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Cedevita Junior vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 24 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 76-81
20-23 18-19 19-18 19-21
Position#13
Record4-8
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.8
Allowed / game81.5
vs
Sencur 🏆
Position#12
Record3-9
FormWLLLL
Points / game73.6
Allowed / game79.9
EuropeABA League 2Round 13· Dom Sportova
Other2023
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cedevita Junior winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Cedevita JuniorLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJunior
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#12
W
95-84
95
84
+11
91avg 79
A10/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
102-95
102
95
+7
105avg 79
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
L
72-83
72
83
-11
62avg 79
H16/02
Croatian Cup
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
83-81
83
81
+2
80avg 79
A24/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
102-68
102
68
+34
110avg 79
H02/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
L
82-90
82
90
-8
78avg 79
A08/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
96-89
96
89
+7
92avg 79
H13/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
55-66
55
66
-11
47avg 79
A17/03
Premijer liga
Podgorica
#5
L
79-85
79
85
-6
74avg 79
H19/03
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
80-83
80
83
-3
75avg 79
A21/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
23-19
29-23
27-19
16-23
35-18
21-21
26-25
20-31
25-22
20-13
9-23
18-25
24-21
29-24
14-13
16-23
30-22
26-15
22-17
24-14
22-10
20-24
15-28
25-28
25-23
25-28
20-19
26-19
12-17
13-19
16-13
14-17
26-21
17-22
16-20
20-22
17-21
27-14
15-22
21-26
167.0Avg total
84.6Scored
82.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)75.881.5157.2-5.833%
Season at home (5)79.281.2160.4-2.060%
Season away (7)73.381.7155.0-8.414%
Last 10 (10)84.682.4167.0+2.250%
Last 5 (5)78.482.6161.0-4.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)77.186.4163.5-9.212%
vs Similar ◀ (7)80.483.6164.0-3.157%
vs Weaker (14)86.877.8164.6+9.079%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
63avg 64
H30/01
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 64
A01/02
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 64
H03/02
ABA League 2
Polzela
#11
L
60-80
60
80
-20
42avg 64
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
69-61
69
61
+8
59avg 64
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
72avg 64
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
63-64
63
64
-1
53avg 64
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 64
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
75-87
75
87
-12
59avg 64
A20/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
76-79
76
79
-3
68avg 64
H22/03
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
13-17
21-21
17-25
22-12
19-25
10-19
22-28
22-20
12-18
21-19
14-27
30-21
16-29
18-20
9-13
17-18
16-19
22-16
23-14
8-12
22-20
21-22
14-15
24-18
15-18
19-10
17-22
12-14
25-20
20-25
25-28
22-27
22-18
18-28
16-14
19-27
21-25
20-18
17-18
18-18
153.7Avg total
73.9Scored
79.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (12)73.679.9153.5-6.325%
Season at home (7)75.376.4151.7-1.129%
Season away (5)71.284.8156.0-13.620%
Last 10 (10)73.979.8153.7-5.920%
Last 5 (5)77.481.0158.4-3.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)71.580.7152.2-9.225%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.778.5155.1-1.840%
vs Weaker (3)80.372.3152.7+8.067%
This opponent (Cedevita Junior) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +4.5+4.5Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +2.4+2.4Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -3.0-3.0Q4Q4: -2.8-2.8Q4: +0.7+0.7
Cedevita JuniorSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Cedevita JuniorLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Skrljevo
#12
W
52-42
52
42
+10
A10/02
Premijer liga
Dinamo Zagreb
#6
W
56-39
56
39
+17
H13/02
Croatian Cup
Zadar
#1
W
45-35
45
35
+10
H16/02
Croatian Cup
GKK Sibenka
#10
W
53-45
53
45
+8
A24/02
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
56-37
56
37
+19
H02/03
Premijer liga
Zabok
#7
W
42-34
42
34
+8
A08/03
Premijer liga
GKK Sibenka
#10
L
50-51
50
51
-1
H13/03
Premijer liga
Dubrovnik
#8
L
25-36
25
36
-11
A17/03
Premijer liga
Podgorica
#5
D
43-43
43
43
+0
H19/03
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
W
44-35
44
35
+9
A21/03
ABA League 2
86.3Avg total
46.6Scored
39.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.440.285.6+5.263%-
Last 30 at home (14)47.440.688.0+6.764%-
Last 30 away (16)43.839.883.6+3.962%-
Last 10 (10)46.639.786.3+6.970%-
Last 5 (5)40.839.880.6+1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)43.241.484.6+1.938%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)45.740.486.1+5.371%-
vs Weaker (14)46.939.986.8+6.971%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
