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Minas vs Cearense Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 14 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 87-56
25-9 24-21 24-15 14-11
Position#3
Record28-9
FormWWWWL
Points / game88.0
Allowed / game81.9
Minas 🏆
Brazil
vs
Position#19
Record7-29
FormLLLWL
Points / game76.7
Allowed / game89.1
BrazilNBB· Arena Minas Tenis Clube
Other2025-26
Meetings · Minas v Cearense
14 Nov 2026
MINA v CEAR
upcoming
14 Apr 2026
MINA87
CEAR56
07 Nov 2024
MINA86
CEAR64
27 Jan 2024
MINA73
CEAR69
01 Dec 2023
MINA93
CEAR88
29 Nov 2022
MINA79
CEAR71
19 Dec 2021
MINA101
CEAR74
01 Apr 2021
MINA92
CEAR66
27 Mar 2020
MINA v CEAR
upcoming
24 Mar 2019
MINA95
CEAR85
27 Mar 2018
MINA75
CEAR63
01 Feb 2017
MINA62
CEAR66
05 Feb 2016
MINA61
CEAR75
27 Jan 2015
MINA90
CEAR63
25 Feb 2014
MINA79
CEAR81
19 Jan 2013
MINA76
CEAR74
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Minas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

MinasBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormMinas
Date
Competition
Franca
#4
L
91-103
91
103
-12
86avg 80
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
92-82
92
82
+10
91avg 80
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
81-75
81
75
+6
78avg 80
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
78-66
78
66
+12
74avg 80
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
85-91
85
91
-6
72avg 80
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
101-88
101
88
+13
99avg 80
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
109-88
109
88
+21
97avg 80
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
W
93-86
93
86
+7
89avg 80
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
106-71
106
71
+35
109avg 80
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-80
77
80
-3
69avg 80
H12/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-27
21-25
21-32
26-19
21-21
27-21
34-16
10-24
24-29
18-16
21-9
18-21
31-20
12-19
18-18
17-9
22-29
26-24
14-15
23-23
22-21
31-12
25-27
23-28
26-24
31-19
29-24
23-21
23-24
16-20
26-24
28-18
28-28
32-15
23-14
23-14
13-17
22-21
19-27
23-15
174.3Avg total
91.3Scored
83.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (37)88.081.9169.9+6.176%
Season at home (18)86.379.6165.9+6.783%
Season away (19)89.684.1173.7+5.668%
Last 10 (10)91.383.0174.3+8.370%
Last 5 (5)97.282.6179.8+14.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)86.295.2181.3-9.017%
vs Similar (7)86.689.0175.6-2.443%
vs Weaker ◀ (17)91.980.9172.8+11.188%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
W
64-59
64
59
+5
52avg 67
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
70-107
70
107
-37
56avg 67
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
77-83
77
83
-6
70avg 67
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
49-81
49
81
-32
33avg 67
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
72-93
72
93
-21
54avg 67
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
89-90 OT
89
90
-1
76avg 67
A17/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-91
77
91
-14
68avg 67
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
71-116
71
116
-45
56avg 67
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
94-93
94
93
+1
84avg 67
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
83-107
83
107
-24
76avg 67
H06/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
14-24
10-8
19-11
14-32
21-25
20-25
15-25
20-21
28-12
11-27
18-23
14-24
4-15
23-21
8-21
20-27
11-20
26-21
15-25
16-18
16-17
23-19
21-22
24-24
24-23
18-23
11-21
16-34
15-26
17-23
23-33
19-20
26-21
30-29
19-23
20-23
18-36
22-25
23-23
166.6Avg total
74.6Scored
92.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (36)76.789.1165.8-12.319%
Season at home (19)76.386.6162.9-10.326%
Season away (17)77.291.8169.0-14.612%
Last 10 (10)74.692.0166.6-17.420%
Last 5 (5)82.899.4182.2-16.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.392.1167.4-16.88%
vs Similar (6)80.078.8158.8+1.250%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -5.5-5.5
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: -0.7-0.7Q1: -5.5-5.5Q2Q2: +4.4+4.4Q2: -4.2-4.2Q3Q3: +2.4+2.4Q3: -2.1-2.1Q4Q4: +2.2+2.2Q4: -5.5-5.5
MinasCearense
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
MinasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Franca
#4
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A12/03
Champions League Americas
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
48-42
48
42
+6
H17/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H19/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A22/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
48-53
48
53
-5
A24/03
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
53-33
53
33
+20
H01/04
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
57-43
57
43
+14
A04/04
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A06/04
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
60-43
60
43
+17
A09/04
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
H12/04
NBB
90.1Avg total
46.9Scored
43.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.744.890.5+0.940%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.140.885.9+4.457%-
Last 30 away (16)46.248.294.4-2.125%-
Last 10 (10)46.943.290.1+3.750%-
Last 5 (5)48.840.289.0+8.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.748.288.8-7.50%-
vs Similar (7)44.949.794.6-4.914%-
