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Cearense vs Paulistano Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 15 Dec 2025
Tip-off: 22:30
Final 77-100
12-32 21-14 21-32 23-22
Position#19
Record4-9
FormWLLLW
Points / game81.9
Allowed / game86.9
vs
Position#7
Record8-7
FormWWWLL
Points / game78.9
Allowed / game74.9
BrazilNBB· Centro de Formacao Olimpica
Other2025-26
Meetings · Cearense v Paulistano
07 Nov 2026
CEAR v PAUL
upcoming
15 Dec 2025
CEAR77
PAUL100
11 Nov 2024
CEAR66
PAUL49
10 Feb 2024
CEAR51
PAUL64
02 Nov 2022
CEAR55
PAUL78
09 Dec 2021
CEAR72
PAUL69
13 Apr 2021
CEAR92
PAUL97
06 Mar 2020
CEAR99
PAUL95
05 Apr 2019
CEAR75
PAUL68
09 Jan 2019
CEAR65
PAUL77
25 Apr 2018
CEAR57
PAUL98
16 Apr 2018
CEAR72
PAUL67
15 Feb 2018
CEAR60
PAUL81
15 Apr 2017
CEAR67
PAUL82
06 Apr 2017
CEAR87
PAUL84
11 Jan 2017
CEAR74
PAUL76
26 Jan 2016
CEAR72
PAUL69
07 Jan 2015
CEAR69
PAUL77
15 Feb 2014
CEAR54
PAUL77
26 Apr 2013
CEAR68
PAUL69
20 Apr 2013
CEAR87
PAUL71
19 Apr 2013
CEAR79
PAUL66
10 Jan 2013
CEAR95
PAUL76
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cearense winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Paulistano winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CearenseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCearense
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
71-85
71
85
-14
66avg 69
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
82-98
82
98
-16
59avg 69
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
76-80
76
80
-4
66avg 69
H10/11
NBB
Pato
#17
L
79-82
79
82
-3
70avg 69
A14/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
L
77-86
77
86
-9
67avg 69
H18/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
W
91-72
91
72
+19
85avg 69
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
70-82
70
82
-12
58avg 69
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
90-105
90
105
-15
76avg 69
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
L
95-98
95
98
-3
86avg 69
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
89-82
89
82
+7
81avg 69
H09/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
24-18
19-17
16-21
24-27
14-24
22-30
22-17
21-17
16-27
19-13
20-23
19-21
18-26
13-12
29-23
23-27
23-19
20-14
11-26
21-22
20-23
26-12
24-15
16-18
20-21
14-17
20-26
18-22
26-28
22-22
24-33
27-26
29-27
19-31
20-14
19-14
23-25
22-22
25-21
169.0Avg total
82.0Scored
87.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (13)81.986.9168.8-5.031%
Season at home (6)80.883.3164.2-2.533%
Season away (7)82.990.0172.9-7.129%
Last 10 (10)82.087.0169.0-5.020%
Last 5 (5)87.087.8174.8-0.840%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)77.884.5162.3-6.720%
vs Similar (10)78.677.7156.3+0.960%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPaulistano
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
81-76
81
76
+5
77avg 71
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
94-81
94
81
+13
92avg 71
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
101-65
101
65
+36
99avg 71
H13/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
80-82
80
82
-2
69avg 71
H15/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
63-94
63
94
-31
50avg 71
A18/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
106-86
106
86
+20
108avg 71
A20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
77-66
77
66
+11
73avg 71
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
101-77
101
77
+24
101avg 71
H04/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
59-67
59
67
-8
42avg 71
A06/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
65-69
65
69
-4
64avg 71
H11/12
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-12
23-18
26-22
14-24
23-17
24-29
19-18
28-17
28-17
23-19
19-17
31-12
15-21
19-23
29-25
17-13
18-28
24-25
13-23
8-18
29-11
23-18
28-26
26-31
26-13
14-16
20-13
17-24
28-19
28-20
22-21
23-17
12-20
17-18
18-18
12-11
11-23
16-24
20-10
18-12
159.0Avg total
82.7Scored
76.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)78.974.9153.8+3.953%
Season at home (9)80.070.7150.7+9.367%
Season away (6)77.281.3158.5-4.233%
Last 10 (10)82.776.3159.0+6.460%
Last 5 (5)81.673.0154.6+8.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)71.875.0146.8-3.220%
vs Similar (14)70.977.4148.2-6.536%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)86.777.3164.0+9.555%
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
-3-2+0+2+3Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +2.7+2.7Q2Q2: -2.5-2.5Q2: +0.1+0.1Q3Q3: +0.6+0.6Q3: +2.1+2.1Q4Q4: -0.8-0.8Q4: +1.5+1.5
CearensePaulistano
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CearenseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Unifacisa
#11
L
36-47
36
47
-11
A31/10
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#6
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H05/11
NBB
Mogi
#8
L
37-44
37
44
-7
H10/11
NBB
Pato
#17
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A14/11
NBB
Sao Jose
#9
D
46-46
46
46
+0
H18/11
NBB
Bauru
#10
L
41-45
41
45
-4
H20/11
NBB
Franca
#1
L
36-39
36
39
-3
H23/11
NBB
Brasilia
#5
L
44-50
44
50
-6
A04/12
NBB
Rio Claro
#15
W
56-53
56
53
+3
A06/12
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
42-39
42
39
+3
H09/12
NBB
87.4Avg total
41.3Scored
46.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.941.480.3-2.627%-
Last 30 at home (14)38.740.979.6-2.121%-
Last 30 away (16)39.041.980.9-2.931%-
Last 10 (10)41.346.187.4-4.820%-
Last 5 (5)43.845.289.0-1.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (20)39.641.180.8-1.530%-
vs Similar (10)37.342.179.4-4.820%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Paulistano) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PaulistanoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#2
