Sturt Sabres vs Central Districts Lions Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 29 Jun 2024

Tip-off: 10:45

Final 120-108

36-26 22-15 26-37 36-30

Position#3

Record11-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game94.3

Allowed / game85.0

Sturt Sabres 🏆

Central Districts Lions

Position#5

Record8-6

FormWWWWW

Points / game97.2

Allowed / game95.5

NBL1 Central

Other2024

Meetings · Sturt Sabres v Central Districts Lions

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sturt Sabres winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Central Districts Lions winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sturt Sabres Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Central Districts Lions

101-89

101

+12

A20/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

82-96

-14

H25/04

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

89-79

+10

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

104-90

104

+14

H05/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

81-104

104

-23

H11/05

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

98-58

+40

H25/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

111-98

111

+13

A01/06

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

94-92

H15/06

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

68-87

-19

A16/06

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

99-80

+19

A22/06

NBL1 Central

22-31

21-19

26-25

32-14

25-21

20-26

20-29

17-20

18-25

22-21

29-18

20-15

28-25

29-22

23-29

24-14

10-34

21-30

28-21

22-19

19-12

24-16

28-18

27-12

25-24

29-25

31-17

26-32

28-34

22-18

23-25

21-15

27-22

18-15

14-28

9-22

21-21

25-25

25-11

28-23

180.0Avg total

92.7Scored

87.3Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	94.3	85.0	179.3	+9.3	79%
Season at home (7)	93.7	88.3	182.0	+5.4	71%
Season away (7)	94.9	81.7	176.6	+13.1	86%
Last 10 (10)	92.7	87.3	180.0	+5.4	70%
Last 5 (5)	94.0	83.0	177.0	+11.0	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	93.8	92.8	186.5	+1.0	50%
vs Similar (6)	86.3	90.8	177.2	-4.5	33%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	96.5	76.7	173.2	+19.9	90%

This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Central Districts Lions Australia

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sturt Sabres

89-101

101

-12

H20/04

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

91-119

119

-28

A25/04

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

93-118

118

-25

H27/04

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

84-97

-13

A04/05

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

104-96

104

A11/05

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

104-89

104

+15

A26/05

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

107-83

107

+24

H01/06

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

97-83

+14

H15/06

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

102-96

102

A16/06

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

111-84

111

+27

H22/06

NBL1 Central

31-22

19-21

25-26

14-32

30-32

24-33

17-33

20-21

20-24

26-29

31-38

16-27

24-19

18-30

22-19

20-29

26-22

28-22

23-28

27-24

25-17

28-22

35-20

16-30

19-19

28-31

25-21

35-12

18-21

20-30

26-13

33-19

17-21

28-29

25-29

32-17

31-26

30-16

29-21

21-21

194.8Avg total

98.2Scored

96.6Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	97.2	95.5	192.7	+1.7	57%
Season at home (7)	102.0	96.4	198.4	+5.6	71%
Season away (7)	92.4	94.6	187.0	-2.1	43%
Last 10 (10)	98.2	96.6	194.8	+1.6	60%
Last 5 (5)	104.2	87.0	191.2	+17.2	100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	88.3	96.7	185.0	-8.4	18%
vs Similar (2)	111.0	101.0	212.0	+10.0	100%
vs Weaker (11)	96.3	92.8	189.1	+3.5	64%

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

Sturt SabresCentral Districts Lions

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.2	22.5	44.7	-0.3	57%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.5	22.1	44.6	+0.5	67%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.8	22.9	44.7	-1.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.3	24.9	47.2	-2.6	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.0	22.6	46.6	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	20.0	24.5	44.5	-4.5	25%	-
vs Similar (6)	20.8	25.8	46.7	-5.0	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	23.0	21.1	44.1	+1.9	70%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.0	24.2	48.2	-0.2	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.9	25.3	50.1	-0.4	47%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.1	23.1	46.2	+0.1	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.1	22.3	46.4	+1.8	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.0	20.8	42.8	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	25.1	24.4	49.5	+0.6	53%	-
vs Similar (2)	26.0	23.0	49.0	+3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	22.0	24.0	46.0	-2.0	36%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	21.7	44.4	+1.1	63%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	23.9	22.3	46.2	+1.5	60%	-
Last 30 away (15)	21.7	21.0	42.7	+0.7	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.1	21.7	44.8	+1.4	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	23.6	19.8	43.4	+3.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.8	24.2	48.0	-0.5	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	24.2	24.0	48.2	+0.2	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	22.1	20.4	42.6	+1.7	70%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	22.8	23.1	45.9	-0.3	33%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	23.0	45.8	-0.2	33%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.8	23.1	45.9	-0.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.9	26.3	51.2	-1.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	26.8	25.6	52.4	+1.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.9	23.6	43.5	-3.6	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	30.0	24.0	54.0	+6.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	25.9	22.1	48.0	+3.8	45%	-

Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Central Districts Lions

43-50

-7

A20/04

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

45-47

-2

H25/04

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

40-46

-6

A27/04

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

57-47

+10

H05/05

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

31-64

-33

H11/05

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

43-28

+15

H25/05

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

54-49

A01/06

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

50-52

-2

H15/06

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

45-37

A16/06

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

46-46

A22/06

NBL1 Central

92.0Avg total

45.4Scored

46.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	44.9	44.2	89.1	+0.8	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.4	44.4	90.8	+2.0	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	43.5	43.9	87.4	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	45.4	46.6	92.0	-1.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	47.6	42.4	90.0	+5.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	43.8	48.8	92.5	-5.0	50%	-
vs Similar (6)	45.0	49.8	94.8	-4.8	33%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	45.1	41.5	86.7	+3.6	55%	-

This opponent (Central Districts Lions) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Central Districts LionsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Sturt Sabres

50-43

H20/04

NBL1 Central

Forestville Eagles

54-65

-11

A25/04

NBL1 Central

North Adelaide Rockets

#10

46-53

-7

H27/04

NBL1 Central

South Adelaide Panthers

42-49

-7

A04/05

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

54-44

+10

A11/05

NBL1 Central

Norwood Flames

53-39

+14

A26/05

NBL1 Central

Eastern Mavericks

47-50

-3

H01/06

NBL1 Central

West Adelaide Bearcats

38-51

-13

H15/06

NBL1 Central

Southern Tigers

45-50

-5

A16/06

NBL1 Central

Woodville Warriors

61-42

+19

H22/06

NBL1 Central

97.6Avg total

49.0Scored

48.6Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	46.8	47.2	94.0	-0.4	50%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	47.7	48.3	95.9	-0.6	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	45.9	46.2	92.1	-0.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.0	48.6	97.6	+0.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	48.8	46.4	95.2	+2.4	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	45.0	48.0	93.0	-3.0	41%	-
vs Similar (2)	56.0	47.0	103.0	+9.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.9	46.1	94.0	+1.8	55%	-

This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.3	18.5	42.8	+5.8	73%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	25.7	19.1	44.8	+6.5	80%	-
Last 30 away (15)	22.9	17.9	40.9	+5.0	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	24.7	22.1	46.8	+2.6	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	24.2	19.8	44.0	+4.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	23.0	19.5	42.5	+3.5	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	22.2	19.3	41.5	+2.8	67%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	25.2	18.1	43.3	+7.1	75%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.4	23.5	47.8	+0.9	47%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	24.7	22.8	47.5	+1.9	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.0	24.1	48.1	-0.1	40%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.8	24.8	50.6	+1.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.0	20.8	48.8	+7.2	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	23.7	22.4	46.1	+1.4	47%	-
vs Similar (2)	31.0	27.0	58.0	+4.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	24.2	24.5	48.7	-0.4	45%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	24.9	18.9	43.8	+6.0	77%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	22.8	18.8	41.6	+4.0	73%	-
Last 30 away (15)	27.0	19.1	46.1	+7.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	22.6	18.6	41.2	+4.0	70%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.2	20.8	43.0	+1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	27.0	24.5	51.5	+2.5	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	19.2	21.7	40.8	-2.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	26.2	17.0	43.2	+9.2	85%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	21.0	24.2	45.1	-3.2	37%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	21.4	23.9	45.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	24.5	45.0	-3.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	23.4	23.2	46.6	+0.2	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	27.4	19.8	47.2	+7.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	19.1	25.8	44.8	-6.7	18%	-
vs Similar (2)	24.0	27.0	51.0	-3.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	23.4	21.2	44.5	+2.2	64%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	49.2	37.5	86.7	+11.7	83%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	48.5	37.9	86.4	+10.5	87%	-
Last 30 away (15)	49.9	37.0	86.9	+12.9	80%	-
Last 10 (10)	47.3	40.7	88.0	+6.6	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	46.4	40.6	87.0	+5.8	80%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (4)	50.0	44.0	94.0	+6.0	75%	-
vs Similar (6)	41.3	41.0	82.3	+0.3	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	51.4	35.1	86.5	+16.3	95%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (30)	45.3	47.6	93.0	-2.3	43%	-
Last 30 at home (15)	46.1	46.7	92.8	-0.5	53%	-
Last 30 away (15)	44.5	48.6	93.1	-4.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	49.2	48.0	97.2	+1.2	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	55.4	40.6	96.0	+14.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (17)	42.8	48.1	90.9	-5.4	29%	-
vs Similar (2)	55.0	54.0	109.0	+1.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	47.5	45.7	93.3	+1.8	55%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Sturt Sabres wins

