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Casey Cavaliers vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 May 2025
Tip-off: 09:30
Final 91-93
23-23 22-28 21-30 25-12
Position#10
Record5-2
FormLWWLW
Points / game85.4
Allowed / game78.9
vs
Position#2
Record5-3
FormWWWLL
Points / game94.9
Allowed / game83.1
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2025
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers v Mt Gambier
10 May 2025
CASE91
MT G93
19 May 2024
CASE70
MT G82
07 May 2022
CASE80
MT G117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#18
L
91-106
91
106
-15
H06/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
75-94
75
94
-19
A07/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
H13/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
87-80
87
80
+7
H29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
81-80
81
80
+1
A04/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
75-78
75
78
-3
H06/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
W
94-83
94
83
+11
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
85-73
85
73
+12
A25/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
L
94-97 OT
94
97
-3
H26/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
82-61
82
61
+21
A03/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-22
15-25
26-32
25-27
20-27
14-34
24-23
17-10
16-21
27-24
12-15
16-13
23-16
26-24
16-17
22-23
22-26
20-13
21-19
18-22
18-17
17-20
18-20
22-21
19-28
23-19
23-19
29-17
25-17
20-25
19-12
21-19
26-11
25-26
11-25
23-23
28-16
25-8
16-16
13-21
166.0Avg total
83.5Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (7)85.478.9164.3+6.671%
Season at home (3)85.385.0170.3+0.333%
Season away (4)85.574.2159.8+11.2100%
Last 10 (10)83.582.5166.0+1.050%
Last 5 (5)86.078.4164.4+7.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)79.288.7167.9-9.526%
vs Similar (9)82.681.6164.1+1.033%
vs Weaker (2)90.588.5179.0+2.050%
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
59-75
59
75
-16
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
82-91
82
91
-9
H27/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
108-58
108
58
+50
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
100-76
100
76
+24
A30/03
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
80-81
80
81
-1
H04/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
89-64
89
64
+25
H11/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
89-80
89
80
+9
H12/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
105-73
105
73
+32
H25/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
88-118
88
118
-30
A03/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
100-115
100
115
-15
A04/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
17-18
18-22
11-18
19-25
18-19
23-21
22-26
32-12
26-19
23-11
27-16
28-15
24-19
27-20
21-22
26-22
13-20
19-21
22-18
17-11
26-25
21-19
25-9
25-20
26-19
21-21
17-20
17-16
30-16
27-23
31-18
20-34
30-27
9-26
29-31
25-34
27-27
26-25
22-29
173.1Avg total
90.0Scored
83.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)94.983.1178.0+11.862%
Season at home (4)90.874.5165.2+16.275%
Season away (4)99.091.8190.8+7.250%
Last 10 (10)90.083.1173.1+6.950%
Last 5 (5)94.290.0184.2+4.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)85.784.3170.0+1.350%
vs Weaker ◀ (24)92.281.3173.5+10.971%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +2.1+2.1Q1: +1.6+1.6Q2Q2: -0.6-0.6Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -1.2-1.2Q3: +0.5+0.5Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.0+2.0
Casey CavaliersMt Gambier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Diamond Valley
#18
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H06/07
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
34-61
34
61
-27
A07/07
NBL1 South
Melbourne Tigers
#13
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H13/07
NBL1 South
Dandenong
#14
W
49-40
49
40
+9
H29/03
NBL1 South
Mt Gambier
#2
W
42-39
42
39
+3
A04/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#8
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H06/04
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#11
L
42-47
42
47
-5
A12/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#1
W
45-42
45
42
+3
A25/04
NBL1 South
Diamond Valley
#19
W
51-37
51
37
+14
H26/04
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#7
W
53-24
53
24
+29
A03/05
NBL1 South
85.3Avg total
43.4Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.543.985.4-2.437%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.744.985.5-4.233%-
Last 30 away (15)42.442.985.3-0.540%-
Last 10 (10)43.441.985.3+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)45.237.482.6+7.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)40.245.385.5-5.132%-
vs Similar (9)42.442.284.7+0.233%-
vs Weaker (2)50.038.588.5+11.5100%-
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
L
30-35
30
35
-5
H20/07
NBL1 South
Eltham
#2
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H27/07
NBL1 South
Geelong
#17
W
58-31
58
31
+27
A29/03
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#15
W
52-34
52
34
+18
A30/03
NBL1 South
Casey Cavaliers
#10
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H04/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H11/04
NBL1 South
Eltham
#6
W
51-39
51
39
+12
H12/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#13
W
47-32
47
32
+15
H25/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#9
L
50-61
50
61
-11
A03/05
NBL1 South
Frankston
#12
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A04/05
NBL1 South
87.4Avg total
45.9Scored
41.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.840.987.7+5.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)45.342.387.6+3.053%-
Last 30 away (13)48.839.187.8+9.777%-
Last 10 (10)45.941.587.4+4.450%-
Last 5 (5)48.645.894.4+2.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (6)41.340.882.2+0.533%-
vs Weaker ◀ (24)48.240.989.1+7.271%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Casey Cavaliers wins
3
Mt Gambier wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/05/25AKilsyth82-61
26/04/25HDiamond Valley94-97 OT
25/04/25AKnox85-73
12/04/25ANunawading94-83
06/04/25HHobart Chargers75-78
04/04/25AMt Gambier81-80
29/03/25HDandenong87-80
13/07/24HMelbourne Tigers71-73
07/07/24ABallarat75-94
06/07/24HDiamond Valley91-106
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/05/25AFrankston100-115
03/05/25ARingwood88-118
25/04/25HWaverley105-73
12/04/25HEltham89-80
11/04/25HSandringham Sabres89-64
04/04/25HCasey Cavaliers80-81
30/03/25AKeilor Thunder100-76
29/03/25AGeelong108-58
27/07/24HEltham82-91
20/07/24HSandringham Sabres59-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLW71%
HomeWLL33%
AwayWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games734
Win %71%33%100%
Points / game85.485.385.5
Allowed / game78.985.074.2
Point differential+6.6+0.3+11.2
Avg total164.3170.3159.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+43%0%75%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %14%33%0%
Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2025
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL62%
HomeLWWW75%
AwayWWLL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %62%75%50%
Points / game94.990.899.0
Allowed / game83.174.591.8
Point differential+11.8+16.2+7.2
Avg total178.0165.2190.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Knox76186%93.078.3+14.7
2 Casey Cavaliers75271%85.478.9+6.6
3 Frankston75271%94.087.6+6.4
4 Ballarat75271%86.987.4-0.6
5 Mt Gambier85362%94.983.1+11.8
6 Bendigo Braves85362%88.991.2-2.4
7 Eltham74357%90.484.9+5.6
8 Melbourne Tigers63350%84.276.8+7.3
9 Kilsyth84450%80.883.0-2.2
10 Geelong84450%82.285.4-3.1
11 Nunawading84450%86.489.6-3.2
12 Waverley84450%91.495.9-4.5
13 Hobart Chargers94544%83.784.4-0.8
14 Ringwood73443%92.085.9+6.1
15 NW Tasmania83538%87.484.2+3.1
16 Diamond Valley83538%84.193.2-9.1
17 Keilor Thunder83538%84.694.6-10.0
18 Sandringham Sabres92722%83.092.2-9.2
19 Dandenong81712%86.995.4-8.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers2322212591
Mt Gambier2328301293
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