PythiaBasketballBETA Best Picks Games Leagues Teams Players Pro Picks PRO Validation Research Pricing Log in

Cento vs Fortitudo Bologna Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 22 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 17:00
Projected 73-80
Projected total 152.7
Scheduled
Position#18
Record2-7
FormLWLLL
Points / game72.8
Allowed / game82.2
Vs
27%
73%
■ CENT 27%■ FBO 73%
Pythia win probability
Form · last 5 games
4.4/10
Below normal
5.5/10
Above normal
Position#3
Record7-2
FormLLWWW
Points / game79.4
Allowed / game74.3
ItalySerie A2Round 11· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2026-27
Meetings · Cento v Fortitudo Bologna
22 Nov 2026
CENT v FBO
upcoming
16 Nov 2025
CENT80
FBO67
26 Feb 2025
CENT72
FBO78
21 Jan 2024
CENT61
FBO57
19 May 2023
CENT74
FBO88
14 May 2023
CENT91
FBO73
Sections
Game preview & prediction
Cento host Fortitudo Bologna in the Serie A2. Pythia makes Fortitudo Bologna the favourite at 73% and projects 73-80, about 153 points in all. Overtime chance: 4%. Cento are 2-7 this season (72.8 scored, 82.2 allowed a game), form LWLLL; Fortitudo Bologna are 7-2 this season (79.4 scored, 74.3 allowed a game), form LLWWW.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento win
27.5%fair 3.64
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Fortitudo Bologna win
72.5%fair 1.38
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's frozen forecast of 12 Nov 21:00 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
83-63
83
63
+20
80avg 66
A08/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
81-96
81
96
-15
69avg 66
H27/09
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
73-80
73
80
-7
44avg 66
A03/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
W
98-88
98
88
+10
94avg 66
H11/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
70-80
70
80
-10
54avg 66
A17/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
52-96
52
96
-44
22avg 66
H21/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
77-71
77
71
+6
61avg 66
A25/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
64-74
64
74
-10
55avg 66
H30/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
63-76
63
76
-13
no box
A04/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
77-79
77
79
-2
no box
H11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-26
23-10
22-12
17-15
14-31
25-25
19-20
23-20
18-31
19-16
19-18
17-15
24-27
21-21
29-21
24-19
20-24
12-23
22-13
16-20
10-24
13-25
20-23
9-24
14-25
12-17
26-13
25-16
18-16
13-21
21-23
12-14
11-23
21-23
14-15
17-15
17-16
19-17
23-27
18-19
154.1Avg total
73.8Scored
80.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)72.882.2155.0-9.422%
Season at home (5)74.486.6161.0-12.220%
Season away (4)70.876.8147.5-6.025%
Last 10 (10)73.880.3154.1-6.530%
Last 5 (5)66.679.2145.8-12.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.982.2155.1-9.37%
vs Similar (9)78.883.6162.3-4.822%
vs Weaker (6)80.073.5153.5+6.567%
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBologna
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
73-86
73
86
-13
73avg 70
A25/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
92-70
92
70
+22
103avg 70
H27/09
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
83-81
83
81
+2
no box
A04/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
W
78-66
78
66
+12
76avg 70
H11/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
91-69
91
69
+22
52avg 70
H17/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
59-85
59
85
-26
50avg 70
A21/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
85-93
85
93
-8
74avg 70
H25/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
66-64
66
64
+2
64avg 70
A01/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
83-66
83
66
+17
no box
H07/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
W
78-75
78
75
+3
no box
A11/11
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
13-20
28-24
10-15
16-25
24-14
22-12
30-19
26-24
16-14
26-21
15-22
28-16
4-19
22-21
24-10
20-20
27-20
25-10
19-19
16-17
17-27
11-25
15-16
20-17
17-20
26-28
22-28
16-21
25-17
13-13
12-13
25-20
21-21
25-14
12-11
24-25
14-16
16-20
24-14
154.3Avg total
78.8Scored
75.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)79.474.3153.8+5.178%
Season at home (5)85.872.8158.6+13.080%
Season away (4)71.576.2147.8-4.875%
Last 10 (10)78.875.5154.3+3.370%
Last 5 (5)74.276.6150.8-2.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)59.085.0144.0-26.00%
vs Similar (17)73.170.8143.9+2.259%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)83.671.9155.5+11.792%
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 148
Over 148
61.0%
Under 148
39.0%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 153
Over 153
48.7%
Under 153
51.3%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Over/Under 158
Over 158
36.6%
Under 158
63.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