vs Weaker ◀ (17)47.841.589.4+6.365%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#17
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H18/02
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
35-57
35
57
-22
A05/03
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
W
48-33
48
33
+15
A07/03
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
18-39
18
39
-21
H11/03
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H13/03
NBB
Osasco
#18
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A17/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A19/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
31-60
31
60
-29
A22/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
45-41
45
41
+4
H04/04
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
38-59
38
59
-21
H06/04
NBB
81.9Avg total
36.1Scored
45.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.845.383.1-7.527%-
Last 30 at home (17)37.243.981.2-6.729%-
Last 30 away (13)38.547.185.5-8.623%-
Last 10 (10)36.145.881.9-9.730%-
Last 5 (5)38.848.487.2-9.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)37.546.784.1-9.221%-
vs Similar (6)39.039.878.8-0.850%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Minas) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Minastheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Minas: 90.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.4 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.820.2
53.4%
52.2%40.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.010.9
37.6%
32.5%32.7
🏀 Free throws23.517.2
73.2%
72.8%17.2
They take 66.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀51%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 51% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.6 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.819.0
46.6%
52.2%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.37.0
30.0%
32.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws23.815.6
65.5%
72.8%15.6
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 14 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Minas
LWWWWLWWWL
Cearense
LWLLLLLLLW
#3
League position
#19
+10.2
Net rating
-19.5
103.2
Offensive rating
83.4
93.0
Defensive rating
102.9
54.7%
Effective FG%
46.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
58.1%
13.2%
Turnover %
17.3%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.37
37.6%
3-point %
30.0%
68.5%
Assist %
55.4%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence103.2 · 83.4Defence93.0 · 102.9Shooting54.7% · 46.0%3-point %37.6% · 30.0%Ball care13.2% · 17.3%Free throws0.35 · 0.37Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Minas   ■ Cearense
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Minas wins
1
Cearense wins
DateGameScore
27/12/25Cearense v Minas81-99
28/02/25Cearense v Minas86-92
07/11/24Minas v Cearense86-64
20/03/24Cearense v Minas79-69
27/01/24Minas v Cearense73-69
01/12/23Minas v Cearense93-88 OT
08/04/23Cearense v Minas85-94
29/11/22Minas v Cearense79-71
27/03/22Cearense v Minas75-85
19/12/21Minas v Cearense101-74
Minaslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/26HUnifacisa77-80
09/04/26ABotafogo106-71
06/04/26AFlamengo93-86
04/04/26AVasco109-88
01/04/26HCruzeiro101-88
24/03/26APinheiros85-91
22/03/26AOsasco78-66
19/03/26HCaxias do Sul81-75
17/03/26HUniao Corinthians92-82
12/03/26AFranca91-103
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/26HCaxias do Sul83-107
04/04/26HUniao Corinthians94-93
22/03/26AFranca71-116
19/03/26APaulistano77-91
17/03/26AOsasco89-90 OT
13/03/26HRio Claro72-93
11/03/26HBrasilia49-81
07/03/26APinheiros77-83
05/03/26ABauru70-107
18/02/26HPato64-59

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Minas
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL76%
HomeWWWWL83%
AwayWLWWW68%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games371819
Win %76%83%68%
Points / game88.086.389.6
Allowed / game81.979.684.1
Point differential+6.1+6.7+5.6
Avg total169.9165.9173.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+32%28%37%
Close games (≤5 pts) won69% (13)62% (8)80% (5)
Overtime %8%11%5%
Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL19%
HomeWLLWL26%
AwayLLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games361917
Win %19%26%12%
Points / game76.776.377.2
Allowed / game89.186.691.8
Point differential-12.3-10.3-14.6
Avg total165.8162.9169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%5%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)50% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3731684%91.076.9+14.2
2 Pinheiros3729878%85.274.6+10.6
3 Minas3728976%88.081.9+6.1
4 Brasilia3627975%81.471.9+9.5
5 Flamengo38281074%87.579.0+8.5
6 Corinthians Paulista36251169%84.879.2+5.6
7 Paulistano36231364%83.478.2+5.2
8 Bauru36211558%81.979.0+2.9
9 Sao Jose36211558%82.380.5+1.8
10 Mogi36201656%76.471.2+5.2
11 Unifacisa37191851%81.180.2+0.9
12 Uniao Corinthians36181850%79.581.4-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul36171947%74.176.6-2.5
14 Cruzeiro36122433%79.885.2-5.4
15 Rio Claro37112630%78.285.9-7.8
16 Botafogo37102727%73.283.2-10.1
17 Pato3672919%72.480.3-7.9
18 Cearense3672919%76.789.1-12.3
19 Osasco3763116%76.188.2-12.2
20 Vasco3753214%70.681.3-10.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Minas2524241487
Cearense921151156
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