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Cento vs Avellino Basket Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 11 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 19:30
Final 68-73
28-22 16-21 8-16 16-14
Position#15
Record4-10
FormWWLLL
Points / game69.8
Allowed / game78.1
vs
Position#11
Record7-7
FormLWLWW
Points / game77.2
Allowed / game78.3
ItalySerie A2Round 13· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cento v Avellino Basket
07 Mar 2027
CENT v AVEL
upcoming
07 Dec 2025
CENT101
AVEL90
11 Dec 2024
CENT68
AVEL73
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Avellino Basket winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
67-87
67
87
-20
53avg 64
A16/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 64
H20/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 64
A27/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 64
H03/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
77-80
77
80
-3
65avg 64
A06/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
67-53
67
53
+14
61avg 64
H10/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 64
H13/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
48avg 64
A17/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
49avg 64
H29/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
59-84
59
84
-25
44avg 64
A07/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
10-15
16-25
19-28
22-19
11-15
13-9
21-23
22-27
16-24
11-29
22-13
16-19
15-19
23-14
12-22
20-11
26-15
9-21
12-20
30-24
9-8
20-21
15-16
23-8
24-26
15-23
33-19
16-19
12-17
17-20
11-19
20-22
13-25
10-26
23-16
16-12
17-19
13-19
11-23
18-23
145.5Avg total
68.2Scored
77.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)69.878.1147.9-8.329%
Season at home (7)74.473.9148.3+0.657%
Season away (7)65.182.3147.4-17.10%
Last 10 (10)68.277.3145.5-9.130%
Last 5 (5)67.276.2143.4-9.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.882.7150.5-14.90%
vs Similar ◀ (15)77.874.1151.9+3.773%
vs Weaker (5)77.479.0156.4-1.640%
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBasket
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
92-83
92
83
+9
96avg 71
A16/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
64-73
64
73
-9
58avg 71
H20/10
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
53avg 71
H03/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
71-83
71
83
-12
61avg 71
A06/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
84-68
84
68
+16
82avg 71
H10/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
78-80
78
80
-2
72avg 71
A13/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
92-74
92
74
+18
92avg 71
H17/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
64-92
64
92
-28
52avg 71
A28/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
83-81 OT
83
81
+2
82avg 71
H01/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
90-85 OT
90
85
+5
79avg 71
A06/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-23
24-24
23-10
23-26
14-14
18-20
17-17
15-22
17-22
16-14
15-22
15-18
15-18
14-23
24-14
18-28
17-12
18-15
34-15
15-26
21-25
19-17
19-16
19-22
25-25
24-20
24-15
19-14
18-30
6-21
18-23
22-18
17-17
24-20
13-18
17-16
22-13
22-19
17-20
16-25
157.6Avg total
78.1Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (14)77.278.3155.5-1.150%
Season at home (7)76.074.1150.1+1.957%
Season away (7)78.482.4160.9-4.043%
Last 10 (10)78.179.5157.6-1.450%
Last 5 (5)81.482.4163.8-1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)67.079.5146.5-12.50%
vs Similar ◀ (9)75.377.8153.1-2.444%
vs Weaker (3)89.779.0168.7+10.7100%
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
-8-4+0+4+8Q1Q1: -3.0-3.0Q1: -1.1-1.1Q2Q2: -6.0-6.0Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +3.4+3.4Q4Q4: +1.9+1.9Q4: -3.6-3.6
CentoAvellino Basket
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
26-40
26
40
-14
A16/10
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H20/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A27/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H10/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H13/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A17/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H29/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/12
Serie A2
69.0Avg total
30.0Scored
39.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.739.776.5-3.043%-
Last 30 at home (15)36.936.973.8-0.153%-
Last 30 away (15)36.642.579.1-5.933%-
Last 10 (10)30.039.069.0-9.010%-
Last 5 (5)30.040.870.8-10.80%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.141.373.4-9.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)38.539.177.6-0.747%-
vs Weaker (5)40.838.479.2+2.480%-
This opponent (Avellino Basket) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Avellino BasketLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
46-47
46
47
-1
A16/10
Serie A2
Forli
#6
L
32-34
32
34
-2
H20/10
Serie A2
Udine
#1
L
33-36
33
36
-3
H03/11
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
29-41
29
41
-12
A06/11
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#17
