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Cerrado vs Flamengo Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 15 Feb 2024
Tip-off: 22:00
Final 83-86
19-25 24-23 22-22 18-16
Position#17
Record7-17
FormLLLWW
Points / game74.1
Allowed / game76.1
Cerrado
Brazil
vs
Flamengo 🏆
Brazil
Position#2
Record20-4
FormWWWWW
Points / game86.2
Allowed / game74.7
BrazilNBB· Ginasio da ASCEB
Other2023-24
Meetings · Cerrado v Flamengo
15 Feb 2024
CERR83
FLAM86
21 Mar 2023
CERR70
FLAM102
30 Dec 2021
CERR75
FLAM91
20 Dec 2020
CERR67
FLAM87
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Cerrado winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Flamengo winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CerradoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormCerrado
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
L
64-68
64
68
-4
56avg 65
H18/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
82-74
82
74
+8
74avg 65
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
76-87
76
87
-11
60avg 65
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
80-92
80
92
-12
68avg 65
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#12
L
75-82
75
82
-7
65avg 65
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
71-84
71
84
-13
60avg 65
H19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
61-84
61
84
-23
46avg 65
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
56-73
56
73
-17
43avg 65
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
103-75
103
75
+28
100avg 65
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
86-72
86
72
+14
87avg 65
A07/02
NBB
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
14-15
23-20
12-14
15-19
19-16
25-18
21-17
17-23
12-25
19-15
20-24
25-23
23-15
15-26
18-23
24-28
15-22
21-13
16-26
23-21
20-24
11-23
25-20
15-17
12-29
14-18
14-15
21-22
4-19
27-15
12-19
13-20
25-17
22-13
27-21
29-24
16-18
25-16
15-20
30-18
154.5Avg total
75.4Scored
79.1Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)74.176.1150.2-2.029%
Season at home (11)73.771.5145.3+2.236%
Season away (13)74.580.0154.5-5.523%
Last 10 (10)75.479.1154.5-3.730%
Last 5 (5)75.477.6153.0-2.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)70.884.4155.1-13.66%
vs Similar (8)74.877.0151.8-2.238%
vs Weaker (6)86.270.7156.8+15.567%
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoBrazilLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormFlamengo
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#10
W
65-62
65
62
+3
52avg 82
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
78-65
78
65
+13
72avg 82
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
105-62
105
62
+43
120avg 82
H23/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
89-71
89
71
+18
92avg 82
H25/01
NBB
Bauru
#8
W
86-67
86
67
+19
82avg 82
H28/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#3
W
83-82
83
82
+1
80avg 82
H31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
W
83-77
83
77
+6
78avg 82
H03/02
Super 8
Botafogo
#15
W
102-78
102
78
+24
111avg 82
A06/02
NBB
Boca Juniors
#10
W
87-79
87
79
+8
79avg 82
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
111-76
111
76
+35
112avg 82
H11/02
Champions League Americas
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
17-13
19-15
15-18
14-16
17-20
19-16
22-10
20-19
30-19
34-12
22-11
19-20
33-15
21-13
23-13
12-30
25-19
30-12
12-21
19-15
22-20
18-10
16-19
27-33
23-19
20-19
24-14
16-25
31-22
21-21
26-22
24-13
21-20
20-18
20-15
26-26
31-22
22-12
23-24
35-18
160.8Avg total
88.9Scored
71.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (24)86.274.7160.9+11.683%
Season at home (12)88.871.0159.8+17.892%
Season away (12)83.878.3162.1+5.475%
Last 10 (10)88.971.9160.8+17.0100%
Last 5 (5)93.278.4171.6+14.8100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)84.778.3163.0+6.367%
vs Weaker ◀ (26)85.874.5160.3+11.388%
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
-10-5+0+5+10Q1Q1: -4.0-4.0Q1: +6.1+6.1Q2Q2: +2.5+2.5Q2: +7.6+7.6Q3Q3: -1.9-1.9Q3: +3.6+3.6Q4Q4: -0.3-0.3Q4: -0.3-0.3
CerradoFlamengo
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
CerradoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Paulistano
#7
W
37-35
37
35
+2
H18/12
NBB
Sao Paulo
#11
W
44-34
44
34
+10
H21/12
NBB
Cearense
#8
L
31-40
31
40
-9
A27/12
NBB
Unifacisa
#6
L
38-41
38
41
-3
A29/12
NBB
Pato
#12
W
36-35
36
35
+1
H08/01
NBB
Minas
#3
L
31-47
31
47
-16
H19/01
NBB
Pinheiros
#13
L
26-47
26
47
-21
A22/01
NBB
Corinthians Paulista
#9
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A24/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A05/02
NBB
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
41-34
41
34
+7
A07/02
NBB
73.9Avg total
36.2Scored
37.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.738.775.4-2.040%-
Last 30 at home (14)37.436.674.1+0.857%-
Last 30 away (16)36.140.576.6-4.425%-
Last 10 (10)36.237.773.9-1.550%-
Last 5 (5)35.238.473.6-3.240%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.441.976.3-7.612%-
vs Similar (8)35.637.573.1-1.950%-
vs Weaker (6)44.331.776.0+12.7100%-
This opponent (Flamengo) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
FlamengoLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Boca Juniors
#10
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A18/01
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A19/01
Champions League Americas
Caxias do Sul
#18
W
64-31
64
31
+33
H23/01
NBB
Uniao Corinthians
#16
W
54-28
54
28
+26
H25/01
NBB
Bauru
#8
W
55-31
55
31
+24
H28/01
Super 8
Paulistano
#3
W
40-30
40
30
+10
H31/01
Super 8
Unifacisa
#2
W
43-38
43
38
+5
H03/02
Super 8
Botafogo
#15
W
52-43
52
43
+9
A06/02
NBB
Boca Juniors
#10
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A10/02
Champions League Americas
Hebraica y Macabi
#9
W
53-34
53
34
+19
H11/02
Champions League Americas
81.1Avg total
47.4Scored
33.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)43.336.579.9+6.873%-
Last 30 at home (15)46.534.981.4+11.787%-
Last 30 away (15)40.138.278.3+1.960%-
Last 10 (10)47.433.781.1+13.790%-
Last 5 (5)45.836.682.4+9.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (3)41.038.079.0+3.067%-
vs Weaker ◀ (26)43.236.679.7+6.673%-
This opponent (Cerrado) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Cerradotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Cerrado: 74.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀49%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀16%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.2 pts a game · 49% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.1 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws12.3 pts a game · 16% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.618.1
48.1%
51.8%36.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers23.98.7
36.4%
33.9%26.1
🏀 Free throws17.712.3
69.5%
72.6%12.3
They take 61.5 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 23.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Flamengotheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Flamengo: 88.5 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀35%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers42.2 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.6 pts a game · 35% of the points
🏀 Free throws15.7 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 77.5 points a game
48%
35%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.421.1
56.4%
51.8%42.2
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.610.2
37.0%
33.9%30.6
🏀 Free throws20.015.7
78.5%
72.6%15.7
They take 65.0 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.6 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 15 Feb 2024 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Cerrado
WWLLLLLLWL
Flamengo
WWWWWWWWWW
#17
League position
#2
-5.1
Net rating
+23.9
102.7
Offensive rating
118.9
107.7
Defensive rating
95.0
50.7%
Effective FG%
56.0%
54.8%
Opp. effective FG%
44.3%
18.8%
Turnover %
15.2%
28.2%
Off. rebound %
30.2%
0.29
Free-throw rate
0.31
36.4%
3-point %
37.0%
51.1%
Assist %
68.7%
30%
Form (last 10/10)
100%

