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Bauru vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 26 Oct 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 75-71
20-14 14-28 19-16 22-13
Position#5
Record1-0
FormLLWLW
Points / game87.0
Allowed / game66.0
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#7
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game50.0
Allowed / game89.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio Panela de Pressao (Bauru)
Other2023-24
Meetings · Bauru v Paulistano
26 Apr 2026
BAUR88
PAUL75
24 Apr 2026
BAUR80
PAUL95
15 Jan 2026
BAUR87
PAUL89
03 May 2025
BAUR85
PAUL80
27 Apr 2025
BAUR60
PAUL62
25 Apr 2025
BAUR81
PAUL63
20 Jan 2025
BAUR73
PAUL85
26 Oct 2023
BAUR75
PAUL71
11 Feb 2023
BAUR80
PAUL70
06 Jan 2022
BAUR97
PAUL98
28 Apr 2021
BAUR66
PAUL78
08 Dec 2020
BAUR81
PAUL62
13 Nov 2019
BAUR74
PAUL82
06 Dec 2018
BAUR85
PAUL64
11 May 2018
BAUR82
PAUL75
30 Apr 2018
BAUR72
PAUL78
04 Nov 2017
BAUR72
PAUL71
17 Jun 2017
BAUR92
PAUL73
04 Jun 2017
BAUR90
PAUL79
02 Jun 2017
BAUR74
PAUL78
31 Jan 2017
BAUR78
PAUL68
26 Mar 2016
BAUR78
PAUL63
18 Nov 2014
BAUR81
PAUL74
01 Feb 2014
BAUR77
PAUL90
30 Mar 2013
BAUR66
PAUL64
05 Jan 2012
BAUR96
PAUL73
13 Apr 2011
BAUR92
PAUL66
11 Apr 2011
BAUR90
PAUL69
11 Feb 2011
BAUR77
PAUL66
13 Feb 2009
BAUR88
PAUL72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
89-69
89
69
+20
no box
H08/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
81-61
81
61
+20
no box
H10/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
95-77
95
77
+18
no box
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
79-83
79
83
-4
no box
H20/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
71-66
71
66
+5
no box
H21/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
58-90
58
90
-32
no box
A27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
76-85
76
85
-9
no box
H01/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
91-80
91
80
+11
no box
H03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
84-86
84
86
-2
no box
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
87-66
87
66
+21
85avg 85
H24/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
24-22
29-20
17-13
19-14
24-9
19-17
27-15
11-20
21-21
32-15
16-17
26-24
20-18
16-19
22-21
21-25
23-18
20-12
15-20
13-16
15-25
17-20
16-20
10-25
23-18
18-26
13-21
22-20
27-25
18-18
20-23
26-14
19-31
18-18
22-26
25-11
21-11
24-21
24-22
18-12
157.4Avg total
81.1Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)87.066.0153.0+21.0100%
Season at home (1)87.066.0153.0+21.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)81.176.3157.4+4.860%
Last 5 (5)79.281.4160.6-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)74.282.8157.0-8.717%
vs Similar ◀ (6)74.369.8144.2+4.550%
vs Weaker (17)80.871.0151.8+9.876%
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#15
W
113-71
113
71
+42
no box
H13/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
70-82
70
82
-12
no box
A18/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
90-57
90
57
+33
no box
H21/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
92-78
92
78
+14
no box
H23/04
NBB
Minas
#4
L
82-85
82
85
-3
no box
A27/04
NBB
Minas
#4
W
80-76
80
76
+4
no box
H30/04
NBB
Minas
#4
L
68-77
68
77
-9
no box
H02/05
NBB
Minas
#4
W
83-68
83
68
+15
no box
A07/05
NBB
Minas
#4
L
67-71
67
71
-4
no box
A09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
50-89
50
89
-39
38avg 38
A23/10
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-14
28-14
23-25
35-18
11-14
13-24
25-18
21-26
19-18
17-13
28-19
26-7
16-14
34-22
17-21
25-21
21-29
20-13
18-17
23-26
13-25
23-14
23-18
21-19
18-24
8-11
24-21
18-21
13-19
21-20
23-12
26-17
12-18
22-16
7-15
26-22
14-24
11-22
15-14
10-29
154.9Avg total
79.5Scored
75.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)50.089.0139.0-39.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)50.089.0139.0-39.00%
Last 10 (10)79.575.4154.9+4.150%
Last 5 (5)69.676.2145.8-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)67.083.0150.0-16.00%
vs Similar ◀ (11)77.576.8154.3+0.645%
vs Weaker (14)84.371.1155.4+13.293%
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +1.9+1.9Q1: -3.5-3.5Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +2.8+2.8Q3Q3: -0.6-0.6Q3: +2.3+2.3Q4Q4: +1.0+1.0Q4: +2.5+2.5
BauruPaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
53-42
53
42
+11
H08/04
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#13
W
43-26
43
26
+17
H10/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
53-36
53
36
+17
A17/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-37
36
37
-1
H20/04
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
43-30
43
30
+13
H21/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
32-45
32
45
-13
A27/04
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
41-44
41
44
-3
H01/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
45-43
45
43
+2
H03/05
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-49
37
49
-12
A06/05
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
45-32
45
32
+13
H24/10
NBB
81.2Avg total
42.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.737.577.1+2.247%-
Last 30 at home (14)40.336.877.1+3.550%-
Last 30 away (16)39.138.177.2+1.144%-
Last 10 (10)42.838.481.2+4.460%-