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H10/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
40-42
40
42
-2
A13/11
Serie A2
Nardo
#19
W
49-45
49
45
+4
H17/11
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
L
24-51
24
51
-27
A28/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#12
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H01/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
44-32
44
32
+12
A06/12
Serie A2
76.5Avg total
37.3Scored
39.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (14)37.138.675.6-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (7)37.735.773.4+2.071%-
Last 30 away (7)36.441.477.9-5.014%-
Last 10 (10)37.339.276.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)39.641.481.0-1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)31.038.569.5-7.50%-
vs Similar ◀ (9)35.636.872.3-1.244%-
vs Weaker (3)45.744.089.7+1.767%-
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 67.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀38%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers30.2 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.5 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.9 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers33.415.1
45.2%
50.1%30.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.68.5
30.8%
34.6%25.5
🏀 Free throws16.611.9
71.7%
74.4%11.9
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Avellino Baskettheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Avellino Basket: 77.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀24%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.4 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers18.3 pts a game · 24% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.4 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.621.2
48.6%
50.1%42.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers19.76.1
31.0%
34.6%18.3
🏀 Free throws20.016.4
82.0%
74.4%16.4
They take 63.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 19.7 of them are 3-pointers, so 31% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 11 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LLLWWLWLLL
Avellino Basket
WWLWLWLLLW
#15
League position
#11
-12.8
Net rating
-1.9
95.3
Offensive rating
103.6
108.1
Defensive rating
105.4
45.7%
Effective FG%
47.9%
53.8%
Opp. effective FG%
49.8%
17.1%
Turnover %
18.1%
24.9%
Off. rebound %
30.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.32
30.8%
3-point %
31.0%
50.4%
Assist %
60.1%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
50%

Profile

Offence95.3 · 103.6Defence108.1 · 105.4Shooting45.7% · 47.9%3-point %30.8% · 31.0%Ball care17.1% · 18.1%Off. rebounds24.9% · 30.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)30% · 50%
■ Cento   ■ Avellino Basket
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cento wins
0
Avellino Basket wins
No previous meetings.
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/12/24AVerona59-84
29/11/24HCividale62-79
17/11/24APesaro60-78
13/11/24HJuVi Cremona88-87
10/11/24HAssigeco Piacenza67-53
06/11/24ARimini77-80
03/11/24HBrindisi70-66
27/10/24ACantu65-85
20/10/24HBasket Torino67-74
16/10/24AFortitudo Bologna67-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/12/24ACividale90-85 OT
01/12/24HUrania Milano83-81 OT
28/11/24AFortitudo Bologna64-92
17/11/24HNardo92-74
13/11/24ARimini78-80
10/11/24HLibertas Livorno84-68
06/11/24ACantu71-83
03/11/24HUdine63-76
20/10/24HForli64-73
16/10/24AAssigeco Piacenza92-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL29%
HomeLWWWL57%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %29%57%0%
Points / game69.874.465.1
Allowed / game78.173.982.3
Point differential-8.3+0.6-17.1
Avg total147.9148.3147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won50% (4)67% (3)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Avellino Basket
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW50%
HomeLLWWW57%
AwayWLLLW43%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1477
Win %50%57%43%
Points / game77.276.078.4
Allowed / game78.374.182.4
Point differential-1.1+1.9-4.0
Avg total155.5150.1160.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+14%29%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (6)100% (2)50% (4)
Overtime %14%14%14%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1413193%83.875.9+7.9
2 Cividale1411379%79.274.9+4.3
3 Udine1511473%83.273.6+9.6
4 Cantu1410471%78.471.7+6.7
5 Verona159660%78.074.1+3.9
6 Urania Milano159660%77.774.4+3.3
7 Forli159660%77.174.2+2.9
8 Sebastiani Rieti159660%73.672.4+1.2
9 Avellino Basket147750%77.278.3-1.1
10 Fortitudo Bologna157847%75.574.9+0.7
11 Orzinuovi157847%78.579.9-1.4
12 Basket Torino157847%75.577.3-1.7
13 Brindisi156940%75.977.2-1.3
14 Pesaro156940%75.779.9-4.2
15 JuVi Cremona145936%79.682.5-2.9
16 Libertas Livorno1551033%73.876.3-2.5
17 Vigevano1441029%76.580.7-4.2
18 Nardo1441029%73.181.2-8.1
19 Cento1441029%69.878.1-8.3
20 Assigeco Piacenza1531220%75.580.8-5.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cento281681668
Avellino Basket2221161473
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