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Cerrado vs Franca Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 08 Apr 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 70-95
19-19 13-23 21-28 17-25
Position#17
Record8-25
FormLLLLL
Points / game74.6
Allowed / game77.0
vs
Franca 🏆
Brazil
Position#1
Record30-5
FormWWWWW
Points / game88.2
Allowed / game76.9
BrazilNBB· Ginasio da ASCEB
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cerrado v Franca
08 Apr 2024
CERR70
FRAN95
06 Apr 2023
CERR68
FRAN106
26 Mar 2022
CERR88
FRAN89
16 Nov 2020
CERR79
FRAN86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Franca winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
87avg 66
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
89avg 66
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
95-73
95
73
+22
96avg 66
A01/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 66
H08/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 66
H10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-71
69
71
-2
52avg 66
A20/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
65-70
65
70
-5
58avg 66
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
69-86
69
86
-17
59avg 66
H26/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
71-82
71
82
-11
63avg 66
A02/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
70-79
70
79
-9
61avg 66
A04/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-18
25-16
15-20
30-18
19-25
24-23
22-22
18-16
22-15
28-19
25-21
20-18
23-19
11-20
20-23
25-20
28-24
23-12
12-24
18-24
21-18
20-18
11-20
17-15
16-16
19-20
21-16
9-18
10-30
15-18
22-17
22-21
14-20
24-21
16-20
17-21
18-24
18-20
14-15
20-20
155.3Avg total
76.8Scored
78.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.677.0151.5-2.424%
Season at home (15)74.975.0149.9-0.127%
Season away (18)74.378.6152.9-4.322%
Last 10 (10)76.878.5155.3-1.720%
Last 5 (5)68.877.6146.4-8.80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)72.881.6154.4-8.87%
vs Similar (8)70.875.0145.8-4.225%
vs Weaker (8)86.472.4158.8+14.062%
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFranca
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
L
96-101
96
101
-5
84avg 86
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#5
W
78-67
78
67
+11
77avg 86
A12/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
97-74
97
74
+23
97avg 86
H19/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
73-88
73
88
-15
56avg 86
H21/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
93-67
93
67
+26
97avg 86
H23/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
89-79
89
79
+10
86avg 86
A27/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
96-84
96
84
+12
96avg 86
A29/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
97-87
97
87
+10
96avg 86
H01/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
73-69
73
69
+4
65avg 86
H03/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
105-100
105
100
+5
105avg 86
A06/04
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-32
18-15
27-25
20-29
21-25
18-19
25-9
14-14
24-17
33-20
16-13
24-24
19-36
20-16
12-16
22-20
26-21
28-19
19-17
20-10
25-18
23-21
20-20
21-20
28-30
19-28
23-17
26-9
19-19
28-19
33-24
17-25
19-19
25-13
17-18
12-19
26-20
36-26
20-27
23-27
171.3Avg total
89.7Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (35)88.276.9165.1+11.386%
Season at home (18)91.776.6168.2+15.189%
Season away (17)84.677.2161.8+7.482%
Last 10 (10)89.781.6171.3+8.180%
Last 5 (5)92.083.8175.8+8.2100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)84.091.0175.0-7.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (27)92.179.4171.5+12.685%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
-6-3+0+3+6Q1Q1: -2.2-2.2Q1: +0.1+0.1Q2Q2: +2.0+2.0Q2: +5.2+5.2Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +0.2+0.2
CerradoFranca
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A01/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A20/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/03
NBB
Bauru
#5
L
25-48
25
48
-23
H26/03
NBB
Paulistano
#7
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A02/04
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
L
36-44
36
44
-8
A04/04
NBB
79.0Avg total
39.4Scored
39.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.437.876.2+0.647%-
Last 30 at home (13)38.536.675.1+1.862%-
Last 30 away (17)38.438.777.1-0.435%-
Last 10 (10)39.439.679.0-0.240%-
Last 5 (5)35.041.076.0-6.020%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (14)37.040.977.9-3.921%-
vs Similar (8)35.537.272.8-1.850%-
vs Weaker (8)43.832.976.6+10.988%-
This opponent (Franca) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FrancaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
49-47
49
47
+2
H09/03
Champions League Americas
Bauru
#5
L
39-44
39
44
-5
A12/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
57-37
57
37
+20
H19/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
39-52
39
52
-13
H21/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
54-40
54
40
+14
H23/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
48-39
48
39
+9
A27/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
47-58
47
58
-11
A29/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
47-38
47
38
+9
H01/04
NBB
Mogi
#14
W
44-32
44
32
+12
H03/04
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
62-46
62
46
+16
A06/04
NBB
91.9Avg total
48.6Scored
43.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)47.741.889.6+5.980%-
Last 30 at home (14)48.442.991.3+5.679%-
Last 30 away (16)47.140.988.1+6.281%-
Last 10 (10)48.643.391.9+5.370%-
Last 5 (5)49.642.692.2+7.080%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (2)46.050.096.0-4.050%-
vs Weaker ◀ (27)47.941.189.0+6.881%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.0 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.0 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.319.0
49.6%
51.8%38.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.08.6
33.1%
33.9%25.8
🏀 Free throws17.012.0
70.6%
72.6%12.0
They take 64.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Francatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Franca: 88.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀47%
🏀🏀🏀34%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.0 pts a game · 47% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 34% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.221.0
58.0%
51.8%42.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.210.2
36.2%
33.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws21.016.3
77.6%
72.6%16.3
They take 64.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 44% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 08 Apr 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cerrado
LLLLLLLWLW
Franca
WWWWWWLWWL
#17
League position
#1
-2.9
Net rating
+11.1
104.5
Offensive rating
118.7
107.4
Defensive rating
107.6
49.6%
Effective FG%
56.4%
52.6%
Opp. effective FG%
53.0%
18.8%
Turnover %
14.9%
35.2%
Off. rebound %
29.7%
0.26
Free-throw rate
0.33
33.1%
3-point %
36.2%
58.7%
Assist %
62.8%
20%
Form (last 10/10)
80%

