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Knox W vs Casey Cavaliers W Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 25 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 08:00
Final 82-71
19-21 13-13 26-14 24-23
Position#2
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game84.5
Allowed / game69.5
Knox W 🏆
Australia
vs
Position#11
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game68.5
Allowed / game71.8
AustraliaNBL1 South Women
Women2025
Meetings · Knox W v Casey Cavaliers W
25 Apr 2025
KNOX82
CASE71
04 May 2024
KNOX80
CASE62
29 Apr 2023
KNOX81
CASE65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Knox W winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Casey Cavaliers W winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Knox WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#19
W
98-72
98
72
+26
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
W
68-65
68
65
+3
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
97-90
97
90
+7
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
73-64
73
64
+9
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
78-86
78
86
-8
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H27/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
76-47
76
47
+29
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
95-73
95
73
+22
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
W
91-79
91
79
+12
H08/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
76-79
76
79
-3
A17/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-13
24-20
22-21
21-18
16-21
14-19
14-14
24-11
27-29
29-24
25-12
16-25
14-15
16-11
18-22
25-16
19-26
19-25
18-17
22-18
21-17
24-18
13-17
15-25
12-11
22-8
21-16
21-12
22-22
22-19
23-14
28-18
14-30
18-17
29-18
30-14
20-19
14-19
21-21
21-20
155.7Avg total
82.5Scored
73.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.569.5154.0+15.075%
Season at home (2)83.563.0146.5+20.5100%
Season away (2)85.576.0161.5+9.550%
Last 10 (10)82.573.2155.7+9.370%
Last 5 (5)82.271.0153.2+11.260%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)94.098.0192.0-4.00%
vs Similar (3)81.070.0151.0+11.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)83.671.8155.5+11.877%
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
80-92
80
92
-12
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
83-85
83
85
-2
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
63-86
63
86
-23
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
61-94
61
94
-33
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
W
109-84
109
84
+25
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
56-98
56
98
-42
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
76-60
76
60
+16
A04/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
W
80-73
80
73
+7
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
W
62-56
62
56
+6
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-17
16-20
14-20
21-24
19-24
19-34
23-17
19-17
16-24
28-21
14-18
25-22
23-19
14-23
17-27
9-17
22-22
11-25
14-30
14-17
18-22
30-29
24-8
37-25
18-25
4-27
17-24
17-22
13-20
17-4
28-23
18-13
16-22
23-19
20-20
21-12
20-12
9-17
15-12
18-15
155.1Avg total
74.2Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)68.571.8140.2-3.275%
Season at home (2)68.085.5153.5-17.550%
Season away (2)69.058.0127.0+11.0100%
Last 10 (10)74.280.9155.1-6.740%
Last 5 (5)76.674.2150.8+2.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)73.788.5162.2-14.914%
vs Similar (6)71.771.2142.8+0.550%
vs Weaker (2)78.066.5144.5+11.5100%
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -2.1-2.1Q2Q2: +2.2+2.2Q2: -4.8-4.8Q3Q3: +3.2+3.2Q3: -1.3-1.3Q4Q4: +4.6+4.6Q4: +1.5+1.5
Knox WCasey Cavaliers W
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Knox WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Nunawading W
#19
W
55-33
55
33
+22
A30/06
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
A05/07
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
W
56-53
56
53
+3
H07/07
NBL1 South Women
Keilor Thunder W
#1
W
30-26
30
26
+4
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H20/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H27/07
