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Ovarense vs CD Povoa Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 14 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 15:00
Final 92-91 (OT)
17-21 18-23 27-17 19-20 11-10
Position#6
Record-
FormLLLLW
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
Ovarense 🏆
Portugal
vs
CD Povoa
Portugal
Position#10
Record-
FormLLLWL
Points / game-
Allowed / game-
PortugalTaca da Liga· Arena de Ovar (Ovar)
Other2024
Meetings · Ovarense v CD Povoa
17 Oct 2026
OVAR78
CD P69
15 Feb 2025
OVAR83
CD P71
21 Oct 2023
OVAR95
CD P93
14 Oct 2023
OVAR92
CD P91
24 Sep 2022
OVAR88
CD P70
19 Dec 2021
OVAR99
CD P71
07 Nov 2021
OVAR86
CD P68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Ovarense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
CD Povoa winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

OvarensePortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormOvarense
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
77-91
77
91
-14
no box
A06/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
70-75
70
75
-5
no box
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
82-74
82
74
+8
no box
H13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
58-57
58
57
+1
no box
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
59-88
59
88
-29
no box
A20/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
79-91 OT
79
91
-12
no box
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
44-115
44
115
-71
no box
H25/05
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
76-79
76
79
-3
65avg 71
A23/09
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
81-85
81
85
-4
74avg 71
H30/09
LPB
Lusitania
#12
W
85-82
85
82
+3
74avg 71
A07/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
17-28
28-23
13-21
17-27
22-18
16-15
15-15
20-19
23-17
19-15
20-23
21-12
13-15
8-11
16-19
16-17
17-28
13-21
13-22
27-17
11-22
16-14
22-23
16-28
7-36
14-31
7-20
16-28
18-20
24-13
18-18
15-12
17-23
20-28
29-22
18-22
18-21
28-12
21-27
154.8Avg total
71.1Scored
83.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)71.183.7154.8-12.630%
Last 5 (5)73.090.4163.4-17.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)69.984.2154.1-14.419%
vs Similar (5)77.674.0151.6+3.660%
vs Weaker (3)89.776.0165.7+13.767%
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaPortugalLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPovoa
Date
Competition
Imortal
#9
W
81-73
81
73
+8
no box
H02/04
LPB
Vitoria
#6
L
92-96
92
96
-4
no box
A08/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
H16/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
74-72
74
72
+2
no box
A23/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
80-46
80
46
+34
no box
H06/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
46-97
46
97
-51
no box
A10/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
72-93
72
93
-21
no box
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
76-91
76
91
-15
59avg 67
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
88-83
88
83
+5
80avg 67
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
74-79
74
79
-5
61avg 67
H07/10
LPB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-16
14-14
27-17
25-26
16-17
24-30
26-24
26-25
32-23
6-15
18-10
19-12
26-25
23-19
11-14
14-14
30-9
21-15
14-10
15-12
16-24
12-20
8-28
10-25
18-32
17-17
16-24
21-20
19-28
24-20
14-19
19-24
23-19
20-22
21-17
24-25
14-17
17-19
23-20
20-23
154.8Avg total
75.8Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Seasonno games
Season at homeno games
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)75.879.0154.8-3.250%
Last 5 (5)71.288.6159.8-17.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)65.787.7153.4-22.014%
vs Similar (15)77.874.2152.0+3.660%
vs Weaker ◀ (7)76.970.6147.4+6.371%
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -1.6-1.6Q1: -0.1-0.1Q2Q2: -6.5-6.5Q2: -1.3-1.3Q3Q3: +0.3+0.3Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: -3.6-3.6Q4: -1.3-1.3
OvarenseCD Povoa
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
OvarenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sporting CP
#2
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A06/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
L
39-45
39
45
-6
A10/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
43-36
43
36
+7
H13/05
LPB
Oliveirense
#4
W
34-27
34
27
+7
A16/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
33-45
33
45
-12
A20/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A22/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
23-64
23
64
-41
H25/05
LPB
Vitoria
#7
L
34-48
34
48
-14
A23/09
LPB
Sporting CP
#4
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H30/09
LPB
Lusitania
#12
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A07/10
LPB
77.7Avg total
34.8Scored
42.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.041.276.2-6.230%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.540.173.6-6.636%-