MZT Skopje
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/01
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/02
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/02
ABA League 2
Polzela
#11
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Zlatibor
#3
L
40-46
40
46
-6
A20/03
ABA League 2
Siroki Brijeg
#4
L
41-43
41
43
-2
H22/03
ABA League 2
77.8Avg total
37.1Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.439.577.9-1.250%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.838.879.6+2.156%-
Last 30 away (14)35.640.476.0-4.943%-
Last 10 (10)37.140.777.8-3.630%-
Last 5 (5)40.640.881.4-0.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)37.741.278.9-3.633%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.639.177.7-0.560%-
vs Weaker (3)40.034.774.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Cedevita Junior) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cedevita Juniortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cedevita Junior: 83.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.8 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.4 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.020.9
58.1%
53.6%41.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.79.2
34.5%
31.5%27.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.4
73.8%
73.7%14.4
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 73.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.2 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.521.1
50.8%
53.6%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.87.0
28.2%
31.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws14.810.2
68.9%
73.7%10.2
They take 66.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 37% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 24 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cedevita Junior
LLLWLWWLWW
Sencur
LLLLWWLLLL
#13
League position
#12
+3.2
Net rating
-7.4
111.0
Offensive rating
96.9
107.9
Defensive rating
104.3
55.3%
Effective FG%
47.7%
50.9%
Opp. effective FG%
55.4%
16.7%
Turnover %
18.1%
24.4%
Off. rebound %
27.7%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.22
34.5%
3-point %
28.2%
72.1%
Assist %
57.7%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence111.0 · 96.9Defence107.9 · 104.3Shooting55.3% · 47.7%3-point %34.5% · 28.2%Ball care16.7% · 18.1%Off. rebounds24.4% · 27.7%Free throws0.31 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)50% · 20%
■ Cedevita Junior   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cedevita Junior wins
0
Sencur wins
No previous meetings.
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24ASpartak Subotica80-83
19/03/24HPodgorica79-85
17/03/24ADubrovnik55-66
13/03/24HGKK Sibenka96-89
08/03/24AZabok82-90
02/03/24HZabok102-68
24/02/24AGKK Sibenka83-81
16/02/24HZadar72-83
13/02/24HDinamo Zagreb102-95
10/02/24ASkrljevo95-84
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24HSiroki Brijeg76-79
20/03/24AZlatibor75-87
16/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija92-100
13/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj63-64
06/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto81-75
02/03/24HRogaska69-61
06/02/24APolzela60-80
03/02/24HTFT Skopje77-85
01/02/24AVojvodina Novi Sad73-92
30/01/24HMZT Skopje73-75

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cedevita Junior
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL33%
HomeLWWWL60%
AwayLLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1257
Win %33%60%14%
Points / game75.879.273.3
Allowed / game81.581.281.7
Point differential-5.8-2.0-8.4
Avg total157.2160.4155.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%0%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL25%
HomeWWLLL29%
AwayWLLLL20%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1275
Win %25%29%20%
Points / game73.675.371.2
Allowed / game79.976.484.8
Point differential-6.3-1.1-13.6
Avg total153.5151.7156.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+8%14%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)25% (4)100% (1)
Overtime %8%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spartak Subotica1311285%86.176.5+9.6
2 Vojvodina Novi Sad1714382%81.572.7+8.8
3 Zlatibor1310377%88.678.9+9.7
4 MZT Skopje128467%84.177.9+6.2
5 Siroki Brijeg128467%77.575.1+2.4
6 Podgorica138562%78.977.8+1.2
7 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
8 Borac Banja Luka136746%66.667.2-0.5
9 Helios Domzale136746%71.271.8-0.6
10 Sutjeska136746%76.978.2-1.3
11 Pelister135838%77.280.2-3.0
12 Cedevita Junior124833%75.881.5-5.8
13 Sencur123925%73.679.9-6.3
14 GKK Sibenka1321115%74.683.6-9.0
15 TFT Skopje1321115%70.281.0-10.8
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cedevita Junior2018191976
Sencur2319182181
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18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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