NBL1 South Women
Kilsyth W
#15
W
34-19
34
19
+15
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#6
W
44-41
44
41
+3
A05/04
NBL1 South Women
Waverley W
#3
L
32-47
32
47
-15
H08/04
NBL1 South Women
Sandringham W
#9
L
34-38
34
38
-4
A17/04
NBL1 South Women
78.1Avg total
39.8Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.938.481.3+4.470%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.539.882.3+2.769%-
Last 30 away (14)43.336.980.1+6.471%-
Last 10 (10)39.838.378.1+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)37.836.073.8+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)41.049.090.0-8.00%-
vs Similar (3)38.034.372.3+3.767%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.538.582.0+5.073%-
This opponent (Casey Cavaliers W) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Casey Cavaliers WLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Waverley W
#4
D
37-37
37
37
+0
A22/06
NBL1 South Women
Geelong W
#10
L
38-58
38
58
-20
A28/06
NBL1 South Women
Frankston W
#11
L
44-45
44
45
-1
H29/06
NBL1 South Women
Diamond Valley W
#12
L
37-42
37
42
-5
H06/07
NBL1 South Women
Ballarat W
#5
L
33-47
33
47
-14
A07/07
NBL1 South Women
Melbourne Tigers W
#15
L
48-51
48
51
-3
H13/07
NBL1 South Women
Dandenong Rangers W
#5
L
22-52
22
52
-30
H29/03
NBL1 South Women
Mt. Gambier W
#14
W
30-24
30
24
+6
A04/04
NBL1 South Women
Hobart Chargers W
#16
L
39-41
39
41
-2
H06/04
NBL1 South Women
Nunawading W
#12
D
29-29
29
29
+0
A12/04
NBL1 South Women
78.3Avg total
35.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.879.3-4.330%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.344.182.3-5.827%-
Last 30 away (15)36.739.576.3-2.833%-
Last 10 (10)35.742.678.3-6.910%-
Last 5 (5)33.639.473.0-5.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (22)37.644.081.7-6.423%-
vs Similar (6)38.036.774.7+1.350%-
vs Weaker (2)34.532.567.0+2.050%-
This opponent (Knox W) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Knox W wins
0
Casey Cavaliers W wins
Knox Wlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
17/04/25ASandringham W76-79
08/04/25HWaverley W91-79
05/04/25ADiamond Valley W95-73
29/03/25HKilsyth W76-47
27/07/24HBallarat W73-77
20/07/24HMt. Gambier W78-86
13/07/24HKeilor Thunder W73-64
07/07/24HGeelong W97-90
05/07/24AMt. Gambier W68-65
30/06/24ANunawading W98-72
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25ANunawading W62-56
06/04/25HHobart Chargers W80-73
04/04/25AMt. Gambier W76-60
29/03/25HDandenong Rangers W56-98
13/07/24HMelbourne Tigers W109-84
07/07/24ABallarat W61-94
06/07/24HDiamond Valley W63-86
29/06/24HFrankston W83-85
28/06/24AGeelong W80-92
22/06/24AWaverley W72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Knox W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeWW100%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game84.583.585.5
Allowed / game69.563.076.0
Point differential+15.0+20.5+9.5
Avg total154.0146.5161.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Casey Cavaliers W
NBL1 South Women 2025
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeLW50%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%50%100%
Points / game68.568.069.0
Allowed / game71.885.558.0
Point differential-3.2-17.5+11.0
Avg total140.2153.5127.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Geelong W440100%90.562.5+28.0
2 Keilor Thunder W54180%76.474.2+2.2
3 Sandringham W54180%73.271.6+1.6
4 Knox W43175%84.569.5+15.0
5 Casey Cavaliers W43175%68.571.8-3.2
6 Dandenong Rangers W64267%85.867.2+18.7
7 Ringwood W42250%78.866.0+12.8
8 Waverley W42250%73.871.5+2.2
9 Nunawading W63350%70.271.3-1.2
10 Eltham W42250%72.275.2-3.0
11 Bendigo Braves W42250%75.879.0-3.2
12 Hobart Chargers W52340%73.671.4+2.2
13 Frankston W52340%66.668.6-2.0
14 Melbourne Tigers W52340%81.284.0-2.8
15 Diamond Valley W52340%78.485.6-7.2
16 Kilsyth W62433%62.877.5-14.7
17 Ballarat W41325%74.587.0-12.5
18 Mt. Gambier W51420%67.483.8-16.4
19 Launceston W5050%70.280.0-9.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Knox W1913262482
Casey Cavaliers W2113142371
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