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Central Arkansas vs Arkansas State Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 07 Dec 2022
Tip-off: 01:00
Final 72-67
27-35 45-32
Position#341
Record4-4
FormLWLWL
Points / game76.9
Allowed / game75.0
vs
Position#278
Record5-3
FormLWLWW
Points / game69.6
Allowed / game60.4
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Arkansas winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Arkansas State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central ArkansasUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#284
W
74-73
74
73
+1
H02/03
NCAA
Jacksonville
#77
L
69-79
69
79
-10
A04/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
55-79
55
79
-24
A08/11
NCAA
Hendrix College
#624
W
107-56
107
56
+51
H11/11
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
82-71
82
71
+11
H15/11
NCAA
Niagara
#191
L
64-73
64
73
-9
A18/11
NCAA
Rider
#168
W
90-85
90
85
+5
A19/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
66-74 OT
66
74
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H27/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
L
70-85
70
85
-15
A01/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-40
44-33
33-44
36-35
21-41
34-38
50-23
57-33
37-30
45-41
26-33
38-40
41-39
49-46
27-30
37-34
37-29
44-48
31-35
39-50
151.0Avg total
75.8Scored
75.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)76.975.0151.9+1.950%
Season at home (4)84.069.5153.5+14.575%
Season away (4)69.880.5150.2-10.825%
Last 10 (10)75.875.2151.0+0.650%
Last 5 (5)74.278.8153.0-4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)74.280.8155.0-6.642%
vs Similar (1)70.085.0155.0-15.00%
vs Weaker (1)119.047.0166.0+72.0100%
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#156
W
62-60
62
60
+2
H26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
W
81-77
81
77
+4
H03/03
NCAA
Harding
#484
W
86-55
86
55
+31
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
52-61
52
61
-9
A12/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
82-58
82
58
+24
H15/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
60-75
60
75
-15
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
W
70-64
70
64
+6
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
L
59-67
59
67
-8
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
90-65
90
65
+25
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
58-38
58
38
+20
H02/12
NCAA
1H
2H
30-34
32-26
39-42
42-35
40-28
46-27
26-31
26-30
44-34
38-24
25-31
35-44
29-29
41-35
31-26
28-41
44-27
46-38
30-20
28-18
132.0Avg total
70.0Scored
62.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)69.660.4130.0+9.262%
Season at home (6)74.257.8132.0+16.383%
Season away (2)56.068.0124.0-12.00%
Last 10 (10)70.062.0132.0+8.070%
Last 5 (5)67.461.8129.2+5.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)64.971.0135.9-6.138%
vs Similar (8)65.265.6130.9-0.438%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)76.864.8141.7+12.092%
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +4.4+4.4
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: -1.1-1.11st half: +3.6+3.62nd half2nd half: +2.5+2.52nd half: +4.4+4.4
Central ArkansasArkansas State
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Central ArkansasLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Stetson
#284
L
30-40
30
40
-10
H02/03
NCAA
Jacksonville
#77
L
33-44
33
44
-11
A04/03
NCAA
Wichita State
#176
L
21-41
21
41
-20
A08/11
NCAA
Hendrix College
#624
W
50-23
50
23
+27
H11/11
NCAA
UALR
#322
W
37-30
37
30
+7
H15/11
NCAA
Niagara
#191
L
26-33
26
33
-7
A18/11
NCAA
Rider
#168
W
41-39
41
39
+2
A19/11
NCAA
Northwestern St.
#75
L
27-30
27
30
-3
H26/11
NCAA
Idaho State
#299
W
37-29
37
29
+8
H27/11
NCAA
Loyola Chicago
#323
L
31-35
31
35
-4
A01/12
NCAA
67.7Avg total
33.3Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.034.870.8+1.250%-
Last 30 at home (15)38.332.670.9+5.760%-
Last 30 away (15)33.736.970.6-3.340%-
Last 10 (10)33.334.467.7-1.140%-
Last 5 (5)32.433.265.6-0.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (26)34.336.070.3-1.746%-
vs Similar (1)31.035.066.0-4.00%-
vs Weaker (1)59.025.084.0+34.0100%-
This opponent (Arkansas State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Arkansas StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Appalachian State
#156
L
30-34
30
34
-4
H26/02
NCAA
Louisiana Monroe
#259
L
39-42
39
42
-3
H03/03
NCAA
Harding
#484
W
40-28
40
28
+12
H08/11
NCAA
LSU
#264
L
26-31
26
31
-5
A12/11
NCAA
Lyon
#480
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H15/11
NCAA
UC Davis
#150
L
25-31
25
31
-6
A19/11
NCAA
UT Martin
#135
D
29-29
29
29
+0
H22/11
NCAA
Prairie View A&M
#269
W
31-26
31
26
+5
H26/11
NCAA
Bethel (TN)
#453
W
44-27
44
27
+17
H27/11
NCAA
Miss. Valley St.
