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Charleston vs South Carolina St Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 15 Nov 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Projected 87-67
Projected total 153.8
Scheduled
Position#5
Record3-0
FormWLWWW
Points / game104.7
Allowed / game67.3
Charleston
USA
Vs
96%
■ CHAR 96%■ SOUT 4%
Pythia win probability
South Carolina St
USA
Position#136
Record3-1
FormLWWWL
Points / game78.2
Allowed / game72.8
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Charleston v South Carolina St
15 Nov 2026
CHAR v SOUT
upcoming
14 Nov 2025
CHAR88
SOUT61
11 Nov 2021
CHAR106
SOUT74
11 Dec 2020
CHAR90
SOUT63
21 Dec 2019
CHAR73
SOUT61
Sections
Game preview & prediction

The NCAA matchup on 15 November 2026 pits Charleston against South Carolina St, with Charleston the clear favourite as the Pythia model rates them 96% to win, driven by their flawless 3-0 record, 104.7 points per game and 67.3 allowed, and a league position of 5, while South Carolina St sits 130th with 3-1, 78.2 points per game and 72.8 allowed. Charleston's home form is impeccable, 2-0 at home with 111.5 points per game and 60.5 allowed, and they have won four of their last five games, including a 112-66 home win over Newberry and a 111-55 win over Southern W. South Carolina St's road record is 2-1, 73.0 points per game and 78.7 allowed, with three wins in their last five, though a recent 59-99 loss to Notre Dame shows some volatility. Historically, Charleston has dominated the four meetings, winning all, most recently 88-61 on 14 November 2025. Pythia projects a 87-67 score, 153.8 total points, and a 49% chance the home team covers the -20.5 line, while the over on the 160.5 line has a 34% probability; the game has a 1% chance of overtime. The final figure: Charleston's 111.5 points per game at home.

Written by Pythia from this game's frozen forecast, the market's main lines and both teams' results.

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Charleston win
95.8%fair 1.04
Best odds1.04
Implied91.5%
Edge+4.2pp
South Carolina St win
4.2%fair 23.60
Best odds16.00
Implied8.5%
Edge-4.2pp
Pythia's frozen forecast of 13 Nov 22:22 UTC (Version 5). Implied = the consensus price with the bookmaker margin removed (Pinnacle first); edge = model probability minus implied.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

CharlestonUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#54
L
62-66
62
66
-4
H13/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
62-57
62
57
+5
A15/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
74-61
74
61
+13
A20/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
74-63
74
63
+11
H21/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
85-71
85
71
+14
A26/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
W
79-76
79
76
+3
A02/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
56-81
56
81
-25
H08/03
NCAA
Southern W.
#506
W
111-55
111
55
+56
H03/11
NCAA
Newberry
#473
W
112-66
112
66
+46
H07/11
NCAA
Temple
#288
W
91-81
91
81
+10
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
30-37
32-29
36-28
26-29
41-26
33-35
39-35
35-28
42-30
43-41
23-35
56-41
32-43
24-38
52-26
59-29
52-27
60-39
46-28
45-53
148.3Avg total
80.6Scored
67.7Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)104.767.3172.0+37.3100%
Season at home (2)111.560.5172.0+51.0100%
Season away (1)91.081.0172.0+10.0100%
Last 10 (10)80.667.7148.3+12.980%
Last 5 (5)89.871.8161.6+18.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)68.976.1145.0-7.329%
vs Similar (15)76.673.1149.7+3.580%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)82.070.8152.8+11.2100%
This opponent (South Carolina St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Carolina StUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#244
L
83-90
83
90
-7
H25/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
L
57-69
57
69
-12
A28/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
61-59
61
59
+2
A03/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
80-64
80
64
+16
A05/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
88-82
88
82
+6
A12/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
61-78
61
78
-17
A13/03
NCAA
Morris College
#448
W
94-55
94
55
+39
H02/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#332
W
78-70
78
70
+8
A06/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#267
W
82-67
82
67
+15
A10/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
59-99
59
99
-40
A12/11
NCAA
1H
2H
40-42
43-48
22-25
35-44
30-26
31-33
37-26
43-38
39-30
49-52
24-38
37-40
49-28
45-27
32-35
46-35
53-33
29-34
28-50
31-49
147.6Avg total
74.3Scored
73.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)78.272.8151.0+5.575%
Season at home (1)94.055.0149.0+39.0100%
Season away (3)73.078.7151.7-5.767%
Last 10 (10)74.373.3147.6+1.060%
Last 5 (5)74.873.8148.6+1.060%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)68.283.0151.3-14.824%
vs Similar (5)68.064.8132.8+3.280%
vs Weaker (3)68.757.0125.7+11.7100%
This opponent (Charleston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Over/Under 156.5
Over 156.5
43.3%
@ 1.47-21.0pp
Under 156.5
56.7%
@ 2.72+21.0pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.47
Bet365
1.40
Under
Bet365
2.72
Betano
2.45
Over/Under 161.5 · main line
Over 161.5
31.6%
@ 1.91-18.8pp
Under 161.5
68.4%
@ 2.00+18.8pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.91
Betano
1.87
WilliamHill
1.85
SBO
1.81
Marathon Be
1.80
Under
Bet365
2.00
Betano
1.90
Marathon Be
1.89
SBO
1.88
WilliamHill
1.85
Over/Under 166.5
Over 166.5
21.5%
@ 2.40-17.5pp
Under 166.5
78.5%
@ 1.54+17.5pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.40
Bet365
2.35
Under
Bet365
1.54
Betano
1.50

