Cearense vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

On 9 November 2026 the NBB will see Cearense host Corinthians Paulista, with the model clearly favouring Corinthians Paulista because of their higher points per game and stronger league position. Cearense has gone 1-4 this season, scoring 65.6 points per game and allowing 86.8, while Corinthians Paulista is 1-3, averaging 80.5 points and conceding 80.0, and sits 14th versus Cearense's 17th. In home-only play, Cearense is 1-2, 65.7 points and 83.0 allowed, whereas Corinthians Paulista has yet to win on the road, 0-3, 81.3 points and 90.7 allowed. The last five games for each side were 1-4, with Cearense's only win coming against Paulistano 65-58 at home, and Corinthians Paulista's sole victory over Franca 78-48 at home. Their head-to-head record stands 4-6 in favour of Corinthians Paulista, the last meeting ending 96-76 for Corinthians Paulista on 7 February 2026. Pythia assigns a 5% chance to a Cearense win and 95% to Corinthians Paulista, projecting a 71-90 score for a total of 160.9 points. The home line is 13.0 with a 30% probability of covering, and the over line is 164.0 with a 42% chance of the total exceeding it, while the game has a 1% chance of overtime.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost

5.4%fair 18.56

Best odds6.80

Implied13.9%

Edge-8.5pp

Corinthians Paulista winWon

94.6%fair 1.06

Best odds1.12

Implied86.1%

Edge+8.5pp

Pythia's frozen forecast of 08 Nov 07:04 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cearense

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormCearense

Date

Competition

Franca

71-116

116

-45

56avg 64

A22/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

94-93

84avg 64

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

83-107

107

-24

76avg 64

H06/04

NBB

Minas

56-87

-31

45avg 64

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

77-86

-9

64avg 64

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#16

69-93

-24

55avg 64

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

63-98

-35

40avg 64

H22/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#13

53-96

-43

no box

A02/11

NBB

Mogi

78-89

-11

no box

A04/11

NBB

Paulistano

65-58

no box

H07/11

NBB

16-34

15-26

17-23

23-33

19-20

26-21

30-29

19-23

20-23

18-36

22-25

23-23

9-25

21-24

15-24

11-14

23-20

19-23

23-18

12-25

17-32

23-22

13-18

16-21

15-24

17-22

18-26

13-26

11-27

12-31

15-24

15-14

21-11

21-22

19-26

17-30

18-15

10-14

25-16

12-13

163.2Avg total

70.9Scored

92.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (5)	65.6	86.8	152.4	-21.2	20%
Season at home (3)	65.7	83.0	148.7	-17.3	33%
Season away (2)	65.5	92.5	158.0	-27.0	0%
Last 10 (10)	70.9	92.3	163.2	-21.4	20%
Last 5 (5)	65.6	86.8	152.4	-21.2	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	71.0	91.3	162.3	-20.3	8%
vs Similar (4)	78.0	77.2	155.2	+0.8	50%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Corinthians Paulista Brazil

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormPaulista

Date

Competition

Minas

103-97

103

98avg 81

H09/05

NBB

Minas

92-81

+11

88avg 81

A12/05

NBB

Pinheiros

65-95

-30

61avg 81

A19/05

NBB

Pinheiros

98-84

+14

96avg 81

H20/05

NBB

Pinheiros

81-82 OT

-1

68avg 81

H23/05

NBB

Pinheiros

76-88

-12

68avg 81

A26/05

NBB

Mogi

73-84

-11

64avg 81

A17/10

NBB

Brasilia

92-104

104

-12

87avg 81

A22/10

NBB

Franca

78-48

+30

85avg 81

H26/10

NBB

Unifacisa

79-84

-5

no box

A06/11

NBB

31-31

21-20

27-27

24-19

20-22

25-22

24-12

23-25

21-24

14-35

10-23

20-13

27-15

36-30

15-22

20-17

19-12

8-30

18-20

28-11

18-21

20-35

13-23

25-9

17-18

21-26

24-18

11-22

28-29

17-17

27-31

20-27

29-14

13-9

19-10

17-15

20-20

18-19

16-24

25-21

168.4Avg total

83.7Scored

84.7Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (4)	80.5	80.0	160.5	+0.5	25%
Season at home (1)	78.0	48.0	126.0	+30.0	100%
Season away (3)	81.3	90.7	172.0	-9.3	0%
Last 10 (10)	83.7	84.7	168.4	-1.0	40%
Last 5 (5)	79.6	81.6	161.2	-2.0	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	79.7	81.1	160.8	-1.4	33%
vs Similar (15)	87.7	84.6	172.3	+3.1	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	93.5	81.5	175.0	+12.0	100%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Over/Under 159.5Actual: Under 159.5