Central Districts Lions wins

Date	Game	Score
20/04/24	Central Districts Lions v Sturt Sabres	89-101
08/07/23	Sturt Sabres v Central Districts Lions	91-82
29/04/23	Central Districts Lions v Sturt Sabres	55-99
23/07/22	Central Districts Lions v Sturt Sabres	83-82
21/05/22	Sturt Sabres v Central Districts Lions	101-90
26/06/21	Sturt Sabres v Central Districts Lions	96-89
17/04/21	Central Districts Lions v Sturt Sabres	70-87

Sturt Sabreslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/06/24	A	West Adelaide Bearcats	99-80
16/06/24	A	South Adelaide Panthers	68-87
15/06/24	H	Norwood Flames	94-92
01/06/24	A	Forestville Eagles	111-98
25/05/24	H	North Adelaide Rockets	98-58
11/05/24	H	West Adelaide Bearcats	81-104
05/05/24	H	Eastern Mavericks	104-90
27/04/24	A	Southern Tigers	89-79
25/04/24	H	Woodville Warriors	82-96
20/04/24	A	Central Districts Lions	101-89

Central Districts Lionslast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
22/06/24	H	Woodville Warriors	111-84
16/06/24	A	Southern Tigers	102-96
15/06/24	H	West Adelaide Bearcats	97-83
01/06/24	H	Eastern Mavericks	107-83
26/05/24	A	Norwood Flames	104-89
11/05/24	A	Woodville Warriors	104-96
04/05/24	A	South Adelaide Panthers	84-97
27/04/24	H	North Adelaide Rockets	93-118
25/04/24	A	Forestville Eagles	91-119
20/04/24	H	Sturt Sabres	89-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sturt Sabres

NBL1 Central 2024

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	79%
Home	LWLWW	71%
Away	WWWLW	86%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	79%	71%	86%
Points / game	94.3	93.7	94.9
Allowed / game	85.0	88.3	81.7
Point differential	+9.3	+5.4	+13.1
Avg total	179.3	182.0	176.6
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	64%	43%	86%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	100% (2)	100% (2)	-
Overtime %	0%	0%	0%

Central Districts Lions

NBL1 Central 2024

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWWW	57%
Home	LLWWW	71%
Away	LLWWW	43%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	57%	71%	43%
Points / game	97.2	102.0	92.4
Allowed / game	95.5	96.4	94.6
Point differential	+1.7	+5.6	-2.1
Avg total	192.7	198.4	187.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	29%	43%	14%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	33% (3)	100% (1)	0% (2)
Overtime %	7%	0%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Forestville Eagles	15	12	3	80%	99.7	85.3	+14.4
2	Sturt Sabres	14	11	3	79%	94.3	85.0	+9.3
3	South Adelaide Panthers	14	11	3	79%	88.0	81.3	+6.7
4	Central Districts Lions	14	8	6	57%	97.2	95.5	+1.7
5	West Adelaide Bearcats	14	7	7	50%	94.6	88.4	+6.3
6	Woodville Warriors	14	7	7	50%	87.1	89.6	-2.4
7	Norwood Flames	14	6	8	43%	92.6	94.1	-1.5
8	Eastern Mavericks	14	5	9	36%	81.6	90.6	-9.0
9	Southern Tigers	14	2	12	14%	80.9	90.6	-9.7
10	North Adelaide Rockets	15	2	13	13%	79.1	94.7	-15.7

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Sturt Sabres	36	22	26	36	120
Central Districts Lions	26	15	37	30	108

← all games of the day

Sturt Sabres vs Central Districts Lions Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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