Profile

Offence102.7 · 118.9Defence107.7 · 95.0Shooting50.7% · 56.0%3-point %36.4% · 37.0%Ball care18.8% · 15.2%Off. rebounds28.2% · 30.2%Free throws0.29 · 0.31Form (last 10/10)30% · 100%
■ Cerrado   ■ Flamengo
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
0
Cerrado wins
7
Flamengo wins
DateGameScore
13/11/23Flamengo v Cerrado89-71
21/03/23Cerrado v Flamengo70-102
29/11/22Flamengo v Cerrado91-80
02/03/22Flamengo v Cerrado69-63
30/12/21Cerrado v Flamengo75-91
07/04/21Flamengo v Cerrado88-57
20/12/20Cerrado v Flamengo67-87
Cerradolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/02/24ACaxias do Sul86-72
05/02/24AUniao Corinthians103-75
24/01/24ACorinthians Paulista56-73
22/01/24APinheiros61-84
19/01/24HMinas71-84
08/01/24HPato75-82
29/12/23AUnifacisa80-92
27/12/23ACearense76-87
21/12/23HSao Paulo82-74
18/12/23HPaulistano64-68
Flamengolast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/02/24HHebraica y Macabi111-76
10/02/24ABoca Juniors87-79
06/02/24ABotafogo102-78
03/02/24HUnifacisa83-77
31/01/24HPaulistano83-82
28/01/24HBauru86-67
25/01/24HUniao Corinthians89-71
23/01/24HCaxias do Sul105-62
19/01/24AHebraica y Macabi78-65
18/01/24ABoca Juniors65-62

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Cerrado
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWW29%
HomeLLWLL36%
AwayLLLWW23%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241113
Win %29%36%23%
Points / game74.173.774.5
Allowed / game76.171.580.0
Point differential-2.0+2.2-5.5
Avg total150.2145.3154.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+17%18%15%
Close games (≤5 pts) won17% (6)0% (2)25% (4)
Overtime %4%9%0%
Flamengo
NBB 2023-24
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWWW83%
HomeWWWWW92%
AwayWWLLW75%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games241212
Win %83%92%75%
Points / game86.288.883.8
Allowed / game74.771.078.3
Point differential+11.6+17.8+5.4
Avg total160.9159.8162.1
Over main line---
Win by 10+54%75%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (6)100% (2)100% (4)
Overtime %12%0%25%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Minas2421388%87.071.7+15.3
2 Flamengo2420483%86.274.7+11.6
3 Franca2420483%87.375.7+11.6
4 Vasco2417771%75.371.6+3.7
5 Paulistano2416867%74.271.5+2.7
6 Bauru2415962%79.578.1+1.4
7 Unifacisa25151060%82.779.2+3.5
8 Sao Jose24131154%81.076.7+4.3
9 Cearense26141254%78.877.0+1.8
10 Corinthians Paulista24111346%78.878.4+0.5
11 Pinheiros24111346%76.778.3-1.6
12 Sao Paulo24111346%78.080.2-2.1
13 Pato25111444%77.178.6-1.5
14 Caxias do Sul2581732%72.679.9-7.3
15 Uniao Corinthians2581732%73.182.3-9.2
16 Cerrado2471729%74.176.1-2.0
17 Botafogo2662023%77.386.1-8.8
18 Mogi2442017%73.080.8-7.8
19 Brasilia2442017%70.685.4-14.8
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Cerrado1924221883
Flamengo2523221686
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