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Zlatibor vs Sencur Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 14:00
Final 87-75
18-22 28-18 14-16 27-19
Position#3
Record8-2
FormLWWWW
Points / game90.0
Allowed / game78.3
vs
Position#12
Record3-7
FormLWWLL
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game79.3
EuropeABA League 2Round 11· Cajetina Sports Hall
Other2023
Meetings · Zlatibor v Sencur
20 Mar 2024
ZLA87
SENC75
24 Nov 2022
ZLA71
SENC62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Zlatibor winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sencur winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ZlatiborLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormZlatibor
Date
Competition
Mladost Zemun
#13
W
82-81
82
81
+1
88avg 82
A26/01
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
81-79
81
79
+2
78avg 82
A29/01
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
90-68
90
68
+22
100avg 82
H31/01
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
L
95-102
95
102
-7
86avg 82
A02/02
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#1
L
74-82
74
82
-8
64avg 82
H07/02
First League
Spartak Subotica
#2
L
71-79
71
79
-8
63avg 82
A10/02
First League
Vrsac
#4
W
87-85
87
85
+2
89avg 82
H27/02
First League
KK Metalac
#10
W
90-83
90
83
+7
84avg 82
A02/03
First League
Dynamic
#9
W
82-76
82
76
+6
76avg 82
H09/03
First League
Sloga
#12
W
86-59
86
59
+27
83avg 82
H15/03
First League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-19
18-12
18-29
26-21
21-19
21-21
24-19
15-20
20-29
29-19
23-8
18-12
29-21
20-23
20-20
26-38
14-28
15-20
26-17
19-17
16-19
24-22
14-24
17-14
22-22
21-23
26-21
18-19
31-18
19-24
22-22
18-19
20-18
25-20
23-14
14-24
28-18
18-13
25-14
15-14
163.2Avg total
83.8Scored
79.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)90.078.3168.3+11.780%
Season at home (4)89.072.0161.0+17.0100%
Season away (6)90.782.5173.2+8.267%
Last 10 (10)83.879.4163.2+4.470%
Last 5 (5)83.276.4159.6+6.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)79.283.0162.2-3.825%
vs Similar (6)88.290.7178.8-2.550%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)88.579.0167.6+9.590%
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormSencur
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
L
50-76
50
76
-26
30avg 64
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
84-89
84
89
-5
70avg 64
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#6
L
73-75
73
75
-2
63avg 64
H30/01
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
73-92
73
92
-19
61avg 64
A01/02
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
77-85
77
85
-8
68avg 64
H03/02
ABA League 2
Polzela
#11
L
60-80
60
80
-20
42avg 64
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
69-61
69
61
+8
59avg 64
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
81-75
81
75
+6
72avg 64
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
L
63-64
63
64
-1
53avg 64
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
L
92-100
92
100
-8
87avg 64
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-20
12-20
7-16
17-20
17-25
32-25
16-21
19-18
13-17
21-21
17-25
22-12
19-25
10-19
22-28
22-20
12-18
21-19
14-27
30-21
16-29
18-20
9-13
17-18
16-19
22-16
23-14
8-12
22-20
21-22
14-15
24-18
15-18
19-10
17-22
12-14
25-20
20-25
25-28
22-27
151.9Avg total
72.2Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (10)73.279.3152.5-6.130%
Season at home (6)75.276.0151.2-0.833%
Season away (4)70.284.2154.5-14.025%
Last 10 (10)72.279.7151.9-7.520%
Last 5 (5)73.076.0149.0-3.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)70.780.2150.9-9.530%
vs Similar (17)76.880.2157.0-3.441%
vs Weaker (3)80.372.3152.7+8.067%
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: +1.0+1.0Q1: -4.2-4.2Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: -0.1-0.1Q3Q3: +3.3+3.3Q3: -4.5-4.5Q4Q4: -1.2-1.2Q4: +1.3+1.3
ZlatiborSencur
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ZlatiborLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Mladost Zemun
#13
W
38-31
38
31
+7
A26/01
First League
Borac Banja Luka
#8
W
42-40
42
40
+2
A29/01
ABA League 2
Podgorica
#5
W
49-48
49
48
+1
H31/01
ABA League 2
Spartak Subotica
#1
W
49-44
49
44
+5
A02/02
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#1
L
29-48
29
48
-19
H07/02
First League
Spartak Subotica
#2
L
40-41
40
41
-1
A10/02
First League
Vrsac
#4
L
43-45
43
45
-2
H27/02
First League
KK Metalac
#10
W
50-42
50
42
+8
A02/03
First League
Dynamic
#9
W
45-38
45
38
+7
H09/03
First League
Sloga
#12
W
46-31
46
31
+15
H15/03
First League
83.9Avg total
43.1Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.841.886.6+3.070%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.641.187.7+5.475%-
Last 30 away (14)42.842.585.3+0.364%-
Last 10 (10)43.140.883.9+2.370%-
Last 5 (5)44.839.484.2+5.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)39.843.883.5-4.025%-
vs Similar (6)46.743.790.3+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)45.240.886.0+4.580%-
This opponent (Sencur) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SencurLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Helios Domzale
#3
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A19/01
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
L
49-50
49
50
-1
H24/01
Liga Nova KBM
MZT Skopje
#6
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H30/01
ABA League 2
Vojvodina Novi Sad
#2
L
29-44
29
44
-15
A01/02
ABA League 2
TFT Skopje
#15
L
33-37
33
37
-4
H03/02
ABA League 2
Polzela
#11
L
34-49
34
49
-15
A06/02
Liga Nova KBM
Rogaska
#8
W
38-35
38
35
+3
H02/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Krka Novo mesto
#2
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H06/03
Liga Nova KBM
KK Triglav Kranj
#10
W
34-28
34
28
+6
A13/03
Liga Nova KBM
Perspektiva Ilirija
#4
D
45-45
45
45
+0
A16/03
Liga Nova KBM
77.3Avg total
36.5Scored
40.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.339.878.1-1.553%-
Last 30 at home (16)41.038.879.8+2.262%-
Last 30 away (14)35.241.176.3-5.943%-
Last 10 (10)36.540.877.3-4.330%-
Last 5 (5)38.839.878.6-1.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)37.140.677.7-3.540%-
vs Similar (17)38.740.379.0-1.659%-
vs Weaker (3)40.034.774.7+5.367%-
This opponent (Zlatibor) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Zlatibortheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Zlatibor: 83.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀42%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 42% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws18.1 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.517.3
54.9%
53.6%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.810.2
38.1%
31.5%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.418.1
84.6%
73.7%18.1
They take 58.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Sencurtheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sencur: 71.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀57%
🏀🏀🏀29%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.6 pts a game · 57% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.0 pts a game · 29% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.1 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 76.9 points a game
50%
32%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.820.3
49.8%
53.6%40.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.37.0
27.7%
31.5%21.0
🏀 Free throws14.710.1
68.7%
73.7%10.1
They take 66.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 38% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Zlatibor
WWWWLLLWWW
Sencur
LLWWLLLLLL
#3
League position
#12
+5.6
Net rating
-9.6
113.0
Offensive rating
95.6
107.4
Defensive rating
105.2
55.9%
Effective FG%
46.6%
53.1%
Opp. effective FG%
55.5%
17.3%
Turnover %
17.5%
24.8%
Off. rebound %
27.4%
0.37
Free-throw rate
0.22
38.1%
3-point %
27.7%
66.5%
Assist %
54.9%
70%
Form (last 10/10)
20%

