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Ovarense vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 95-93
31-23 20-19 22-24 22-27
Position#5
Record1-2
FormLLLWW
Points / game80.7
Allowed / game82.0
Ovarense 🏆
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#6
Record1-2
FormLLWLL
Points / game79.3
Allowed / game84.3
PortugalLPBRound 4· Arena de Ovar
Other2023-24
Meetings · Ovarense v CD Povoa
17 Oct 2026
OVAR78
CD P69
15 Feb 2025
OVAR83
CD P71
21 Oct 2023
OVAR95
CD P93
14 Oct 2023
OVAR92
CD P91
24 Sep 2022
OVAR88
CD P70
19 Dec 2021
OVAR99
CD P71
07 Nov 2021
OVAR86
CD P68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
no box
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
58-57
58
57
+1
no box
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
no box
A20/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-91 OT
79
91
-12
no box
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
44-115
44
115
-71
no box
H25/05
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 71
A23/09
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 71
H30/09
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
74avg 71
A07/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
W
92-91 OT
92
91
+1
no box
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-27
22-18
16-15
15-15
20-19
23-17
19-15
20-23
21-12
13-15
8-11
16-19
16-17
17-28
13-21
13-22
27-17
11-22
16-14
22-23
16-28
7-36
14-31
7-20
16-28
18-20
24-13
18-18
15-12
17-23
20-28
29-22
18-22
18-21
28-12
21-27
17-21
18-23
27-17
19-20
156.3Avg total
72.6Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)80.782.0162.7-1.333%
Season at home (1)81.085.0166.0-4.00%
Season away (2)80.580.5161.0+0.050%
Last 10 (10)72.683.7156.3-11.140%
Last 5 (5)75.690.4166.0-14.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)70.984.5155.4-13.723%
vs Similar (5)77.674.0151.6+3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (2)80.584.0164.5-3.550%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
L
92-96
92
96
-4
no box
A08/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
H16/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A23/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
80-46
80
46
+34
no box
H06/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
46-97
46
97
-51
no box
A10/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
59avg 67
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 67
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 67
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
L
91-92 OT
91
92
-1
no box
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-17
24-30
26-24
26-25
32-23
6-15
18-10
19-12
26-25
23-19
11-14
14-14
30-9
21-15
14-10
15-12
16-24
12-20
8-28
10-25
18-32
17-17
16-24
21-20
19-28
24-20
14-19
19-24
23-19
20-22
21-17
24-25
14-17
17-19
23-20
20-23
21-17
23-18
17-27
20-19
157.7Avg total
76.8Scored
80.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)79.384.3163.7-5.033%
Season at home (2)75.085.0160.0-10.00%
Season away (1)88.083.0171.0+5.0100%
Last 10 (10)76.880.9157.7-4.140%
Last 5 (5)80.287.6167.8-7.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)65.787.7153.4-22.014%
vs Similar (14)78.675.2153.8+3.457%
vs Weaker (8)78.673.2151.9+5.462%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: +0.4+0.4Q2Q2: -5.9-5.9Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.8+0.8Q3: -2.5-2.5Q4Q4: -2.9-2.9Q4: -1.1-1.1
OvarenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
23-64
23
64
-41
H25/05
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A23/09
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/09
LPB
Lusitania
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/10
LPB
CD Povoa
#10
L
35-44
35
44
-9
H14/10
Taca da Liga
77.3Avg total
34.7Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.541.876.4-7.327%-
Last 30 at home (14)32.541.473.9-8.929%-
Last 30 away (16)36.342.278.5-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)34.742.677.3-7.920%-
Last 5 (5)32.046.878.8-14.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)33.842.976.7-9.018%-
vs Similar (5)37.838.876.6-1.060%-
vs Weaker ◀ (2)31.041.072.0-10.00%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vitoria
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H16/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H06/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A10/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/10
LPB
Ovarense
#6
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A14/10
Taca da Liga
80.8Avg total
40.2Scored
40.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.638.876.3-1.240%-
Last 30 at home (16)36.734.971.6+1.844%-
Last 30 away (14)38.643.181.7-4.636%-
Last 10 (10)40.240.680.8-0.440%-
Last 5 (5)39.241.881.0-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)34.744.779.4-10.00%-
vs Similar (14)36.737.173.9-0.443%-
vs Weaker (8)40.937.178.0+3.862%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.020.3
42.4%
51.0%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.7
38.3%
33.5%23.0
🏀 Free throws23.716.7
70.4%
69.3%16.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.3 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.7
53.4%
51.0%47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.3
26.8%
33.5%19.0
🏀 Free throws20.713.3
64.5%
69.3%13.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WWLLLLLWWL
CD Povoa
LLWLLLWWWL
#5
League position
#6
-2.2
Net rating
-3.1
104.5
Offensive rating
104.7
106.7
Defensive rating
107.7
46.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.3%
3-point %
26.8%
58.3%
Assist %
43.3%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 104.7Defence106.7 · 107.7Shooting46.8% · 48.8%3-point %38.3% · 26.8%Ball care15.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds32.0% · 35.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)40% · 40%
■ Ovarense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Ovarense wins
2
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
14/10/23Ovarense v CD Povoa92-91 OT
08/12/22CD Povoa v Ovarense65-60
24/09/22Ovarense v CD Povoa88-70
30/01/22CD Povoa v Ovarense73-69
19/12/21Ovarense v CD Povoa99-71
07/11/21Ovarense v CD Povoa86-68
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23HCD Povoa92-91 OT
07/10/23ALusitania85-82
30/09/23HSporting CP81-85
23/09/23AVitoria76-79
25/05/23HBenfica44-115
22/05/23ABenfica79-91 OT
20/05/23ABenfica59-88
16/05/23AOliveirense58-57
13/05/23HOliveirense82-74
10/05/23AOliveirense70-75
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AOvarense91-92 OT
07/10/23HGalomar74-79
30/09/23AImortal88-83
23/09/23HFC Porto76-91
13/05/23HBenfica72-93
10/05/23ABenfica46-97
06/05/23HSangalhos80-46
23/04/23ACAB Madeira74-72
16/04/23HEsgueira75-60
08/04/23AVitoria92-96

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeL0%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%0%50%
Points / game80.781.080.5
Allowed / game82.085.080.5
Point differential-1.3-4.0+0.0
Avg total162.7166.0161.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
CD Povoa
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWL33%
HomeLL0%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %33%0%100%
Points / game79.375.088.0
Allowed / game84.385.083.0
Point differential-5.0-10.0+5.0
Avg total163.7160.0171.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)0% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto220100%85.069.0+16.0
2 Sporting CP440100%94.583.2+11.2
3 Oliveirense330100%75.766.0+9.7
4 Portimonense330100%81.076.0+5.0
5 Benfica42250%88.072.2+15.8
6 Galomar42250%82.281.5+0.8
7 Ovarense31233%80.782.0-1.3
8 CD Povoa31233%79.384.3-5.0
9 Vitoria31233%78.091.7-13.7
10 Imortal41325%75.078.2-3.2
11 Lusitania4040%77.891.5-13.8
12 Esgueira3030%70.089.7-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Ovarense3120222295
CD Povoa2319242793
← all games of the day
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