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Pato vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 02 Mar 2023
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 82-87
26-27 13-23 18-21 25-16
Position#12
Record6-18
FormLLLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game87.0
vs
Position#14
Record5-19
FormLLLLL
Points / game71.9
Allowed / game83.9
BrazilNBB
Other2022-23
Meetings · Pato v Cearense
14 Nov 2025
PATO82
CEAR79
22 Oct 2024
PATO89
CEAR60
29 Nov 2023
PATO75
CEAR76
02 Mar 2023
PATO82
CEAR87
01 Dec 2021
PATO66
CEAR63
14 Nov 2020
PATO69
CEAR76
26 Feb 2020
PATO84
CEAR72
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pato winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PatoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#15
L
66-79
66
79
-13
A03/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
110-109
110
109
+1
A05/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
75-89
75
89
-14
A08/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-96
69
96
-27
A10/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
69-84
69
84
-15
H14/01
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
75-87
75
87
-12
H17/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
82-88
82
88
-6
A31/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
93-100
93
100
-7
A02/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
88-80
88
80
+8
H06/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
78-102
78
102
-24
A15/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-24
13-20
17-21
23-14
22-27
27-36
32-22
29-24
17-14
20-27
18-24
20-24
18-28
18-17
14-31
19-20
16-17
19-22
17-24
17-21
20-18
20-24
21-28
14-17
15-25
25-20
18-24
24-19
22-23
21-26
26-28
24-23
24-11
22-18
20-16
22-35
24-24
23-25
12-36
19-17
171.9Avg total
80.5Scored
91.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)77.487.0164.4-9.525%
Season at home (11)73.683.8157.5-10.227%
Season away (13)80.689.6170.2-9.023%
Last 10 (10)80.591.4171.9-10.920%
Last 5 (5)83.291.4174.6-8.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)74.786.8161.6-12.110%
vs Similar ◀ (7)77.179.1156.3-2.057%
vs Weaker (3)88.089.3177.3-1.367%
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
84-73
84
73
+11
H21/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
W
88-79 OT
88
79
+9
H04/01
NBB
Brasilia
#15
W
82-80
82
80
+2
A09/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
68-88
68
88
-20
A11/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
71-90
71
90
-19
H16/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
64-99
64
99
-35
H31/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
78-80
78
80
-2
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
65-102
65
102
-37
H14/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
75-99
75
99
-24
H16/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-12
30-20
21-21
14-20
11-18
21-22
19-18
23-16
14-22
20-21
27-17
21-20
21-22
21-13
16-25
10-28
24-20
13-23
14-18
20-29
14-21
15-22
15-30
20-26
24-17
20-17
9-27
17-24
20-27
20-16
12-23
26-14
21-25
15-28
14-25
15-24
18-22
23-20
11-27
23-30
162.0Avg total
74.5Scored
87.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)71.983.9155.8-12.021%
Season at home (13)74.286.7160.9-12.523%
Season away (11)69.180.6149.7-11.518%
Last 10 (10)74.587.5162.0-13.030%
Last 5 (5)70.493.0163.4-22.60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)71.986.9158.8-15.010%
vs Similar ◀ (10)73.776.9150.6-3.240%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.2-4.2
-9-5+0+5+9Q1Q1: -2.0-2.0Q1: -2.0-2.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: -0.4-0.4Q3Q3: -5.9-5.9Q3: -7.3-7.3Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -4.2-4.2
PatoCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PatoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#15
L
26-44
26
44
-18
A03/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
L
49-63
49
63
-14
A05/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
37-41
37
41
-4
A08/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-45
36
45
-9
A10/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
L
35-39
35
39
-4
H14/01
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H17/01
NBB
Franca
#1
L
40-45
40
45
-5
A31/01
