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Cento vs Nardo Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 15 Dec 2024
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 82-76 (OT)
18-14 17-9 16-28 20-20 11-5
Position#15
Record4-11
FormWLLLL
Points / game69.7
Allowed / game77.7
Cento 🏆
Italy
vs
Position#19
Record5-10
FormLLLLW
Points / game73.9
Allowed / game80.9
ItalySerie A2Round 16· Milwaukee Dinelli Arena
Other2024-25
Meetings · Cento v Nardo
15 Dec 2024
CENT82
NARD76
09 Jun 2024
CENT88
NARD74
05 Nov 2023
CENT93
NARD94
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cento winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Nardo winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CentoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCento
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
L
67-74
67
74
-7
54avg 64
H20/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
65-85
65
85
-20
56avg 64
A27/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
70-66
70
66
+4
62avg 64
H03/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
77-80
77
80
-3
65avg 64
A06/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
W
67-53
67
53
+14
61avg 64
H10/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
W
88-87
88
87
+1
78avg 64
H13/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
60-78
60
78
-18
48avg 64
A17/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
62-79
62
79
-17
49avg 64
H29/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
59-84
59
84
-25
44avg 64
A07/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
68-73
68
73
-5
46avg 64
H11/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-15
13-9
21-23
22-27
16-24
11-29
22-13
16-19
15-19
23-14
12-22
20-11
26-15
9-21
12-20
30-24
9-8
20-21
15-16
23-8
24-26
15-23
33-19
16-19
12-17
17-20
11-19
20-22
13-25
10-26
23-16
16-12
17-19
13-19
11-23
18-23
28-22
16-21
8-16
16-14
144.2Avg total
68.3Scored
75.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)69.777.7147.4-8.127%
Season at home (8)73.673.8147.4-0.150%
Season away (7)65.182.3147.4-17.10%
Last 10 (10)68.375.9144.2-7.630%
Last 5 (5)67.480.2147.6-12.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)67.882.7150.5-14.90%
vs Similar ◀ (15)75.773.6149.3+2.167%
vs Weaker (5)77.479.0156.4-1.640%
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormNardo
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
82-77
82
77
+5
75avg 63
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
76-63
76
63
+13
74avg 63
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
81-71
81
71
+10
74avg 63
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
75-93
75
93
-18
69avg 63
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
76-86
76
86
-10
66avg 63
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
L
68-74
68
74
-6
57avg 63
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
74-92
74
92
-18
51avg 63
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
58-66
58
66
-8
52avg 63
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
67-82
67
82
-15
49avg 63
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
84-77
84
77
+7
77avg 63
H11/12
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-23
27-19
12-21
27-14
18-20
14-18
22-14
22-11
18-13
24-17
22-15
17-26
22-21
16-22
19-24
18-26
11-21
15-25
24-23
26-17
20-13
15-11
17-25
16-25
25-25
20-24
15-24
14-19
13-17
19-23
15-10
11-16
23-23
17-14
18-30
9-15
25-21
10-21
27-19
22-16
152.2Avg total
74.1Scored
78.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)73.980.9154.8-7.133%
Season at home (8)76.879.4156.1-2.650%
Season away (7)70.682.7153.3-12.114%
Last 10 (10)74.178.1152.2-4.040%
Last 5 (5)70.278.2148.4-8.020%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)75.680.6156.2-5.038%
vs Similar ◀ (17)75.278.6153.8-3.541%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -1.9-1.9Q1: -0.6-0.6Q2Q2: -5.6-5.6Q2: -1.7-1.7Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: -1.4-1.4Q4Q4: +1.8+1.8Q4: -0.3-0.3
CentoNardo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CentoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Basket Torino
#10
D
24-24
24
24
+0
H20/10
Serie A2
Cantu
#2
L
27-53
27
53
-26
A27/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
W
38-33
38
33
+5
H03/11
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H10/11
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#16
L
39-49
39
49
-10
H13/11
Serie A2
Pesaro
#9
L
29-37
29
37
-8
A17/11
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
23-51
23
51
-28
H29/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
30-38
30
38
-8
A07/12
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
W
44-43
44
43
+1
H11/12
Serie A2
71.1Avg total
31.8Scored
39.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.339.675.9-3.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)37.337.374.6+0.056%-
Last 30 away (14)35.242.277.4-7.029%-
Last 10 (10)31.839.371.1-7.520%-
Last 5 (5)33.043.676.6-10.620%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)32.141.373.4-9.220%-
vs Similar ◀ (15)37.738.976.5-1.247%-
vs Weaker (5)40.838.479.2+2.480%-
This opponent (Nardo) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
NardoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Fortitudo Bologna
#7
W
43-42
43
42
+1
H20/10
Serie A2
Brindisi
#13
L
32-38
32
38
-6
A27/10
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#4
W
42-30
42
30
+12
H03/11
Serie A2
Assigeco Piacenza
#20
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A06/11
Serie A2
Verona
#8
L
26-46
26
46
-20
A10/11
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#10
W
35-24
35
24
+11
H13/11
Serie A2
Avellino Basket
#11
L
45-49
45
49
-4
A17/11
Serie A2
Orzinuovi
#14
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A01/12
Serie A2
Rimini
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H08/12
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
35-42
35
42
-7
H11/12
Serie A2
75.9Avg total
36.8Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.840.478.2-2.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.937.377.2+2.767%-
Last 30 away (15)35.743.579.3-7.827%-
Last 10 (10)36.839.175.9-2.340%-
Last 5 (5)37.438.475.8-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (13)36.239.976.1-3.838%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)39.140.879.9-1.653%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Cento) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Centotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cento: 67.7 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers31.6 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.3 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.8 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.315.8
46.1%
50.1%31.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.08.1
28.9%
34.6%24.3
🏀 Free throws16.211.8
72.8%
74.4%11.8
They take 62.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Nardotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Nardo: 73.2 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀39%
🏀14%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.2 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.5 pts a game · 14% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.0 points a game
47%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.717.1
49.3%
50.1%34.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.49.5
38.9%
34.6%28.5
🏀 Free throws14.810.5
70.9%
74.4%10.5
They take 59.1 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 41% of their shots are threes (league average: 42%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Dec 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cento
LLLLWWLWLL
Nardo
WLLLLLLWWW
#15
League position
#19
-10.5
Net rating
-5.7
96.2
Offensive rating
101.9
106.7
Defensive rating
107.6
44.9%
Effective FG%
53.0%
52.2%
Opp. effective FG%
53.4%
15.8%
Turnover %
21.1%
26.3%
Off. rebound %
26.4%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.25
28.9%
3-point %
38.9%
47.7%
Assist %
43.6%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
40%

