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Cerrado vs Bauru Result & Analysis

Date: Tue 26 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:00
Final 69-86
10-30 15-18 22-17 22-21
Position#17
Record8-22
FormWLLLL
Points / game75.0
Allowed / game76.4
vs
Bauru 🏆
Brazil
Position#5
Record21-11
FormWWLWW
Points / game80.9
Allowed / game79.0
BrazilNBB· Ginasio da ASCEB
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cerrado v Bauru
26 Mar 2024
CERR69
BAUR86
28 Oct 2022
CERR69
BAUR80
04 Nov 2021
CERR87
BAUR92
18 Nov 2020
CERR81
BAUR83
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Bauru winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 67
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
56-73
56
73
-17
43avg 67
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
103-75
103
75
+28
100avg 67
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
87avg 67
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
89avg 67
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
95-73
95
73
+22
96avg 67
A01/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 67
H08/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 67
H10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
L
69-71
69
71
-2
52avg 67
A20/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
65-70
65
70
-5
58avg 67
A22/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-29
14-18
14-15
21-22
4-19
27-15
12-19
13-20
25-17
22-13
27-21
29-24
16-18
25-16
15-20
30-18
19-25
24-23
22-22
18-16
22-15
28-19
25-21
20-18
23-19
11-20
20-23
25-20
28-24
23-12
12-24
18-24
21-18
20-18
11-20
17-15
16-16
19-20
21-16
9-18
154.8Avg total
77.8Scored
77.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (30)75.076.4151.5-1.427%
Season at home (14)75.374.2149.5+1.129%
Season away (16)74.878.4153.2-3.625%
Last 10 (10)77.877.0154.8+0.830%
Last 5 (5)77.876.0153.8+1.820%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)72.180.1152.2-8.08%
vs Similar (9)69.274.8144.0-5.622%
vs Weaker (8)86.472.4158.8+14.062%
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBauru
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
W
71-70
71
70
+1
61avg 71
A06/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
76-84
76
84
-8
66avg 71
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
89-79
89
79
+10
82avg 71
H15/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
76-81
76
81
-5
69avg 71
H17/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
86-84 OT
86
84
+2
no box
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
97-89 OT
97
89
+8
no box
A07/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
79-75
79
75
+4
79avg 71
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
L
67-78
67
78
-11
53avg 71
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
W
74-72
74
72
+2
64avg 71
H19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
113-95
113
95
+18
120avg 71
H21/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
18-27
23-17
15-12
15-14
21-23
15-15
19-18
21-28
27-15
20-18
18-23
24-23
27-20
23-24
11-24
15-13
22-24
26-19
14-16
12-15
26-24
17-26
19-15
16-13
23-22
15-21
15-24
26-8
25-21
19-18
9-25
14-14
19-29
17-15
21-11
17-17
28-24
24-19
33-26
28-26
163.5Avg total
82.8Scored
80.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (32)80.979.0159.9+1.966%
Season at home (16)85.476.7162.1+8.788%
Season away (16)76.481.2157.7-4.844%
Last 10 (10)82.880.7163.5+2.170%
Last 5 (5)86.081.8167.8+4.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)75.886.5162.3-10.733%
vs Similar (12)77.277.3154.6-0.167%
vs Weaker ◀ (11)88.078.5166.5+9.582%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
-5-2+0+2+5Q1Q1: -1.4-1.4Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +3.9+3.9Q2: +0.7+0.7Q3Q3: -2.2-2.2Q3: -2.0-2.0Q4Q4: +0.5+0.5Q4: +1.7+1.7
CerradoBauru
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A01/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H10/03
NBB
Sao Jose
#10
W
41-36
41
36
+5
A20/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A22/03
NBB
77.3Avg total
39.9Scored
37.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.937.275.1+0.747%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.835.873.6+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)38.138.476.5-0.438%-
Last 10 (10)39.937.477.3+2.550%-
Last 5 (5)42.236.278.4+6.060%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (13)37.239.877.1-2.623%-
vs Similar (9)33.837.271.0-3.444%-
vs Weaker (8)43.832.976.6+10.988%-
This opponent (Bauru) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BauruLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
41-44
41
44
-3
A06/02
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
36-38
36
38
-2
A08/02
NBB
Pato
#12
W
47-33
47
33
+14
H15/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
50-44
50
44
+6
H17/02
NBB
Minas
#3
W
48-43
48
43
+5
H02/03
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
L
43-50
43
50
-7
A07/03
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A09/03
NBB
Franca