#366
W
30-20
30
20
+10
H02/12
NCAA
64.0Avg total
33.8Scored
30.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.233.266.3+0.043%-
Last 30 at home (17)35.229.965.1+5.365%-
Last 30 away (13)30.537.568.0-6.915%-
Last 10 (10)33.830.264.0+3.650%-
Last 5 (5)31.826.658.4+5.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)29.237.666.9-8.40%-
vs Similar (8)30.029.159.1+0.950%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)36.333.269.5+3.258%-
This opponent (Central Arkansas) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Central Arkansas wins
1
Arkansas State wins
DateGameScore
04/12/21Arkansas State v Central Arkansas95-82
DateH/AOpponentScore
01/12/22ALoyola Chicago70-85
27/11/22HIdaho State81-77
26/11/22HNorthwestern St.66-74 OT
19/11/22ARider90-85
18/11/22ANiagara64-73
15/11/22HUALR82-71
11/11/22HHendrix College107-56
08/11/22AWichita State55-79
04/03/22AJacksonville69-79
02/03/22HStetson74-73
DateH/AOpponentScore
02/12/22HMiss. Valley St.58-38
27/11/22HBethel (TN)90-65
26/11/22HPrairie View A&M59-67
22/11/22HUT Martin70-64
19/11/22AUC Davis60-75
15/11/22HLyon82-58
12/11/22ALSU52-61
08/11/22HHarding86-55
03/03/22HLouisiana Monroe81-77
26/02/22HAppalachian State62-60

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Arkansas
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWL50%
HomeWWLW75%
AwayLLWL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games844
Win %50%75%25%
Points / game76.984.069.8
Allowed / game75.069.580.5
Point differential+1.9+14.5-10.8
Avg total151.9153.5150.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (2)100% (1)100% (1)
Overtime %12%25%0%
Arkansas State
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW62%
HomeWWLWW83%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games862
Win %62%83%0%
Points / game69.674.256.0
Allowed / game60.457.868.0
Point differential+9.2+16.3-12.0
Avg total130.0132.0124.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%67%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

ASUN conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Queens Royals97278%81.168.7+12.4
2 Florida Gulf Coast97278%74.264.3+9.9
3 Lipscomb86275%81.666.6+15.0
4 Jacksonville64267%69.854.7+15.2
5 Stetson74357%78.971.7+7.1
6 North Alabama95456%79.674.2+5.3
7 Eastern Kentucky84450%83.574.6+8.9
8 Central Arkansas84450%76.975.0+1.9
9 Austin Peay94544%66.669.6-3.0
10 Bellarmine104640%68.762.8+5.9
11 North Florida72529%74.080.9-6.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Southern Miss98189%77.058.2+18.8
2 Marshall87188%83.867.4+16.4
3 Louisiana Lafayette87188%84.872.0+12.8
4 James Madison97278%93.364.7+28.7
5 Arkansas State85362%69.660.4+9.2
6 Troy106460%79.064.8+14.2
7 Appalachian State106460%79.066.5+12.5
8 Georgia State95456%66.863.4+3.3
9 Old Dominion95456%69.866.6+3.2
10 Texas State95456%66.265.9+0.3
11 Coastal Carolina84450%75.966.1+9.8
12 Georgia Southern84450%66.967.2-0.4
13 Louisiana Monroe93633%74.369.4+4.9
14 South Alabama93633%70.669.7+0.9
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Central Arkansas274572
Arkansas State353267
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