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Appalachian State vs Southern Miss Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 07 Mar 2026
Tip-off: 23:30
Final 73-86
28-44 45-42
Position#119
Record19-12
FormWLLWL
Points / game72.0
Allowed / game65.4
Appalachian State
USA
vs
Southern Miss 🏆
USA
Position#174
Record18-15
FormWLWWW
Points / game74.5
Allowed / game73.8
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Appalachian State v Southern Miss
07 Mar 2026
APPA73
SOUT86
05 Feb 2025
APPA60
SOUT58
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Appalachian State winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Southern Miss winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Appalachian StateUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
59-43
59
43
+16
H23/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
70-63
70
63
+7
A30/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
66-44
66
44
+22
A31/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
65-57
65
57
+8
H04/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
65-60
65
60
+5
H07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
81-65
81
65
+16
A12/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
58-69
58
69
-11
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
93-94
93
94
-1
H19/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
89-74
89
74
+15
H21/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
57-60
57
60
-3
A28/02
NCAA
1H
2H
28-20
31-23
29-27
41-36
36-24
30-20
29-23
36-34
36-33
29-27
31-27
50-38
24-29
34-40
52-41
41-53
40-33
49-41
33-34
24-26
133.2Avg total
70.3Scored
62.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (31)72.065.4137.4+6.661%
Season at home (16)76.963.7140.6+13.275%
Season away (15)66.767.3134.0-0.547%
Last 10 (10)70.362.9133.2+7.470%
Last 5 (5)75.672.4148.0+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)86.078.0164.0+8.0100%
vs Similar (7)68.970.4139.3-1.629%
vs Weaker ◀ (22)72.662.5135.1+10.173%
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
W
73-65
73
65
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
L
77-81
77
81
-4
A05/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
66-65
66
65
+1
H07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
78-84
78
84
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
69-65
69
65
+4
H15/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
W
86-81
86
81
+5
H21/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
84-89
84
89
-5
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
68-55
68
55
+13
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
86-80
86
80
+6
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
81-77
81
77
+4
A06/03
NCAA
1H
2H
29-21
44-44
38-34
39-47
34-30
32-35
36-42
42-42
26-26
43-39
40-47
46-34
44-53
40-36
35-29
33-26
35-33
51-47
37-33
44-44
151.0Avg total
76.8Scored
74.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (33)74.573.8148.3+0.855%
Season at home (16)76.569.1145.6+7.481%
Season away (17)72.678.1150.8-5.529%
Last 10 (10)76.874.2151.0+2.670%
Last 5 (5)81.076.4157.4+4.680%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)70.977.6148.5-6.838%
vs Similar (15)74.174.9149.0-0.753%
vs Weaker (7)75.666.4142.0+9.186%
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +2.0+2.0
-6-3+0+3+61st half1st half: +4.7+4.71st half: +0.6+0.62nd half2nd half: +2.7+2.72nd half: +2.0+2.0
Appalachian StateSouthern Miss
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Appalachian StateLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Louisiana Monroe
#369
W
28-20
28
20
+8
H23/01
NCAA
Southern Miss
#174
W
29-27
29
27
+2
A30/01
NCAA
Troy
#84
W
36-24
36
24
+12
A31/01
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
29-23
29
23
+6
H04/02
NCAA
Eastern Michigan
#322
W
36-33
36
33
+3
H07/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
31-27
31
27
+4
A12/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
L
24-29
24
29
-5
A14/02
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
52-41
52
41
+11
H19/02
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#142
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H21/02
NCAA
Texas State
#125
