PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cearense vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 11 Mar 2025
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 66-74
18-19 18-24 13-17 17-14
Position#17
Record8-19
FormLLLWW
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#4
Record15-11
FormWWWLW
Points / game78.6
Allowed / game79.0
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cearense v Bauru
20 Nov 2025
CEAR91
BAUR72
11 Mar 2025
CEAR66
BAUR74
31 Oct 2023
CEAR80
BAUR77
22 Mar 2023
CEAR79
BAUR77
13 Feb 2022
CEAR74
BAUR72
07 Jan 2021
CEAR71
BAUR60
14 Feb 2020
CEAR78
BAUR83
02 Nov 2018
CEAR82
BAUR73
21 Mar 2018
CEAR81
BAUR80
17 Dec 2016
CEAR73
BAUR79
17 Mar 2016
CEAR90
BAUR86
22 Jan 2015
CEAR67
BAUR109
14 Apr 2014
CEAR78
BAUR79
07 Jan 2014
CEAR84
BAUR80
08 Dec 2012
CEAR83
BAUR82
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
70-73
70
73
-3
69avg 66
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
71-82
71
82
-11
60avg 66
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
W
80-76
80
76
+4
64avg 66
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
74-75
74
75
-1
63avg 66
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
W
83-74
83
74
+9
78avg 66
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
62-84
62
84
-22
53avg 66
H07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
79-84
79
84
-5
67avg 66
A13/02
NBB
Minas
#1
L
86-92
86
92
-6
84avg 66
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
79-75
79
75
+4
65avg 66
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
87-84
87
84
+3
87avg 66
A06/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-21
20-18
12-20
20-14
22-28
14-19
16-16
19-19
17-31
29-19
23-16
11-10
18-21
14-18
23-17
19-19
17-20
18-17
21-19
27-18
21-26
9-14
15-29
17-15
21-20
19-21
17-24
22-19
21-16
18-23
21-27
26-26
18-20
15-18
32-23
14-14
25-12
23-20
10-26
29-26
157.0Avg total
77.1Scored
79.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)72.078.3150.3-6.330%
Season at home (12)68.874.8143.6-5.933%
Season away (15)74.681.1155.7-6.527%
Last 10 (10)77.179.9157.0-2.840%
Last 5 (5)78.683.8162.4-5.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)71.380.0151.3-8.716%
vs Similar (11)72.476.5148.9-4.245%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
63-81
63
81
-18
48avg 73
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
73-83
73
83
-10
58avg 73
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
67-77
67
77
-10
63avg 73
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
75-73
75
73
+2
67avg 73
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
73-85
73
85
-12
59avg 73
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
W
94-91
94
91
+3
83avg 73
A05/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
80-62
80
62
+18
76avg 73
A08/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
74-64
74
64
+10
67avg 73
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
78-83
78
83
-5
68avg 73
A27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
84-81
84
81
+3
60avg 73
H05/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
9-13
16-22
20-29
18-17
27-28
16-22
10-18
20-15
18-26
18-18
20-18
11-15
18-21
23-12
18-20
16-20
18-21
12-29
26-22
17-13
18-15
23-26
27-19
26-31
22-11
22-15
18-20
18-16
21-14
20-11
18-20
15-19
17-28
19-15
23-15
19-25
18-21
23-16
27-24
16-20
154.1Avg total
76.1Scored
78.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (26)78.679.0157.6-0.558%
Season at home (12)78.775.2153.8+3.583%
Season away (14)78.582.4160.9-3.936%
Last 10 (10)76.178.0154.1-1.950%
Last 5 (5)82.076.2158.2+5.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)72.488.4160.9-16.014%
vs Similar (14)77.579.1156.6-1.657%
vs Weaker ◀ (9)80.676.8157.3+3.878%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -1.7-1.7Q1: -1.2-1.2Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +0.6+0.6Q3Q3: -2.7-2.7Q3: +0.2+0.2Q4Q4: +2.4+2.4Q4: -1.5-1.5
CearenseBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#15
L
38-39
38
39
-1
A27/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#9
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#14
L
46-50
46
50
-4
H13/01
NBB
Vasco
#7
L
32-39
32
39
-7
A18/01
NBB
Botafogo
#18
L
35-37
35
37
-2
A20/01
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#3
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A13/02
NBB
Minas
#1
D
39-39
39
39
+0
H28/02
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
L
33-38
33
38
-5
A04/03
NBB
Paulistano
#12
W
48-32
48
32
+16
A06/03
NBB
77.9Avg total
37.7Scored
40.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)34.840.375.2-5.520%-
Last 30 at home (14)33.139.372.4-6.221%-
Last 30 away (16)36.441.277.6-4.919%-
Last 10 (10)37.740.277.9-2.510%-
Last 5 (5)38.038.076.0+0.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)35.440.575.8-5.126%-
vs Similar (11)33.940.174.0-6.29%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vasco
#7
L
25-35
25
35
-10
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#1
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A27/12