Profile

Offence113.0 · 95.6Defence107.4 · 105.2Shooting55.9% · 46.6%3-point %38.1% · 27.7%Ball care17.3% · 17.5%Off. rebounds24.8% · 27.4%Free throws0.37 · 0.22Form (last 10/10)70% · 20%
■ Zlatibor   ■ Sencur
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
1
Zlatibor wins
0
Sencur wins
DateGameScore
24/11/22Zlatibor v Sencur71-62
Zlatiborlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
15/03/24HSloga86-59
09/03/24HDynamic82-76
02/03/24AKK Metalac90-83
27/02/24HVrsac87-85
10/02/24ASpartak Subotica71-79
07/02/24HVojvodina Novi Sad74-82
02/02/24ASpartak Subotica95-102
31/01/24HPodgorica90-68
29/01/24ABorac Banja Luka81-79
26/01/24AMladost Zemun82-81
Sencurlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/03/24APerspektiva Ilirija92-100
13/03/24AKK Triglav Kranj63-64
06/03/24HKK Krka Novo mesto81-75
02/03/24HRogaska69-61
06/02/24APolzela60-80
03/02/24HTFT Skopje77-85
01/02/24AVojvodina Novi Sad73-92
30/01/24HMZT Skopje73-75
24/01/24HKK Krka Novo mesto84-89
19/01/24AHelios Domzale50-76

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Zlatibor
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWL80%
HomeWWWW100%
AwayWLWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1046
Win %80%100%67%
Points / game90.089.090.7
Allowed / game78.372.082.5
Point differential+11.7+17.0+8.2
Avg total168.3161.0173.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+60%75%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (2)-50% (2)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sencur
ABA League 2 2023
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL30%
HomeLWWLL33%
AwayWLLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1064
Win %30%33%25%
Points / game73.275.270.2
Allowed / game79.376.084.2
Point differential-6.1-0.8-14.0
Avg total152.5151.2154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+10%17%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)33% (3)100% (1)
Overtime %10%17%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Spartak Subotica119282%86.275.7+10.5
2 Zlatibor108280%90.078.3+11.7
3 Vojvodina Novi Sad1512380%82.074.1+7.9
4 MZT Skopje118373%84.076.8+7.2
5 Siroki Brijeg117464%77.475.0+2.4
6 Podgorica117464%78.677.6+1.0
7 KK Bosna42250%78.078.5-0.5
8 Borac Banja Luka115645%71.270.7+0.5
9 Sutjeska115645%76.878.4-1.5
10 Pelister115645%76.579.0-2.5
11 Helios Domzale114736%75.478.0-2.6
12 Cedevita Junior114736%75.481.4-6.0
13 Sencur103730%73.279.3-6.1
14 TFT Skopje112918%71.581.1-9.6
15 GKK Sibenka111109%73.584.6-11.1
16 Perspektiva Ilirija2020%75.580.0-4.5
17 Spars Ilidza2020%79.095.5-16.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Zlatibor1828142787
Sencur2218161975
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