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Pistoia vs Pesaro Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 29 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 18:00
Final 89-91
18-18 18-25 23-22 30-26
Position#19
Record8-24
FormLLLLW
Points / game76.8
Allowed / game82.5
vs
Pesaro 🏆
Italy
Position#3
Record23-9
FormLWWWL
Points / game82.2
Allowed / game77.9
ItalySerie A2Round 33· PalaCarrara
Other2025-26
Meetings · Pistoia v Pesaro
11 Apr 2027
PIS v PES
upcoming
29 Mar 2026
PIS89
PES91
17 Dec 2023
PIS73
PES74
22 Dec 2019
PIS91
PES79
20 Jan 2019
PIS77
PES81
09 Dec 2017
PIS86
PES83
23 Apr 2017
PIS87
PES83
25 Jan 2016
PIS77
PES75
29 Dec 2014
PIS84
PES53
24 Nov 2013
PIS115
PES110
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Pistoia winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Pesaro winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

PistoiaItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPistoia
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
68-81
68
81
-13
64avg 67
A21/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
L
85-86 OT
85
86
-1
77avg 67
H25/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
61-81
61
81
-20
56avg 67
A01/02
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
78-73
78
73
+5
76avg 67
H08/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
L
72-80
72
80
-8
62avg 67
H15/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
85-90
85
90
-5
81avg 67
A21/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
71-87
71
87
-16
64avg 67
A01/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
82-97
82
97
-15
75avg 67
H08/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
72-80
72
80
-8
57avg 67
H22/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
W
68-60
68
60
+8
27avg 67
A25/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
20-29
23-21
6-11
19-20
15-20
20-14
24-22
15-18
13-14
14-18
15-26
19-23
24-16
20-22
15-12
19-23
28-14
17-28
13-19
14-19
18-28
26-17
15-23
26-22
18-24
16-17
16-20
21-26
24-18
24-19
17-28
17-32
20-23
11-23
17-22
24-12
19-14
12-19
14-16
23-11
155.7Avg total
74.2Scored
81.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)76.882.5159.3-5.725%
Season at home (16)78.282.8161.0-4.625%
Season away (16)75.482.2157.6-6.825%
Last 10 (10)74.281.5155.7-7.320%
Last 5 (5)75.682.8158.4-7.220%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)75.582.9158.4-7.516%
vs Similar (11)78.482.5160.8-4.136%
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroItalyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormPesaro
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
L
73-93
73
93
-20
64avg 78
A21/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
80-79
80
79
+1
80avg 78
H25/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
90-82
90
82
+8
87avg 78
H30/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
80-74
80
74
+6
81avg 78
A07/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
W
83-82
83
82
+1
78avg 78
A11/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
79-84
79
84
-5
73avg 78
A15/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
85-78
85
78
+7
84avg 78
H22/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
76-64
76
64
+12
69avg 78
H08/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
93-75
93
75
+18
86avg 78
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
84-86
84
86
-2
77avg 78
H25/03
Serie A2
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
11-22
27-25
20-24
15-22
22-11
20-26
28-20
10-22
24-21
17-16
25-18
24-27
15-11
27-16
14-21
24-26
17-26
24-16
21-23
21-17
13-20
14-23
29-19
23-22
22-17
24-17
19-23
20-21
18-21
18-14
14-17
26-12
17-26
29-18
32-23
15-8
19-26
21-17
20-21
24-22
162.0Avg total
82.3Scored
79.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)82.277.9160.1+4.472%
Season at home (17)80.675.3155.9+5.476%
Season away (15)84.180.8164.9+3.367%
Last 10 (10)82.379.7162.0+2.670%
Last 5 (5)83.477.4160.8+6.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)80.479.7160.1+0.753%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)85.976.0161.9+9.9100%
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -0.1-0.1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: -1.5-1.5Q2: +3.3+3.3Q3Q3: -4.7-4.7Q3: +1.3+1.3Q4Q4: -0.9-0.9Q4: +0.3+0.3
PistoiaPesaro
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
PistoiaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
JuVi Cremona
#12
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A21/01
Serie A2
Sebastiani Rieti
#10
W
35-34
35
34
+1
H25/01
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A01/02
Serie A2
Forli
#17
W
44-38
44
38
+6
H08/02
Serie A2
Urania Milano
#14
W
45-42
45
42
+3
H15/02
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
L
44-45
44
45
-1
A21/02
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
L
34-41
34
41
-7
A01/03
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
W
48-37
48
37
+11
H08/03
Serie A2
Basket Torino
#13
L
31-46
31
46
-15
H22/03
Serie A2
Libertas Livorno
#7
L
31-33
31
33
-2
A25/03
Serie A2
78.0Avg total
38.2Scored
39.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.540.078.5-1.543%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.339.378.6-0.160%-
Last 30 away (15)37.840.778.5-2.927%-
Last 10 (10)38.239.878.0-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)37.640.478.0-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (19)36.938.875.7-1.847%-
vs Similar (11)41.342.183.4-0.836%-
vs Weakerno games
This opponent (Pesaro) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
PesaroLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Avellino Basket
#6
L
38-47
38
47
-9
A21/01
Serie A2
Roseto
#20
W
42-37
42
37
+5
H25/01
Serie A2
Brindisi
#9
W
41-37
41
37
+4
H30/01
Serie A2
Cento
#18
W
42-27
42
27
+15
A07/02
Serie A2
Cividale
#5
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A11/02
Serie A2
Scafati
#1
L
27-43
27
43
-16
A15/02
Serie A2
Rimini
#8
W
46-34
46
34
+12
H22/02
Serie A2
JuVi Cremona
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/03
Serie A2
Mestre
#15
W
46-44
46
44
+2
A21/03
Serie A2
Fortitudo Bologna
#4
L
40-43
40
43
-3
H25/03
Serie A2
78.8Avg total
39.9Scored
38.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)40.638.679.3+2.053%-
Last 30 at home (15)40.437.778.1+2.753%-
Last 30 away (15)40.939.580.4+1.353%-
Last 10 (10)39.938.978.8+1.060%-
Last 5 (5)39.039.878.8-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (17)38.938.477.3+0.641%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)42.839.081.8+3.869%-
This opponent (Pistoia) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Pistoiatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pistoia: 70.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀39%
🏀🏀🏀40%
🏀22%
🏀🏀 2-pointers27.2 pts a game · 39% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.9 pts a game · 40% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.2 pts a game · 22% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers29.313.6
46.4%
50.8%27.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.29.3
35.5%
34.6%27.9
🏀 Free throws19.115.2
79.6%
74.4%15.2
They take 55.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 47% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Pesarotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Pesaro: 82.3 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀36%
🏀21%
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.2 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.0 pts a game · 36% of the points
🏀 Free throws17.1 pts a game · 21% of the points
League average for comparison: 78.0 points a game
46%
35%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.6
51.5%
50.8%35.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.110.0
39.8%
34.6%30.0
🏀 Free throws22.717.1
75.3%
74.4%17.1
They take 59.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.1 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 29 Mar 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Pistoia
WLLLLLWLLL
Pesaro
LWWWLWWWWL
#19
League position
#3
-9.9
Net rating
+3.1
90.7
Offensive rating
99.2
100.7
Defensive rating
96.1
49.6%
Effective FG%
55.0%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
17.0%
Turnover %
14.2%
0.34
Free-throw rate
0.38
35.5%
3-point %
39.8%
57.6%
Assist %
64.9%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence90.7 · 99.2Defence100.7 · 96.1Shooting49.6% · 55.0%3-point %35.5% · 39.8%Ball care17.0% · 14.2%Free throws0.34 · 0.38Form (last 10/10)20% · 70%
■ Pistoia   ■ Pesaro
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Pistoia wins
6
Pesaro wins
DateGameScore
29/10/25Pesaro v Pistoia82-73
13/04/24Pesaro v Pistoia89-82
17/12/23Pistoia v Pesaro73-74
22/12/19Pistoia v Pesaro91-79
20/01/19Pistoia v Pesaro77-81
07/10/18Pesaro v Pistoia83-77
08/04/18Pesaro v Pistoia80-72 OT
09/12/17Pistoia v Pesaro86-83
23/04/17Pistoia v Pesaro87-83
27/12/16Pesaro v Pistoia57-59
Pistoialast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26ALibertas Livorno68-60
22/03/26HBasket Torino72-80
08/03/26HScafati82-97
01/03/26ARoseto71-87
21/02/26AMestre85-90
15/02/26HUrania Milano72-80
08/02/26HForli78-73
01/02/26AFortitudo Bologna61-81
25/01/26HSebastiani Rieti85-86 OT
21/01/26AJuVi Cremona68-81
Pesarolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
25/03/26HFortitudo Bologna84-86
21/03/26AMestre93-75
08/03/26HJuVi Cremona76-64
22/02/26HRimini85-78
15/02/26AScafati79-84
11/02/26ACividale83-82
07/02/26ACento80-74
30/01/26HBrindisi90-82
25/01/26HRoseto80-79
21/01/26AAvellino Basket73-93

