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Casey Cavaliers vs Mt Gambier Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 19 May 2024
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 70-82
14-26 16-23 26-13 14-20
Position#19
Record2-8
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.7
Allowed / game86.6
vs
Position#1
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.2
Allowed / game82.5
AustraliaNBL1 South
Other2024
Meetings · Casey Cavaliers v Mt Gambier
10 May 2025
CASE91
MT G93
19 May 2024
CASE70
MT G82
07 May 2022
CASE80
MT G117
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Casey Cavaliers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Mt Gambier winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Casey CavaliersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
L
65-94
65
94
-29
H06/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
91-94
91
94
-3
A08/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A10/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
79-81
79
81
-2
H14/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
87-69
87
69
+18
A20/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
79-88
79
88
-9
A26/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
83-84
83
84
-1
A27/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
83-107
83
107
-24
A04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
69-87
69
87
-18
H11/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
64-81
64
81
-17
A18/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-21
18-27
19-22
13-24
25-26
19-24
19-24
28-20
20-26
21-12
22-19
24-24
19-11
22-29
19-16
19-25
17-20
24-18
27-15
19-16
16-24
23-17
24-19
16-28
23-22
21-23
24-19
15-20
21-24
20-23
20-24
22-36
20-26
12-24
12-18
25-19
20-29
22-17
13-13
9-22
165.3Avg total
78.7Scored
86.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)78.786.6165.3-7.920%
Season at home (3)71.087.3158.3-16.30%
Season away (7)82.086.3168.3-4.329%
Last 10 (10)78.786.6165.3-7.920%
Last 5 (5)75.689.4165.0-13.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)75.487.0162.4-11.618%
vs Similar (8)79.681.9161.5-2.225%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
97-79
97
79
+18
A06/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
W
67-63
67
63
+4
A07/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
W
93-87
93
87
+6
H13/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
L
94-105
94
105
-11
H14/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
91-84
91
84
+7
H19/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
83-96
83
96
-13
H26/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
W
93-81
93
81
+12
A04/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
90-75
90
75
+15
A05/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
W
96-78
96
78
+18
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
98-77
98
77
+21
A18/05
NBL1 South
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
27-11
20-22
22-21
18-17
16-17
16-9
17-20
19-38
26-14
23-17
25-18
28-30
26-23
20-26
20-26
19-28
26-16
27-25
19-15
24-27
26-26
10-25
23-18
18-10
19-28
36-23
20-20
23-19
18-15
23-17
26-24
20-21
25-24
24-18
27-15
32-13
19-17
22-31
25-16
172.7Avg total
90.2Scored
82.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.282.5172.7+7.780%
Season at home (5)91.490.0181.4+1.460%
Season away (5)89.075.0164.0+14.0100%
Last 10 (10)90.282.5172.7+7.780%
Last 5 (5)92.081.4173.4+10.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)63.072.5135.5-9.50%
vs Similar (8)95.290.6185.9+4.662%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)89.882.8172.6+7.075%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.3-3.3Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -1.2-1.2Q2: +3.7+3.7Q3Q3: +1.0+1.0Q3: +0.8+0.8Q4Q4: -4.4-4.4Q4: +3.1+3.1
Casey CavaliersMt Gambier
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Casey CavaliersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Dandenong
#6
L
33-48
33
48
-15
H06/04
NBL1 South
Ringwood
#17
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A08/04
NBL1 South
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/04
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
41-40
41
40
+1
H14/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A20/04
NBL1 South
Hobart Chargers
#9
L
39-41
39
41
-2
A26/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A27/04
