-3.420%
Season away (11)87.781.3169.0+6.582%
Last 10 (10)90.192.0182.1-1.940%
Last 5 (5)85.493.8179.2-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)80.491.1171.5-10.725%
vs Similar ◀ (10)87.290.2177.4-3.030%
vs Weaker (8)90.084.5174.5+5.575%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
112-109
112
109
+3
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H21/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
97-118
97
118
-21
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
102-61
102
61
+41
A29/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
82-85
82
85
-3
H05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
79-69
79
69
+10
H11/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
93-73
93
73
+20
H12/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
95-92
95
92
+3
A19/07
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
33-27
31-31
20-30
28-21
21-22
16-10
14-23
15-22
24-34
22-21
25-12
25-16
16-34
26-18
24-16
20-16
24-34
23-23
27-36
23-25
26-24
29-10
20-6
27-21
26-24
20-20
15-28
21-13
25-22
18-18
13-11
23-18
33-17
23-20
20-18
17-18
22-30
24-33
27-11
22-18
175.9Avg total
90.8Scored
85.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (21)88.389.6177.9-1.362%
Season at home (11)88.989.5178.5-0.664%
Season away (10)87.689.7177.3-2.160%
Last 10 (10)90.885.1175.9+5.770%
Last 5 (5)90.276.0166.2+14.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)82.596.2178.7-13.631%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.981.6171.4+8.386%
vs Weaker (10)89.884.4174.2+5.480%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.8-1.8Q2Q2: -0.5-0.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.7-1.7Q3: +1.4+1.4Q4Q4: -1.1-1.1Q4: +3.3+3.3
Casey CavaliersBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A31/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
54-51
54
51
+3
H06/06
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
53-40
53
40
+13
H14/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
46-58
46
58
-12
H21/06
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
49-34
49
34
+15
A28/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
42-44
42
44
-2
H29/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A05/07
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H11/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
43-35
43
35
+8
A12/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A18/07
NBL1 South
89.3Avg total
45.1Scored
44.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.744.287.9-0.540%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.845.988.7-3.225%-
Last 30 away (14)44.942.287.1+2.657%-
Last 10 (10)45.144.289.3+0.950%-
Last 5 (5)42.242.484.6-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)41.747.889.5-6.225%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)42.942.385.2+0.620%-
vs Weaker (8)47.941.189.0+6.888%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H21/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A29/06
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H05/07
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
43-40
43
40
+3
H11/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H12/07
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
46-63
46
63
-17
A19/07
NBL1 South
95.4Avg total
48.2Scored
47.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.246.390.5-2.143%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.844.490.1+1.456%-
Last 30 away (14)42.548.591.0-6.029%-
Last 10 (10)48.247.295.4+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)49.243.692.8+5.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)40.949.890.7-8.831%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.744.089.7+1.743%-
vs Weaker (10)47.543.490.9+4.160%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Casey Cavaliers wins
3
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
07/07/24Ballarat v Casey Cavaliers94-75
27/05/23Casey Cavaliers v Ballarat91-94 OT
15/05/22Ballarat v Casey Cavaliers89-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/07/25AMelbourne Tigers94-97
12/07/25AGeelong77-71
11/07/25HKilsyth87-109
05/07/25ADandenong86-99
29/06/25HEltham83-93
28/06/25ABendigo Braves89-77
21/06/25HRingwood93-109
14/06/25HNW Tasmania102-82
06/06/25HSandringham Sabres100-103
31/05/25AKeilor Thunder90-80
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/07/25AKnox95-92
12/07/25HDandenong93-73
11/07/25HKeilor Thunder79-69
05/07/25HKilsyth82-85
29/06/25ARingwood102-61
28/06/25HSandringham Sabres97-118
21/06/25HFrankston86-84
15/06/25ANunawading96-83
14/06/25AKeilor Thunder66-77
31/05/25ABendigo Braves112-109

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL52%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayWWLWL82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211011
Win %52%20%82%
Points / game88.589.387.7
Allowed / game86.792.781.3
Point differential+1.8-3.4+6.5
Avg total175.2182.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%10%45%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (8)0% (5)67% (3)
Overtime %10%20%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW62%
HomeWLLWW64%
AwayWLWWW60%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211110
Win %62%64%60%
Points / game88.388.987.6
Allowed / game89.689.589.7
Point differential-1.3-0.6-2.1
Avg total177.9178.5177.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%45%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won83% (6)67% (3)100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox2217577%91.784.4+7.4
2 Mt Gambier2216673%96.582.4+14.1
3 Melbourne Tigers2214864%87.682.1+5.5
4 Eltham2214864%89.985.5+4.4
5 Sandringham Sabres2214864%94.089.9+4.2
6 Kilsyth2214864%89.386.0+3.3
7 Ballarat2113862%88.389.6-1.3
8 Hobart Chargers2112957%88.786.5+2.1
9 Casey Cavaliers21111052%88.586.7+1.8
10 Ringwood22111150%95.190.8+4.3
11 Nunawading22111150%87.486.4+1.0
12 Frankston22101245%92.691.0+1.7
13 Waverley2291341%93.796.5-2.9
14 Dandenong2281436%91.195.5-4.4
15 Keilor Thunder2281436%82.488.0-5.7
16 Bendigo Braves2281436%81.794.3-12.6
17 Geelong2271532%81.988.5-6.5
18 NW Tasmania2151624%86.592.4-5.9
19 Diamond Valley2251723%84.595.0-10.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers2612171873
Ballarat1523221979
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