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Merrimack Warriors vs Wagner Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 17 Jan 2023
Tip-off: 00:30
Final 57-62
28-33 29-29
Position#186
Record5-14
FormLWLWW
Points / game57.0
Allowed / game63.1
vs
Wagner 🏆
USA
Position#167
Record8-7
FormWWLLL
Points / game64.5
Allowed / game63.3
USANCAA
Other2022-23
Meetings · Merrimack Warriors v Wagner
12 Mar 2024
MERR47
WAGN54
19 Jan 2024
MERR65
WAGN71
16 Jan 2023
MERR57
WAGN62
23 Jan 2022
MERR57
WAGN71
15 Feb 2020
MERR68
WAGN59
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Merrimack Warriors winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Wagner winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Merrimack WarriorsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#68
L
43-66
43
66
-23
H04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
51-69
51
69
-18
A08/12
NCAA
New England Noreasters
#663
W
82-23
82
23
+59
H10/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H11/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
55-61
55
61
-6
A18/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
L
63-71
63
71
-8
A30/12
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
58-48
58
48
+10
A31/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
L
55-59
55
59
-4
H06/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
65-53
65
53
+12
H07/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
59-47
59
47
+12
A14/01
NCAA
1H
2H
15-37
28-29
23-34
28-35
48-6
34-17
26-23
21-27
21-23
34-38
39-33
24-38
32-20
26-28
32-29
23-30
37-34
28-19
28-29
31-18
112.5Avg total
57.8Scored
54.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (19)57.063.1120.1-6.126%
Season at home (7)58.652.4111.0+6.143%
Season away (12)56.169.2125.3-13.217%
Last 10 (10)57.854.7112.5+3.140%
Last 5 (5)60.055.6115.6+4.460%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)58.274.1132.3-15.911%
vs Similar ◀ (17)60.663.8124.4-3.141%
vs Weaker (2)60.552.0112.5+8.550%
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#353
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A27/11
NCAA
Army
#194
L
64-75
64
75
-11
A03/12
NCAA
Fordham
#37
L
59-72
59
72
-13
A07/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#313
W
58-55
58
55
+3
H16/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
58-51
58
51
+7
A20/12
NCAA
Gwynedd-Mercy
#507
W
89-55
89
55
+34
H22/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
69-61
69
61
+8
A29/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
L
48-58
48
58
-10
H31/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
L
58-62
58
62
-4
A06/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
L
63-68
63
68
-5
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
27-29
35-28
30-39
34-36
35-32
24-40
26-32
32-23
28-25
30-26
35-32
54-23
39-36
30-25
20-32
28-26
24-21
34-41
22-29
41-39
124.2Avg total
62.8Scored
61.4Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (15)64.563.3127.8+1.153%
Season at home (6)68.056.7124.7+11.367%
Season away (9)62.167.8129.9-5.744%
Last 10 (10)62.861.4124.2+1.450%
Last 5 (5)65.460.8126.2+4.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)60.368.6128.9-8.329%
vs Weaker (21)70.265.2135.4+5.071%
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +3.5+3.5
-4-2+0+2+41st half1st half: +3.3+3.31st half: -2.1-2.12nd half2nd half: -0.2-0.22nd half: +3.5+3.5
Merrimack WarriorsWagner
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Merrimack WarriorsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Vermont
#68
L
15-37
15
37
-22
H04/12
NCAA
San Francisco
#126
L
23-34
23
34
-11
A08/12
NCAA
New England Noreasters
#663
W
48-6
48
6
+42
H10/12
NCAA
Maine Black Bears
#258
W
26-23
26
23
+3
H11/12
NCAA
Bucknell
#287
L
21-23
21
23
-2
A18/12
NCAA
Fairleigh Dickinson
#144
W
39-33
39
33
+6
A30/12
NCAA
Wagner
#167
W
32-20
32
20
+12
A31/12
NCAA
Sacred Heart
#219
W
32-29
32
29
+3
H06/01
NCAA
St. Francis Brooklyn
#234
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H07/01
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
L
28-29
28
29
-1
A14/01
NCAA
56.9Avg total