Over 159.5

53.3%

@ 1.52-7.5pp

Under 159.5

46.7%

@ 2.40+7.5pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.52

Bet365

1.52

Under

Bet365

2.40

Betano

2.32

Over/Under 164.5 · main lineActual: Under 164.5

Over 164.5

41.0%

@ 1.91-9.2pp

Under 164.5

59.0%

@ 1.88+9.2pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

WilliamHill

1.91

SBO

1.88

Betano

1.87

Pinnacle

1.86

Marathon Be

1.84

Under

Pinnacle

1.88

Marathon Be

1.84

1xBet

1.84

Bet365

1.83

Betano

1.80

Over/Under 169.5Actual: Under 169.5

Over 169.5

29.6%

@ 2.42-8.7pp

Under 169.5

70.4%

@ 1.52+8.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

2.42

Bet365

2.40

Under

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.47

📊 3. Team Totals

Cearense total 71.5Actual: Cearense under 71.5

Over 71.5

47.8%

@ 1.50-15.8pp

Under 71.5

52.2%

@ 2.52+15.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.50

Betano

1.44

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.52

Bet365

2.50

1xBet

2.44

Cearense total 75.5 · main lineActual: Cearense under 75.5

Over 75.5

32.5%

@ 1.88-17.7pp

Under 75.5

67.5%

@ 1.86+17.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Betano

1.88

Marathon Be

1.83

Bet365

1.80

1xBet

1.71

Under

Bet365

1.86

Marathon Be

1.83

Betano

1.80

1xBet

1.73

Cearense total 79.5Actual: Cearense under 79.5

Over 79.5

19.8%

@ 2.75-14.6pp

Under 79.5

80.2%

@ 1.40+14.6pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.75

Betano

2.67

1xBet

2.37

Under

Betano

1.40

Bet365

1.40

1xBet

1.38

Corinthians Paulista total 84.5Actual: Corinthians Paulista under 84.5

Over 84.5

70.7%

@ 1.52+6.7pp

Under 84.5

29.3%

@ 2.70-6.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.52

Betano

1.39

1xBet

1.37

Under

Betano

2.70

1xBet

2.44

Bet365

2.40

Corinthians Paulista total 88.5 · main lineActual: Corinthians Paulista under 88.5

Over 88.5

55.6%

@ 1.83+4.7pp

Under 88.5

44.4%

@ 1.90-4.7pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

1.83

Marathon Be

1.78

Betano

1.78

1xBet

1.70

Under

Betano

1.90

Marathon Be

1.86

Bet365

1.83

1xBet

1.75

Corinthians Paulista total 92.5Actual: Corinthians Paulista under 92.5

Over 92.5

39.5%

@ 2.70+2.8pp

Under 92.5

60.5%

@ 1.45-2.8pp

Best 5 market prices

Over

Bet365

2.70

Betano

2.50

1xBet

2.34

Under

Betano

1.45

Bet365

1.41

1xBet

1.39

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Cearense +10Actual: Cearense +10