Profile

Offence96.2 · 101.9Defence106.7 · 107.6Shooting44.9% · 53.0%3-point %28.9% · 38.9%Ball care15.8% · 21.1%Off. rebounds26.3% · 26.4%Free throws0.26 · 0.25Form (last 10/10)30% · 40%
■ Cento   ■ Nardo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Cento wins
2
Nardo wins
DateGameScore
09/06/24Cento v Nardo88-74
19/05/24Nardo v Cento83-78
14/01/24Nardo v Cento79-86 OT
05/11/23Cento v Nardo93-94 OT
Centolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HAvellino Basket68-73
07/12/24AVerona59-84
29/11/24HCividale62-79
17/11/24APesaro60-78
13/11/24HJuVi Cremona88-87
10/11/24HAssigeco Piacenza67-53
06/11/24ARimini77-80
03/11/24HBrindisi70-66
27/10/24ACantu65-85
20/10/24HBasket Torino67-74
Nardolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/12/24HCividale84-77
08/12/24HRimini67-82
01/12/24AOrzinuovi58-66
17/11/24AAvellino Basket74-92
13/11/24HBasket Torino68-74
10/11/24AVerona76-86
06/11/24AAssigeco Piacenza75-93
03/11/24HSebastiani Rieti81-71
27/10/24ABrindisi76-63
20/10/24HFortitudo Bologna82-77

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cento
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeWWWLL50%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %27%50%0%
Points / game69.773.665.1
Allowed / game77.773.882.3
Point differential-8.1-0.1-17.1
Avg total147.4147.4147.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+13%25%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (5)50% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Nardo
Serie A2 2024-25
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW33%
HomeWWLLW50%
AwayWLLLL14%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1587
Win %33%50%14%
Points / game73.976.870.6
Allowed / game80.979.482.7
Point differential-7.1-2.6-12.1
Avg total154.8156.1153.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%25%14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Rimini1514193%84.075.6+8.4
2 Udine1612475%83.374.1+9.2
3 Cantu1511473%79.072.1+6.9
4 Cividale1611569%79.175.9+3.2
5 Urania Milano1610662%77.974.7+3.2
6 Verona159660%78.074.1+3.9
7 Forli169756%76.874.3+2.4
8 Sebastiani Rieti169756%74.173.2+0.9
9 Avellino Basket158753%76.977.6-0.7
10 Fortitudo Bologna168850%75.674.6+0.9
11 Orzinuovi157847%78.579.9-1.4
12 Basket Torino157847%75.577.3-1.7
13 Brindisi167944%77.177.5-0.4
14 Pesaro167944%75.879.6-3.8
15 Libertas Livorno1551033%73.876.3-2.5
16 JuVi Cremona1551033%79.582.8-3.3
17 Nardo1551033%73.980.9-7.1
18 Cento1541127%69.777.7-8.1
19 Vigevano1641225%76.682.0-5.4
20 Assigeco Piacenza1631319%75.480.6-5.1
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4OTFinal
Cento181716201182
Nardo1492820576
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