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Ballarat vs Sandringham Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 97-118
24-34 23-23 27-36 23-25
Position#5
Record9-6
FormLWLWW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game92.3
vs
Position#3
Record8-7
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.8
Allowed / game90.8
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Ballarat v Sandringham Sabres
28 Jun 2025
BALL97
SAND118
05 Jul 2024
BALL99
SAND85
03 Jun 2023
BALL87
SAND99
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sandringham Sabres winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#13
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H03/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-103
78
103
-25
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H11/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A17/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
69-116
69
116
-47
H24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
112-109
112
109
+3
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
W
86-84
86
84
+2
H21/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-23
27-21
23-22
19-24
25-18
22-12
14-21
20-27
24-24
16-22
12-29
26-28
20-29
20-31
34-17
30-17
26-25
15-20
24-33
22-28
11-42
18-31
19-20
21-23
33-27
31-31
20-30
28-21
21-22
16-10
14-23
15-22
24-34
22-21
25-12
25-16
16-34
26-18
24-16
20-16
181.9Avg total
87.9Scored
94.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)87.192.3179.3-5.260%
Season at home (7)89.691.4181.0-1.971%
Season away (8)84.993.0177.9-8.150%
Last 10 (10)87.994.0181.9-6.160%
Last 5 (5)85.893.8179.6-8.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)77.997.9175.8-20.020%
vs Similar (8)89.485.5174.9+3.975%
vs Weaker (12)91.887.1178.9+4.883%
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sandringham SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#7
L
89-90
89
90
-1
H26/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
104-97
104
97
+7
A27/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
85-73
85
73
+12
H03/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
103-104
103
104
-1
H10/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
106-87
106
87
+19
H17/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
93-86
93
86
+7
A24/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
W
103-100
103
100
+3
A06/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
102-67
102
67
+35
A14/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
99-87
99
87
+12
H15/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
112-105
112
105
+7
A21/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
23-23
29-21
18-19
27-29
34-20
26-30
17-18
25-20
12-11
21-20
27-22
21-25
34-29
27-25
21-25
25-26
20-15
33-24
28-22
24-20
25-17
23-26
21-23
21-30
30-24
24-14
28-32
24-14
25-25
27-12
26-16
19-23
19-16
35-19
26-29
30-24
25-27
22-27
35-27
189.2Avg total
99.6Scored
89.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)90.890.8181.6+0.053%
Season at home (7)90.787.9178.6+2.943%
Season away (8)90.993.4184.2-2.562%
Last 10 (10)99.689.6189.2+10.080%
Last 5 (5)101.889.0190.8+12.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)64.089.0153.0-25.00%
vs Similar (9)86.487.0173.4-0.656%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)95.684.7180.3+10.970%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -4.7-4.7Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: +4.0+4.0Q3Q3: -1.4-1.4Q3: +4.9+4.9Q4Q4: +0.4+0.4Q4: +1.4+1.4
BallaratSandringham Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley
#13
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H03/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H11/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
29-73
29
73
-44
H24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A15/06
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
42-52
42
52
-10
H21/06
NBL1 South
93.9Avg total
44.4Scored
49.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.946.590.3-2.640%-
Last 30 at home (15)44.744.389.1+0.447%-
Last 30 away (15)43.048.691.6-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)44.449.593.9-5.140%-
Last 5 (5)43.654.097.6-10.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)38.449.387.7-10.930%-
vs Similar (8)44.945.690.5-0.825%-
vs Weaker (12)47.844.792.4+3.158%-
This opponent (Sandringham Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sandringham SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Kilsyth
#7
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H26/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
61-49
61
49
+12
A27/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
37-31
37
31
+6
H03/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
55-54
55
54
+1
H10/05
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H17/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A24/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
51-54
51
54
-3
A06/06
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
49-39
49
39
+10
A14/06
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
H15/06
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
55-51
55
51
+4
A21/06
NBL1 South
92.7Avg total
48.2Scored
44.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.243.589.7+2.757%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.141.886.9+3.350%-
Last 30 away (16)47.245.092.2+2.262%-
Last 10 (10)48.244.592.7+3.770%-
Last 5 (5)48.444.092.4+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)36.043.079.0-7.00%-
vs Similar (9)43.144.687.7-1.444%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)48.143.091.2+5.165%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Ballarat wins
3
Sandringham Sabres wins
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25HFrankston86-84
15/06/25ANunawading96-83
14/06/25AKeilor Thunder66-77
31/05/25ABendigo Braves112-109
24/05/25HMt Gambier69-116
17/05/25ASandringham Sabres87-106
11/05/25HDiamond Valley104-94
10/05/25HMelbourne Tigers78-103
04/05/25HNW Tasmania81-78
03/05/25HWaverley100-90
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/06/25ADandenong112-105
15/06/25HEltham99-87
14/06/25ADiamond Valley102-67
06/06/25ACasey Cavaliers103-100
24/05/25ANunawading93-86
17/05/25HBallarat106-87
10/05/25HWaverley103-104
03/05/25HGeelong85-73
27/04/25ARingwood104-97
26/04/25HKilsyth89-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW60%
HomeWLWLW71%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %60%71%50%
Points / game87.189.684.9
Allowed / game92.391.493.0
Point differential-5.2-1.9-8.1
Avg total179.3181.0177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (4)100% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sandringham Sabres
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW53%
HomeLWLWW43%
AwayWWWWW62%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1578
Win %53%43%62%
Points / game90.890.790.9
Allowed / game90.887.993.4
Point differential+0.0+2.9-2.5
Avg total181.6178.6184.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+27%43%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1714382%92.481.8+10.6
2 Mt Gambier1711665%96.685.7+10.9
3 Melbourne Tigers1610662%87.880.4+7.4
4 Casey Cavaliers159660%89.585.0+4.5
5 Hobart Chargers159660%87.083.1+3.9
6 Ballarat159660%87.192.3-5.2
7 Sandringham Sabres158753%90.890.8+0.0
8 Kilsyth179853%86.685.9+0.7
9 Ringwood168850%95.989.9+5.9
10 Frankston168850%91.687.6+4.1
11 Nunawading168850%85.986.6-0.8
12 Waverley168850%92.894.7-1.9
13 Bendigo Braves178947%85.994.0-8.1
14 Eltham157847%85.587.5-1.9
15 Geelong1771041%83.788.6-4.9
16 Keilor Thunder156940%81.788.7-7.0
17 NW Tasmania1651131%86.988.9-2.0
18 Diamond Valley1641225%84.494.9-10.4
19 Dandenong1531220%88.996.1-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat2423272397
Sandringham Sabres34233625118
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