CEAR +10

21.0%

@ 2.35-18.6pp

CORI -10

79.0%

@ 1.54+18.6pp

Best 5 market prices

CEAR

Bet365

2.35

CORI

Bet365

1.54

Spread Cearense +13 · main lineActual: Cearense +13

CEAR +13

29.7%

@ 1.89-19.8pp

CORI -13

70.3%

@ 1.85+19.8pp

Best 5 market prices

CEAR

Pinnacle

1.89

Bet365

1.86

SBO

1.85

Marathon Be

1.83

1xBet

1.83

CORI

Pinnacle

1.85

Marathon Be

1.82

1xBet

1.82

SBO

1.81

Bet365

1.80

Spread Cearense +16Actual: Cearense +16

CEAR +16

39.8%

@ 1.60-18.1pp

CORI -16

60.2%

@ 2.20+18.1pp

Best 5 market prices

CEAR

Bet365

1.60

Marathon Be

1.55

CORI

Bet365

2.20

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

CearenseCorinthians Paulista

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	18.2	23.4	41.6	-5.2	30%	53%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.8	22.6	40.4	-4.8	31%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	18.6	24.4	43.1	-5.8	29%	57%
Last 10 (10)	16.9	23.1	40.0	-6.2	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.8	38.2	-5.4	40%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.8	24.5	42.3	-6.7	23%	58%
vs Similar (4)	20.8	16.5	37.2	+4.2	75%	25%
vs Weaker	no games

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41.5
Last 30 (30)	22.3	20.5	42.7	+1.8	43%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	23.6	21.2	44.8	+2.4	47%	67%
Last 30 away (15)	20.9	19.7	40.7	+1.2	40%	33%
Last 10 (10)	23.0	20.6	43.6	+2.4	30%	60%
Last 5 (5)	22.4	20.4	42.8	+2.0	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	21.4	19.9	41.3	+1.6	33%	44%
vs Similar (15)	22.9	21.3	44.2	+1.7	40%	53%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.8	19.3	41.2	+2.5	67%	50%

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	17.4	21.6	39.0	-4.2	30%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	17.7	21.6	39.3	-3.9	38%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	17.1	21.6	38.7	-4.6	21%	50%
Last 10 (10)	18.2	24.1	42.3	-5.9	20%	80%
Last 5 (5)	16.6	22.2	38.8	-5.6	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	17.3	21.6	38.9	-4.3	31%	50%
vs Similar (4)	18.0	21.8	39.8	-3.8	25%	50%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 40.75
Last 30 (30)	20.3	21.5	41.8	-1.2	43%	47%
Last 30 at home (15)	20.1	19.2	39.3	+0.9	60%	33%
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	23.7	44.3	-3.2	27%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	24.3	43.6	-5.0	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	17.8	21.2	39.0	-3.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	19.0	25.7	44.7	-6.7	22%	67%
vs Similar (15)	20.5	20.0	40.5	+0.5	47%	40%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	21.7	18.8	40.5	+2.8	67%	33%

CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Franca

31-60

-29

A22/03

NBB

Uniao Corinthians

#12

45-41

H04/04

NBB

Caxias do Sul

#13

38-59

-21

H06/04

NBB

Minas

30-49

-19

A14/04

NBB

Cruzeiro

#14

42-43

-1

A16/04

NBB

Osasco

#16

40-54

-14

H20/10

NBB

Pinheiros

32-46

-14

H22/10

NBB

Sao Jose

#13

23-58

-35

A02/11

NBB

Mogi

42-33

A04/11

NBB

Paulistano

28-29

-1

H07/11

NBB

82.3Avg total

35.1Scored

47.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.75
Last 30 (30)	35.6	45.1	80.7	-9.5	23%	40%
Last 30 at home (16)	35.5	44.2	79.7	-8.7	25%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	35.7	46.1	81.8	-10.4	21%	43%
Last 10 (10)	35.1	47.2	82.3	-12.1	20%	50%
Last 5 (5)	33.0	44.0	77.0	-11.0	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	35.1	46.1	81.2	-11.0	19%	42%
vs Similar (4)	38.8	38.2	77.0	+0.5	50%	25%
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (Corinthians Paulista) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Corinthians PaulistaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Minas

52-51

H09/05

NBB

Minas

45-44

A12/05

NBB

Pinheiros

35-59

-24

A19/05

NBB

Pinheiros

63-45

+18

H20/05

NBB

Pinheiros

27-42

-15

H23/05

NBB

Pinheiros

38-56

-18

A26/05

NBB

Mogi

38-44

-6

A17/10

NBB

Brasilia

45-46

-1

A22/10

NBB

Franca

42-23

+19

H26/10

NBB

Unifacisa

38-39

-1

A06/11

NBB

87.2Avg total

42.3Scored

44.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 82.75
Last 30 (30)	42.6	41.9	84.5	+0.6	57%	50%
Last 30 at home (15)	43.7	40.4	84.1	+3.3	60%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	41.5	43.5	84.9	-2.0	53%	47%
Last 10 (10)	42.3	44.9	87.2	-2.6	40%	60%
Last 5 (5)	40.2	41.6	81.8	-1.4	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	40.4	45.6	86.0	-5.1	22%	44%
vs Similar (15)	43.5	41.3	84.7	+2.2	60%	60%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	43.5	38.2	81.7	+5.3	100%	33%