📊 3. Team Totals

Charleston total 86
Over 86
54.6%
Under 86
45.4%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
Charleston total 90 · main line
Over 90
37.9%
@ 1.85-12.1pp
Under 90
62.1%
@ 1.87+12.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Be
1.83
Under
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.85
BetVictor
1.85
Charleston total 94
Over 94
23.3%
Under 94
76.7%
Best 5 market prices
Over
No market prices yet.
Under
No market prices yet.
South Carolina St total 66.5
Over 66.5
50.7%
@ 1.30-18.7pp
Under 66.5
49.3%
@ 2.95+18.7pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
1.30
Under
Betano
2.95
South Carolina St total 70.5 · main line
Over 70.5
35.1%
@ 1.85-14.9pp
Under 70.5
64.9%
@ 2.07+14.9pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
Betano
1.67
Under
Betano
2.07
Marathon Be
1.85
1xBet
1.85
South Carolina St total 74.5
Over 74.5
21.7%
@ 2.27-18.1pp
Under 74.5
78.3%
@ 1.50+18.1pp
Best 5 market prices
Over
Betano
2.27
Under
Betano
1.50

⚖️ 4. Spread

Spread Charleston -23.5
CHAR -23.5
38.7%
@ 2.85+6.2pp
SOUT +23.5
61.3%
@ 1.37-6.2pp
Best 5 market prices
CHAR
Bet365
2.85
Betano
2.82
SOUT
Betano
1.37
Bet365
1.37
Spread Charleston -20.5 · main line
CHAR -20.5
49.3%
@ 2.22+4.6pp
SOUT +20.5
50.7%
@ 1.87-4.6pp
Best 5 market prices
CHAR
Betano
2.22
Bet365
2.20
Marathon Be
1.87
1xBet
1.87
SOUT
1xBet
1.87
Marathon Be
1.68
Bet365
1.60
Betano
1.57
Spread Charleston -17.5
CHAR -17.5
59.9%
@ 1.86+8.9pp
SOUT +17.5
40.1%
@ 1.95-8.9pp
Best 5 market prices
CHAR
Bet365
1.86
Betano
1.85
1xBet
1.83
SBO
1.81
Marathon Be
1.78
SOUT
Bet365
1.95
Betano
1.93
SBO
1.88
BetVictor
1.85
1xBet
1.83

