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Ballarat vs Kilsyth Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Jul 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 82-85
26-24 20-20 15-28 21-13
Position#5
Record10-7
FormLWWLW
Points / game88.5
Allowed / game91.9
vs
Kilsyth 🏆
Australia
Position#7
Record10-8
FormWLLWW
Points / game87.2
Allowed / game85.4
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Ballarat v Kilsyth
05 Jul 2025
BALL82
KILS85
26 Jun 2021
BALL50
KILS61
27 Jul 2019
BALL80
KILS66
21 May 2017
BALL81
KILS76
26 Apr 2015
BALL78
KILS100
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Kilsyth winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-103
78
103
-25
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H11/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A17/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
69-116
69
116
-47
H24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
112-109
112
109
+3
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H21/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
97-118
97
118
-21
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
102-61
102
61
+41
A29/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-24
16-22
12-29
26-28
20-29
20-31
34-17
30-17
26-25
15-20
24-33
22-28
11-42
18-31
19-20
21-23
33-27
31-31
20-30
28-21
21-22
16-10
14-23
15-22
24-34
22-21
25-12
25-16
16-34
26-18
24-16
20-16
24-34
23-23
27-36
23-25
26-24
29-10
20-6
27-21
184.8Avg total
89.7Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)88.591.9180.5-3.459%
Season at home (8)90.594.8185.2-4.262%
Season away (9)86.889.4176.2-2.756%
Last 10 (10)89.795.1184.8-5.450%
Last 5 (5)89.484.6174.0+4.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)81.596.5178.0-15.025%
vs Similar ◀ (8)89.485.5174.9+3.975%
vs Weaker (10)92.787.4180.1+5.380%
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KilsythAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#6
W
104-75
104
75
+29
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-88
104
88
+16
A17/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
94-78
94
78
+16
A24/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
73-107
73
107
-34
H25/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
82-95
82
95
-13
H31/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
97-81
97
81
+16
H06/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
99-100
99
100
-1
H14/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
81-95
81
95
-14
A21/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
92-77
92
77
+15
H22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
98-77
98
77
+21
H28/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-15
23-24
26-19
21-17
26-22
27-19
22-23
29-24
20-25
28-18
26-17
20-18
17-25
20-24
16-27
20-31
22-15
16-28
23-26
21-26
19-19
27-19
30-21
21-22
25-29
17-21
32-33
25-17
16-25
20-27
16-26
29-17
22-15
21-13
20-27
29-22
26-22
15-16
31-20
26-19
179.7Avg total
92.4Scored
87.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)87.285.4172.6+1.856%
Season at home (10)86.484.1170.5+2.360%
Season away (8)88.287.0175.2+1.250%
Last 10 (10)92.487.3179.7+5.160%
Last 5 (5)93.486.0179.4+7.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)79.491.1170.5-11.79%
vs Similar ◀ (12)80.878.1158.8+2.767%
vs Weaker (7)92.983.0175.9+9.971%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -7.0-7.0Q1: +1.5+1.5Q2Q2: -0.1-0.1Q2: +0.5+0.5Q3Q3: -0.3-0.3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: +2.0+2.0Q4: +2.8+2.8
BallaratKilsyth
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H11/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
29-73
29
73
-44
H24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H21/06
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
47-57
47
57
-10
H28/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
55-34
55
34
+21
A29/06
NBL1 South
95.3Avg total
44.1Scored
51.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.446.691.0-2.140%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.044.989.9+0.147%-
Last 30 away (15)43.948.392.1-4.433%-
Last 10 (10)44.151.295.3-7.130%-
Last 5 (5)45.446.091.4-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)40.548.789.2-8.233%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)44.945.690.5-0.825%-
vs Weaker (10)48.844.893.6+4.060%-
This opponent (Kilsyth) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KilsythLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#6
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
53-41
53
41
+12
A17/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
48-43
48
43
+5
A24/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
37-49
37
49
-12
H25/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
38-43
38
43
-5
H31/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H06/06
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H14/06
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
36-52
36
52
-16
A21/06
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
43-28
43
28
+15
H22/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/06
NBL1 South
86.2Avg total
44.1Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.641.683.2+0.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.740.279.9-0.560%-
Last 30 away (15)43.543.086.5+0.553%-
Last 10 (10)44.142.186.2+2.060%-
Last 5 (5)41.641.282.8+0.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)40.544.685.1-4.227%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)41.239.580.8+1.875%-
vs Weaker (7)44.040.484.4+3.671%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
8
Ballarat wins
2
Kilsyth wins
DateGameScore
12/05/24Kilsyth v Ballarat68-80
24/06/23Kilsyth v Ballarat96-97
14/05/22Kilsyth v Ballarat68-74
26/06/21Ballarat v Kilsyth50-61
27/07/19Ballarat v Kilsyth80-66
11/05/19Kilsyth v Ballarat71-87
21/05/17Ballarat v Kilsyth81-76
08/04/17Kilsyth v Ballarat63-69
23/07/16Kilsyth v Ballarat95-79
15/08/15Kilsyth v Ballarat69-76 OT
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
29/06/25ARingwood102-61
28/06/25HSandringham Sabres97-118
21/06/25HFrankston86-84
15/06/25ANunawading96-83
14/06/25AKeilor Thunder66-77
31/05/25ABendigo Braves112-109
24/05/25HMt Gambier69-116
17/05/25ASandringham Sabres87-106
11/05/25HDiamond Valley104-94
10/05/25HMelbourne Tigers78-103
Kilsythlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/06/25HDandenong98-77
22/06/25HGeelong92-77
21/06/25AWaverley81-95
14/06/25HMt Gambier99-100
06/06/25HBendigo Braves97-81
31/05/25HKnox82-95
25/05/25HFrankston73-107
24/05/25AKeilor Thunder94-78
17/05/25ADiamond Valley104-88
10/05/25HEltham104-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW59%
HomeLWLWL62%
AwayLWLWW56%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %59%62%56%
Points / game88.590.586.8
Allowed / game91.994.889.4
Point differential-3.4-4.2-2.7
Avg total180.5185.2176.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%38%22%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Kilsyth
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWW56%
HomeLWLWW60%
AwayLWWWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18108
Win %56%60%50%
Points / game87.286.488.2
Allowed / game85.484.187.0
Point differential+1.8+2.3+1.2
Avg total172.6170.5175.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%40%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (2)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1814478%91.382.9+8.3
2 Mt Gambier1913668%96.784.6+12.1
3 Melbourne Tigers1811761%86.780.2+6.4
4 Casey Cavaliers1710759%89.185.0+4.1
5 Sandringham Sabres1710759%92.590.0+2.5
6 Ballarat1710759%88.591.9-3.4
7 Hobart Chargers1810856%86.984.5+2.4
8 Kilsyth1810856%87.285.4+1.8
9 Eltham179853%87.086.3+0.7
10 Waverley179853%93.094.4-1.4
11 Frankston189950%91.988.2+3.7
12 Ringwood189950%93.990.9+3.1
13 Nunawading178947%86.286.9-0.8
14 Bendigo Braves1981142%84.493.3-8.9
15 Geelong1871139%83.788.5-4.8
16 Keilor Thunder1661038%82.689.2-6.6
17 Diamond Valley1751229%84.593.8-9.4
18 NW Tasmania1851328%85.689.7-4.1
19 Dandenong1741324%89.196.6-7.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat2620152182
Kilsyth2420281385
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