This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

1st half winnerActual: Corinthians Paulista win

CEAR win

no forecast

@ 4.77

CORI win

no forecast

@ 1.26

1st half Spread Cearense +7.5 · main lineActual: Cearense +7.5

CEAR +7.5

no forecast

@ 1.93

CORI -7.5

no forecast

@ 1.87

1st half Over/Under 82.75 · main lineActual: Under 82.75

Over

no forecast

@ 1.80

Under

no forecast

@ 1.80

Cearense 1st half total 37.5 · main lineActual: Cearense under 37.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.91

Under

no forecast

@ 1.86

Corinthians Paulista 1st half total 45 · main lineActual: Corinthians Paulista under 45

Over

no forecast

@ 1.83

Under

no forecast

@ 1.83

1st half: CEAR + total 82.5

CEAR & over

no forecast

@ 6.75

CEAR & under

no forecast

@ 7.00

1st half: Draw + total 82.5

Draw & over

no forecast

@ 34.00

Draw & under

no forecast

@ 34.00

1st half: CORI + total 82.5

CORI & over

no forecast

@ 2.50

CORI & under

no forecast

@ 2.50

1st half Over/Under 81.5Actual: Under 81.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.78

Under

no forecast

@ 2.15

1st half Over/Under 84Actual: Under 84

Over

no forecast

@ 2.02

Under

no forecast

@ 1.74

1st half Spread Cearense +6.5Actual: Cearense +6.5

CEAR +6.5

no forecast

@ 2.07

CORI -6.5

no forecast

@ 1.80

1st half Spread Cearense +8.5Actual: Cearense +8.5

CEAR +8.5

no forecast

@ 1.78

CORI -8.5

no forecast

@ 2.12

1st half Over/Under 85.5Actual: Under 85.5

Over

no forecast

@ 2.12

Under

no forecast

@ 1.64

1st half Over/Under 79.5Actual: Under 79.5

Over

no forecast

@ 1.60

Under

no forecast

@ 2.60

1st half Spread Cearense +5.5Actual: Cearense +5.5

CEAR +5.5

no forecast

@ 2.30

CORI -5.5

no forecast

@ 1.57

1st half 3-way (draw possible)Actual: Corinthians Paulista (regulation)

CEAR

no forecast

@ 4.50

Draw

no forecast

@ 19.00

CORI

no forecast

@ 1.29

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	19.2	22.1	41.3	-2.9	37%	67%
Last 30 at home (16)	20.4	21.3	41.8	-0.9	56%	62%
Last 30 away (14)	17.8	23.1	40.9	-5.3	14%	71%
Last 10 (10)	19.7	22.9	42.6	-3.2	30%	70%
Last 5 (5)	18.0	22.0	40.0	-4.0	20%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	19.4	23.2	42.6	-3.8	31%	73%
vs Similar (4)	18.0	15.2	33.2	+2.8	75%	25%
vs Weaker	no games

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 39.75
Last 30 (30)	21.4	20.4	41.8	+1.0	53%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.4	19.7	42.1	+2.7	53%	53%
Last 30 away (15)	20.4	21.2	41.6	-0.8	53%	60%
Last 10 (10)	19.3	21.0	40.3	-1.7	30%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.8	21.2	41.0	-1.4	40%	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	18.1	19.2	37.3	-1.1	44%	33%
vs Similar (15)	21.5	21.4	42.9	+0.1	40%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	26.0	19.8	45.8	+6.2	100%	67%