NBB
Brasilia
#6
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A29/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#13
W
41-33
41
33
+8
H11/01
NBB
Paulistano
#12
L
30-50
30
50
-20
H20/01
NBB
Pato
#14
D
41-41
41
41
+0
A05/02
NBB
Mogi
#16
W
44-26
44
26
+18
A08/02
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#8
W
41-25
41
25
+16
H16/02
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
36-43
36
43
-7
A27/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#5
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H05/03
NBB
76.2Avg total
37.8Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.740.177.9-2.443%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.839.677.4-1.850%-
Last 30 away (16)37.740.678.3-2.938%-
Last 10 (10)37.838.476.2-0.640%-
Last 5 (5)40.634.475.0+6.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)35.647.683.1-12.014%-
vs Similar (14)37.638.676.2-0.957%-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)39.636.876.3+2.844%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.217.7
47.6%
50.9%35.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.09.2
34.1%
33.0%27.6
🏀 Free throws18.713.1
70.1%
72.7%13.1
They take 64.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 74.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀52%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 52% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.9 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.4 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.319.3
49.1%
50.9%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.98.3
28.7%
33.0%24.9
🏀 Free throws17.611.4
64.8%
72.7%11.4
They take 68.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Mar 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
WWLLLWLWLL
Bauru
WLWWWLWLLL
#17
League position
#4
-4.6
Net rating
-3.0
102.9
Offensive rating
98.7
107.5
Defensive rating
101.7
49.1%
Effective FG%
46.6%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
49.5%
18.1%
Turnover %
17.6%
31.1%
Off. rebound %
31.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.26
34.1%
3-point %
28.7%
61.0%
Assist %
60.9%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence102.9 · 98.7Defence107.5 · 101.7Shooting49.1% · 46.6%3-point %34.1% · 28.7%Ball care18.1% · 17.6%Off. rebounds31.1% · 31.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.26Form (last 10/10)40% · 50%
■ Cearense   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Cearense wins
6
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
27/11/24Bauru v Cearense80-71
18/01/24Bauru v Cearense93-88 OT
31/10/23Cearense v Bauru80-77
22/03/23Cearense v Bauru79-77
15/12/22Bauru v Cearense82-50
13/02/22Cearense v Bauru74-72
10/11/21Bauru v Cearense74-59
03/04/21Bauru v Cearense98-97 OT
16/01/21Bauru v Cearense69-61
07/01/21Cearense v Bauru71-60
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/25APaulistano87-84
04/03/25ASao Paulo79-75
28/02/25HMinas86-92
13/02/25AFlamengo79-84
07/02/25HBrasilia62-84
20/01/25ABotafogo83-74
18/01/25AVasco74-75
13/01/25HPato80-76
29/12/24AUniao Corinthians71-82
27/12/24ACaxias do Sul70-73
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/03/25HPinheiros84-81
27/02/25ASao Jose78-83
16/02/25HCorinthians Paulista74-64
08/02/25AMogi80-62
05/02/25APato94-91
20/01/25HPaulistano73-85
11/01/25HSao Paulo75-73
29/12/24ABrasilia67-77
27/12/24AMinas73-83
23/12/24AVasco63-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW30%
HomeWLWLL33%
AwayLWLWW27%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271215
Win %30%33%27%
Points / game72.068.874.6
Allowed / game78.374.881.1
Point differential-6.3-5.9-6.5
Avg total150.3143.6155.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+4%8%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won36% (11)33% (3)38% (8)
Overtime %4%8%0%
Bauru
NBB 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW58%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLLWWL36%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games261214
Win %58%83%36%
Points / game78.678.778.5
Allowed / game79.075.282.4
Point differential-0.5+3.5-3.9
Avg total157.6153.8160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%8%7%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %8%8%7%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2521484%82.271.6+10.6
2 Flamengo2620677%84.373.9+10.4
3 Brasilia2718967%82.179.6+2.5
4 Franca2516964%83.478.3+5.0
5 Bauru26151158%78.679.0-0.5
6 Uniao Corinthians25141156%78.579.0-0.6
7 Vasco27151256%77.076.0+1.0
8 Paulistano26131350%78.275.3+2.9
9 Sao Jose28141450%78.178.2-0.2
10 Pinheiros27131448%75.375.3+0.1
11 Unifacisa27131448%75.475.3+0.1
12 Corinthians Paulista28131546%80.179.3+0.8
13 Sao Paulo27111641%76.479.0-2.6
14 Pato2791833%81.785.0-3.3
15 Mogi2791833%74.080.6-6.7
16 Caxias do Sul2581732%73.678.9-5.3
17 Botafogo2681831%73.480.5-7.1
18 Cearense2781930%72.078.3-6.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1818131766
Bauru1924171474
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.