W
41-30
41
30
+11
H06/11
NBB
Osasco
#18
W
47-46
47
46
+1
A09/11
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#12
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H13/11
NBB
Flamengo
#4
L
34-44
34
44
-10
H15/11
NBB
Minas
#3
L
42-53
42
53
-11
A18/11
NBB
Cruzeiro
#14
W
52-29
52
29
+23
A20/11
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#13
W
40-29
40
29
+11
H23/11
NBB
Botafogo
#16
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H04/12
NBB
Pato
#17
L
29-38
29
38
-9
A06/12
NBB
Vasco
#20
L
27-47
27
47
-20
H11/12
NBB
81.0Avg total
41.9Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.738.477.1+0.447%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.638.276.8+0.450%-
Last 30 away (14)38.938.677.4+0.343%-
Last 10 (10)41.939.181.0+2.860%-
Last 5 (5)40.836.477.2+4.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)38.037.075.0+1.060%-
vs Similar (14)36.139.175.2-3.129%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.538.080.5+4.564%-
This opponent (Cearense) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cearensetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cearense: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀53%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.4 pts a game · 53% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.5 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.0 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.821.7
53.2%
52.2%43.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.67.5
29.3%
32.5%22.5
🏀 Free throws22.016.0
72.7%
72.8%16.0
They take 66.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Paulistanotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Paulistano: 81.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.8 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 79.7 points a game
47%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.119.3
52.0%
52.2%38.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.99.5
36.7%
32.5%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.914.8
74.4%
72.8%14.8
They take 63.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2025 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cearense
WLLLWLLLLL
Paulistano
LLWWWLLWWW
#19
League position
#7
-4.9
Net rating
+9.1
103.9
Offensive rating
109.7
108.9
Defensive rating
100.6
49.6%
Effective FG%
53.3%
55.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.1%
19.5%
Turnover %
18.6%
31.9%
Off. rebound %
32.3%
0.33
Free-throw rate
0.32
29.3%
3-point %
36.7%
55.5%
Assist %
58.0%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence103.9 · 109.7Defence108.9 · 100.6Shooting49.6% · 53.3%3-point %29.3% · 36.7%Ball care19.5% · 18.6%Off. rebounds31.9% · 32.3%Free throws0.33 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)20% · 60%
■ Cearense   ■ Paulistano
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cearense wins
7
Paulistano wins
DateGameScore
06/03/25Paulistano v Cearense84-87
11/11/24Cearense v Paulistano66-49
10/02/24Cearense v Paulistano51-64
04/11/23Paulistano v Cearense80-73
06/02/23Paulistano v Cearense80-78
02/11/22Cearense v Paulistano55-78
10/03/22Paulistano v Cearense94-88 OT
09/12/21Cearense v Paulistano72-69 OT
13/04/21Cearense v Paulistano92-97 OT
05/01/21Paulistano v Cearense78-73
Cearenselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
09/12/25HOsasco89-82
06/12/25ARio Claro95-98
04/12/25ABrasilia90-105
23/11/25HFranca70-82
20/11/25HBauru91-72
18/11/25HSao Jose77-86
14/11/25APato79-82
10/11/25HMogi76-80
05/11/25HCorinthians Paulista82-98
31/10/25AUnifacisa71-85
Paulistanolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/25HVasco65-69
06/12/25APato59-67
04/12/25HBotafogo101-77
23/11/25HCaxias do Sul77-66
20/11/25ACruzeiro106-86
18/11/25AMinas63-94
15/11/25HFlamengo80-82
13/11/25HUniao Corinthians101-65
09/11/25AOsasco94-81
06/11/25HPinheiros81-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cearense
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLW31%
HomeLLWLW33%
AwayLLLLL29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1367
Win %31%33%29%
Points / game81.980.882.9
Allowed / game86.983.390.0
Point differential-5.0-2.5-7.1
Avg total168.8164.2172.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%17%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)0% (1)33% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Paulistano
NBB 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLL53%
HomeWLWWL67%
AwayLWLWL33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1596
Win %53%67%33%
Points / game78.980.077.2
Allowed / game74.970.781.3
Point differential+3.9+9.3-4.2
Avg total153.8150.7158.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%33%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (5)25% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo1412286%87.673.8+13.8
2 Minas1412286%85.476.4+9.0
3 Pinheiros1311285%84.274.7+9.5
4 Franca1411379%86.973.7+13.2
5 Brasilia1511473%82.973.7+9.2
6 Corinthians Paulista139469%83.275.8+7.4
7 Mogi149564%80.767.2+13.5
8 Sao Jose149564%80.976.8+4.1
9 Unifacisa137654%80.578.6+1.8
10 Paulistano158753%78.974.9+3.9
11 Bauru157847%74.276.1-1.9
12 Uniao Corinthians136746%76.881.7-4.8
13 Caxias do Sul136746%72.378.0-5.7
14 Cearense134931%81.986.9-5.0
15 Pato1441029%72.980.9-8.0
16 Osasco1641225%75.686.2-10.7
17 Rio Claro1641225%78.890.7-11.9
18 Cruzeiro1431121%76.486.7-10.4
19 Botafogo1531220%70.881.7-10.9
20 Vasco141137%66.579.4-12.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cearense1221212377
Paulistano32143222100
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