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Cearense vs Cruzeiro Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 29 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 78-86
24-19 12-21 19-16 23-30
Position#19
Record4-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.7
Allowed / game88.9
vs
Position#14
Record5-13
FormLWLWL
Points / game77.4
Allowed / game85.1
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2025-26
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cruzeiro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
85avg 68
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 68
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 68
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
95-98
95
98
-3
86avg 68
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 68
H09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
77-100
77
100
-23
64avg 68
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
61-108
61
108
-47
74avg 68
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
62-95
62
95
-33
50avg 68
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
52-68
52
68
-16
39avg 68
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
L
81-99
81
99
-18
64avg 68
H27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-22
20-23
26-12
24-15
16-18
20-21
14-17
20-26
18-22
26-28
22-22
24-33
27-26
29-27
19-31
20-14
19-14
23-25
22-22
25-21
12-32
21-14
21-32
23-22
15-29
19-38
14-23
13-18
21-34
12-20
16-24
13-17
19-18
7-20
12-15
14-15
18-24
28-16
18-33
17-26
167.7Avg total
76.8Scored
90.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.788.9166.6-11.222%
Season at home (9)78.289.7167.9-11.422%
Season away (9)77.188.1165.2-11.022%
Last 10 (10)76.890.9167.7-14.120%
Last 5 (5)66.694.0160.6-27.40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)75.786.9162.5-11.217%
vs Similar (6)80.378.7159.0+1.767%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCruzeiro
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
65-79
65
79
-14
60avg 71
A14/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
98-76
98
76
+22
99avg 71
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
86-106
86
106
-20
71avg 71
H20/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
89-102
89
102
-13
80avg 71
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
63-78
63
78
-15
50avg 71
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
76-87
76
87
-11
68avg 71
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
89-65
89
65
+24
91avg 71
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-93
80
93
-13
74avg 71
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 71
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
77-85
77
85
-8
70avg 71
A27/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-23
15-25
18-18
19-13
25-24
29-18
21-20
23-14
11-29
18-23
26-28
31-26
12-30
34-27
16-23
27-22
15-22
15-29
10-19
23-8
19-32
26-13
13-20
18-22
18-19
22-18
19-14
30-14
21-22
19-21
26-18
14-32
21-17
15-23
23-10
20-25
11-18
24-20
22-21
20-26
164.8Avg total
80.2Scored
84.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.485.1162.6-7.728%
Season at home (12)80.486.2166.7-5.833%
Season away (6)71.582.8154.3-11.317%
Last 10 (10)80.284.6164.8-4.430%
Last 5 (5)80.281.0161.2-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)76.589.4165.8-12.99%
vs Similar (4)71.883.2155.0-11.525%
vs Weaker ◀ (3)88.772.0160.7+16.7100%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
-9-4+0+4+9Q1Q1: -5.3-5.3Q1: -7.0-7.0Q2Q2: -2.7-2.7Q2: +0.0+0.0Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +0.3+0.3Q4Q4: -1.4-1.4Q4: +2.3+2.3
CearenseCruzeiro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bauru
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/12
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
33-46
33
46
-13
H15/12
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
34-67
34
67
-33
H18/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
L
33-54
33
54
-21
A21/12
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
26-38
26
38
-12
A23/12
NBB
Minas
#3
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H27/12
NBB
86.2Avg total
39.1Scored
47.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.442.580.9-4.230%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.142.280.2-4.125%-
Last 30 away (14)38.742.981.6-4.236%-
Last 10 (10)39.147.186.2-8.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.449.083.4-14.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (24)38.942.881.7-4.029%-
vs Similar (6)36.341.377.7-5.033%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cruzeiro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CruzeiroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Brasilia
#5
L