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	16.7	21.8	38.5	-5.1	17%	37%
Last 30 at home (16)	16.7	21.6	38.3	-4.9	19%	38%
Last 30 away (14)	16.7	21.9	38.6	-5.2	14%	36%
Last 10 (10)	16.1	22.2	38.3	-6.1	10%	40%
Last 5 (5)	14.6	20.8	35.4	-6.2	20%	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	16.5	22.0	38.5	-5.5	12%	38%
vs Similar (4)	18.0	20.2	38.2	-2.2	50%	25%
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over 41
Last 30 (30)	22.2	20.3	42.5	+2.0	60%	57%
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	19.9	42.7	+2.9	67%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	20.6	42.3	+1.1	53%	53%
Last 10 (10)	21.3	17.9	39.2	+3.4	70%	40%
Last 5 (5)	19.6	18.8	38.4	+0.8	60%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	20.2	15.3	35.6	+4.9	78%	11%
vs Similar (15)	22.7	21.9	44.7	+0.8	53%	73%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	24.0	23.5	47.5	+0.5	50%	83%

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81
Last 30 (30)	35.9	43.9	79.8	-8.0	17%	50%
Last 30 at home (16)	37.1	42.9	80.1	-5.8	19%	50%
Last 30 away (14)	34.5	45.0	79.5	-10.5	14%	50%
Last 10 (10)	35.8	45.1	80.9	-9.3	10%	50%
Last 5 (5)	32.6	42.8	75.4	-10.2	20%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)	35.9	45.2	81.1	-9.3	12%	54%
vs Similar (4)	36.0	35.5	71.5	+0.5	50%	25%
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over 81
Last 30 (30)	43.6	40.7	84.3	+2.9	57%	60%
Last 30 at home (15)	45.2	39.6	84.8	+5.6	60%	60%
Last 30 away (15)	42.1	41.8	83.9	+0.3	53%	60%
Last 10 (10)	40.6	38.9	79.5	+1.7	50%	40%
Last 5 (5)	39.4	40.0	79.4	-0.6	40%	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)	38.3	34.6	72.9	+3.8	56%	22%
vs Similar (15)	44.3	43.3	87.6	+0.9	47%	67%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)	50.0	43.3	93.3	+6.7	83%	100%

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.

CEAR win + total 164.5

🔒 Pro

CORI win + total 164.5

🔒 Pro

Overtime

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CEAR leads at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: level at half

🔒 Pro

Half-time / full-time: CORI leads at half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 1st half

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring quarter: 2nd half

🔒 Pro

Team with the highest-scoring quarter

🔒 Pro

Highest-scoring half

🔒 Pro

Double chance (regulation)

🔒 Pro

Quarters won (CEAR:CORI): CEAR wins more

🔒 Pro

🔒 12 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Use Min odds to match the prices you want; Edge = Yes shows only selections priced BELOW what the model makes them. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.

