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Casey Cavaliers vs Ballarat Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 27 May 2023
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 91-94 (OT)
13-23 31-18 25-26 16-18 6-9
Position#19
Record3-8
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game84.5
vs
Position#11
Record5-6
FormWLLLL
Points / game92.0
Allowed / game92.9
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2023
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers v Ballarat
20 Jul 2025
CASE73
BALL79
27 May 2023
CASE91
BALL94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Ballarat winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#4
L
80-97
80
97
-17
A14/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
64-83
64
83
-19
A16/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
92-60
92
60
+32
H21/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
90-63
90
63
+27
H22/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
60-74
60
74
-14
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
79-111
79
111
-32
H06/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
85-104
85
104
-19
A07/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
72-87
72
87
-15
H13/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
78-90
78
90
-12
H14/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
72-64
72
64
+8
A20/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-27
17-26
23-24
21-20
13-27
22-23
20-21
9-12
28-13
18-16
22-20
24-11
22-15
29-11
18-15
21-22
22-11
12-18
9-17
17-28
24-27
21-25
21-26
13-33
30-29
19-27
20-18
16-30
17-26
27-13
20-27
8-21
16-20
15-23
18-26
29-21
18-15
22-24
13-11
19-14
160.5Avg total
77.2Scored
83.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)76.784.5161.3-7.827%
Season at home (5)82.282.2164.4+0.040%
Season away (6)72.286.5158.7-14.317%
Last 10 (10)77.283.3160.5-6.130%
Last 5 (5)77.291.2168.4-14.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)78.686.7165.3-8.129%
vs Similar (12)84.584.7169.2-0.233%
vs Weaker (1)93.080.0173.0+13.0100%
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
118-100
118
100
+18
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
92-95
92
95
-3
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
76-104
76
104
-28
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A21/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
W
94-84
94
84
+10
A22/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
W
97-88
97
88
+9
H29/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
L
75-87
75
87
-12
A06/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
87-106
87
106
-19
A07/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
L
92-99
92
99
-7
H13/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
95-108
95
108
-13
H20/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
34-33
29-23
30-23
25-21
24-33
26-23
15-28
27-11
24-35
22-22
12-28
18-19
27-16
16-24
27-14
24-29
29-25
14-25
19-21
32-13
24-24
18-21
29-14
26-29
19-17
21-18
19-28
16-24
22-32
26-18
24-29
15-27
38-23
30-30
8-22
16-24
32-19
18-38
17-24
28-27
187.4Avg total
92.0Scored
95.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (11)92.092.9184.9-0.945%
Season at home (5)98.892.6191.4+6.260%
Season away (6)86.393.2179.5-6.833%
Last 10 (10)92.095.4187.4-3.440%
Last 5 (5)89.297.6186.8-8.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)80.989.9170.8-9.030%
vs Similar (13)82.383.9166.2-1.646%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)91.085.0176.0+6.071%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.4-0.4Q2: -2.2-2.2Q3Q3: -2.1-2.1Q3: -3.1-3.1Q4Q4: -3.5-3.5Q4: +0.3+0.3
Casey CavaliersBallarat
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mt Gambier
#4
L
36-53
36
53
-17
A14/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#2
L
35-50
35
50
-15
A16/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H21/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#10
W
51-26
51
26
+25
H22/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
34-29
34
29
+5
A29/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H06/05
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#15
L
49-56
49
56
-7
A07/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H13/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
31-43
31
43
-12
H14/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#14
W
40-39
40
39
+1
A20/05
NBL1 South
82.7Avg total
41.1Scored
41.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.842.784.5-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (15)42.542.885.3-0.340%-
Last 30 away (15)41.142.683.7-1.547%-
Last 10 (10)41.141.682.7-0.550%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.887.6-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)39.944.184.1-4.235%-
vs Similar (12)43.341.184.4+2.250%-
vs Weaker (1)54.038.092.0+16.0100%-
This opponent (Ballarat) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BallaratLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bendigo Braves
#13
W
63-56
63
56
+7
H06/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#16
L
50-56
50
56
-6
A14/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#6
L
46-57
46
57
-11
A15/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
W
43-40
43
40
+3
A21/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#17
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A22/04
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#18
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H29/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#7
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#3
L
48-50
48
50
-2
A07/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
68-53
68
53
+15
H13/05
NBL1 South
Waverley
#9
L
50-57
50
57
-7
H20/05
NBL1 South
99.2Avg total
49.3Scored
49.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.444.789.2-0.343%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.144.091.1+3.157%-
Last 30 away (16)42.145.487.4-3.331%-
Last 10 (10)49.349.999.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)49.648.097.6+1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)45.646.792.3-1.140%-
vs Similar (13)41.442.483.8-1.046%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)48.446.394.7+2.143%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Casey Cavaliers wins
1
Ballarat wins
DateGameScore
15/05/22Ballarat v Casey Cavaliers89-76
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/23AKilsyth72-64
14/05/23HFrankston78-90
13/05/23HNunawading72-87
07/05/23ARingwood85-104
06/05/23HNW Tasmania79-111
29/04/23AKnox60-74
22/04/23HGeelong90-63
21/04/23HBendigo Braves92-60
16/04/23ASandringham Sabres64-83
14/04/23AMt Gambier80-97
Ballaratlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
20/05/23HWaverley95-108
13/05/23HKnox92-99
07/05/23AFrankston87-106
06/05/23ADiamond Valley75-87
29/04/23HDandenong97-88
22/04/23ANW Tasmania94-84
21/04/23AHobart Chargers94-83
15/04/23ANunawading76-104
14/04/23AKeilor Thunder92-95
06/04/23HBendigo Braves118-100

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW27%
HomeWWLLL40%
AwayLLLLW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %27%40%17%
Points / game76.782.272.2
Allowed / game84.582.286.5
Point differential-7.8+0.0-14.3
Avg total161.3164.4158.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%40%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
Ballarat
NBL1 South 2023
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL45%
HomeWWWLL60%
AwayLWWLL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1156
Win %45%60%33%
Points / game92.098.886.3
Allowed / game92.992.693.2
Point differential-0.9+6.2-6.8
Avg total184.9191.4179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+36%40%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Eltham119282%91.880.2+11.6
2 Frankston118373%93.682.9+10.7
3 Sandringham Sabres139469%92.086.7+5.3
4 Knox128467%85.477.5+7.9
5 Nunawading117464%89.983.9+6.0
6 Mt Gambier106460%95.789.6+6.1
7 Diamond Valley127558%87.986.3+1.6
8 Geelong116555%88.487.5+0.9
9 Waverley116555%84.186.1-2.0
10 Hobart Chargers126650%82.683.9-1.3
11 Kilsyth115645%88.888.5+0.3
12 Ballarat115645%92.092.9-0.9
13 Keilor Thunder104640%84.693.4-8.8
14 Ringwood114736%89.290.8-1.6
15 Melbourne Tigers114736%82.485.2-2.8
16 Bendigo Braves114736%88.597.5-9.0
17 NW Tasmania114736%81.991.0-9.1
18 Casey Cavaliers113827%76.784.5-7.8
19 Dandenong1321115%85.292.8-7.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Casey Cavaliers13312516691
Ballarat23182618994
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