#1
W
44-39
44
39
+5
H12/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
36-44
36
44
-8
H19/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
H21/03
NBB
85.6Avg total
43.5Scored
42.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)41.040.681.6+0.453%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.839.984.6+4.979%-
Last 30 away (16)37.641.278.9-3.631%-
Last 10 (10)43.542.185.6+1.450%-
Last 5 (5)42.643.886.4-1.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)40.244.584.7-4.333%-
vs Similar (12)40.837.878.7+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (11)42.540.282.6+2.355%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 76.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.7 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.1 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.218.5
51.1%
51.8%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.28.9
36.8%
33.9%26.7
🏀 Free throws19.113.1
68.6%
72.6%13.1
They take 60.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.2 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Baurutheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bauru: 79.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀43%
🏀🏀🏀41%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.6 pts a game · 43% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers32.7 pts a game · 41% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.5 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers34.217.3
50.6%
51.8%34.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.510.9
38.2%
33.9%32.7
🏀 Free throws17.112.5
73.1%
72.6%12.5
They take 62.7 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 28.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 45% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 26 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cerrado
LLLLWLWWLL
Bauru
WWLWWWLWLW
#17
League position
#5
+0.3
Net rating
-0.6
106.2
Offensive rating
111.5
105.9
Defensive rating
112.1
52.7%
Effective FG%
53.7%
51.1%
Opp. effective FG%
50.8%
19.6%
Turnover %
15.2%
31.3%
Off. rebound %
26.6%
0.32
Free-throw rate
0.27
36.8%
3-point %
38.2%
51.8%
Assist %
69.5%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence106.2 · 111.5Defence105.9 · 112.1Shooting52.7% · 53.7%3-point %36.8% · 38.2%Ball care19.6% · 15.2%Off. rebounds31.3% · 26.6%Free throws0.32 · 0.27Form (last 10/10)30% · 70%
■ Cerrado   ■ Bauru
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cerrado wins
7
Bauru wins
DateGameScore
11/12/23Bauru v Cerrado90-81
18/01/23Bauru v Cerrado97-73
28/10/22Cerrado v Bauru69-80
04/02/22Bauru v Cerrado74-68
04/11/21Cerrado v Bauru87-92 OT
13/04/21Bauru v Cerrado81-69
18/11/20Cerrado v Bauru81-83
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
22/03/24AMogi65-70
20/03/24ASao Jose69-71
10/03/24HVasco81-84
08/03/24HBotafogo79-82
01/03/24ABrasilia95-73
15/02/24HFlamengo83-86
07/02/24ACaxias do Sul86-72
05/02/24AUniao Corinthians103-75
24/01/24ACorinthians Paulista56-73
22/01/24APinheiros61-84
Baurulast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
21/03/24HBotafogo113-95
19/03/24HFlamengo74-72
12/03/24HFranca67-78
09/03/24ACaxias do Sul79-75
07/03/24AUniao Corinthians97-89 OT
02/03/24HMinas86-84 OT
17/02/24HVasco76-81
15/02/24HPato89-79
08/02/24APinheiros76-84
06/02/24ACorinthians Paulista71-70

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLLL27%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayWWWLL25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games301416
Win %27%29%25%
Points / game75.075.374.8
Allowed / game76.474.278.4
Point differential-1.4+1.1-3.6
Avg total151.5149.5153.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%14%19%
Close games (≤5 pts) won9% (11)0% (5)17% (6)
Overtime %3%7%0%
Bauru
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLWW66%
HomeLWLWW88%
AwayWWLWW44%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321616
Win %66%88%44%
Points / game80.985.476.4
Allowed / game79.076.781.2
Point differential+1.9+8.7-4.8
Avg total159.9162.1157.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+19%31%6%
Close games (≤5 pts) won71% (14)86% (7)57% (7)
Overtime %16%12%19%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca3025583%87.675.7+11.9
2 Flamengo3025583%84.973.7+11.2
3 Minas3123874%85.974.2+11.7
4 Vasco3022873%76.772.8+3.8
5 Bauru32211166%80.979.0+1.9
6 Unifacisa32201262%84.079.4+4.6
7 Paulistano29181162%75.271.5+3.7
8 Corinthians Paulista30171357%80.778.3+2.5
9 Cearense31171455%79.176.9+2.3
10 Sao Jose32171553%79.377.1+2.3
11 Sao Paulo30151550%78.479.5-1.1
12 Pinheiros30131743%75.478.1-2.7
13 Pato31131842%77.579.7-2.2
14 Uniao Corinthians31102132%74.583.4-8.8
15 Cerrado3082227%75.076.4-1.4
16 Botafogo3492526%79.187.9-8.8
17 Caxias do Sul3182326%71.880.0-8.2
18 Mogi3282425%74.080.1-6.1
19 Brasilia3042613%72.687.8-15.3
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cerrado1015222269
Bauru3018172186
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