Last 30 away (16)36.342.278.5-5.925%-
Last 10 (10)34.842.977.7-8.120%-
Last 5 (5)32.645.878.4-13.20%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)33.842.876.6-9.019%-
vs Similar (5)37.838.876.6-1.060%-
vs Weaker (3)37.036.073.0+1.033%-
This opponent (CD Povoa) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CD PovoaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Imortal
#9
L
29-30
29
30
-1
H02/04
LPB
Vitoria
#6
L
40-47
40
47
-7
A08/04
LPB
Esgueira
#7
D
38-38
38
38
+0
H16/04
LPB
CAB Madeira
#11
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A23/04
LPB
Sangalhos
#12
W
51-24
51
24
+27
H06/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
28-44
28
44
-16
A10/05
LPB
Benfica
#1
L
35-49
35
49
-14
H13/05
LPB
FC Porto
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H23/09
LPB
Imortal
#8
W
43-41
43
41
+2
A30/09
LPB
Galomar
#10
L
31-36
31
36
-5
H07/10
LPB
78.8Avg total
38.7Scored
40.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.038.875.8-1.837%-
Last 30 at home (17)36.235.071.2+1.241%-
Last 30 away (13)38.243.881.9-5.631%-
Last 10 (10)38.740.178.8-1.430%-
Last 5 (5)36.043.679.6-7.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.744.779.4-10.00%-
vs Similar (15)36.137.173.2-0.940%-
vs Weaker ◀ (7)40.437.477.9+3.057%-
This opponent (Ovarense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Ovarensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Ovarense: 80.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.7 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.020.3
42.4%
51.1%40.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.07.7
38.3%
32.1%23.0
🏀 Free throws23.716.7
70.4%
69.0%16.7
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 20.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 29% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
CD Povoatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

CD Povoa: 79.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀59%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers47.3 pts a game · 59% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.0 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers44.323.7
53.4%
51.1%47.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.76.3
26.8%
32.1%19.0
🏀 Free throws20.713.3
64.5%
69.0%13.3
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 35% of their shots are threes (league average: 40%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 3/3 games with a box score before 14 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Ovarense
WLLLLLWWLL
CD Povoa
LWLLLWWWLW
#6
League position
#10
-2.2
Net rating
-3.1
104.5
Offensive rating
104.7
106.7
Defensive rating
107.7
46.8%
Effective FG%
48.8%
52.9%
Opp. effective FG%
51.7%
15.3%
Turnover %
15.7%
32.0%
Off. rebound %
35.2%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.30
38.3%
3-point %
26.8%
58.3%
Assist %
43.3%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 104.7Defence106.7 · 107.7Shooting46.8% · 48.8%3-point %38.3% · 26.8%Ball care15.3% · 15.7%Off. rebounds32.0% · 35.2%Free throws0.35 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Ovarense   ■ CD Povoa
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Ovarense wins
2
CD Povoa wins
DateGameScore
08/12/22CD Povoa v Ovarense65-60
24/09/22Ovarense v CD Povoa88-70
30/01/22CD Povoa v Ovarense73-69
19/12/21Ovarense v CD Povoa99-71
07/11/21Ovarense v CD Povoa86-68
Ovarenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23ALusitania85-82
30/09/23HSporting CP81-85
23/09/23AVitoria76-79
25/05/23HBenfica44-115
22/05/23ABenfica79-91 OT
20/05/23ABenfica59-88
16/05/23AOliveirense58-57
13/05/23HOliveirense82-74
10/05/23AOliveirense70-75
06/05/23ASporting CP77-91
CD Povoalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/10/23HGalomar74-79
30/09/23AImortal88-83
23/09/23HFC Porto76-91
13/05/23HBenfica72-93
10/05/23ABenfica46-97
06/05/23HSangalhos80-46
23/04/23ACAB Madeira74-72
16/04/23HEsgueira75-60
08/04/23AVitoria92-96
02/04/23HImortal81-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Ovarense
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
CD Povoa
Taca da Liga 2024
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
Overall--
Home--
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games---
Win %---
Points / game---
Allowed / game---
Point differential---
Avg total---
Over main line---
Win by 10+---
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %---
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Sporting CP110100%101.067.0+34.0
2 FC Porto110100%92.060.0+32.0
3 Esgueira110100%87.074.0+13.0
4 Oliveirense110100%78.071.0+7.0
5 Benfica1010%71.078.0-7.0
6 Galomar1010%74.087.0-13.0
7 Imortal1010%60.092.0-32.0
8 Portimonense1010%67.0101.0-34.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Ovarense171827191192
CD Povoa212317201091
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