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Sporting CP vs Lusitania Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 21 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 107-83
23-23 27-20 25-24 32-16
Position#4
Record3-0
FormWWWWW
Points / game90.3
Allowed / game83.3
Sporting CP 🏆
Portugal
vs
Lusitania
Portugal
Position#12
Record0-3
FormLLLLL
Points / game76.0
Allowed / game86.3
PortugalLPBRound 4· Pavilhão João Rocha
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sporting CP v Lusitania
21 Oct 2023
SCP107
LUSI83
10 May 2023
SCP99
LUSI65
08 Apr 2023
SCP98
LUSI59
05 Nov 2022
SCP90
LUSI83
13 May 2022
SCP82
LUSI66
19 Mar 2022
SCP91
LUSI64
13 Mar 2021
SCP89
LUSI84
10 Nov 2019
SCP91
LUSI65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sporting CP winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Lusitania winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sporting CPPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCP
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#3
W
94-66
94
66
+28
no box
H26/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
84-85
84
85
-1
no box
A04/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
93-87
93
87
+6
no box
A06/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
57-101
57
101
-44
no box
H09/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
85-101
85
101
-16
no box
H11/06
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
94-80
94
80
+14
78avg 83
H23/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
85-81
85
81
+4
78avg 83
A30/09
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
92-89
92
89
+3
88avg 83
A08/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
101-67
101
67
+34
98avg 83
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
83-79
83
79
+4
71avg 83
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-21
20-8
30-18
20-19
19-28
29-19
18-24
18-14
21-25
18-23
27-12
27-27
17-17
17-31
11-26
12-27
28-23
17-25
25-21
15-32
30-21
18-24
21-13
25-22
12-15
23-17
28-20
22-29
20-18
28-23
21-27
23-21
25-17
22-22
25-15
29-13
19-16
29-17
21-29
14-17
170.4Avg total
86.8Scored
83.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)90.383.3173.7+7.0100%
Season at home (1)94.080.0174.0+14.0100%
Season away (2)88.585.0173.5+3.5100%
Last 10 (10)86.883.6170.4+3.270%
Last 5 (5)91.079.2170.2+11.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)81.892.5174.3-10.733%
vs Similar (7)87.981.7169.6+6.171%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.874.7166.5+17.194%
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormLusitania
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#8
L
67-72
67
72
-5
no box
A15/04
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
97-92
97
92
+5
no box
H22/04
LPB
Imortal
#2
L
77-82
77
82
-5
no box
A29/04
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
74-107
74
107
-33
no box
A06/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
65-99
65
99
-34
no box
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
73-93
73
93
-20
no box
H14/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
66-80
66
80
-14
-2avg 53
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
80-94
80
94
-14
71avg 53
A30/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
L
82-85
82
85
-3
81avg 53
H07/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
62avg 53
A14/10
Taca da Liga
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-14
9-16
21-24
19-18
32-18
16-26
24-21
25-27
17-14
16-25
26-21
18-22
18-31
18-26
19-24
19-26
22-19
14-29
11-24
18-27
18-27
27-15
21-28
7-23
17-20
16-14
15-27
18-19
17-28
14-23
24-23
25-20
22-18
21-18
12-28
27-21
20-22
22-21
15-28
25-19
165.7Avg total
76.3Scored
89.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)76.086.3162.3-10.30%
Season at home (2)74.082.5156.5-8.50%
Season away (1)80.094.0174.0-14.00%
Last 10 (10)76.389.4165.7-13.110%
Last 5 (5)76.688.4165.0-11.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)75.786.6162.3-11.022%
vs Similar (5)78.675.6154.2+3.060%
vs Weaker (1)87.083.0170.0+4.0100%
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: +1.4+1.4Q1: -1.0-1.0Q2Q2: +1.2+1.2Q2: -4.0-4.0Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -6.0-6.0Q4Q4: -1.6-1.6Q4: -2.1-2.1
Sporting CPLusitania
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sporting CPLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
FC Porto
#3
W
44-29
44
29
+15
H26/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A04/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
39-48
39
48
-9
A06/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
34-48
34
48
-14
H09/06
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H11/06
LPB
Galomar
#10
W
48-45
48
45
+3
H23/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A30/09
LPB
Vitoria
#7
W
48-41
48
41
+7
A08/10
LPB
Portimonense
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
H14/10
Taca da Liga
Alba Fehervar
#36
W
48-33
48
33
+15
H18/10
FIBA Europe Cup
84.6Avg total
43.6Scored
41.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.739.183.8+5.677%-
Last 30 at home (15)45.339.785.0+5.773%-
Last 30 away (15)44.138.582.6+5.580%-
Last 10 (10)43.641.084.6+2.670%-