Last 5 (5)40.042.682.6-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)37.843.281.0-5.317%-
vs Similar ◀ (6)36.737.574.2-0.850%-
vs Weaker (17)41.734.976.6+6.859%-
This opponent (Paulistano) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#15
W
55-28
55
28
+27
H13/04
NBB
Pato
#12
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A18/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
36-31
36
31
+5
H21/04
NBB
Pato
#12
W
50-36
50
36
+14
H23/04
NBB
Minas
#4
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A27/04
NBB
Minas
#4
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H30/04
NBB
Minas
#4
L
26-35
26
35
-9
H02/05
NBB
Minas
#4
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A07/05
NBB
Minas
#4
D
34-34
34
34
+0
A09/05
NBB
Franca
#1
L
25-46
25
46
-21
A23/10
NBB
72.9Avg total
36.1Scored
36.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.337.777.0+1.650%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.835.277.0+6.675%-
Last 30 away (14)36.540.677.1-4.121%-
Last 10 (10)36.136.872.9-0.730%-
Last 5 (5)31.038.669.6-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)35.543.078.5-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (11)40.138.979.0+1.236%-
vs Weaker (14)40.435.676.0+4.971%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀44%
🏀🏀🏀52%
🏀
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 44% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers45.0 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀 Free throws4.0 pts a game · 5% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.019.0
59.4%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers36.015.0
41.7%
33.9%45.0
🏀 Free throws7.04.0
57.1%
72.6%4.0
They take 68.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 36.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 53% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 48.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀67%
🏀🏀🏀12%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.0 pts a game · 67% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers6.0 pts a game · 12% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.016.0
37.2%
51.8%32.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.02.0
11.1%
33.9%6.0
🏀 Free throws14.010.0
71.4%
72.6%10.0
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 18.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 30% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 1/1 games with a box score before 26 Oct 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bauru
WLWLLWLWWW
Paulistano
LLWLWLWWLW
#5
League position
#7
+32.9
Net rating
-55.1
124.4
Offensive rating
64.6
91.5
Defensive rating
119.7
61.0%
Effective FG%
31.1%
40.0%
Opp. effective FG%
61.2%
12.5%
Turnover %
26.0%
24.2%
Off. rebound %
31.0%
0.10
Free-throw rate
0.23
41.7%
3-point %
11.1%
70.6%
Assist %
66.7%
60%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence124.4 · 64.6Defence91.5 · 119.7Shooting61.0% · 31.1%3-point %41.7% · 11.1%Ball care12.5% · 26.0%Off. rebounds24.2% · 31.0%Free throws0.10 · 0.23Form (last 10/10)60% · 50%
■ Bauru   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Bauru wins
5
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
11/02/23Bauru v Paulistano80-70
19/11/22Paulistano v Bauru71-68 OT
04/03/22Paulistano v Bauru53-65
06/01/22Bauru v Paulistano97-98
02/05/21Paulistano v Bauru78-65
30/04/21Paulistano v Bauru77-87
28/04/21Bauru v Paulistano66-78
06/02/21Paulistano v Bauru69-64
08/12/20Bauru v Paulistano81-62
29/02/20Paulistano v Bauru88-93
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
24/10/23HSao Paulo87-66
06/05/23AFlamengo84-86
03/05/23HFlamengo91-80
01/05/23HFlamengo76-85
27/04/23AFlamengo58-90
21/04/23HSao Jose71-66
20/04/23HSao Jose79-83
17/04/23ASao Jose95-77
10/04/23HUniao Corinthians81-61
08/04/23HCaxias do Sul89-69
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
23/10/23AFranca50-89
09/05/23AMinas67-71
07/05/23AMinas83-68
02/05/23HMinas68-77
30/04/23HMinas80-76
27/04/23AMinas82-85
23/04/23HPato92-78
21/04/23HPato90-57
18/04/23APato70-82
13/04/23HBrasilia113-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game87.087.0-
Allowed / game66.066.0-
Point differential+21.0+21.0-
Avg total153.0153.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+100%100%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%-
Paulistano
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game50.0-50.0
Allowed / game89.0-89.0
Point differential-39.0--39.0
Avg total139.0-139.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca220100%94.571.0+23.5
2 Bauru110100%87.066.0+21.0
3 Minas330100%85.068.7+16.3
4 Uniao Corinthians110100%82.066.0+16.0
5 Corinthians Paulista220100%75.565.0+10.5
6 Unifacisa110100%68.062.0+6.0
7 Cearense110100%65.063.0+2.0
8 Brasilia21150%83.080.0+3.0
9 Flamengo21150%77.079.0-2.0
10 Pato21150%75.077.5-2.5
11 Pinheiros21150%72.578.0-5.5
12 Mogi1010%63.065.0-2.0
13 Sao Jose1010%62.068.0-6.0
14 Cerrado2020%60.068.0-8.0
15 Vasco1010%60.072.0-12.0
16 Botafogo2020%73.587.5-14.0
17 Sao Paulo2020%79.093.5-14.5
18 Caxias do Sul1010%66.082.0-16.0
19 Paulistano1010%50.089.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bauru2014192275
Paulistano1428161371
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