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Polzela vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 06 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 80-60
29-16 20-18 13-9 18-17
Position#11
Record3-14
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.0
Allowed / game88.6
Polzela 🏆
Slovenia
vs
Position#5
Record8-9
FormLLLLL
Points / game78.1
Allowed / game80.1
SloveniaLiga Nova KBMRound 18· Sportna dvorana Polzela
Other2023-24
Meetings · Polzela v Sencur
19 Dec 2026
POLZ v SENC
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
POLZ81
SENC85
06 Feb 2024
POLZ80
SENC60
29 Nov 2022
POLZ82
SENC77
16 Oct 2021
POLZ77
SENC84
10 Oct 2020
POLZ84
SENC79
08 Feb 2020
POLZ71
SENC66
08 Dec 2018
POLZ99
SENC76
14 Oct 2017
POLZ73
SENC80
23 Dec 2016
POLZ72
SENC65
16 Mar 2016
POLZ82
SENC76
02 Mar 2016
POLZ84
SENC81
11 Apr 2015
POLZ68
SENC79
31 Jan 2015
POLZ78
SENC75
27 Mar 2010
POLZ93
SENC65
27 Feb 2010
POLZ94
SENC61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Polzela winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PolzelaSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPolzela
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
W
102-91
102
91
+11
no box
A21/11
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
W
95-94 OT
95
94
+1
no box
A27/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
L
66-78
66
78
-12
58avg 69
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
92-111
92
111
-19
85avg 69
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
84-102
84
102
-18
79avg 69
A16/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
72-96
72
96
-24
58avg 69
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
81-103
81
103
-22
79avg 69
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 69
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
59-77
59
77
-18
45avg 69
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
69-77
69
77
-8
59avg 69
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-27
22-27
31-14
24-23
19-25
23-15
20-29
26-19
15-15
25-18
10-27
16-18
26-34
21-25
27-27
18-25
21-27
26-28
18-23
19-24
12-20
25-26
11-33
24-17
22-19
20-23
14-36
25-25
20-21
11-20
28-17
15-18
15-20
13-17
19-21
12-19
19-22
19-21
17-12
14-22
169.9Avg total
79.4Scored
90.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.088.6166.6-10.618%
Season at home (8)76.487.6164.0-11.212%
Season away (9)79.489.6169.0-10.122%
Last 10 (10)79.490.5169.9-11.120%
Last 5 (5)71.085.8156.8-14.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)81.397.4178.7-16.113%
vs Similar ◀ (12)76.382.3158.7-6.025%
vs Weaker (2)90.593.5184.0-3.050%
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurSloveniaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
95-98 OT
95
98
-3
no box
A26/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
74-73
74
73
+1
61avg 64
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
L
68-77
68
77
-9
60avg 64
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
82-61
82
61
+21
76avg 64
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
W
75-68
75
68
+7
70avg 64
A16/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
50-76
50
76
-26
30avg 64
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 64
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
63avg 64
H30/01
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 64
A01/02
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 64
H03/02
ABA League 2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
20-11
17-27
24-16
18-17
20-20
15-18
21-18
23-18
12-22
21-17
12-20
26-12
21-16
20-12
15-21
28-14
15-23
15-15
17-16
14-20
12-20
7-16
17-20
17-25
32-25
16-21
19-18
13-17
21-21
17-25
22-12
19-25
10-19
22-28
22-20
12-18
21-19
14-27
30-21
154.5Avg total
75.1Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (17)78.180.1158.1-2.047%
Season at home (9)85.175.7160.8+9.478%
Season away (8)70.185.0155.1-14.912%
Last 10 (10)75.179.4154.5-4.330%
Last 5 (5)71.483.4154.8-12.00%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)69.681.8151.4-12.220%
vs Similar ◀ (17)78.579.7158.2-1.247%
vs Weaker (3)80.372.3152.7+8.067%
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -3.6-3.6Q1: -0.3-0.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -4.4-4.4Q3: -4.2-4.2Q4Q4: -1.7-1.7Q4: +1.7+1.7
PolzelaSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PolzelaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Tajfun Sentjur
#11
L
47-54
47
54
-7
A21/11
Slovenian Cup
Sencur
#5
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A27/11
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#3
W
40-33
40
33
+7
A04/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
47-59
47
59
-12
H10/12
Liga Nova KBM
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
L
47-55
47
55
-8
A16/12
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
37-46
37
46
-9
A22/12
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
D
42-42
42
42
+0
H06/01
Liga Nova KBM
LTH Castings
#7
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
L
28-37
28
37
-9
H20/01
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A27/01
Liga Nova KBM
84.9Avg total
39.9Scored
45.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.846.487.2-5.717%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.346.485.7-7.17%-
Last 30 away (16)42.146.488.5-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)39.945.084.9-5.120%-
Last 5 (5)35.241.877.0-6.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)42.248.190.3-5.913%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)38.243.881.9-5.617%-
