PythiaBasketballBETA
NCAA
The Merrimack Warriors host Appalachian State on 2 November 2026 in the NCAA, with the Warriors the clear favourite as the model projects a 59% chance of victory and a 41% chance for the Mountaineers; the game is expected to be a close contest with a projected 71-68 scoreline and a total of 138.7 points, a 5% chance of overtime, and a 59% probability that Merrimack covers the spread. In the last five outings, Merrimack won three and lost two, including a 54-64 loss to Siena, a 58-57 win over Marist and a 70-48 victory over Sacred Heart, while Appalachian State managed only one win and four losses, with a 73-86 defeat to Southern Miss, a 57-60 loss to Texas State and a 89-74 win over Georgia Southern. The Warriors' recent performance shows a mix of narrow victories and a notable loss, whereas the Mountaineers have struggled to find consistency, highlighted by their single win in five games. The projected outcome places Merrimack slightly ahead, but Appalachian State's occasional high-scoring games keep the matchup within reach, with the final score expected to be 71-68 in favour of the home side.
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 69.4 | 61.2 | 130.6 | +8.2 | 80% |
| Last 5 (5) | 63.4 | 60.4 | 123.8 | +3.0 | 60% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 51.5 | 79.0 | 130.5 | -27.5 | 0% |
| vs Similar (18) | 69.1 | 63.8 | 132.9 | +5.2 | 72% |
| vs Weaker (10) | 70.8 | 62.8 | 133.6 | +8.0 | 90% |
| Split | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Win % |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Season | no games | ||||
| Season at home | no games | ||||
| Season away | no games | ||||
| Last 10 (10) | 71.7 | 67.2 | 138.9 | +4.5 | 60% |
| Last 5 (5) | 74.0 | 76.6 | 150.6 | -2.6 | 20% |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | |||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 86.0 | 78.0 | 164.0 | +8.0 | 100% |
| vs Similar (7) | 68.9 | 70.4 | 139.3 | -1.6 | 29% |
| vs Weaker (22) | 71.8 | 64.3 | 136.1 | +7.5 | 68% |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 33.3 | 30.4 | 63.7 | +2.9 | 70% | - |
| Last 30 at home (14) | 35.9 | 29.3 | 65.1 | +6.6 | 86% | - |
| Last 30 away (16) | 31.1 | 31.4 | 62.5 | -0.4 | 56% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 32.5 | 28.4 | 60.9 | +4.1 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 32.2 | 28.6 | 60.8 | +3.6 | 80% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (2) | 23.5 | 43.5 | 67.0 | -20.0 | 0% | - |
| vs Similar (18) | 33.3 | 29.4 | 62.7 | +3.9 | 67% | - |
| vs Weaker (10) | 35.2 | 29.7 | 64.9 | +5.5 | 90% | - |
| 1st half | Scored | Allowed | Total | Margin | Won the half | Over main line |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Last 30 (30) | 32.4 | 29.9 | 62.3 | +2.5 | 60% | - |
| Last 30 at home (16) | 33.9 | 31.2 | 65.1 | +2.7 | 62% | - |
| Last 30 away (14) | 30.8 | 28.4 | 59.2 | +2.4 | 57% | - |
| Last 10 (10) | 33.8 | 31.5 | 65.3 | +2.3 | 70% | - |
| Last 5 (5) | 35.4 | 36.2 | 71.6 | -0.8 | 40% | - |
| Last 30 games by opponent strength | ||||||
| vs Stronger (1) | 34.0 | 33.0 | 67.0 | +1.0 | 100% | - |
| vs Similar (7) | 33.7 | 31.7 | 65.4 | +2.0 | 57% | - |
| vs Weaker (22) | 32.0 | 29.2 | 61.1 | +2.8 | 59% | - |
Yesterday's results in full, today's games and market moves worth watching. One post a day, no signup.
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 11/03/26 | H | Siena | 54-64 |
| 08/03/26 | H | Marist | 58-57 |
| 06/03/26 | H | Sacred Heart | 70-48 |
| 01/03/26 | A | Niagara | 73-66 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Canisius | 62-67 |
| 22/02/26 | H | Iona | 88-86 OT |
| 21/02/26 | H | Siena | 79-72 OT |
| 15/02/26 | A | Quinnipiac | 56-49 |
| 13/02/26 | H | Marist | 81-56 |
| 08/02/26 | A | Rider | 73-47 |
| Date | H/A | Opponent | Score |
|---|---|---|---|
| 07/03/26 | H | Southern Miss | 73-86 |
| 28/02/26 | A | Texas State | 57-60 |
| 21/02/26 | H | Georgia Southern | 89-74 |
| 19/02/26 | H | Marshall | 93-94 |
| 14/02/26 | A | James Madison | 58-69 |
| 12/02/26 | A | Georgia Southern | 81-65 |
| 07/02/26 | H | Eastern Michigan | 65-60 |
| 04/02/26 | H | South Alabama | 65-57 |
| 31/01/26 | A | Troy | 66-44 |
| 30/01/26 | A | Southern Miss | 70-63 |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| Form | Last 5 | Win % |
|---|---|---|
| Overall | - | - |
| Home | - | - |
| Away | - | - |
| Stats | Overall | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| Games | - | - | - |
| Win % | - | - | - |
| Points / game | - | - | - |
| Allowed / game | - | - | - |
| Point differential | - | - | - |
| Avg total | - | - | - |
| Over main line | - | - | - |
| Win by 10+ | - | - | - |
| Close games (≤5 pts) won | - | - | - |
| Overtime % | - | - | - |
| # | Team | GP | W | L | Win % | PF/g | PA/g | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 |  High Point | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 72.0 | 57.0 | +15.0 |
| 2 |  Grambling St. | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 89.0 | 87.0 | +2.0 |
| 3 |  Notre Dame | 1 | 1 | 0 | 100% | 74.0 | 72.0 | +2.0 |
| 4 |  Northern Illinois | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 87.0 | 89.0 | -2.0 |
| 5 |  Villanova | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 72.0 | 74.0 | -2.0 |
| 6 |  Liberty | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0% | 57.0 | 72.0 | -15.0 |
| Team | Q1 | Q2 | Q3 | Q4 | Final |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Merrimack Warriors | 0 | 43 | 0 | 20 | 63 |
| Appalachian State | 0 | 21 | 0 | 28 | 49 |
We use cookies to keep the site working, to remember your settings, to understand which predictions people read, and to improve what we show you. For more information, see our Cookie Policy.
Cookies required to use the site and the features you have asked for. They provide the pages, predictions and account functions you requested. These are essential for the operation of our website.
Cookies that remember the preferences and settings from your last visit, so the site behaves the way you left it. They do not tell us who you are and they are not used to build a profile of you.
Cookies used to collect information about your usage of the site. These are used to produce aggregated statistics about visits to our pages. We use these statistics internally to test and improve the site and to give you a better experience. Without them our ability to provide a smoother experience may be degraded.
Cookies used to deliver adverts relevant to you based on your interests. This can include limiting the number of times you see an advert as well as helping us measure the effectiveness of an advert. Without these cookies you will still see adverts, but they will not be adjusted to your interests.
