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Ballarat vs Frankston Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Jun 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 86-84
16-34 26-18 24-16 20-16
Position#5
Record8-6
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game92.9
vs
Position#12
Record8-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game92.1
Allowed / game87.7
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Ballarat v Frankston
21 Jun 2025
BALL86
FRAN84
16 Jul 2022
BALL84
FRAN87
08 May 2021
BALL77
FRAN89
06 Apr 2017
BALL99
FRAN94
29 May 2016
BALL99
FRAN76
03 May 2015
BALL115
FRAN80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Frankston winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#6
L
71-105
71
105
-34
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
100-90
100
90
+10
H03/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
81-78
81
78
+3
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
78-103
78
103
-25
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
104-94
104
94
+10
H11/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A17/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
69-116
69
116
-47
H24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
112-109
112
109
+3
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
L
66-77
66
77
-11
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
96-83
96
83
+13
A15/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-22
21-32
20-24
18-27
31-23
27-21
23-22
19-24
25-18
22-12
14-21
20-27
24-24
16-22
12-29
26-28
20-29
20-31
34-17
30-17
26-25
15-20
24-33
22-28
11-42
18-31
19-20
21-23
33-27
31-31
20-30
28-21
21-22
16-10
14-23
15-22
24-34
22-21
25-12
25-16
182.5Avg total
86.4Scored
96.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)87.192.9180.0-5.757%
Season at home (6)90.292.7182.8-2.567%
Season away (8)84.993.0177.9-8.150%
Last 10 (10)86.496.1182.5-9.750%
Last 5 (5)86.098.2184.2-12.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)78.996.8175.7-17.927%
vs Similar ◀ (7)89.985.7175.6+4.171%
vs Weaker (12)91.887.1178.9+4.883%
This opponent (Frankston) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#18
W
91-90
91
90
+1
H03/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
115-100
115
100
+15
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
89-69
89
69
+20
A11/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
83-92
83
92
-9
H17/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
84-91
84
91
-7
H18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
90-97
90
97
-7
A23/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
107-73
107
73
+34
A25/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
82-76
82
76
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
L
101-113
101
113
-12
H14/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
88-91
88
91
-3
H15/06
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
26-29
15-19
24-21
26-21
34-25
27-27
25-26
29-22
30-19
21-11
24-16
14-23
17-30
19-29
25-17
22-16
25-27
14-16
22-28
23-20
24-19
30-26
18-33
18-19
25-17
24-20
27-16
31-20
25-27
18-14
21-20
18-15
33-23
20-29
28-34
20-27
31-22
16-20
19-27
22-22
182.2Avg total
93.0Scored
89.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)92.187.7179.8+4.553%
Season at home (9)95.190.9186.0+4.256%
Season away (6)87.782.8170.5+4.850%
Last 10 (10)93.089.2182.2+3.850%
Last 5 (5)93.690.0183.6+3.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)102.792.3195.0+10.367%
vs Similar ◀ (10)86.883.9170.7+2.950%
vs Weaker (17)94.781.5176.2+13.271%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -3.9-3.9Q1: +3.2+3.2Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: -0.7-0.7Q3Q3: -2.6-2.6Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +1.8+1.8
BallaratFrankston
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eltham
#6
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A26/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
58-44
58
44
+14
H03/05
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#18
W
47-30
47
30
+17
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
L
40-46
40
46
-6
H10/05
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
40-60
40
60
-20
H11/05
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
41-45
41
45
-4
A17/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
L
29-73
29
73
-44
H24/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
W
64-58
64
58
+6
A31/05
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A14/06
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
