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Sao Jose vs Cerrado Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 20 Mar 2024
Tip-off: 23:15
Final 71-69
18-21 18-20 20-11 15-17
Position#10
Record15-14
FormWWLLL
Points / game79.6
Allowed / game77.2
vs
Position#17
Record8-20
FormWLWLL
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game76.9
BrazilNBB· Gym Linneu de Moura
Other2023-24
Meetings · Sao Jose v Cerrado
20 Mar 2024
SAO 71
CERR69
01 Dec 2022
SAO 88
CERR79
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Sao Jose winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Sao JoseBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormJose
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
71-73
71
73
-2
68avg 73
H15/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
95-99 OT
95
99
-4
no box
A22/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 73
A24/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
88-80
88
80
+8
87avg 73
A05/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
111-86
111
86
+25
106avg 73
H14/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
82-68
82
68
+14
77avg 73
H16/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
W
93-90 OT
93
90
+3
no box
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
59-92
59
92
-33
43avg 73
A05/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
64-79
64
79
-15
56avg 73
A09/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
67-69
67
69
-2
58avg 73
A12/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-20
18-17
14-19
22-17
19-15
18-14
17-25
22-22
21-21
14-21
9-16
24-26
28-20
25-14
16-18
19-28
27-30
28-15
30-12
26-29
19-19
23-10
19-18
21-21
17-19
24-23
22-17
14-18
17-25
13-27
13-18
16-22
17-18
15-24
17-11
15-26
20-15
7-16
23-19
17-19
161.8Avg total
79.8Scored
82.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (29)79.677.2156.8+2.452%
Season at home (14)80.373.6153.9+6.757%
Season away (15)79.080.6159.6-1.647%
Last 10 (10)79.882.0161.8-2.240%
Last 5 (5)73.079.6152.6-6.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)70.774.7145.3-4.017%
vs Similar ◀ (13)78.478.9157.3-0.546%
vs Weaker (11)84.776.0160.7+8.773%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
65avg 68
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
60avg 68
H19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 68
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
56-73
56
73
-17
43avg 68
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
103-75
103
75
+28
100avg 68
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
87avg 68
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
83-86
83
86
-3
89avg 68
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
95-73
95
73
+22
96avg 68
A01/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
79-82
79
82
-3
74avg 68
H08/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
81-84
81
84
-3
70avg 68
H10/03
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
15-22
21-13
16-26
23-21
20-24
11-23
25-20
15-17
12-29
14-18
14-15
21-22
4-19
27-15
12-19
13-20
25-17
22-13
27-21
29-24
16-18
25-16
15-20
30-18
19-25
24-23
22-22
18-16
22-15
28-19
25-21
20-18
23-19
11-20
20-23
25-20
28-24
23-12
12-24
18-24
158.5Avg total
79.0Scored
79.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (28)75.676.9152.5-1.229%
Season at home (14)75.374.2149.5+1.129%
Season away (14)75.979.5155.4-3.629%
Last 10 (10)79.079.5158.5-0.530%
Last 5 (5)84.879.4164.2+5.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)71.180.9152.1-9.87%
vs Similar ◀ (7)69.976.0145.9-6.129%
vs Weaker (8)86.472.4158.8+14.062%
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.0+0.0Q1: -2.8-2.8Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: +3.4+3.4Q3Q3: +0.7+0.7Q3: -2.3-2.3Q4Q4: -3.2-3.2Q4: +1.2+1.2
Sao JoseCerrado
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
Sao JoseLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pinheiros
#13
L
35-37
35
37
-2
H15/01
NBB
Cearense
#8
W
37-29
37
29
+8
A22/01
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
35-42
35
42
-7
A24/01
NBB
Pato
#12
W
53-34
53
34
+19
A05/02
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
55-45
55
45
+10
H14/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
42-29
42
29
+13
H16/02
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A29/02
NBB
Vasco
#4
L
30-52
30
52
-22
A05/03
NBB
Mogi
#14
L
32-42
32
42
-10
A09/03
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
27-31
27
31
-4
A12/03
NBB
77.0Avg total
38.7Scored
38.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)38.537.776.2+0.850%-
Last 30 at home (14)39.836.175.9+3.757%-
Last 30 away (16)37.439.276.6-1.844%-
Last 10 (10)38.738.377.0+0.440%-
Last 5 (5)34.439.273.6-4.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (6)36.037.373.3-1.333%-
vs Similar ◀ (13)37.237.975.2-0.746%-
vs Weaker (11)41.437.779.1+3.664%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Pato
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A07/02
NBB
Flamengo
#2
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H15/02
NBB
Brasilia
#19
W
50-34
50
34
+16
A01/03
NBB
Botafogo
#15
L
34-39
34
39
-5
H08/03
NBB
Vasco
#4
W
51-36
51
36
+15
H10/03
NBB
77.4Avg total
39.0Scored
38.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)37.037.974.8-0.943%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.835.873.6+2.057%-
Last 30 away (16)36.239.775.9-3.431%-
Last 10 (10)39.038.477.4+0.650%-
Last 5 (5)43.838.282.0+5.660%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (15)35.440.776.1-5.320%-
vs Similar ◀ (7)32.637.670.1-5.043%-
vs Weaker (8)43.832.976.6+10.988%-
This opponent (Sao Jose) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Sao Josetheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Sao Jose: 75.8 points a game scored
🏀🏀55%
🏀🏀🏀30%
🏀15%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.6 pts a game · 55% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.8 pts a game · 30% of the points
🏀 Free throws11.4 pts a game · 15% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.720.8
52.4%
51.8%41.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers22.37.6
34.1%
33.9%22.8
🏀 Free throws16.911.4
67.5%
72.6%11.4
They take 62.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 22.3 of them are 3-pointers, so 36% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 78.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers38.8 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws13.5 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.619.4
53.0%
51.8%38.8
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers24.48.7
35.7%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws19.013.5
71.1%
72.6%13.5
They take 61.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 24.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 40% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 20 Mar 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Sao Jose
LLLWWWWLLL
Cerrado
LLWLWWLLLL
#10
League position
#17
-1.9
Net rating
-0.4
104.2
Offensive rating
107.3
106.1
Defensive rating
107.7
51.9%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.4%
Opp. effective FG%
52.6%
17.8%
Turnover %
19.0%
27.0%
Off. rebound %
29.4%
0.27
Free-throw rate
0.31
34.1%
3-point %
35.7%
58.5%
Assist %
52.7%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
30%