28-48
28
48
-20
A14/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
54-42
54
42
+12
H17/11
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
29-52
29
52
-23
H20/11
NBB
Pinheiros
#2
L
46-57
46
57
-11
H23/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
L
30-51
30
51
-21
A01/12
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A03/12
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H16/12
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H21/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
36-40
36
40
-4
H23/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#11
L
35-38
35
38
-3
A27/12
NBB
83.6Avg total
38.3Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (18)36.944.481.3-7.517%-
Last 30 at home (12)37.844.482.2-6.717%-
Last 30 away (6)35.244.379.5-9.217%-
Last 10 (10)38.345.383.6-7.020%-
Last 5 (5)39.240.679.8-1.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (11)35.145.580.5-10.40%-
vs Similar (4)37.045.082.0-8.025%-
vs Weaker ◀ (3)43.339.783.0+3.767%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 76.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.1 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.021.1
49.1%
52.2%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.96.8
27.3%
32.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws19.914.1
70.9%
72.8%14.1
They take 67.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cruzeirotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cruzeiro: 81.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.6 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.518.3
50.1%
52.2%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.39.1
36.0%
32.5%27.3
🏀 Free throws22.217.6
79.3%
72.8%17.6
They take 61.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
LLLLLWLLLW
Cruzeiro
LWLWLLLLWL
#19
League position
#14
-16.5
Net rating
-5.4
97.3
Offensive rating
105.7
113.7
Defensive rating
111.1
46.1%
Effective FG%
51.7%
56.6%
Opp. effective FG%
51.3%
18.8%
Turnover %
18.0%
30.1%
Off. rebound %
24.1%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.36
27.3%
3-point %
36.0%
53.8%
Assist %
69.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence97.3 · 105.7Defence113.7 · 111.1Shooting46.1% · 51.7%3-point %27.3% · 36.0%Ball care18.8% · 18.0%Off. rebounds30.1% · 24.1%Free throws0.29 · 0.36Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Cearense   ■ Cruzeiro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cearense wins
0
Cruzeiro wins
No previous meetings.
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25HMinas81-99
23/12/25ACaxias do Sul52-68
21/12/25AUniao Corinthians62-95
18/12/25HPinheiros61-108
15/12/25HPaulistano77-100
09/12/25HOsasco89-82
06/12/25ARio Claro95-98
04/12/25ABrasilia90-105
23/11/25HFranca70-82
20/11/25HBauru91-72
Cruzeirolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/12/25AUnifacisa77-85
23/12/25HVasco79-75
21/12/25HFlamengo80-93
16/12/25HBotafogo89-65
03/12/25AUniao Corinthians76-87
01/12/25ACaxias do Sul63-78
23/11/25HPinheiros89-102
20/11/25HPaulistano86-106
17/11/25HOsasco98-76
14/11/25ABrasilia65-79

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL22%
HomeLWLLL22%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %22%22%22%
Points / game77.778.277.1
Allowed / game88.989.788.1
Point differential-11.2-11.4-11.0
Avg total166.6167.9165.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%11%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Cruzeiro
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL28%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLLL17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games18126
Win %28%33%17%
Points / game77.480.471.5
Allowed / game85.186.282.8
Point differential-7.7-5.8-11.3
Avg total162.6166.7154.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)100% (2)100% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1816289%88.374.6+13.7
2 Pinheiros1816289%87.574.3+13.2
3 Franca1916384%87.173.2+13.9
4 Minas1815383%85.876.9+8.9
5 Brasilia1813572%82.273.5+8.7
6 Corinthians Paulista1812667%82.876.6+6.3
7 Sao Jose1811761%80.377.5+2.8
8 Paulistano1911858%80.075.3+4.7
9 Mogi189950%76.469.7+6.7
10 Unifacisa189950%80.679.6+1.0
11 Bauru189950%74.175.3-1.2
12 Uniao Corinthians189950%78.780.6-1.9
13 Caxias do Sul189950%72.877.1-4.3
14 Cruzeiro1851328%77.485.1-7.7
15 Pato1851328%72.480.3-7.9
16 Osasco1841422%75.385.7-10.4
17 Cearense1841422%77.788.9-11.2
18 Rio Claro1941521%76.888.6-11.8
19 Botafogo1831517%71.182.6-11.5
20 Vasco1921711%68.680.4-11.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense2412192378
Cruzeiro1921163086
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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