Min odds1.20

Edge

Pick	Probability	Avg odds	Best 1	Best 2	Best 3	Best 4	Best 5	Edge	Result
Corinthians Paulista -13	70.3%	1.82	Pinnacle 1.85	Marathon Bet 1.82	1xBet 1.82	SBO 1.81	Bet365 1.80	+19.8pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista -12	73.4%	1.70	Marathon Bet 1.71	Pinnacle 1.70	Bet365 1.68	-	-	+18.7pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista -10	79.0%	1.54	Bet365 1.54	-	-	-	-	+18.6pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista -12.5	71.2%	1.74	Pinnacle 1.77	Marathon Bet 1.76	SBO 1.75	Bet365 1.74	Betfair 1.73	+18.5pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista -11	76.3%	1.60	Marathon Bet 1.62	Bet365 1.60	Pinnacle 1.59	-	-	+18.0pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista -11.5	74.2%	1.63	Marathon Bet 1.66	Pinnacle 1.64	Bet365 1.64	Betano 1.62	1xBet 1.60	+17.7pp	Lost
Cearense under 78.5	77.4%	1.49	Bet365 1.55	Betano 1.47	1xBet 1.45	-	-	+17.4pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -9	81.5%	1.45	Bet365 1.45	-	-	-	-	+17.3pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista -10.5	76.9%	1.55	Marathon Bet 1.58	Bet365 1.57	Pinnacle 1.55	Betano 1.53	1xBet 1.50	+17.2pp	Lost
Cearense under 76.5	71.0%	1.65	Betano 1.67	1xBet 1.62	-	-	-	+17.0pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -9.5	79.5%	1.46	Bet365 1.50	Betano 1.45	1xBet 1.42	-	-	+17.0pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista -8	83.8%	1.38	Bet365 1.38	-	-	-	-	+16.8pp	Lost
Cearense under 80.5	82.8%	1.36	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.33	-	-	-	+16.5pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -8.5	81.9%	1.39	Bet365 1.43	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.35	-	-	+16.1pp	Lost
Cearense under 77.5	74.3%	1.55	Betano 1.57	Bet365 1.55	1xBet 1.53	-	-	+15.9pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -7	85.9%	1.33	Bet365 1.33	-	-	-	-	+15.9pp	Push
Corinthians Paulista -7.5	84.1%	1.33	Bet365 1.37	Betano 1.33	1xBet 1.28	-	-	+15.2pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista -6.5	86.2%	1.30	Bet365 1.32	Betano 1.28	-	-	-	+15.1pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -6	87.8%	1.27	Bet365 1.27	-	-	-	-	+15.0pp	Won
Cearense under 82.5	87.3%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+14.9pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -5.5	88.1%	1.26	Bet365 1.27	Betano 1.25	-	-	-	+14.7pp	Won
Cearense under 79.5	80.2%	1.39	Betano 1.40	Bet365 1.40	1xBet 1.38	-	-	+14.6pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista (regulation)	93.7%	1.11	Marathon Bet 1.12	1xBet 1.12	Betano 1.10	-	-	+14.4pp	Won
Cearense under 81.5	85.1%	1.28	1xBet 1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	+14.3pp	Won
Cearense under 84.5	90.8%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+13.0pp	Won
Cearense under 85.5	92.2%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+12.7pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista -3.5	91.3%	1.18	Bet365 1.18	-	-	-	-	+12.4pp	Won
Cearense under 83.5	89.1%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+11.4pp	Won
Cearense under 86.5	93.5%	1.13	Bet365 1.13	-	-	-	-	+11.2pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 80.5	82.9%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+10.5pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista over 76.5	91.2%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Lost
Under 172	76.0%	1.40	Bet365 1.40	-	-	-	-	+9.7pp	Won
Under 171	74.0%	1.44	Bet365 1.44	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Cearense under 88.5	95.5%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Under 170	71.9%	1.50	Bet365 1.50	-	-	-	-	+9.4pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 82.5	77.3%	1.32	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.27	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Lost
Under 172.5	76.4%	1.37	Bet365 1.37	-	-	-	-	+8.9pp	Won
Under 169.5	70.4%	1.50	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.47	-	-	-	+8.7pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista win	94.6%	1.09	Marathon Bet 1.12	1xBet 1.12	Bet365 1.11	WilliamHill 1.10	Betfair 1.08	+8.5pp	Won
Cearense under 87.5	94.6%	1.09	Bet365 1.09	-	-	-	-	+8.5pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 74.5	93.9%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+8.4pp	Won
Under 171.5	74.5%	1.40	Bet365 1.41	Betano 1.38	-	-	-	+8.3pp	Won
Cearense under 90.5	96.9%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Under 170.5	72.5%	1.44	Bet365 1.45	Betano 1.42	-	-	-	+8.2pp	Won
Under 174.5	80.0%	1.29	Bet365 1.29	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista +1.5	95.2%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+8.1pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 77.5	89.5%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista over 78.5	87.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Lost
Under 179.5	87.5%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+8.0pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 81.5	80.2%	1.28	Bet365 1.28	-	-	-	-	+7.9pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista over 70.5	97.4%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Cearense under 92.5	97.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 72.5	96.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+7.7pp	Won
Cearense under 89.5	96.3%	1.05	Bet365 1.05	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 79.5	85.3%	1.20	Bet365 1.20	-	-	-	-	+7.6pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista +6.5	97.9%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.5pp	Won
Cearense under 94.5	98.6%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 75.5	92.7%	1.10	Bet365 1.10	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista over 71.5	96.7%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+7.1pp	Won
Cearense under 91.5	97.5%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+7.0pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 83.5	74.1%	1.34	Bet365 1.38	1xBet 1.31	-	-	-	+6.9pp	Lost
Corinthians Paulista over 68.5	98.4%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Cearense under 93.5	98.3%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 69.5	97.9%	1.02	Bet365 1.02	-	-	-	-	+6.8pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 73.5	95.0%	1.06	Bet365 1.06	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 84.5	70.7%	1.43	Bet365 1.52	Betano 1.39	1xBet 1.37	-	-	+6.7pp	Lost
Cearense under 95.5	98.9%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.7pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 67.5	98.7%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.5pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista +11.5	99.1%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.3pp	Won
Corinthians Paulista over 66.5	99.0%	1.01	Bet365 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	Won
Overtime: no	98.7%	1.01	Betano 1.01	-	-	-	-	+6.2pp	-
Under 184.5	92.7%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+6.0pp	Won
Under 177.5	84.8%	1.16	Bet365 1.16	-	-	-	-	+5.3pp	Won
Under 187.5	94.9%	1.04	Bet365 1.04	-	-	-	-	+5.2pp	Won
Under 182.5	90.8%	1.08	Bet365 1.08	-	-	-	-	+4.2pp	Won
Over 137.5	92.7%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+2.2pp	Won
Over 139.5	90.8%	1.03	Bet365 1.03	-	-	-	-	+0.6pp	Won
Over 142.5	87.3%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	+0.2pp	Won
Over 147.5	79.7%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-0.8pp	Lost
Over 144.5	84.5%	1.07	Bet365 1.07	-	-	-	-	-2.6pp	Lost
Over 149.5	76.0%	1.15	Bet365 1.15	-	-	-	-	-4.5pp	Lost
Cearense over 65.5	70.8%	1.14	Bet365 1.14	-	-	-	-	-10.6pp	Won

