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South Adelaide Panthers vs Sturt Sabres Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 12 Apr 2025
Tip-off: 10:45
Final 93-82
21-15 19-22 27-16 26-29
Position#5
Record2-0
FormWWLWW
Points / game81.5
Allowed / game68.0
vs
Position#6
Record0-2
FormLWLLL
Points / game85.0
Allowed / game97.0
AustraliaNBL1 Central
Other2025
Meetings · South Adelaide Panthers v Sturt Sabres
12 Apr 2025
SOUT93
STUR82
16 Jun 2024
SOUT87
STUR68
14 May 2023
SOUT59
STUR87
28 May 2022
SOUT76
STUR83
14 Aug 2021
SOUT77
STUR84
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

South Adelaide Panthers winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Sturt Sabres winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

South Adelaide PanthersAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sturt Sabres
#3
W
87-68
87
68
+19
H16/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
88-85
88
85
+3
H22/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
91-83
91
83
+8
A29/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
99-91 OT
99
91
+8
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
83-77
83
77
+6
H07/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
90-88
90
88
+2
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
88-73
88
73
+15
H26/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
90-92
90
92
-2
H10/08
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
W
86-61
86
61
+25
A30/03
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
77-75
77
75
+2
H05/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
22-27
15-18
28-14
22-9
25-17
21-20
18-18
24-30
26-25
18-19
25-19
22-20
17-13
22-25
21-19
20-23
31-23
18-21
15-13
19-20
28-24
22-27
23-24
17-13
23-18
21-29
21-14
23-12
18-25
27-15
19-21
26-31
26-16
16-17
26-19
18-9
13-14
22-19
18-22
24-20
167.2Avg total
87.9Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)81.568.0149.5+13.5100%
Season at home (1)77.075.0152.0+2.0100%
Season away (1)86.061.0147.0+25.0100%
Last 10 (10)87.979.3167.2+8.690%
Last 5 (5)86.277.8164.0+8.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)85.087.4172.4-2.440%
vs Similar (6)82.582.5165.0+0.067%
vs Weaker ◀ (19)89.379.8169.1+9.489%
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresAustraliaLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
99-80
99
80
+19
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
120-108
120
108
+12
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
W
106-93
106
93
+13
A30/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
98-89
98
89
+9
H06/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
104-75
104
75
+29
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
85-106
85
106
-21
H20/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
100-81
100
81
+19
H27/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
84-91
84
91
-7
A03/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
L
83-101
83
101
-18
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
87-93
87
93
-6
H05/04
NBL1 Central
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-21
25-25
25-11
28-23
36-26
22-15
26-37
36-30
15-19
23-31
33-23
35-20
23-27
23-14
22-26
30-22
16-17
32-23
29-17
27-18
20-30
31-28
16-16
18-32
33-21
22-18
29-23
16-19
18-21
16-33
26-9
24-28
20-23
27-24
15-23
21-31
20-22
27-26
21-19
19-26
188.3Avg total
96.6Scored
91.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (2)85.097.0182.0-12.00%
Season at home (1)87.093.0180.0-6.00%
Season away (1)83.0101.0184.0-18.00%
Last 10 (10)96.691.7188.3+4.960%
Last 5 (5)87.894.4182.2-6.620%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)89.095.6184.6-6.629%
vs Similar (6)89.089.3178.3-0.350%
vs Weaker (17)99.981.4181.4+18.588%
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: +2.7+2.7Q1: -0.5-0.5Q2Q2: -0.8-0.8Q2: +1.1+1.1Q3Q3: +3.1+3.1Q3: +3.8+3.8Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +0.5+0.5
South Adelaide PanthersSturt Sabres
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
South Adelaide PanthersLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Sturt Sabres
#3
L
37-45
37
45
-8
H16/06
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
46-37
46
37
+9
H22/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
D
44-44
44
44
+0
A29/06
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