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A28/02
NCAA
62.9Avg total
33.8Scored
29.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)33.329.162.3+4.263%-
Last 30 at home (16)35.429.665.1+5.869%-
Last 30 away (14)30.828.459.2+2.457%-
Last 10 (10)33.829.162.9+4.780%-
Last 5 (5)36.032.868.8+3.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)34.033.067.0+1.0100%-
vs Similar (7)33.731.765.4+2.057%-
vs Weaker ◀ (22)33.128.061.1+5.064%-
This opponent (Southern Miss) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
Southern MissLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
James Madison
#169
W
29-21
29
21
+8
H31/01
NCAA
Marshall
#124
W
38-34
38
34
+4
A05/02
NCAA
Kent State
#52
W
34-30
34
30
+4
H07/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
L
36-42
36
42
-6
H13/02
NCAA
Troy
#84
D
26-26
26
26
+0
H15/02
NCAA
Old Dominion
#300
L
40-47
40
47
-7
H21/02
NCAA
Arkansas State
#98
L
44-53
44
53
-9
A25/02
NCAA
South Alabama
#120
W
35-29
35
29
+6
A28/02
NCAA
James Madison
#169
W
35-33
35
33
+2
H05/03
NCAA
Texas State
#125
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A06/03
NCAA
70.2Avg total
35.4Scored
34.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)32.833.266.0-0.453%-
Last 30 at home (15)32.431.163.5+1.353%-
Last 30 away (15)33.135.368.4-2.153%-
Last 10 (10)35.434.870.2+0.660%-
Last 5 (5)38.239.077.2-0.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (8)33.034.467.4-1.425%-
vs Similar (15)32.133.865.9-1.753%-
vs Weaker (7)34.030.664.6+3.486%-
This opponent (Appalachian State) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
2
Appalachian State wins
1
Southern Miss wins
DateGameScore
30/01/26Southern Miss v Appalachian State63-70
05/02/25Appalachian State v Southern Miss60-58
31/12/22Southern Miss v Appalachian State76-70
Appalachian Statelast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
28/02/26ATexas State57-60
21/02/26HGeorgia Southern89-74
19/02/26HMarshall93-94
14/02/26AJames Madison58-69
12/02/26AGeorgia Southern81-65
07/02/26HEastern Michigan65-60
04/02/26HSouth Alabama65-57
31/01/26ATroy66-44
30/01/26ASouthern Miss70-63
23/01/26HLouisiana Monroe59-43
Southern Misslast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
06/03/26ATexas State81-77
05/03/26HJames Madison86-80
28/02/26ASouth Alabama68-55
25/02/26AArkansas State84-89
21/02/26HOld Dominion86-81
15/02/26HTroy69-65
13/02/26HSouth Alabama78-84
07/02/26HKent State66-65
05/02/26AMarshall77-81
31/01/26HJames Madison73-65

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Appalachian State
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLWL61%
HomeWWWLW75%
AwayWWWLL47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games311615
Win %61%75%47%
Points / game72.076.966.7
Allowed / game65.463.767.3
Point differential+6.6+13.2-0.5
Avg total137.4140.6134.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+35%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won43% (7)50% (4)33% (3)
Overtime %3%6%0%
Southern Miss
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW55%
HomeWLWWW81%
AwayLLLWW29%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games331617
Win %55%81%29%
Points / game74.576.572.6
Allowed / game73.869.178.1
Point differential+0.8+7.4-5.5
Avg total148.3145.6150.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+21%31%12%
Close games (≤5 pts) won44% (9)100% (3)17% (6)
Overtime %6%6%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Sun Belt conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Troy31201165%80.573.6+6.9
2 Arkansas State32201262%83.077.2+5.8
3 Appalachian State31191261%72.065.4+6.6
4 Marshall31191261%81.277.9+3.3
5 Coastal Carolina31191261%73.471.8+1.5
6 South Alabama32191359%74.270.2+4.0
7 Texas State32191359%73.971.0+2.9
8 Georgia Southern34191556%81.080.1+1.0
9 Southern Miss33181555%74.573.8+0.8
10 James Madison33181555%74.573.8+0.7
11 Old Dominion33122136%76.277.9-1.7
12 Louisiana Lafayette33112233%63.770.7-7.0
13 Georgia State32102231%70.474.7-4.3
14 Louisiana Monroe3242812%72.483.9-11.5
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Appalachian State284573
Southern Miss444286
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