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Sencur vs Rogaska Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 02 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 12:00
Final 69-61
16-19 22-16 23-14 8-12
Position#5
Record8-10
FormLLLLL
Points / game77.1
Allowed / game80.1
Sencur 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#8
Record6-12
FormLWLLL
Points / game75.7
Allowed / game78.4
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 19· Sportna dvorana Sencur
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sencur v Rogaska
05 Dec 2026
SENC v ROGA
upcoming
09 Mar 2026
SENC79
ROGA78
14 Feb 2026
SENC82
ROGA61
10 Jan 2025
SENC92
ROGA68
02 Mar 2024
SENC69
ROGA61
05 Jan 2024
SENC74
ROGA73
16 Apr 2023
SENC92
ROGA73
05 Nov 2022
SENC86
ROGA59
04 May 2022
SENC92
ROGA96
13 Nov 2021
SENC92
ROGA62
17 Apr 2021
SENC87
ROGA90
17 Oct 2020
SENC78
ROGA77
04 Jan 2020
SENC92
ROGA53
27 Oct 2018
SENC79
ROGA81
14 Apr 2018
SENC75
ROGA82
03 Feb 2018
SENC79
ROGA64
08 Jan 2018
SENC78
ROGA52
10 Jan 2017
SENC75
ROGA76
10 Dec 2016
SENC63
ROGA77
28 Nov 2015
SENC72
ROGA70
22 Oct 2014
SENC61
ROGA77
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sencur winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Rogaska winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
61avg 63
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 63
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
82-61
82
61
+21
76avg 63
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 63
A16/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
50-76
50
76
-26
30avg 63
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 63
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
63avg 63
H30/01
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 63
A01/02
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 63
H03/02
ABA League 2
Polzela
#11
L
60-80
60
80
-20
42avg 63
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-17
20-20
15-18
21-18
23-18
12-22
21-17
12-20
26-12
21-16
20-12
15-21
28-14
15-23
15-15
17-16
14-20
12-20
7-16
17-20
17-25
32-25
16-21
19-18
13-17
21-21
17-25
22-12
19-25
10-19
22-28
22-20
12-18
21-19
14-27
30-21
16-29
18-20
9-13
17-18
149.2Avg total
71.6Scored
77.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)77.180.1157.1-3.044%
Season at home (9)85.175.7160.8+9.478%
Season away (9)69.084.4153.4-15.411%
Last 10 (10)71.677.6149.2-6.030%
Last 5 (5)73.484.2157.6-10.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)69.680.8150.3-11.222%
vs Similar ◀ (18)77.579.7157.2-2.244%
vs Weaker (3)80.372.3152.7+8.067%
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormRogaska
Date
Competition
Vojnik
#8
W
95-60
95
60
+35
no box
H20/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
93-95
93
95
-2
89avg 76
A23/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
73-74
73
74
-1
74avg 76
A05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
99-94
99
94
+5
97avg 76
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
87-99
87
99
-12
87avg 76
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
76-82
76
82
-6
72avg 76
A16/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
77-69
77
69
+8
78avg 76
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
67-75
67
75
-8
58avg 76
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
L
98-99 OT
98
99
-1
no box
A05/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
L
72-85
72
85
-13
65avg 76
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-22
26-17
26-6
25-15
16-23
28-17
31-26
18-29
17-18
20-20
18-15
18-21
27-22
15-19
23-23
34-30
25-17
22-21
33-22
7-39
22-19
12-24
20-16
22-23
22-19
21-19
12-17
22-14
17-21
17-18
20-25
13-11
19-18
25-25
14-16
21-25
17-24
27-20
19-25
9-16
166.9Avg total
83.7Scored
83.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (18)75.778.4154.1-2.833%
Season at home (9)81.381.4162.8-0.156%
Season away (9)70.075.4145.4-5.411%
Last 10 (10)83.783.2166.9+0.530%
Last 5 (5)78.082.0160.0-4.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)78.386.0164.3-7.743%
vs Similar ◀ (15)76.778.4155.1-1.740%
vs Weaker (7)86.477.3163.7+9.157%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: -0.9-0.9Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -2.3-2.3Q2: +1.3+1.3Q3Q3: -3.6-3.6Q3: +2.5+2.5Q4Q4: +0.8+0.8Q4: -3.4-3.4
SencurRogaska
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rogaska
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A16/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/01
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/02
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/02
ABA League 2
Polzela
#11
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
76.8Avg total
36.8Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.039.977.9-1.950%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.779.6+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)34.741.275.9-6.543%-
Last 10 (10)36.840.076.8-3.230%-
Last 5 (5)35.843.679.4-7.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)36.440.476.9-4.033%-
vs Similar ◀ (18)38.440.478.9-2.056%-
vs Weaker (3)40.034.774.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Rogaska) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
RogaskaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vojnik
#8
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H20/12
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
44-40
44
40
+4
A23/12
Liga Nova KBM
Sencur
#5
L
37-38
37
38
-1
A05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
42-41
42
41
+1
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H12/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
34-43
34
43
-9
A16/01
Liga Nova KBM
Polzela
#11
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H27/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
34-39
34
39
-5
A03/02
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#5
W
44-43
44
43
+1
A05/02
Slovenian Cup
KK Krka Novo mesto
#9
D
44-44
44
44
+0
H15/02
Slovenian Cup
81.6Avg total
41.3Scored
40.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)42.439.682.0+2.962%-
Last 30 at home (15)43.440.784.1+2.767%-
Last 30 away (14)41.438.479.8+3.157%-
Last 10 (10)41.340.381.6+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.841.481.2-1.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)40.941.382.1-0.457%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)41.440.481.7+1.050%-
vs Weaker (7)45.637.983.4+7.786%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 70.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀56%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.8 pts a game · 56% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.0 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.819.9
52.6%
52.9%39.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.97.0
26.0%
33.0%21.0
🏀 Free throws15.510.0
64.5%
74.0%10.0
They take 64.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Rogaskatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Rogaska: 80.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.3 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.419.1
55.5%
52.9%38.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.59.1
37.1%
33.0%27.3
🏀 Free throws18.515.2
82.2%
74.0%15.2
They take 58.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 02 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sencur
LLLLLLWWLW
Rogaska
LLLWLLWLLW
#5
League position
#8
-7.8
Net rating
-5.9
95.2
Offensive rating
110.6
103.0
Defensive rating
116.5
47.0%
Effective FG%
55.6%
53.3%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
17.8%
Turnover %
23.1%
28.0%
Off. rebound %
36.2%
0.24
Free-throw rate
0.31
26.0%
3-point %
37.1%
54.3%
Assist %
55.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence95.2 · 110.6Defence103.0 · 116.5Shooting47.0% · 55.6%3-point %26.0% · 37.1%Ball care17.8% · 23.1%Off. rebounds28.0% · 36.2%Free throws0.24 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 30%
■ Sencur   ■ Rogaska
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
5
Sencur wins
5
Rogaska wins
DateGameScore
05/01/24Sencur v Rogaska74-73
28/10/23Rogaska v Sencur84-67
16/04/23Sencur v Rogaska92-73
21/01/23Rogaska v Sencur76-80
05/11/22Sencur v Rogaska86-59
07/05/22Rogaska v Sencur87-72
04/05/22Sencur v Rogaska92-96
29/01/22Rogaska v Sencur86-78
13/11/21Sencur v Rogaska92-62
17/04/21Sencur v Rogaska87-90
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/02/24APolzela60-80
03/02/24HTFT Skopje77-85
01/02/24AVojvodina Novi Sad73-92
30/01/24HMZT Skopje73-75
24/01/24HKK Krka Novo mesto84-89
19/01/24AHelios Domzale50-76
16/01/24AHelios Domzale75-68
13/01/24HTajfun Sentjur82-61
09/01/24HHelios Domzale68-77
05/01/24HRogaska74-73
Rogaskalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/02/24HKK Krka Novo mesto72-85
05/02/24APerspektiva Ilirija98-99 OT
03/02/24AKK Triglav Kranj67-75
27/01/24HPolzela77-69
16/01/24AKK Krka Novo mesto76-82
12/01/24HHelios Domzale87-99
09/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija99-94
05/01/24ASencur73-74
23/12/23ATajfun Sentjur93-95
20/12/23HVojnik95-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL44%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %44%78%11%
Points / game77.185.169.0
Allowed / game80.175.784.4
Point differential-3.0+9.4-15.4
Avg total157.1160.8153.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+28%44%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %11%11%11%
Rogaska
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL33%
HomeLWLLW56%
AwayLLLLL11%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1899
Win %33%56%11%
Points / game75.781.370.0
Allowed / game78.481.475.4
Point differential-2.8-0.1-5.4
Avg total154.1162.8145.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%22%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (6)67% (3)0% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1916384%92.277.7+14.5
2 Helios Domzale1814478%84.776.6+8.2
3 Perspektiva Ilirija1913668%81.376.6+4.6
4 LTH Castings189950%83.285.6-2.4
5 Sencur1881044%77.180.1-3.0
6 Tajfun Sentjur1881044%79.384.1-4.8
7 KK Triglav Kranj1871139%75.376.5-1.2
8 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1971237%81.785.6-3.9
9 Rogaska1861233%75.778.4-2.8
10 Polzela1941521%77.486.9-9.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sencur162223869
Rogaska1916141261
← all games of the day
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