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Castello vs Breogan Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 31 Mar 2021
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 86-70
18-19 24-14 25-20 19-17
Position#3
Record15-5
FormWLWLW
Points / game80.0
Allowed / game74.6
vs
Position#1
Record15-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game70.8
SpainPrimera FEBRound 9
Other2020-21
Meetings · Castello v Breogan
31 Mar 2021
CAST86
BRE70
28 Sep 2019
CAST68
BRE91
23 Feb 2018
CAST89
BRE91
03 Mar 2017
CAST88
BRE96
26 Feb 2016
CAST77
BRE79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Castello winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Breogan winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CastelloSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Canoe
#19
W
77-67
77
67
+10
A03/01
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
82-84 OT
82
84
-2
H08/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
W
87-81
87
81
+6
A16/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
W
74-72
74
72
+2
A07/02
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
76-69
76
69
+7
A13/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
87-72
87
72
+15
H28/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
83-101
83
101
-18
H03/03
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
63-62 OT
63
62
+1
A07/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
L
75-76
75
76
-1
A19/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
W
87-79
87
79
+8
H26/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-18
25-19
16-9
18-21
15-22
27-21
22-19
12-14
15-19
23-20
26-20
23-22
8-14
19-26
18-16
29-16
19-18
14-14
20-18
23-19
21-23
20-15
19-26
27-8
19-26
19-28
26-19
19-28
20-12
8-11
13-20
15-13
19-28
17-20
22-18
17-10
21-23
22-20
27-19
17-17
155.4Avg total
79.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (20)80.074.6154.6+5.475%
Season at home (10)84.281.0165.2+3.260%
Season away (10)75.768.2143.9+7.590%
Last 10 (10)79.176.3155.4+2.870%
Last 5 (5)79.078.0157.0+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)77.085.8162.8-8.80%
vs Similar ◀ (12)81.880.8162.6+1.167%
vs Weaker (14)80.472.0152.4+8.479%
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganSpainLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
W
80-66
80
66
+14
H23/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#18
W
83-79
83
79
+4
A03/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
68-72
68
72
-4
H09/01
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
W
80-70
80
70
+10
A17/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#14
W
81-72
81
72
+9
H05/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#15
L
71-77
71
77
-6
A13/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
W
84-76
84
76
+8
H28/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
W
91-78
91
78
+13
A05/03
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
85-78
85
78
+7
H20/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
W
76-74
76
74
+2
A28/03
Primera FEB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-20
16-13
29-13
14-20
28-17
16-20
22-18
17-24
13-12
20-22
13-20
22-18
25-18
21-19
19-13
15-20
22-22
25-14
11-19
23-17
13-24
19-16
17-19
22-18
30-13
18-15
18-14
18-34
31-18
20-20
16-19
24-21
20-11
21-17
17-24
27-26
25-18
18-20
14-17
19-19
154.1Avg total
79.9Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)78.970.8149.7+8.183%
Season at home (9)81.170.3151.4+10.889%
Season away (9)76.771.2147.9+5.478%
Last 10 (10)79.974.2154.1+5.780%
Last 5 (5)81.476.6158.0+4.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)77.574.7152.2+2.860%
vs Weaker (20)80.569.6150.1+11.080%
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -2.8-2.8Q1: +5.5+5.5Q2Q2: +0.0+0.0Q2: +1.8+1.8Q3Q3: +2.5+2.5Q3: +0.0+0.0Q4Q4: +3.2+3.2Q4: -1.6-1.6
CastelloBreogan
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CastelloLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Real Canoe
#19
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A03/01
Primera FEB
Basquet Girona
#9
L
42-43
42
43
-1
H08/01
Primera FEB
Alicante
#6
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A16/01
Primera FEB
Forca Lleida
#10
L
27-40
27
40
-13
A07/02
Primera FEB
Huesca
#17
W
33-32
33
32
+1
A13/02
Primera FEB
Almansa
#12
W
41-38
41
38
+3
H28/02
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
L
38-54
38
54
-16
H03/03
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
28-23
28
23
+5
A07/03
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A19/03
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H26/03
Primera FEB
76.6Avg total
36.9Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.638.276.7+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.341.580.8-2.147%-
Last 30 away (15)37.834.972.7+2.960%-
Last 10 (10)36.939.776.6-2.840%-
Last 5 (5)37.241.278.4-4.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)33.244.577.8-11.20%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)39.637.076.6+2.658%-
vs Weaker (14)39.237.476.6+1.964%-
This opponent (Breogan) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BreoganLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oviedo
#5
W
37-33
37
33
+4
H23/12
Primera FEB
Tizona Burgos
#18
W
44-37
44
37
+7
A03/01
Primera FEB
Leyma Coruna
#2
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H09/01
Primera FEB
Real Valladolid
#8
W
46-37
46
37
+9
A17/01
Primera FEB
Melilla
#14
W
47-36
47
36
+11
H05/02
Primera FEB
Ourense
#15
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A13/02
Primera FEB
Palencia
#16
W
48-28
48
28
+20
H28/02
Primera FEB
Caceres
#13
W
51-38
51
38
+13
A05/03
Primera FEB
Granada
#4
W
41-28
41
28
+13
H20/03
Primera FEB
Fibwi Palma
#7
W
43-38
43
38
+5
A28/03
Primera FEB
77.1Avg total
42.2Scored
34.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.634.875.4+5.873%-
Last 30 at home (16)42.132.474.5+9.688%-
Last 30 away (14)38.937.576.4+1.457%-
Last 10 (10)42.234.977.1+7.380%-
Last 5 (5)43.034.477.4+8.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (10)39.438.277.6+1.260%-
vs Weaker (20)41.233.174.3+8.180%-
This opponent (Castello) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Castellotheir own shots, last 10 games
No box scores for this team yet.
Breogantheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Breogan: 80.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀26%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.3 pts a game · 26% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 80.3 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers45.323.0
50.8%
51.8%46.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.57.1
31.6%
33.7%21.3
🏀 Free throws19.013.3
70.0%
73.6%13.3
They take 67.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Castello wins
7
Breogan wins
DateGameScore
18/01/20Breogan v Castello87-69
28/09/19Castello v Breogan68-91
23/02/18Castello v Breogan89-91
05/11/17Breogan v Castello97-69
03/03/17Castello v Breogan88-96
12/11/16Breogan v Castello82-65
26/02/16Castello v Breogan77-79
15/11/15Breogan v Castello83-87 OT
Castellolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/03/21HReal Valladolid87-79
19/03/21APalencia75-76
07/03/21AGranada63-62 OT
03/03/21HFibwi Palma83-101
28/02/21HAlmansa87-72
13/02/21AHuesca76-69
07/02/21AForca Lleida74-72
16/01/21AAlicante87-81
08/01/21HBasquet Girona82-84 OT
03/01/21AReal Canoe77-67
Breoganlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/03/21AFibwi Palma76-74
20/03/21HGranada85-78
05/03/21ACaceres91-78
28/02/21HPalencia84-76
13/02/21AOurense71-77
05/02/21HMelilla81-72
17/01/21AReal Valladolid80-70
09/01/21HLeyma Coruna68-72
03/01/21ATizona Burgos83-79
23/12/20HOviedo80-66

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Castello
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLW75%
HomeWLWLW60%
AwayWWWWL90%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games201010
Win %75%60%90%
Points / game80.084.275.7
Allowed / game74.681.068.2
Point differential+5.3+3.2+7.5
Avg total154.6165.2143.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+30%30%30%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (7)67% (3)75% (4)
Overtime %20%30%10%
Breogan
Primera FEB 2020-21
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWW83%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWLWW78%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %83%89%78%
Points / game78.981.176.7
Allowed / game70.870.371.2
Point differential+8.1+10.8+5.4
Avg total149.7151.4147.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+39%33%44%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)50% (2)100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Breogan1815383%78.970.8+8.1
2 Castello2015575%80.074.6+5.3
3 Granada2114767%78.272.5+5.7
4 Oviedo1812667%79.977.7+2.2
5 Leyma Coruna1912763%75.470.8+4.5
6 Alicante2012860%80.275.5+4.8
7 Real Valladolid1810856%82.680.9+1.7
8 Fibwi Palma2011955%78.378.2+0.1
9 Basquet Girona1910953%78.876.8+2.0
10 Almansa20101050%77.676.2+1.4
11 Palencia189950%72.971.9+1.1
12 Forca Lleida20101050%75.976.2-0.3
13 Ourense1871139%75.178.2-3.1
14 Melilla1871139%75.678.9-3.3
15 Real Murcia2071335%71.674.6-3.0
16 Caceres1861233%71.877.1-5.3
17 Tizona Burgos1861233%78.584.6-6.1
18 Huesca1951426%70.476.6-6.3
19 Real Canoe2031715%71.381.7-10.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Castello1824251986
Breogan1914201770
← all games of the day
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