Profile

Offence104.2 · 107.3Defence106.1 · 107.7Shooting51.9% · 53.2%3-point %34.1% · 35.7%Ball care17.8% · 19.0%Off. rebounds27.0% · 29.4%Free throws0.27 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)40% · 30%
■ Sao Jose   ■ Cerrado
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Sao Jose wins
0
Cerrado wins
DateGameScore
02/12/23Cerrado v Sao Jose74-78
06/03/23Cerrado v Sao Jose64-96
01/12/22Sao Jose v Cerrado88-79
Sao Joselast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/03/24AFlamengo67-69
09/03/24AMogi64-79
05/03/24AVasco59-92
29/02/24ABotafogo93-90 OT
16/02/24HCaxias do Sul82-68
14/02/24HUniao Corinthians111-86
05/02/24APato88-80
24/01/24AUnifacisa68-84
22/01/24ACearense95-99 OT
15/01/24HPinheiros71-73
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/03/24HVasco81-84
08/03/24HBotafogo79-82
01/03/24ABrasilia95-73
15/02/24HFlamengo83-86
07/02/24ACaxias do Sul86-72
05/02/24AUniao Corinthians103-75
24/01/24ACorinthians Paulista56-73
22/01/24APinheiros61-84
19/01/24HMinas71-84
08/01/24HPato75-82

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Sao Jose
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLLL52%
HomeLWLWW57%
AwayWWLLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games291415
Win %52%57%47%
Points / game79.680.379.0
Allowed / game77.273.680.6
Point differential+2.4+6.7-1.6
Avg total156.8153.9159.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%13%
Close games (≤5 pts) won40% (10)33% (3)43% (7)
Overtime %7%0%13%
Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWLL29%
HomeLLLLL29%
AwayLLWWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games281414
Win %29%29%29%
Points / game75.675.375.9
Allowed / game76.974.279.5
Point differential-1.2+1.1-3.6
Avg total152.5149.5155.4
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%14%21%
Close games (≤5 pts) won11% (9)0% (5)25% (4)
Overtime %4%7%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Franca2824486%87.975.6+12.3
2 Flamengo2924583%84.873.8+11.1
3 Minas2922776%86.074.0+12.0
4 Vasco2922776%77.072.1+4.9
5 Bauru31201165%79.978.5+1.4
6 Paulistano29181162%75.271.5+3.7
7 Unifacisa31191261%83.678.9+4.7
8 Corinthians Paulista29161355%80.478.3+2.1
9 Cearense30161453%78.777.1+1.6
10 Sao Jose29151452%79.677.2+2.4
11 Sao Paulo28141450%78.680.0-1.4
12 Pinheiros29131645%75.377.7-2.3
13 Pato30121840%76.779.9-3.2
14 Uniao Corinthians30102033%75.083.8-8.8
15 Cerrado2882029%75.676.9-1.2
16 Caxias do Sul3082227%71.979.6-7.7
17 Botafogo3282425%78.587.4-8.9
18 Mogi3072323%74.179.9-5.8
19 Brasilia2942514%72.187.3-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Sao Jose1818201571
Cerrado2120111769
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