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Cearense vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 31 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 80-77
20-21 25-23 24-14 11-19
Position#8
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game73.5
Allowed / game70.5
Cearense 🏆
Brazil
vs
Bauru
Brazil
Position#5
Record2-0
FormLWLWW
Points / game81.0
Allowed / game68.5
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica (Fortaleza)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cearense v Bauru
20 Nov 2025
CEAR91
BAUR72
11 Mar 2025
CEAR66
BAUR74
31 Oct 2023
CEAR80
BAUR77
22 Mar 2023
CEAR79
BAUR77
13 Feb 2022
CEAR74
BAUR72
07 Jan 2021
CEAR71
BAUR60
14 Feb 2020
CEAR78
BAUR83
02 Nov 2018
CEAR82
BAUR73
21 Mar 2018
CEAR81
BAUR80
17 Dec 2016
CEAR73
BAUR79
17 Mar 2016
CEAR90
BAUR86
22 Jan 2015
CEAR67
BAUR109
14 Apr 2014
CEAR78
BAUR79
07 Jan 2014
CEAR84
BAUR80
08 Dec 2012
CEAR83
BAUR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
87-82
87
82
+5
no box
A02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
85-84
85
84
+1
no box
A04/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
69-80
69
80
-11
no box
A10/03
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
79-77
79
77
+2
no box
H22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
78-92
78
92
-14
no box
H24/03
NBB
Minas
#4
L
85-94
85
94
-9
no box
H08/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
77-66
77
66
+11
no box
A12/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
75-91
75
91
-16
no box
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
65-63
65
63
+2
55avg 68
A25/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
82-78
82
78
+4
80avg 68
A27/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-26
23-13
21-18
16-25
14-15
26-14
22-27
23-28
18-18
6-21
22-20
23-21
21-20
18-18
22-19
18-20
14-23
23-23
19-29
22-17
20-15
26-21
13-31
26-27
23-16
21-16
14-13
19-21
13-22
18-20
14-20
30-29
15-20
22-19
13-15
15-9
19-20
23-12
17-20
23-26
158.9Avg total
78.2Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)73.570.5144.0+3.0100%
Season at homeno games
Season away (2)73.570.5144.0+3.0100%
Last 10 (10)78.280.7158.9-2.560%
Last 5 (5)76.878.4155.2-1.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)73.685.9159.5-12.323%
vs Similar ◀ (7)78.077.7155.7+0.371%
vs Weaker (1)65.063.0128.0+2.0100%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
81-61
81
61
+20
no box
H10/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
95-77
95
77
+18
no box
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
H20/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-66
71
66
+5
no box
H21/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
58-90
58
90
-32
no box
A27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H01/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 75
H24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
75-71
75
71
+4
66avg 75
H26/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-9
19-17
27-15
11-20
21-21
32-15
16-17
26-24
20-18
16-19
22-21
21-25
23-18
20-12
15-20
13-16
15-25
17-20
16-20
10-25
23-18
18-26
13-21
22-20
27-25
18-18
20-23
26-14
19-31
18-18
22-26
25-11
21-11
24-21
24-22
18-12
20-14
14-28
19-16
22-13
156.2Avg total
79.7Scored
76.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.068.5149.5+12.5100%
Season at home (2)81.068.5149.5+12.5100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)79.776.5156.2+3.260%
Last 5 (5)82.677.6160.2+5.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.282.8157.0-8.717%
vs Similar ◀ (7)74.470.0144.4+4.457%
vs Weaker (16)79.970.1150.0+9.875%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -1.1-1.1Q1: +2.3+2.3Q2Q2: +2.9+2.9Q2: +0.2+0.2Q3Q3: -3.5-3.5Q3: -0.7-0.7Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.4+1.4
CearenseBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
50-39
50
39
+11
A02/03
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
40-29
40
29
+11
A04/03
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
24-39
24
39
-15
A10/03
NBB
Bauru
#7
W
39-38
39
38
+1
H22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#6
L
37-46
37
46
-9
H24/03
NBB
Minas
#4
W
46-36
46
36
+10
H08/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A12/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
L
31-42
31
42
-11
A14/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
37-39
37
39
-2
A25/10
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
42-32
42
32
+10
A27/10
NBB
76.2Avg total
39.0Scored
37.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.039.576.5-2.537%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.041.679.6-3.629%-
Last 30 away (16)36.237.773.9-1.544%-
Last 10 (10)39.037.276.2+1.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.036.276.2+3.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (22)36.341.077.3-4.827%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)39.434.774.1+4.771%-