📊 3. Team Totals

Cento total 74.5
Over 74.5
43.6%
Under 74.5
56.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cento total 78.5
Over 78.5
29.3%
Under 78.5
70.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Cento total 82.5
Over 82.5
17.8%
Under 82.5
82.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortitudo Bologna total 70.5
Over 70.5
81.9%
Under 70.5
18.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortitudo Bologna total 74.5
Over 74.5
69.8%
Under 74.5
30.2%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Fortitudo Bologna total 78.5
Over 78.5
54.9%
Under 78.5
45.1%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Cento -3
CENT -3
20.2%
FBO +3
79.8%
Best 5 market prices
CENT
No market prices yet.
FBO
No market prices yet.
Spread Cento 0
CENT 0
27.5%
FBO 0
72.5%
Best 5 market prices
CENT
No market prices yet.
FBO
No market prices yet.
Spread Cento +3
CENT +3
35.1%
FBO -3
64.9%
Best 5 market prices
CENT
No market prices yet.
FBO
No market prices yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -7.6-7.6Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: -2.0-2.0Q2: -1.0-1.0Q3Q3: +3.0+3.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.1+0.1Q4: +1.6+1.6
CentoFortitudo Bologna
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Roseto
#20
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/05
Serie A2
Pesaro
#10
L
39-56
39
56
-17
H27/09
Serie A2
Forli
#9
L
37-47
37
47
-10
A03/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
L
45-48
45
48
-3
H11/10
Serie A2
Sassari
#11
L
32-47
32
47
-15
A17/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
L
23-49
23
49
-26
H21/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
L
26-42
26
42
-16
A25/10
Serie A2
Cividale
#12
L
31-37
31
37
-6
H30/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
32-46
32
46
-14
A04/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H11/11
Serie A2
78.6Avg total
34.5Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.241.879.0-4.730%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.340.677.9-3.231%-
Last 30 away (14)37.043.380.3-6.329%-
Last 10 (10)34.544.178.6-9.620%-
Last 5 (5)29.641.471.0-11.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.342.477.7-7.120%-
vs Similar (9)39.243.983.1-4.722%-
vs Weaker (6)38.737.376.0+1.367%-
This opponent (Fortitudo Bologna) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Fortitudo BolognaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Verona
#2
L
35-47
35
47
-12
A25/05
Serie A2
Ruvo Di Puglia
#17
W
40-39
40
39
+1
H27/09
Serie A2
Caserta
#15
W
42-38
42
38
+4
A04/10
Serie A2
Rimini
#5
L
32-35
32
35
-3
H11/10
Serie A2
Montecatini
#20
W
47-40
47
40
+7
H17/10
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#1
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A21/10
Serie A2
Vigevano
#14
D
37-37
37
37
+0
H25/10
Serie A2
Pistoia
#8
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A01/11
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#19
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H07/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A11/11
Serie A2
79.1Avg total
39.1Scored
40.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.536.274.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (16)38.034.472.4+3.662%-
Last 30 away (14)39.138.477.4+0.757%-
Last 10 (10)39.140.079.1-0.950%-
Last 5 (5)39.040.279.2-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)33.044.077.0-11.00%-
vs Similar (17)36.835.572.3+1.459%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)41.336.778.0+4.767%-
This opponent (Cento) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
Free daily update

Get it on Telegram

Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.

Join the channel

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 73.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀20%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.4 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.6 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 20% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.917.2
52.3%
51.2%34.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.18.2
28.2%
34.5%24.6
🏀 Free throws19.514.9
76.4%
71.0%14.9
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Fortitudo Bolognatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Fortitudo Bologna: 71.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀38%
🏀🏀🏀45%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.0 pts a game · 38% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.1 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 69.7 points a game
46%
35%
19%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers26.013.5
51.9%
51.2%27.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.410.7
37.7%
34.5%32.1
🏀 Free throws16.112.3
76.4%
71.0%12.3
They take 54.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 52% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 22 Nov 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LLLWLLWLLW
Fortitudo Bologna
WWWLLWWWWL
#18
League position
#3
-2.3
Net rating
+8.3
92.8
Offensive rating
102.0
95.1
Defensive rating
93.7
47.6%
Effective FG%
54.3%
49.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.7%
12.3%
Turnover %
13.3%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.30
28.2%
3-point %
37.7%
55.9%
Assist %
83.9%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence92.8 · 102.0Defence95.1 · 93.7Shooting47.6% · 54.3%3-point %28.2% · 37.7%Ball care12.3% · 13.3%Free throws0.31 · 0.30Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Cento   ■ Fortitudo Bologna
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Cento wins
7
Fortitudo Bologna wins
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HJuVi Cremona77-79
04/11/26ALibertas Livorno63-76
30/10/26HCividale64-74
25/10/26AMontecatini77-71
21/10/26HPistoia52-96
17/10/26ASassari70-80
11/10/26HVigevano98-88
03/10/26AForli73-80
27/09/26HPesaro81-96
08/05/26ARoseto83-63
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ABasket Torino78-75
07/11/26HUrania Milano83-66
01/11/26APistoia66-64
25/10/26HVigevano85-93
21/10/26ALibertas Livorno59-85
17/10/26HMontecatini91-69
11/10/26HRimini78-66
04/10/26ACaserta83-81
27/09/26HRuvo Di Puglia92-70
25/05/26AVerona73-86

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL22%
HomeLWLLL20%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %22%20%25%
Points / game72.874.470.8
Allowed / game82.286.676.8
Point differential-9.4-12.2-6.0
Avg total155.0161.0147.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+11%20%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)0% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Fortitudo Bologna
Serie A2 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW78%
HomeWWWLW80%
AwayWLWW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %78%80%75%
Points / game79.485.871.5
Allowed / game74.372.876.2
Point differential+5.1+13.0-4.8
Avg total153.8158.6147.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%80%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (3)-100% (3)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Libertas Livorno98189%81.269.7+11.6
2 Avellino Basket98189%82.274.7+7.6
3 Fortitudo Bologna97278%79.474.3+5.1
4 Sebastiani Rieti97278%74.872.1+2.7
5 Rimini96367%80.471.8+8.7
6 Brindisi96367%77.473.9+3.6
7 Basket Torino85362%72.872.2+0.5
8 Pistoia95456%77.469.6+7.9
9 Forli95456%82.377.6+4.8
10 Pesaro95456%81.079.9+1.1
11 Sassari95456%77.276.4+0.8
12 Cividale95456%71.874.1-2.3
13 Mestre94544%75.076.4-1.4
14 Vigevano93633%76.381.8-5.4
15 Caserta82625%78.182.6-4.5
16 JuVi Cremona92722%75.377.9-2.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia92722%74.481.7-7.2
18 Cento92722%72.882.2-9.4
19 Urania Milano91811%75.783.1-7.4
20 Montecatini91811%68.182.3-14.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

PythiaBasketball uses cookies

We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.