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:

Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.5 points a game scored

🏀🏀50%

🏀🏀🏀28%

🏀22%

🏀🏀 2-pointers37.4 pts a game · 50% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points

🏀 Free throws16.1 pts a game · 22% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	41.7	18.7	44.8%	49.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.0	7.0	29.2%	31.6%	21.0
🏀 Free throws	24.3	16.1	66.3%	71.3%	16.1

They take 65.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Corinthians Paulistatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Corinthians Paulista: 84.0 points a game scored

🏀🏀46%

🏀🏀🏀37%

🏀17%

🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 46% of the points

🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.9 pts a game · 37% of the points

🏀 Free throws14.5 pts a game · 17% of the points

League average for comparison: 69.9 points a game

50%

34%

16%

Shooting by shot type

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.2	19.3	53.3%	49.8%	38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	27.4	10.3	37.6%	31.6%	30.9
🏀 Free throws	18.4	14.5	78.8%	71.3%	14.5

They take 63.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	37.1	22.2	59.8%	49.8%	44.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.1	11.0	37.8%	31.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	22.1	16.3	73.8%	71.3%	16.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.7	18.4	53.0%	49.8%	36.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	32.8	11.9	36.3%	31.6%	35.7
🏀 Free throws	16.4	12.4	75.6%	71.3%	12.4

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	40.4	18.7	46.3%	49.8%	37.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	24.8	7.0	28.1%	31.6%	20.9
🏀 Free throws	21.3	15.0	70.4%	71.3%	15.0

Shot type	Attempts per game	Made per game	Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	34.4	19.1	55.6%	49.8%	38.3
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	29.9	11.0	36.8%	31.6%	33.0
🏀 Free throws	18.4	14.6	79.2%	71.3%	14.6

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.0	21.7	60.3%	49.8%	43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.3	10.6	34.9%	31.6%	31.8
🏀 Free throws	19.8	14.3	71.9%	71.3%	14.3

Shot type	Opponents' Attempts per game	Opponents' Made per game	Opponents' Accuracy (made ÷ attempts)	League accuracy	Points per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers	36.7	18.8	51.3%	49.8%	37.7
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers	30.4	10.1	33.1%	31.6%	30.2
🏀 Free throws	17.3	12.7	73.5%	71.3%	12.7

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 09 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.