vs Weaker (1)37.039.076.0-2.00%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H10/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H20/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H21/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H01/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H24/10
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
34-42
34
42
-8
H26/10
NBB
79.3Avg total
40.9Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.237.276.5+2.047%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.177.0+2.747%-
Last 30 away (15)38.637.375.9+1.347%-
Last 10 (10)40.938.479.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)40.442.082.4-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.843.281.0-5.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.338.174.4-1.943%-
vs Weaker (16)41.434.175.4+7.362%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 72.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀23%
🏀25%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers16.5 pts a game · 23% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.0 pts a game · 25% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.519.0
50.7%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers17.55.5
31.4%
33.9%16.5
🏀 Free throws27.518.0
65.5%
72.6%18.0
They take 55.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 17.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 32% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 81.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀44%
🏀12%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.0 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.017.5
54.7%
51.8%35.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers31.012.0
38.7%
33.9%36.0
🏀 Free throws12.010.0
83.3%
72.6%10.0
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 31.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 49% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 2/2 games with a box score before 31 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
WWLWLLWLWW
Bauru
WWLWLLWLWW
#8
League position
#5
+2.7
Net rating
+20.0
97.0
Offensive rating
111.5
94.3
Defensive rating
91.6
49.5%
Effective FG%
56.3%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.2%
19.7%
Turnover %
18.2%
23.2%
Off. rebound %
23.1%
0.50
Free-throw rate
0.19
31.4%
3-point %
38.7%
63.3%
Assist %
64.4%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.0 · 111.5Defence94.3 · 91.6Shooting49.5% · 56.3%3-point %31.4% · 38.7%Ball care19.7% · 18.2%Off. rebounds23.2% · 23.1%Free throws0.50 · 0.19Form (last 10/10)60% · 60%
■ Cearense   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cearense wins
7
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
22/03/23Cearense v Bauru79-77
15/12/22Bauru v Cearense82-50
13/02/22Cearense v Bauru74-72
10/11/21Bauru v Cearense74-59
03/04/21Bauru v Cearense98-97 OT
16/01/21Bauru v Cearense69-61
07/01/21Cearense v Bauru71-60
14/02/20Cearense v Bauru78-83
31/10/19Bauru v Cearense90-80
14/01/19Bauru v Cearense82-71
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/10/23ASao Jose82-78
25/10/23AMogi65-63
14/04/23AUniao Corinthians75-91
12/04/23ACaxias do Sul77-66
08/04/23HMinas85-94
24/03/23HPinheiros78-92
22/03/23HBauru79-77
10/03/23AUnifacisa69-80
04/03/23ACorinthians Paulista85-84
02/03/23APato87-82
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
26/10/23HPaulistano75-71
24/10/23HSao Paulo87-66
06/05/23AFlamengo84-86
03/05/23HFlamengo91-80
01/05/23HFlamengo76-85
27/04/23AFlamengo58-90
21/04/23HSao Jose71-66
20/04/23HSao Jose79-83
17/04/23ASao Jose95-77
10/04/23HUniao Corinthians81-61

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
Home--
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games2-2
Win %100%-100%
Points / game73.5-73.5
Allowed / game70.5-70.5
Point differential+3.0-+3.0
Avg total144.0-144.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)-100% (2)
Overtime %0%-0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeWW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games22-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game81.081.0-
Allowed / game68.568.5-
Point differential+12.5+12.5-
Avg total149.5149.5-
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%94.571.0+23.5
2 Minas330100%85.068.7+16.3
3 Bauru220100%81.068.5+12.5
4 Corinthians Paulista220100%75.565.0+10.5
5 Unifacisa220100%75.065.0+10.0
6 Cearense220100%73.570.5+3.0
7 Uniao Corinthians32167%76.372.7+3.7
8 Vasco32167%68.366.3+2.0
9 Brasilia21150%83.080.0+3.0
10 Pato42250%73.872.8+1.0
11 Flamengo21150%77.079.0-2.0
12 Caxias do Sul21150%70.074.5-4.5
13 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
14 Sao Jose2020%70.075.0-5.0
15 Mogi2020%65.573.5-8.0
16 Botafogo4040%73.082.8-9.8
17 Cerrado3030%61.773.0-11.3
18 Sao Paulo2020%79.093.5-14.5
19 Paulistano2020%60.582.0-21.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2025241180
Bauru2123141977
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