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -1.1-1.1
-10-5+0+5+101st half1st half: +7.8+7.81st half: +2.1+2.12nd half2nd half: +5.1+5.12nd half: -1.1-1.1
CharlestonSouth Carolina St
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
CharlestonLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Hofstra
#54
L
30-37
30
37
-7
H13/02
NCAA
Campbell
#222
W
36-28
36
28
+8
A15/02
NCAA
N. Carolina A&T
#299
W
41-26
41
26
+15
A20/02
NCAA
Monmouth
#159
W
39-35
39
35
+4
H21/02
NCAA
Hampton
#276
W
42-30
42
30
+12
A26/02
NCAA
NC Wilmington
#17
L
23-35
23
35
-12
A02/03
NCAA
Towson
#157
L
32-43
32
43
-11
H08/03
NCAA
Southern W.
#506
W
52-26
52
26
+26
H03/11
NCAA
Newberry
#473
W
52-27
52
27
+25
H07/11
NCAA
Temple
#288
W
46-28
46
28
+18
A11/11
NCAA
70.8Avg total
39.3Scored
31.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)36.134.170.2+2.053%27%
Last 30 at home (17)36.234.670.8+1.653%29%
Last 30 away (13)35.933.569.4+2.554%23%
Last 10 (10)39.331.570.8+7.870%20%
Last 5 (5)41.031.872.8+9.260%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)30.740.070.7-9.30%29%
vs Similar (15)34.932.967.8+1.967%13%
vs Weaker ◀ (6)40.232.772.8+7.567%33%
This opponent (South Carolina St) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
South Carolina StLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Morgan State
#244
L
40-42
40
42
-2
H25/02
NCAA
Md.-East. Shore
#345
L
22-25
22
25
-3
A28/02
NCAA
Delaware State
#353
W
30-26
30
26
+4
A03/03
NCAA
N. Carolina Central
#258
W
37-26
37
26
+11
A05/03
NCAA
Norfolk State
#233
W
39-30
39
30
+9
A12/03
NCAA
Howard
#55
L
24-38
24
38
-14
A13/03
NCAA
Morris College
#448
W
49-28
49
28
+21
H02/11
NCAA
USC Upstate
#332
L
32-35
32
35
-3
A06/11
NCAA
Chicago State
#267
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A10/11
NCAA
Notre Dame
#37
L
28-50
28
50
-22
A12/11
NCAA
68.7Avg total
35.4Scored
33.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver 77.5
Last 30 (30)32.334.566.8-2.243%23%
Last 30 at home (11)34.829.564.3+5.464%9%
Last 30 away (19)30.837.468.2-6.532%32%
Last 10 (10)35.433.368.7+2.150%30%
Last 5 (5)37.236.874.0+0.440%40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (21)31.237.268.4-6.029%29%
vs Similar (5)30.026.256.2+3.880%0%
vs Weaker (3)38.031.369.3+6.767%33%
This opponent (Charleston) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
1st half winner
CHAR win
no forecast
@ 1.11
SOUT win
no forecast
@ 6.90
1st half Spread Charleston -10.5 · main line
CHAR -10.5
no forecast
@ 1.91
SOUT +10.5
no forecast
@ 1.85
1st half Over/Under 77.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.93
Charleston 1st half total 43.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.95
South Carolina St 1st half total 33.5 · main line
Over
no forecast
@ 1.85
Under
no forecast
@ 1.88
1st half Spread Charleston -11.5
CHAR -11.5
no forecast
@ 2.10
SOUT +11.5
no forecast
@ 1.72
1st half Spread Charleston -9.5
CHAR -9.5
no forecast
@ 1.78
SOUT +9.5
no forecast
@ 2.02
1st half Over/Under 75.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.60
Under
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 79.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.10
Under
no forecast
@ 1.65
1st half Spread Charleston -12.5
CHAR -12.5
no forecast
@ 2.22
SOUT +12.5
no forecast
@ 1.57
1st half Spread Charleston -8.5
CHAR -8.5
no forecast
@ 1.60
SOUT +8.5
no forecast
@ 2.18
1st half Over/Under 73.5
Over
no forecast
@ 1.42
Under
no forecast
@ 2.60
1st half Over/Under 81.5
Over
no forecast
@ 2.50
Under
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Charleston -13.5
CHAR -13.5
no forecast
@ 2.47
SOUT +13.5
no forecast
@ 1.47
1st half Spread Charleston -7.5
CHAR -7.5
no forecast
@ 1.50
SOUT +7.5
no forecast
@ 2.37
1st half 3-way (draw possible)
CHAR
no forecast
@ 1.12
Draw
no forecast
@ 29.00
SOUT
no forecast
@ 8.20