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
L
41-47
41
47
-6
A04/05
NBL1 South
Kilsyth
#16
L
32-50
32
50
-18
H11/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
L
42-46
42
46
-4
A18/05
NBL1 South
84.1Avg total
39.8Scored
44.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.043.282.2-4.237%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.942.182.1-2.243%-
Last 30 away (16)38.244.182.4-5.931%-
Last 10 (10)39.844.384.1-4.530%-
Last 5 (5)39.645.885.4-6.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)38.043.181.2-5.136%-
vs Similar (8)41.843.485.1-1.638%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Mt Gambier) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Mt GambierLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sandringham Sabres
#3
W
55-36
55
36
+19
A06/04
NBL1 South
Waverley
#12
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A07/04
NBL1 South
Frankston
#4
L
45-52
45
52
-7
H13/04
NBL1 South
Ballarat
#5
W
54-53
54
53
+1
H14/04
NBL1 South
NW Tasmania
#14
W
45-44
45
44
+1
H19/04
NBL1 South
Keilor Thunder
#10
L
50-53
50
53
-3
H26/04
NBL1 South
Geelong
#11
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A04/05
NBL1 South
Bendigo Braves
#15
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A05/05
NBL1 South
Nunawading
#8
D
45-45
45
45
+0
H10/05
NBL1 South
Knox
#7
W
51-30
51
30
+21
A18/05
NBL1 South
87.6Avg total
45.7Scored
41.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.443.990.3+2.557%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.643.189.8+3.569%-
Last 30 away (14)46.244.891.0+1.443%-
Last 10 (10)45.741.987.6+3.850%-
Last 5 (5)44.840.084.8+4.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)32.035.567.5-3.550%-
vs Similar (8)49.549.198.6+0.438%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)46.642.689.3+4.065%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Casey Cavaliers wins
2
Mt Gambier wins
DateGameScore
14/04/23Mt Gambier v Casey Cavaliers97-80
07/05/22Casey Cavaliers v Mt Gambier80-117
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24ABendigo Braves64-81
11/05/24HKilsyth69-87
04/05/24AKnox83-107
27/04/24ANW Tasmania83-84
26/04/24AHobart Chargers79-88
20/04/24AKeilor Thunder87-69
14/04/24HBendigo Braves79-81
10/04/24ASandringham Sabres87-81
08/04/24ARingwood91-94
06/04/24HDandenong65-94
Mt Gambierlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/05/24AKnox98-77
10/05/24HNunawading96-78
05/05/24ABendigo Braves90-75
04/05/24AGeelong93-81
26/04/24HKeilor Thunder83-96
19/04/24HNW Tasmania91-84
14/04/24HBallarat94-105
13/04/24HFrankston93-87
07/04/24AWaverley67-63
06/04/24ASandringham Sabres97-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Casey Cavaliers
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL20%
HomeLLL0%
AwayWLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1037
Win %20%0%29%
Points / game78.771.082.0
Allowed / game86.687.386.3
Point differential-7.9-16.3-4.3
Avg total165.3158.3168.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (3)0% (1)0% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mt Gambier
NBL1 South 2024
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW80%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWWWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1055
Win %80%60%100%
Points / game90.291.489.0
Allowed / game82.590.075.0
Point differential+7.7+1.4+14.0
Avg total172.7181.4164.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%20%80%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)-100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Mt Gambier108280%90.282.5+7.7
2 Ballarat107370%94.283.2+11.0
3 Waverley117464%90.984.8+6.1
4 Dandenong138562%85.581.6+3.9
5 Sandringham Sabres106460%91.782.0+9.7
6 Frankston106460%93.283.8+9.4
7 Keilor Thunder127558%92.297.5-5.2
8 Knox116555%93.785.4+8.4
9 Nunawading116555%86.083.5+2.5
10 Hobart Chargers116555%80.179.5+0.5
11 Eltham105550%90.083.2+6.8
12 Ringwood136746%86.688.2-1.5
13 Melbourne Tigers115645%77.783.2-5.5
14 NW Tasmania115645%83.089.1-6.1
15 Bendigo Braves125742%79.586.1-6.6
16 Geelong114736%79.886.8-7.0
17 Kilsyth123925%79.389.6-10.2
18 Diamond Valley92722%83.496.9-13.4
19 Casey Cavaliers102820%78.786.6-7.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Casey Cavaliers1416261470
Mt Gambier2623132082
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