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Pistoia
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLW25%
HomeLWLLL25%
AwayLLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %25%25%25%
Points / game76.878.275.4
Allowed / game82.582.882.2
Point differential-5.7-4.6-6.8
Avg total159.3161.0157.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+9%12%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)17% (6)25% (4)
Overtime %9%6%12%
Pesaro
Serie A2 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWWL72%
HomeWWWWL76%
AwayLWWLW67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321715
Win %72%76%67%
Points / game82.280.684.1
Allowed / game77.975.380.8
Point differential+4.4+5.4+3.3
Avg total160.1155.9164.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%35%27%
Close games (≤5 pts) won67% (9)75% (4)60% (5)
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Pesaro3223972%82.277.9+4.4
2 Scafati33221167%83.277.6+5.5
3 Fortitudo Bologna33221167%77.173.2+3.9
4 Brindisi32211166%78.373.4+4.9
5 Verona33211264%78.173.8+4.3
6 Sebastiani Rieti33201361%79.176.9+2.2
7 Cividale33201361%77.975.9+1.9
8 Avellino Basket32191359%81.679.0+2.6
9 Libertas Livorno33191458%78.973.2+5.7
10 Rimini32181456%81.478.4+3.0
11 Blu Basket Bergamo25131252%79.479.7-0.3
12 JuVi Cremona32151747%74.677.3-2.8
13 Basket Torino33151845%72.874.0-1.2
14 Mestre32141844%78.180.5-2.4
15 Urania Milano33141942%79.781.9-2.2
16 Forli32112134%76.681.2-4.6
17 Ruvo Di Puglia32102231%77.386.8-9.5
18 Cento33102330%77.881.3-3.4
19 Pistoia3282425%76.882.5-5.7
20 Roseto3262619%78.085.1-7.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Pistoia1818233089
Pesaro1825222691
← all games of the day
18+ · BASKETBALL ANALYTICS, NOT BETTING ADVICE

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