39-38
39
38
+1
A06/07
NBL1 Central
Norwood Flames
#6
W
49-44
49
44
+5
H07/07
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
L
50-51
50
51
-1
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
44-47
44
47
-3
H26/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
W
45-40
45
40
+5
H10/08
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#7
W
42-33
42
33
+9
A30/03
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/04
NBL1 Central
84.3Avg total
43.1Scored
41.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)44.041.685.6+2.460%-
Last 30 at home (16)43.739.483.1+4.275%-
Last 30 away (14)44.444.088.4+0.443%-
Last 10 (10)43.141.284.3+1.960%-
Last 5 (5)43.240.884.0+2.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (5)44.845.690.4-0.840%-
vs Similar (6)43.543.086.5+0.550%-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)43.940.184.0+3.968%-
This opponent (Sturt Sabres) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Sturt SabresLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
D
46-46
46
46
+0
A22/06
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#5
W
58-41
58
41
+17
H29/06
NBL1 Central
Woodville Warriors
#7
L
38-50
38
50
-12
A30/06
NBL1 Central
Southern Tigers
#9
W
46-41
46
41
+5
H06/07
NBL1 Central
Eastern Mavericks
#8
W
48-40
48
40
+8
A13/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
51-58
51
58
-7
H20/07
NBL1 Central
West Adelaide Bearcats
#4
W
55-39
55
39
+16
H27/07
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#2
L
34-54
34
54
-20
A03/08
NBL1 Central
Forestville Eagles
#1
D
47-47
47
47
+0
A29/03
NBL1 Central
Central Districts Lions
#2
L
47-48
47
48
-1
H05/04
NBL1 Central
93.4Avg total
47.0Scored
46.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)46.445.892.2+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (15)48.945.194.0+3.960%-
Last 30 away (15)43.946.590.5-2.633%-
Last 10 (10)47.046.493.4+0.640%-
Last 5 (5)46.849.296.0-2.420%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (7)45.350.796.0-5.429%-
vs Similar (6)46.247.793.8-1.550%-
vs Weaker (17)47.043.190.1+3.953%-
This opponent (South Adelaide Panthers) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HWest Adelaide Bearcats77-75
30/03/25ASouthern Tigers86-61
10/08/24HForestville Eagles90-92
26/07/24HForestville Eagles88-73
13/07/24ACentral Districts Lions90-88
07/07/24HNorwood Flames83-77
06/07/24AEastern Mavericks99-91 OT
29/06/24AWoodville Warriors91-83
22/06/24HForestville Eagles88-85
16/06/24HSturt Sabres87-68
DateH/AOpponentScore
05/04/25HCentral Districts Lions87-93
29/03/25AForestville Eagles83-101
03/08/24AForestville Eagles84-91
27/07/24HWest Adelaide Bearcats100-81
20/07/24HForestville Eagles85-106
13/07/24AEastern Mavericks104-75
06/07/24HSouthern Tigers98-89
30/06/24AWoodville Warriors106-93
29/06/24HCentral Districts Lions120-108
22/06/24AWest Adelaide Bearcats99-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

South Adelaide Panthers
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 9 Wins / 1 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWW100%
HomeW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game81.577.086.0
Allowed / game68.075.061.0
Point differential+13.5+2.0+25.0
Avg total149.5152.0147.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%0%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
Sturt Sabres
NBL1 Central 2025
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLL0%
HomeL0%
AwayL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games211
Win %0%0%0%
Points / game85.087.083.0
Allowed / game97.093.0101.0
Point differential-12.0-6.0-18.0
Avg total182.0180.0184.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+0%0%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 South Adelaide Panthers220100%81.568.0+13.5
2 Central Districts Lions220100%94.090.0+4.0
3 West Adelaide Bearcats32167%85.067.0+18.0
4 Eastern Mavericks32167%98.797.7+1.0
5 Forestville Eagles21150%110.0101.5+8.5
6 Woodville Warriors21150%76.079.0-3.0
7 North Adelaide Rockets21150%68.579.5-11.0
8 Southern Tigers31233%79.084.3-5.3
9 Sturt Sabres2020%85.097.0-12.0
10 Norwood Flames3030%71.785.3-13.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
South Adelaide Panthers2119272693
Sturt Sabres1522162982
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