30.1Scored
26.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)29.330.960.2-1.643%-
Last 30 at home (11)31.628.059.6+3.673%-
Last 30 away (19)27.932.660.5-4.726%-
Last 10 (10)30.126.856.9+3.360%-
Last 5 (5)33.629.062.6+4.680%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (9)24.736.260.9-11.611%-
vs Similar ◀ (17)30.730.861.5-0.147%-
vs Weaker (2)28.527.055.5+1.5100%-
This opponent (Wagner) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
WagnerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
NJIT
#353
L
27-29
27
29
-2
A27/11
NCAA
Army
#194
L
30-39
30
39
-9
A03/12
NCAA
Fordham
#37
W
35-32
35
32
+3
A07/12
NCAA
Stony Brook
#313
L
26-32
26
32
-6
H16/12
NCAA
Delaware State
#359
W
28-25
28
25
+3
A20/12
NCAA
Gwynedd-Mercy
#507
W
35-32
35
32
+3
H22/12
NCAA
LIU Sharks
#368
W
39-36
39
36
+3
A29/12
NCAA
Merrimack Warriors
#186
L
20-32
20
32
-12
H31/12
NCAA
Stonehill
#245
W
24-21
24
21
+3
A06/01
NCAA
St. Francis (PA)
#275
L
22-29
22
29
-7
H07/01
NCAA
59.3Avg total
28.6Scored
30.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.029.761.7+2.360%-
Last 30 at home (13)33.226.860.0+6.369%-
Last 30 away (17)31.131.962.9-0.853%-
Last 10 (10)28.630.759.3-2.150%-
Last 5 (5)28.030.058.0-2.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar ◀ (7)27.731.659.3-3.929%-
vs Weaker (21)33.129.562.6+3.667%-
This opponent (Merrimack Warriors) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Merrimack Warriors wins
3
Wagner wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/01/23AStonehill59-47
07/01/23HSt. Francis Brooklyn65-53
06/01/23HSacred Heart55-59
31/12/22AWagner58-48
30/12/22AFairleigh Dickinson63-71
18/12/22ABucknell55-61
11/12/22HMaine Black Bears47-50
10/12/22HNew England Noreasters82-23
08/12/22ASan Francisco51-69
04/12/22HVermont43-66
Wagnerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/23HSt. Francis (PA)63-68
06/01/23AStonehill58-62
31/12/22HMerrimack Warriors48-58
29/12/22ALIU Sharks69-61
22/12/22HGwynedd-Mercy89-55
20/12/22ADelaware State58-51
16/12/22HStony Brook58-55
07/12/22AFordham59-72
03/12/22AArmy64-75
27/11/22ANJIT62-57

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Merrimack Warriors
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLWW26%
HomeLWLLW43%
AwayLLLWW17%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games19712
Win %26%43%17%
Points / game57.058.656.1
Allowed / game63.152.469.2
Point differential-6.1+6.1-13.2
Avg total120.1111.0125.3
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%43%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (2)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Wagner
NCAA 2022-23
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL53%
HomeWWWLL67%
AwayLLWWL44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1569
Win %53%67%44%
Points / game64.568.062.1
Allowed / game63.356.767.8
Point differential+1.1+11.3-5.7
Avg total127.8124.7129.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+20%50%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)50% (2)67% (3)
Overtime %7%0%11%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Metro Atlantic Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Quinnipiac1913668%71.466.3+5.1
2 Iona1812667%76.066.9+9.1
3 Siena1812667%70.868.2+2.6
4 Niagara179853%64.965.1-0.1
5 Sacred Heart20101050%70.271.3-1.1
6 Rider167944%69.668.4+1.2
7 Marist167944%63.566.3-2.8
8 Fairfield1771041%64.865.0-0.2
9 St. Peters1871139%61.864.8-3.0
10 Manhattan1661038%68.071.2-3.2
11 Mount St. Mary's1861233%62.664.3-1.8
12 Canisius1751229%69.573.3-3.8
13 Merrimack Warriors1951426%57.063.1-6.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Northeast conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Fairleigh Dickinson2012860%78.875.4+3.4
2 Wagner158753%64.563.3+1.1
3 St. Francis (PA)2071335%71.273.6-2.5
4 Stonehill2071335%67.172.2-5.0
5 Central Connecticut State1941521%65.370.9-5.6
6 Chicago State2041620%66.873.9-7.1
7 LIU Sharks1821611%68.583.0-14.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Merrimack Warriors282957
Wagner332962
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