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
43-49
43
49
-6
A02/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
46-29
46
29
+17
H06/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
47-49
47
49
-2
A15/02
NBB
84.5Avg total
39.9Scored
44.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.541.679.1-4.120%-
Last 30 at home (14)36.837.974.7-1.136%-
Last 30 away (16)38.244.883.0-6.66%-
Last 10 (10)39.944.684.5-4.710%-
Last 5 (5)43.242.886.0+0.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)37.541.178.6-3.620%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)36.339.776.0-3.429%-
vs Weaker (3)41.049.390.3-8.30%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#11
W
49-32
49
32
+17
H21/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#8
L
32-40
32
40
-8
H04/01
NBB
Brasilia
#15
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A09/01
NBB
Cerrado
#17
W
42-35
42
35
+7
A11/01
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
37-43
37
43
-6
H16/01
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
29-43
29
43
-14
H31/01
NBB
Sao Paulo
#3
W
44-34
44
34
+10
A04/02
NBB
Paulistano
#5
L
40-43
40
43
-3
A06/02
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-53
36
53
-17
H14/02
NBB
Rio Claro
#16
L
41-42
41
42
-1
H16/02
NBB
79.2Avg total
38.4Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.840.975.7-6.220%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.941.777.6-5.818%-
Last 30 away (13)33.239.973.2-6.723%-
Last 10 (10)38.440.879.2-2.430%-
Last 5 (5)38.043.081.0-5.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (20)35.442.678.0-7.310%-
vs Similar ◀ (10)33.637.571.1-3.940%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pato) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pato wins
3
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
21/11/22Cearense v Pato80-60
02/03/22Cearense v Pato78-84
01/12/21Pato v Cearense66-63
28/01/21Cearense v Pato68-71
14/11/20Pato v Cearense69-76
26/02/20Pato v Cearense84-72
18/10/19Cearense v Pato78-58
Patolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/23ACorinthians Paulista78-102
06/02/23HCaxias do Sul88-80
02/02/23ARio Claro93-100
31/01/23AFranca82-88
17/01/23HPaulistano75-87
14/01/23HSao Paulo69-84
10/01/23ASao Jose69-96
08/01/23AFlamengo75-89
05/01/23ACerrado110-109
03/01/23ABrasilia66-79
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/02/23HRio Claro75-99
14/02/23HFranca65-102
06/02/23APaulistano78-80
04/02/23ASao Paulo70-85
31/01/23HFlamengo64-99
16/01/23HSao Jose71-90
11/01/23ACerrado68-88
09/01/23ABrasilia82-80
04/01/23HUnifacisa88-79 OT
21/12/22HCaxias do Sul84-73

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pato
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeLLLLW27%
AwayLLLLL23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %25%27%23%
Points / game77.473.680.6
Allowed / game87.083.889.6
Point differential-9.5-10.2-9.0
Avg total164.4157.5170.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%9%8%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %4%0%8%
Cearense
NBB 2022-23
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL21%
HomeWLLLL23%
AwayLWLLL18%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241311
Win %21%23%18%
Points / game71.974.269.1
Allowed / game83.986.780.6
Point differential-12.0-12.5-11.5
Avg total155.8160.9149.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%15%9%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)0% (1)50% (2)
Overtime %8%15%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca25250100%90.277.2+13.0
2 Flamengo2522388%82.768.7+14.0
3 Sao Paulo2418675%87.579.6+7.9
4 Minas2417771%85.777.7+8.0
5 Paulistano2415962%76.072.7+3.3
6 Corinthians Paulista2314961%82.880.0+2.8
7 Bauru24131154%78.071.8+6.2
8 Pinheiros24131154%80.078.8+1.3
9 Unifacisa24111346%79.481.6-2.2
10 Sao Jose25111444%80.082.1-2.1
11 Caxias do Sul23101343%75.076.7-1.7
12 Uniao Corinthians2271532%78.682.0-3.4
13 Brasilia2361726%78.585.9-7.4
14 Pato2461825%77.487.0-9.5
15 Rio Claro2351822%75.687.8-12.2
16 Cearense2451921%71.983.9-12.0
17 Cerrado2341917%83.892.2-8.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pato2613182582
Cearense2723211687
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