Profile

Offence104.5 · 118.7Defence107.4 · 107.6Shooting49.6% · 56.4%3-point %33.1% · 36.2%Ball care18.8% · 14.9%Off. rebounds35.2% · 29.7%Free throws0.26 · 0.33Form (last 10/10)20% · 80%
■ Cerrado   ■ Franca
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cerrado wins
7
Franca wins
DateGameScore
09/12/23Franca v Cerrado80-77
06/04/23Cerrado v Franca68-106
20/12/22Franca v Cerrado98-76
26/03/22Cerrado v Franca88-89
18/12/21Franca v Cerrado96-61
04/04/21Franca v Cerrado93-81
16/11/20Cerrado v Franca79-86
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
04/04/24ASao Paulo70-79
02/04/24APaulistano71-82
26/03/24HBauru69-86
22/03/24AMogi65-70
20/03/24ASao Jose69-71
10/03/24HVasco81-84
08/03/24HBotafogo79-82
01/03/24ABrasilia95-73
15/02/24HFlamengo83-86
07/02/24ACaxias do Sul86-72
Francalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/04/24ABrasilia105-100
03/04/24HMogi73-69
01/04/24HSao Jose97-87
29/03/24AUniao Corinthians96-84
27/03/24ACaxias do Sul89-79
23/03/24HVasco93-67
21/03/24HFlamengo73-88
19/03/24HBotafogo97-74
12/03/24ABauru78-67
09/03/24HHebraica y Macabi96-101

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 2 Wins / 8 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLLL24%
HomeLLLLL27%
AwayWLLLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331518
Win %24%27%22%
Points / game74.674.974.3
Allowed / game77.075.078.6
Point differential-2.4-0.1-4.3
Avg total151.5149.9152.9
Over main line---
Win by 10+15%13%17%
Close games (≤5 pts) won9% (11)0% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Franca
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW86%
HomeWLWWW89%
AwayWWWWW82%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games351817
Win %86%89%82%
Points / game88.291.784.6
Allowed / game76.976.677.2
Point differential+11.3+15.1+7.4
Avg total165.1168.2161.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+57%56%59%
Close games (≤5 pts) won70% (10)80% (5)60% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Flamengo3530586%85.473.5+11.9
2 Franca3530586%88.276.9+11.3
3 Minas3426876%85.673.3+12.4
4 Vasco34231168%75.773.0+2.7
5 Bauru35231266%82.079.2+2.8
6 Paulistano34211362%75.670.7+4.9
7 Unifacisa34211362%83.879.3+4.5
8 Cearense34191556%79.177.4+1.7
9 Sao Jose34181653%79.978.1+1.9
10 Corinthians Paulista34181653%80.880.0+0.8
11 Sao Paulo35181751%78.979.3-0.5
12 Pato34151944%78.179.8-1.8
13 Pinheiros33141942%75.077.7-2.7
14 Uniao Corinthians34102429%74.684.0-9.4
15 Mogi3492526%74.079.9-5.8
16 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
17 Cerrado3382524%74.677.0-2.4
18 Caxias do Sul3482624%72.280.9-8.7
19 Brasilia3443012%73.489.1-15.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cerrado1913211770
Franca1923282595
← all games of the day
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