Last 5 (5)45.238.083.2+7.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)43.546.890.3-3.333%-
vs Similar (7)43.136.179.3+7.086%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)45.837.683.4+8.288%-
This opponent (Lusitania) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
LusitaniaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Ovarense
#8
L
27-30
27
30
-3
A15/04
LPB
FC Porto
#3
W
48-44
48
44
+4
H22/04
LPB
Imortal
#2
L
33-39
33
39
-6
A29/04
Taca de Portugal
Benfica
#1
L
36-57
36
57
-21
A06/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
L
36-48
36
48
-12
A10/05
LPB
Sporting CP
#2
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H14/05
LPB
Imortal
#8
L
33-34
33
34
-1
H23/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-51
31
51
-20
A30/09
LPB
Ovarense
#5
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H07/10
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
42-43
42
43
-1
A14/10
Taca da Liga
79.8Avg total
37.4Scored
42.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.940.879.7-1.943%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.140.581.6+0.656%-
Last 30 away (14)36.441.177.5-4.829%-
Last 10 (10)37.442.479.8-5.030%-
Last 5 (5)38.841.280.0-2.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)37.542.379.8-4.739%-
vs Similar (5)38.235.874.0+2.440%-
vs Weaker (1)52.040.092.0+12.0100%-
This opponent (Sporting CP) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sporting CPtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sporting CP: 83.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.5 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.420.8
49.0%
51.0%41.5
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.19.5
36.4%
33.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws20.513.0
63.4%
69.3%13.0
They take 68.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Lusitaniatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Lusitania: 76.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.8 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.2 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.020.5
55.4%
51.0%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.07.2
30.2%
33.5%21.8
🏀 Free throws18.213.8
75.3%
69.3%13.8
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 8/4 games with a box score before 21 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sporting CP
WWWWWLLWLW
Lusitania
LLLLLLLLWL
#4
League position
#12
+6.5
Net rating
-12.6
108.4
Offensive rating
98.6
101.9
Defensive rating
111.2
51.1%
Effective FG%
51.4%
49.9%
Opp. effective FG%
57.0%
16.6%
Turnover %
22.0%
32.9%
Off. rebound %
23.2%
0.30
Free-throw rate
0.30
36.4%
3-point %
30.2%
60.3%
Assist %
49.5%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
10%

Profile

Offence108.4 · 98.6Defence101.9 · 111.2Shooting51.1% · 51.4%3-point %36.4% · 30.2%Ball care16.6% · 22.0%Off. rebounds32.9% · 23.2%Free throws0.30 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)70% · 10%
■ Sporting CP   ■ Lusitania
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
10
Sporting CP wins
0
Lusitania wins
DateGameScore
14/05/23Lusitania v Sporting CP73-93
10/05/23Sporting CP v Lusitania99-65
08/04/23Sporting CP v Lusitania98-59
12/03/23Lusitania v Sporting CP56-89
28/01/23Lusitania v Sporting CP96-99
05/11/22Sporting CP v Lusitania90-83
15/05/22Lusitania v Sporting CP78-90
13/05/22Sporting CP v Lusitania82-66
19/03/22Sporting CP v Lusitania91-64
06/11/21Lusitania v Sporting CP83-89
Sporting CPlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
18/10/23HAlba Fehervar83-79
14/10/23HPortimonense101-67
08/10/23AVitoria92-89
30/09/23AOvarense85-81
23/09/23HGalomar94-80
11/06/23HBenfica85-101
09/06/23HBenfica57-101
06/06/23ABenfica93-87
04/06/23ABenfica84-85
26/05/23HFC Porto94-66
Lusitanialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/10/23AVitoria82-90
07/10/23HOvarense82-85
30/09/23AGalomar80-94
23/09/23HImortal66-80
14/05/23HSporting CP73-93
10/05/23ASporting CP65-99
06/05/23ABenfica74-107
29/04/23AImortal77-82
22/04/23HFC Porto97-92
15/04/23AOvarense67-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sporting CP
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game90.394.088.5
Allowed / game83.380.085.0
Point differential+7.0+14.0+3.5
Avg total173.7174.0173.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Lusitania
LPB 2023-24
Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLL0%
HomeLL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game76.074.080.0
Allowed / game86.382.594.0
Point differential-10.3-8.5-14.0
Avg total162.3156.5174.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 FC Porto220100%85.069.0+16.0
2 Sporting CP330100%90.383.3+7.0
3 Oliveirense220100%74.067.5+6.5
4 Portimonense220100%82.576.0+6.5
5 Galomar32167%84.382.7+1.7
6 Benfica42250%88.072.2+15.8
7 Imortal31233%79.078.0+1.0
8 Ovarense31233%80.782.0-1.3
9 CD Povoa31233%79.384.3-5.0
10 Vitoria31233%78.091.7-13.7
11 Lusitania3030%76.086.3-10.3
12 Esgueira3030%70.089.7-19.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sporting CP23272532107
Lusitania2320241683
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