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Sturt Sabres vs Central Districts Lions Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 05 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 09:15
Final 87-93
20-22 27-26 21-19 19-26
Position#6
Record0-1
FormWLWLL
Points / game83.0
Allowed / game101.0
vs
Position#2
Record1-0
FormWLLLW
Points / game95.0
Allowed / game93.0
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2025
Meetings · Sturt Sabres v Central Districts Lions
05 Apr 2025
STUR87
CENT93
29 Jun 2024
STUR120
CENT108
08 Jul 2023
STUR91
CENT82
21 May 2022
STUR101
CENT90
26 Jun 2021
STUR96
CENT89
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Central Districts Lions winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
68-87
68
87
-19
A16/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
120-108
120
108
+12
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A30/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H06/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
104-75
104
75
+29
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
H20/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H27/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A03/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
27-22
18-15
14-28
9-22
21-21
25-25
25-11
28-23
36-26
22-15
26-37
36-30
15-19
23-31
33-23
35-20
23-27
23-14
22-26
30-22
16-17
32-23
29-17
27-18
20-30
31-28
16-16
18-32
33-21
22-18
29-23
16-19
18-21
16-33
26-9
24-28
20-23
27-24
15-23
21-31
185.8Avg total
94.7Scored
91.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)83.0101.0184.0-18.00%
Season at homeno games
Season away (1)83.0101.0184.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)94.791.1185.8+3.660%
Last 5 (5)91.290.8182.0+0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)89.396.0185.3-6.733%
vs Similar (7)88.389.4177.7-1.143%
vs Weaker (17)99.981.4181.4+18.588%
This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Districts LionsAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
107-83
107
83
+24
H01/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
97-83
97
83
+14
H15/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
102-96
102
96
+6
A16/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
111-84
111
84
+27
H22/06
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
108-120
108
120
-12
A29/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
87-75
87
75
+12
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
96-117
96
117
-21
H07/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
L
88-90
88
90
-2
H13/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
98-110
98
110
-12
A20/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
95-93
95
93
+2
H30/03
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
19-19
28-31
25-21
35-12
18-21
20-30
26-13
33-19
17-21
28-29
25-29
32-17
31-26
30-16
29-21
21-21
26-36
15-22
37-26
30-36
26-12
14-23
26-15
21-25
25-29
27-21
17-33
27-34
24-28
27-22
24-23
13-17
18-30
31-20
25-24
24-36
21-26
21-20
27-28
26-19
194.0Avg total
98.9Scored
95.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (1)95.093.0188.0+2.0100%
Season at home (1)95.093.0188.0+2.0100%
Season awayno games
Last 10 (10)98.995.1194.0+3.860%
Last 5 (5)92.897.0189.8-4.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)91.898.5190.3-6.719%
vs Similar (2)111.0101.0212.0+10.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (12)94.892.4187.2+2.367%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.2+0.2Q1: -2.3-2.3Q2Q2: +1.3+1.3Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: +2.8+2.8Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: +2.6+2.6
Sturt SabresCentral Districts Lions
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
W
45-37
45
37
+8
A16/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A30/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H20/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H27/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A03/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/03
NBL1 Central
92.1Avg total
46.8Scored
45.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.545.992.4+0.547%-
Last 30 at home (15)49.045.394.3+3.760%-
Last 30 away (15)43.946.590.5-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)46.845.392.1+1.550%-
Last 5 (5)47.047.694.6-0.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)45.051.296.2-6.233%-
vs Similar (7)46.448.394.7-1.943%-
vs Weaker (17)47.043.190.1+3.953%-
This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Central Districts LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H01/06
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
38-51
38
51
-13
H15/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
L
45-50
45
50
-5
A16/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
61-42
61
42
+19
H22/06
NBL1 Central
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
41-58
41
58
-17
A29/06
NBL1 Central
North Adelaide Rockets
#10
W
40-35
40
35
+5
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
52-50
52
50
+2
H07/07
NBL1 Central
South Adelaide Panthers
#1
W
51-50
51
50
+1
H13/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
L
49-50
49
50
-1
A20/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
L
42-46
42
46
-4
H30/03
NBL1 Central
94.8Avg total
46.6Scored
48.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.247.594.7-0.353%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.948.697.5+0.360%-
Last 30 away (15)45.446.491.8-1.047%-
Last 10 (10)46.648.294.8-1.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.846.293.0+0.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (16)46.248.694.8-2.450%-
vs Similar (2)56.047.0103.0+9.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (12)47.046.193.1+0.950%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
29/03/25AForestville Eagles83-101
03/08/24AForestville Eagles84-91
27/07/24HWest Adelaide Bearcats100-81
20/07/24HForestville Eagles85-106
13/07/24AEastern Mavericks104-75
06/07/24HSouthern Tigers98-89
30/06/24AWoodville Warriors106-93
29/06/24HCentral Districts Lions120-108
22/06/24AWest Adelaide Bearcats99-80
16/06/24ASouth Adelaide Panthers68-87
DateH/AOpponentScore
30/03/25HEastern Mavericks95-93
20/07/24AWest Adelaide Bearcats98-110
13/07/24HSouth Adelaide Panthers88-90
07/07/24HForestville Eagles96-117
06/07/24ANorth Adelaide Rockets87-75
29/06/24ASturt Sabres108-120
22/06/24HWoodville Warriors111-84
16/06/24ASouthern Tigers102-96
15/06/24HWest Adelaide Bearcats97-83
01/06/24HEastern Mavericks107-83

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallL0%
Home--
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1-1
Win %0%-0%
Points / game83.0-83.0
Allowed / game101.0-101.0
Point differential-18.0--18.0
Avg total184.0-184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%-0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%-0%
Central Districts Lions
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallW100%
HomeW100%
Away--
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games11-
Win %100%100%-
Points / game95.095.0-
Allowed / game93.093.0-
Point differential+2.0+2.0-
Avg total188.0188.0-
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%-
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%-
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 West Adelaide Bearcats110100%97.058.0+39.0
2 South Adelaide Panthers110100%86.061.0+25.0
3 Forestville Eagles110100%101.083.0+18.0
4 North Adelaide Rockets110100%76.065.0+11.0
5 Central Districts Lions110100%95.093.0+2.0
6 Eastern Mavericks1010%93.095.0-2.0
7 Norwood Flames1010%65.076.0-11.0
8 Sturt Sabres1010%83.0101.0-18.0
9 Southern Tigers1010%61.086.0-25.0
10 Woodville Warriors1010%58.097.0-39.0
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sturt Sabres2027211987
Central Districts Lions2226192693
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