Cearense

WLLLLLLLWL

Corinthians Paulista

LWLLLLWLWW

#17

League position

#12

-21.2

Net rating

-1.1

82.4

Offensive rating

98.4

103.6

Defensive rating

99.4

44.4%

Effective FG%

54.6%

58.5%

Opp. effective FG%

53.7%

16.2%

Turnover %

14.0%

0.37

Free-throw rate

0.29

29.2%

3-point %

37.6%

54.1%

Assist %

69.9%

20%

Form (last 10/10)

40%

Profile

■ Cearense ■ Corinthians Paulista

The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Cearense wins

Corinthians Paulista wins

Date	Game	Score
07/02/26	Corinthians Paulista v Cearense	96-76
05/11/25	Cearense v Corinthians Paulista	82-98
07/04/25	Cearense v Corinthians Paulista	79-67
12/12/24	Corinthians Paulista v Cearense	92-83
07/03/24	Corinthians Paulista v Cearense	102-82
24/11/23	Cearense v Corinthians Paulista	78-65
04/03/23	Corinthians Paulista v Cearense	84-85
24/11/22	Cearense v Corinthians Paulista	77-81 OT
12/03/22	Corinthians Paulista v Cearense	81-65
11/12/21	Cearense v Corinthians Paulista	78-66

Cearenselast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
07/11/26	H	Paulistano	65-58
04/11/26	A	Mogi	78-89
02/11/26	A	Sao Jose	53-96
22/10/26	H	Pinheiros	63-98
20/10/26	H	Osasco	69-93
16/04/26	A	Cruzeiro	77-86
14/04/26	A	Minas	56-87
06/04/26	H	Caxias do Sul	83-107
04/04/26	H	Uniao Corinthians	94-93
22/03/26	A	Franca	71-116

Corinthians Paulistalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
06/11/26	A	Unifacisa	79-84
26/10/26	H	Franca	78-48
22/10/26	A	Brasilia	92-104
17/10/26	A	Mogi	73-84
26/05/26	A	Pinheiros	76-88
23/05/26	H	Pinheiros	81-82 OT
20/05/26	H	Pinheiros	98-84
19/05/26	A	Pinheiros	65-95
12/05/26	A	Minas	92-81
09/05/26	H	Minas	103-97

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLLLW	20%
Home	LLW	33%
Away	LL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	5	3	2
Win %	20%	33%	0%
Points / game	65.6	65.7	65.5
Allowed / game	86.8	83.0	92.5
Point differential	-21.2	-17.3	-27.0
Avg total	152.4	148.7	158.0
Over 164.5	20%	0%	50%
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	-	-	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Corinthians Paulista

NBB 2026-27

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWL	25%
Home	W	100%
Away	LLL	0%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	4	1	3
Win %	25%	100%	0%
Points / game	80.5	78.0	81.3
Allowed / game	80.0	48.0	90.7
Point differential	+0.5	+30.0	-9.3
Avg total	160.5	126.0	172.0
Over 164.5	25%	0%	33%
Win by 10+	25%	100%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Minas	6	6	0	100%	86.0	67.2	+18.8
2	Pinheiros	6	5	1	83%	86.8	70.2	+16.7
3	Flamengo	6	5	1	83%	82.2	71.7	+10.5
4	Unifacisa	6	5	1	83%	83.2	73.0	+10.2
5	Mogi	5	4	1	80%	80.8	74.4	+6.4
6	Brasilia	7	4	3	57%	83.4	81.1	+2.3
7	Franca	6	3	3	50%	77.3	73.3	+4.0
8	Cruzeiro	6	3	3	50%	76.2	78.8	-2.7
9	Paulistano	6	3	3	50%	70.3	73.0	-2.7
10	Botafogo	5	2	3	40%	80.0	83.0	-3.0
11	Uniao Corinthians	5	2	3	40%	73.8	80.0	-6.2
12	Sao Jose	6	2	4	33%	80.5	84.5	-4.0
13	Bauru	6	2	4	33%	73.2	77.7	-4.5
14	Corinthians Paulista	4	1	3	25%	80.5	80.0	+0.5
15	Osasco	4	1	3	25%	79.5	86.0	-6.5
16	Pato	5	1	4	20%	72.4	82.0	-9.6
17	Cearense	5	1	4	20%	65.6	86.8	-21.2
18	Caxias do Sul	6	0	6	0%	62.7	79.7	-17.0

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Cearense	16	17	17	18	68
Corinthians Paulista	19	15	23	18	75

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Cearense vs Corinthians Paulista Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

Where their opponents' points come from

Shooting by shot type

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Profile

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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