vs Weaker (2)41.051.592.5-10.50%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Terme Olimia Podčetrtek
#6
W
36-34
36
34
+2
A26/12
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
38-37
38
37
+1
H05/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H09/01
Slovenian Cup
Tajfun Sentjur
#9
W
47-28
47
28
+19
H13/01
Liga Nova KBM
Helios Domzale
#16
W
43-37
43
37
+6
A16/01
Slovenian Cup
Helios Domzale
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/01
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/02
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/02
ABA League 2
75.5Avg total
37.0Scored
38.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.978.2-1.550%-
Last 30 at home (16)40.938.779.6+2.256%-
Last 30 away (14)35.441.276.6-5.843%-
Last 10 (10)37.038.575.5-1.540%-
Last 5 (5)34.241.876.0-7.60%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)37.241.378.5-4.130%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)38.739.978.6-1.259%-
vs Weaker (3)40.034.774.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Polzela) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Polzelatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Polzela: 75.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.0 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.521.5
49.4%
52.9%43.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.16.9
32.7%
33.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws17.211.8
68.6%
74.0%11.8
They take 64.6 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 21.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 33% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 72.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀28%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.7 pts a game · 28% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.8 points a game
50%
33%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.520.8
54.0%
52.9%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.66.9
27.0%
33.0%20.7
🏀 Free throws16.010.5
65.6%
74.0%10.5
They take 64.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 41%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 06 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Polzela
LLLLLLLLWW
Sencur
LLLLLWWLWL
#11
League position
#5
-14.7
Net rating
-1.8
98.8
Offensive rating
98.8
113.5
Defensive rating
100.5
49.3%
Effective FG%
48.6%
55.7%
Opp. effective FG%
51.4%
20.5%
Turnover %
17.0%
29.9%
Off. rebound %
28.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.25
32.7%
3-point %
27.0%
65.5%
Assist %
54.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence98.8 · 98.8Defence113.5 · 100.5Shooting49.3% · 48.6%3-point %32.7% · 27.0%Ball care20.5% · 17.0%Off. rebounds29.9% · 28.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)20% · 30%
■ Polzela   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Polzela wins
6
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
27/11/23Sencur v Polzela94-95 OT
03/03/23Sencur v Polzela83-68
05/02/23Sencur v Polzela76-63
29/11/22Polzela v Sencur82-77
28/12/21Sencur v Polzela100-82
16/10/21Polzela v Sencur77-84
19/12/20Sencur v Polzela97-65
10/10/20Polzela v Sencur84-79
08/02/20Polzela v Sencur71-66
30/11/19Sencur v Polzela92-90
Polzelalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
27/01/24ARogaska69-77
20/01/24HTerme Olimia Podčetrtek59-77
13/01/24ALTH Castings74-76
06/01/24HPerspektiva Ilirija81-103
22/12/23AKK Triglav Kranj72-96
16/12/23ATajfun Sentjur84-102
10/12/23HKK Krka Novo mesto92-111
04/12/23AHelios Domzale66-78
27/11/23ASencur95-94 OT
21/11/23ATajfun Sentjur102-91
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
03/02/24HTFT Skopje77-85
01/02/24AVojvodina Novi Sad73-92
30/01/24HMZT Skopje73-75
24/01/24HKK Krka Novo mesto84-89
19/01/24AHelios Domzale50-76
16/01/24AHelios Domzale75-68
13/01/24HTajfun Sentjur82-61
09/01/24HHelios Domzale68-77
05/01/24HRogaska74-73
26/12/23ATerme Olimia Podčetrtek95-98 OT

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Polzela
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL18%
HomeLWLLL12%
AwayLLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1789
Win %18%12%22%
Points / game78.076.479.4
Allowed / game88.687.689.6
Point differential-10.6-11.2-10.1
Avg total166.6164.0169.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+6%0%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)33% (3)50% (2)
Overtime %6%0%11%
Sencur
Liga Nova KBM 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWLL47%
HomeWWWWL78%
AwayWLLLL12%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1798
Win %47%78%12%
Points / game78.185.170.1
Allowed / game80.175.785.0
Point differential-2.0+9.4-14.9
Avg total158.1160.8155.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+29%44%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won25% (4)33% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %12%11%12%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 KK Krka Novo mesto1715288%91.576.5+15.1
2 Helios Domzale1713476%83.575.2+8.4
3 Perspektiva Ilirija1711665%80.878.1+2.8
4 LTH Castings189950%83.285.6-2.4
5 Sencur178947%78.180.1-2.0
6 Tajfun Sentjur1881044%79.384.1-4.8
7 Terme Olimia Podčetrtek1771041%83.485.0-1.6
8 KK Triglav Kranj1871139%75.376.5-1.2
9 Rogaska1861233%75.778.4-2.8
10 Polzela1731418%78.088.6-10.6
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Polzela2920131880
Sencur161891760
← all games of the day
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