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CD Povoa vs Sporting CP Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 28 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 80-104
19-30 9-28 19-16 33-30
Position#6
Record1-3
FormLWLLL
Points / game82.8
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#4
Record4-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game94.5
Allowed / game83.2
PortugalLPBRound 5· Clube Desportivo Póvoa
Other2023-24
Meetings · CD Povoa v Sporting CP
20 Mar 2027
CD P v SCP
upcoming
07 Dec 2024
CD P66
SCP68
28 Oct 2023
CD P80
SCP104
12 Feb 2023
CD P64
SCP89
08 Oct 2022
CD P79
SCP94
23 Oct 2021
CD P68
SCP71
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#7
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
H16/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A23/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
80-46
80
46
+34
no box
H06/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
46-97
46
97
-51
no box
A10/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
59avg 72
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 72
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 72
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
93-95
93
95
-2
87avg 72
A21/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
32-23
6-15
18-10
19-12
26-25
23-19
11-14
14-14
30-9
21-15
14-10
15-12
16-24
12-20
8-28
10-25
18-32
17-17
16-24
21-20
19-28
24-20
14-19
19-24
23-19
20-22
21-17
24-25
14-17
17-19
23-20
20-23
21-17
23-18
17-27
20-19
23-31
19-20
24-22
27-22
157.7Avg total
76.9Scored
80.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.887.0169.8-4.225%
Season at home (2)75.085.0160.0-10.00%
Season away (2)90.589.0179.5+1.550%
Last 10 (10)76.980.8157.7-3.940%
Last 5 (5)84.488.0172.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)69.188.6157.8-19.512%
vs Similar (13)79.275.3154.5+3.962%
vs Weaker (8)78.673.2151.9+5.462%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
L
84-85
84
85
-1
no box
A04/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A06/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
57-101
57
101
-44
no box
H09/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
no box
H11/06
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
94-80
94
80
+14
78avg 87
H23/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 87
A30/09
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 87
A08/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
101-67
101
67
+34
98avg 87
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
83-79
83
79
+4
71avg 87
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lusitania
#12
W
107-83
107
83
+24
106avg 87
H21/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-28
29-19
18-24
18-14
21-25
18-23
27-12
27-27
17-17
17-31
11-26
12-27
28-23
17-25
25-21
15-32
30-21
18-24
21-13
25-22
12-15
23-17
28-20
22-29
20-18
28-23
21-27
23-21
25-17
22-22
25-15
29-13
19-16
29-17
21-29
14-17
23-23
27-20
25-24
32-16
173.4Avg total
88.1Scored
85.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)94.583.2177.8+11.2100%
Season at home (2)100.581.5182.0+19.0100%
Season away (2)88.585.0173.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)88.185.3173.4+2.870%
Last 5 (5)93.679.8173.4+13.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.892.5174.3-10.733%
vs Similar (7)87.981.7169.6+6.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)92.273.9166.2+18.394%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -0.3-0.3Q1: +1.1+1.1Q2Q2: -0.3-0.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.5-2.5Q3: +1.1+1.1Q4Q4: -0.7-0.7Q4: -0.1-0.1
CD PovoaSporting CP
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Esgueira
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H16/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H06/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A10/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Ovarense
#5
L
42-51
42
51
-9
A21/10
LPB
81.4Avg total
40.4Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.939.177.0-1.340%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.734.971.6+1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)39.243.983.1-4.736%-
Last 10 (10)40.441.081.4-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.642.282.8-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)35.645.581.1-9.90%-
vs Similar (13)37.036.973.9+0.146%-
vs Weaker (8)40.937.178.0+3.862%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Benfica
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A04/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H09/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H11/06
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A30/09
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A08/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Lusitania
#12
W
50-43
50
43
+7
H21/10
LPB
86.6Avg total
44.2Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.639.183.7+5.577%-
Last 30 at home (16)45.639.985.5+5.875%-
Last 30 away (14)43.438.181.6+5.379%-
Last 10 (10)44.242.486.6+1.870%-
Last 5 (5)45.637.683.2+8.0100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.546.890.3-3.333%-
vs Similar (7)43.136.179.3+7.086%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.637.583.1+8.188%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 82.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers46.5 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.823.2
54.4%
51.0%46.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.87.5
31.6%
33.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws21.013.5
64.3%
69.3%13.5
They take 66.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 85.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.720.8
48.7%
51.0%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.210.0
38.1%
33.5%30.0
🏀 Free throws21.614.1
65.5%
69.3%14.1
They take 68.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 4/9 games with a box score before 28 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
CD Povoa
LLLWLLLWWW
Sporting CP
WWWWWWLLWL
#6
League position
#4
-3.5
Net rating
+9.4
106.2
Offensive rating
109.9
109.8
Defensive rating
100.5
51.9%
Effective FG%
51.9%
54.7%
Opp. effective FG%
49.6%
16.1%
Turnover %
17.1%
30.0%
Off. rebound %
33.1%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.31
31.6%
3-point %
38.1%
47.2%
Assist %
62.8%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 109.9Defence109.8 · 100.5Shooting51.9% · 51.9%3-point %31.6% · 38.1%Ball care16.1% · 17.1%Off. rebounds30.0% · 33.1%Free throws0.32 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 70%
■ CD Povoa   ■ Sporting CP
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
CD Povoa wins
5
Sporting CP wins
DateGameScore
12/02/23CD Povoa v Sporting CP64-89
30/12/22Sporting CP v CD Povoa86-73
08/10/22CD Povoa v Sporting CP79-94
08/01/22Sporting CP v CD Povoa113-70
23/10/21CD Povoa v Sporting CP68-71
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23AOvarense93-95
14/10/23AOvarense91-92 OT
07/10/23HGalomar74-79
30/09/23AImortal88-83
23/09/23HFC Porto76-91
13/05/23HBenfica72-93
10/05/23ABenfica46-97
06/05/23HSangalhos80-46
23/04/23ACAB Madeira74-72
16/04/23HEsgueira75-60
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/10/23HLusitania107-83
18/10/23HAlba Fehervar83-79
14/10/23HPortimonense101-67
08/10/23AVitoria92-89
30/09/23AOvarense85-81
23/09/23HGalomar94-80
11/06/23HBenfica85-101
09/06/23HBenfica57-101
06/06/23ABenfica93-87
04/06/23ABenfica84-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLL25%
HomeLL0%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %25%0%50%
Points / game82.875.090.5
Allowed / game87.085.089.0
Point differential-4.2-10.0+1.5
Avg total169.8160.0179.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sporting CP
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game94.5100.588.5
Allowed / game83.281.585.0
Point differential+11.2+19.0+3.5
Avg total177.8182.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto330100%92.073.3+18.7
2 Sporting CP440100%94.583.2+11.2
3 Oliveirense330100%75.766.0+9.7
4 Portimonense330100%81.076.0+5.0
5 Benfica42250%88.072.2+15.8
6 Galomar42250%82.281.5+0.8
7 Ovarense42250%84.284.8-0.5
8 Vitoria42250%82.585.2-2.8
9 Imortal41325%75.078.2-3.2
10 CD Povoa41325%82.887.0-4.2
11 Lusitania4040%77.891.5-13.8
12 Esgueira5050%71.694.2-22.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
CD Povoa199193380
Sporting CP30281630104
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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