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Central Districts Lions vs South Adelaide Panthers Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 17 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 11:00
Final 99-83
31-24 15-27 20-12 33-20
Position#2
Record3-0
FormLLWWW
Points / game93.7
Allowed / game84.3
vs
Position#5
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game85.3
Allowed / game72.7
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2025
Meetings · Central Districts Lions v South Adelaide Panthers
17 Apr 2025
CENT99
SOUT83
13 Jul 2024
CENT88
SOUT90
15 Apr 2023
CENT94
SOUT97
30 Apr 2022
CENT92
SOUT94
07 Aug 2021
CENT84
SOUT61
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Central Districts Lions winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
South Adelaide Panthers winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Central Districts LionsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Tigers
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
A16/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
111-84
111
84
+27
H22/06
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
108-120
108
120
-12
A29/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
96-117
96
117
-21
H07/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H13/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A20/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H30/03
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#6
W
93-87
93
87
+6
A05/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
W
93-73
93
73
+20
A12/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-21
28-29
25-29
32-17
31-26
30-16
29-21
21-21
26-36
15-22
37-26
30-36
26-12
14-23
26-15
21-25
25-29
27-21
17-33
27-34
24-28
27-22
24-23
13-17
18-30
31-20
25-24
24-36
21-26
21-20
27-28
26-19
22-20
26-27
19-21
26-19
26-22
25-17
16-18
26-16
191.6Avg total
97.1Scored
94.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)93.784.3178.0+9.3100%
Season at home (1)95.093.0188.0+2.0100%
Season away (2)93.080.0173.0+13.0100%
Last 10 (10)97.194.5191.6+2.660%
Last 5 (5)93.490.6184.0+2.860%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)91.199.5190.5-8.413%
vs Similar (2)111.0101.0212.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)96.290.2186.4+5.977%
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Adelaide PanthersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H22/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A29/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
99-91 OT
99
91
+8
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H07/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H26/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H10/08
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A30/03
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H05/04
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#6
W
93-82
93
82
+11
H12/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-17
21-20
18-18
24-30
26-25
18-19
25-19
22-20
17-13
22-25
21-19
20-23
31-23
18-21
15-13
19-20
28-24
22-27
23-24
17-13
23-18
21-29
21-14
23-12
18-25
27-15
19-21
26-31
26-16
16-17
26-19
18-9
13-14
22-19
18-22
24-20
21-15
19-22
27-16
26-29
169.2Avg total
88.5Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)85.372.7158.0+12.7100%
Season at home (2)85.078.5163.5+6.5100%
Season away (1)86.061.0147.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)88.580.7169.2+7.890%
Last 5 (5)86.876.6163.4+10.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)85.087.4172.4-2.440%
vs Similar (5)83.077.6160.6+5.480%
vs Weaker (20)89.580.0169.4+9.590%
This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +3.8+3.8Q2Q2: +2.7+2.7Q2: -0.8-0.8Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: +0.6+0.6Q4: +1.2+1.2
Central Districts LionsSouth Adelaide Panthers
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Central Districts LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Southern Tigers
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A16/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H22/06
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H07/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H13/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A20/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H30/03
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#6
W
48-47
48
47
+1
A05/04
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#9
W
51-39
51
39
+12
A12/04
NBL1 Central
94.7Avg total
48.0Scored
46.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.447.294.6+0.357%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.749.398.0-0.657%-
Last 30 away (16)46.345.391.6+1.056%-
Last 10 (10)48.046.794.7+1.360%-
Last 5 (5)48.246.494.6+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)45.849.395.1-3.547%-
vs Similar (2)56.047.0103.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)48.044.892.8+3.262%-
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Adelaide PanthersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H22/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A29/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H26/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H10/08
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/03
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/04
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#6
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H12/04
NBL1 Central
83.8Avg total
43.4Scored
40.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.740.884.5+2.963%-
Last 30 at home (17)43.539.382.8+4.276%-
Last 30 away (13)43.942.886.7+1.246%-
Last 10 (10)43.440.483.8+3.070%-
Last 5 (5)41.238.079.2+3.280%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (5)44.845.690.4-0.840%-
vs Similar (5)42.239.681.8+2.660%-
vs Weaker (20)43.839.983.7+3.970%-
This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25ANorth Adelaide Rockets93-73
05/04/25ASturt Sabres93-87
30/03/25HEastern Mavericks95-93
20/07/24AWest Adelaide Bearcats98-110
13/07/24HSouth Adelaide Panthers88-90
07/07/24HForestville Eagles96-117
06/07/24ANorth Adelaide Rockets87-75
29/06/24ASturt Sabres108-120
22/06/24HWoodville Warriors111-84
16/06/24ASouthern Tigers102-96
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/04/25HSturt Sabres93-82
05/04/25HWest Adelaide Bearcats77-75
30/03/25ASouthern Tigers86-61
10/08/24HForestville Eagles90-92
26/07/24HForestville Eagles88-73
13/07/24ACentral Districts Lions90-88
07/07/24HNorwood Flames83-77
06/07/24AEastern Mavericks99-91 OT
29/06/24AWoodville Warriors91-83
22/06/24HForestville Eagles88-85

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Central Districts Lions
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayWW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game93.795.093.0
Allowed / game84.393.080.0
Point differential+9.3+2.0+13.0
Avg total178.0188.0173.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%0%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Adelaide Panthers
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game85.385.086.0
Allowed / game72.778.561.0
Point differential+12.7+6.5+25.0
Avg total158.0163.5147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+67%50%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Adelaide Panthers330100%85.372.7+12.7
2 Central Districts Lions330100%93.784.3+9.3
3 West Adelaide Bearcats32167%85.067.0+18.0
4 Forestville Eagles32167%105.388.0+17.3
5 Eastern Mavericks42250%95.596.5-1.0
6 Woodville Warriors42250%76.585.0-8.5
7 Southern Tigers31233%79.084.3-5.3
8 North Adelaide Rockets31233%70.084.0-14.0
9 Norwood Flames41325%78.583.0-4.5
10 Sturt Sabres4040%82.096.5-14.5
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Central Districts Lions3115203399
South Adelaide Panthers2427122083
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