46-55
46
55
-9
A15/06
NBL1 South
93.2Avg total
43.5Scored
49.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.446.089.4-2.540%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.943.387.2+0.547%-
Last 30 away (15)43.048.691.6-5.633%-
Last 10 (10)43.549.793.2-6.240%-
Last 5 (5)43.452.696.0-9.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)37.548.285.7-10.627%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.344.790.0+0.629%-
vs Weaker (12)47.844.792.4+3.158%-
This opponent (Frankston) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrankstonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NW Tasmania
#18
L
41-48
41
48
-7
H03/05
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
61-52
61
52
+9
H04/05
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#4
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A11/05
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
36-59
36
59
-23
H17/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#16
L
39-43
39
43
-4
H18/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
54-45
54
45
+9
A23/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
49-37
49
37
+12
A25/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A31/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
53-52
53
52
+1
H14/06
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
W
47-42
47
42
+5
H15/06
NBL1 South
92.3Avg total
47.4Scored
44.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.341.789.0+5.573%-
Last 30 at home (18)47.742.890.4+4.972%-
Last 30 away (12)46.740.286.8+6.575%-
Last 10 (10)47.444.992.3+2.570%-
Last 5 (5)49.243.492.6+5.8100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)56.345.3101.7+11.0100%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)43.843.887.6+0.060%-
vs Weaker (17)47.739.987.6+7.876%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ballarat wins
6
Frankston wins
DateGameScore
20/07/24Frankston v Ballarat97-58
30/06/24Frankston v Ballarat94-69
07/05/23Frankston v Ballarat106-87
16/07/22Ballarat v Frankston84-87
08/05/21Ballarat v Frankston77-89
02/06/19Frankston v Ballarat87-80
29/07/17Frankston v Ballarat82-89
06/04/17Ballarat v Frankston99-94
10/07/16Frankston v Ballarat97-108
29/05/16Ballarat v Frankston99-76
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/25ANunawading96-83
14/06/25AKeilor Thunder66-77
31/05/25ABendigo Braves112-109
24/05/25HMt Gambier69-116
17/05/25ASandringham Sabres87-106
11/05/25HDiamond Valley104-94
10/05/25HMelbourne Tigers78-103
04/05/25HNW Tasmania81-78
03/05/25HWaverley100-90
26/04/25AEltham71-105
Frankstonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/06/25HRingwood88-91
14/06/25HWaverley101-113
31/05/25ANunawading82-76
25/05/25AKilsyth107-73
23/05/25AKnox90-97
18/05/25HBendigo Braves84-91
17/05/25HCasey Cavaliers83-92
11/05/25AMelbourne Tigers89-69
04/05/25HMt Gambier115-100
03/05/25HNW Tasmania91-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ballarat
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW57%
HomeWWLWL67%
AwayLLWLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1468
Win %57%67%50%
Points / game87.190.284.9
Allowed / game92.992.793.0
Point differential-5.7-2.5-8.1
Avg total180.0182.8177.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%50%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (1)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Frankston
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL53%
HomeWLLLL56%
AwayLWLWW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%56%50%
Points / game92.195.187.7
Allowed / game87.790.982.8
Point differential+4.5+4.2+4.8
Avg total179.8186.0170.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+40%44%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox1614288%92.880.8+12.0
2 Casey Cavaliers149564%89.283.3+5.9
3 Mt Gambier1610662%96.786.3+10.4
4 Melbourne Tigers159660%87.180.2+6.9
5 Hobart Chargers159660%87.083.1+3.9
6 Ballarat148657%87.192.9-5.7
7 Frankston158753%92.187.7+4.5
8 Kilsyth158753%86.685.9+0.7
9 Sandringham Sabres147750%89.389.8-0.5
10 Eltham147750%86.186.9-0.8
11 Nunawading147750%85.988.4-2.5
12 Bendigo Braves168850%87.694.2-6.6
13 Ringwood157847%95.089.7+5.3
14 Waverley157847%92.695.6-3.0
15 Geelong156940%83.788.9-5.2
16 Keilor Thunder145936%80.789.5-8.8
17 NW Tasmania1441029%86.488.4-2.0
18 Diamond Valley1541127%85.094.8-9.8
19 Dandenong1431121%87.894.9-7.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ballarat1626242086
Frankston3418161684
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