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

Markets that span the whole game: how the halves and quarters compare, overtime, the exact winning margin. Pythia's probability comes from 20,000 simulations of this game quarter by quarter; the price, edge and books are the same as everywhere on the page.
CHAR win + total 161.5
🔒 Pro
SOUT win + total 161.5
🔒 Pro
Overtime
🔒 Pro
Half-time / full-time: CHAR leads at half
🔒 Pro
🔒 4 special markets for this game with Pythia's probabilities and edges: Upgrade to Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Every selection Pythia rates above 70%, ranked by edge (click any column to re-sort). Free readers see five, one market at a time (moneyline, spread, total ...); Pro sees every selection and can filter by Min odds and Edge. The five price columns are the best market prices (highest first); edge is vs the consensus price.
Min odds PRO1.20
Edge PRO
PickProbabilityAvg oddsBest 1Best 2Best 3Best 4Best 5Edge
South Carolina St under 7271.0%1.84
BetVictor
1.85
Marathon Bet
1.83		---+20.7pp
South Carolina St under 72.572.0%1.78
WilliamHill
1.80
Bet365
1.80
Betano
1.75		--+20.5pp
Under 16372.1%1.79
Bet365
1.80
Marathon Bet
1.79		---+20.2pp
Charleston under 92.570.9%1.52
Betano
1.52		----+11.2pp
Charleston -13.572.7%1.44
Betano
1.45
Bet365
1.44		---+8.7pp
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🔒 47 more picks for this game · Unlock all Best Picks & everything else with Pro
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Charleston wins
0
South Carolina St wins
DateGameScore
15/11/25Charleston v South Carolina St88-61
12/11/21Charleston v South Carolina St106-74
12/12/20Charleston v South Carolina St90-63
21/12/19Charleston v South Carolina St73-61
Charlestonlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26ATemple91-81
07/11/26HNewberry112-66
03/11/26HSouthern W.111-55
08/03/26HTowson56-81
02/03/26ANC Wilmington79-76
26/02/26AHampton85-71
21/02/26HMonmouth74-63
20/02/26AN. Carolina A&T74-61
15/02/26ACampbell62-57
13/02/26HHofstra62-66
South Carolina Stlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
12/11/26ANotre Dame59-99
10/11/26AChicago State82-67
06/11/26AUSC Upstate78-70
02/11/26HMorris College94-55
13/03/26AHoward61-78
12/03/26ANorfolk State88-82
05/03/26AN. Carolina Central80-64
03/03/26ADelaware State61-59
28/02/26AMd.-East. Shore57-69
25/02/26HMorgan State83-90

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Charleston
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 8 Wins / 2 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWW100%
HomeWW100%
AwayW100%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games321
Win %100%100%100%
Points / game104.7111.591.0
Allowed / game67.360.581.0
Point differential+37.3+51.0+10.0
Avg total172.0172.0172.0
Over 161.5100%100%100%
Win by 10+100%100%100%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
South Carolina St
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWL75%
HomeW100%
AwayWWL67%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %75%100%67%
Points / game78.294.073.0
Allowed / game72.855.078.7
Point differential+5.5+39.0-5.7
Avg total151.0149.0151.7
Over 161.50%0%0%
Win by 10+50%100%33%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Coastal Athletic Association conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Charleston330100%104.767.3+37.3
2 NC Wilmington440100%92.563.5+29.0
3 William & Mary32167%91.378.0+13.3
4 Towson53260%70.260.8+9.4
5 N. Carolina A&T42250%83.270.2+13.0
6 Hofstra42250%70.063.8+6.2
7 Elon42250%69.570.5-1.0
8 Northeastern42250%78.883.2-4.5
9 Drexel42250%66.873.2-6.5
10 Stony Brook31233%73.764.7+9.0
11 Hampton41325%59.866.0-6.2
12 Campbell41325%70.278.8-8.5
13 Monmouth41325%61.079.2-18.2
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
Mid-Eastern Athletic conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Morgan State54180%80.864.6+16.2
2 South Carolina St43175%78.272.8+5.5
3 Howard53260%72.070.6+1.4
4 Norfolk State42250%69.872.8-3.0
5 Delaware State41325%68.068.2-0.2
6 Coppin State51420%62.467.6-5.2
7 Md.-East. Shore51420%58.670.0-11.4
8 N. Carolina Central4040%63.574.2-10.8
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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