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Chattanooga Mocs vs Mercer Prediction & Stats

Date: Sat 19 Dec 2026
Tip-off: 19:00
Scheduled
Position#265
Record1-2
FormWLLLW
Points / game86.7
Allowed / game82.7
vs
Position#222
Record2-2
FormLWLLW
Points / game82.5
Allowed / game82.0
USANCAA
Other2026-27
Meetings · Chattanooga Mocs v Mercer
19 Dec 2026
CHAT v MERC
upcoming
05 Feb 2026
CHAT79
MERC75
08 Mar 2025
CHAT76
MERC61
01 Feb 2025
CHAT93
MERC84
28 Feb 2024
CHAT84
MERC75
11 Feb 2023
CHAT73
MERC56
05 Feb 2022
CHAT77
MERC68
13 Jan 2021
CHAT83
MERC80
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chattanooga Mocs win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Mercer win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
61-73
61
73
-12
A12/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
76-81
76
81
-5
H14/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
94-90
94
90
+4
A20/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
93-72
93
72
+21
A21/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
80-85
80
85
-5
H27/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
86-79
86
79
+7
H28/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H06/03
NCAA
Louisville
#20
L
70-84
70
84
-14
A03/11
NCAA
Penn State
#225
L
93-97
93
97
-4
A05/11
NCAA
Covenant
#412
W
97-67
97
67
+30
H10/11
NCAA
1H
2H
27-32
34-41
29-39
47-42
44-39
50-51
50-29
43-43
37-38
43-47
42-33
44-46
49-49
36-39
35-56
35-28
31-54
62-43
52-22
45-45
165.1Avg total
83.5Scored
81.6Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (3)86.782.7169.3+4.033%
Season at home (1)97.067.0164.0+30.0100%
Season away (2)81.590.5172.0-9.00%
Last 10 (10)83.581.6165.1+1.940%
Last 5 (5)86.283.0169.2+3.240%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)71.476.5147.9-5.125%
vs Similar ◀ (12)73.878.2152.0-4.333%
vs Weaker (9)86.972.8159.7+14.156%
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#302
W
70-54
70
54
+16
A14/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
90-94
90
94
-4
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
89-86
89
86
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
74-78
74
78
-4
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
82-76
82
76
+6
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
73-77
73
77
-4
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#434
W
90-53
90
53
+37
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#56
L
67-96
67
96
-29
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#83
L
76-88
76
88
-12
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#275
W
97-91 OT
97
91
+6
A11/11
NCAA
1H
2H
18-25
52-29
39-44
51-50
44-41
45-45
32-33
42-45
49-35
33-41
35-36
38-41
39-21
51-32
24-47
43-49
33-34
43-54
39-46
39-32
160.1Avg total
80.8Scored
79.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)82.582.0164.5+0.550%
Season at home (1)90.053.0143.0+37.0100%
Season away (3)80.091.7171.7-11.733%
Last 10 (10)80.879.3160.1+1.550%
Last 5 (5)80.681.0161.6-0.440%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)71.592.0163.5-20.50%
vs Similar ◀ (8)74.075.9149.9-1.950%
vs Weaker (17)84.578.3162.8+6.259%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +1.9+1.9
-3-2+0+2+31st half1st half: +0.5+0.51st half: -1.0-1.02nd half2nd half: +1.4+1.42nd half: +1.9+1.9
Chattanooga MocsMercer
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
East Tennessee St
#61
L
27-32
27
32
-5
A12/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
29-39
29
39
-10
H14/02
NCAA
Mercer
#117
W
44-39
44
39
+5
A20/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
W
50-29
50
29
+21
A21/02
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
37-38
37
38
-1
H27/02
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
42-33
42
33
+9
H28/02
NCAA
Citadel
#302
D
49-49
49
49
+0
H06/03
NCAA
Louisville
#20
L
35-56
35
56
-21
A03/11
NCAA
Penn State
#225
L
31-54
31
54
-23
A05/11
NCAA
Covenant
#412
W
52-22
52
22
+30
H10/11
NCAA
78.7Avg total
39.6Scored
39.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.836.273.0+0.543%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.134.873.9+4.450%-
Last 30 away (14)34.137.972.0-3.936%-
Last 10 (10)39.639.178.7+0.540%-
Last 5 (5)41.842.884.6-1.040%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (8)32.039.571.5-7.525%-
vs Similar ◀ (12)35.635.971.5-0.342%-
vs Weaker (9)40.935.376.2+5.656%-
This opponent (Mercer) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
MercerLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Citadel
#302
L
18-25
18
25
-7
A14/02
NCAA
Chattanooga Mocs
#273
L
39-44
39
44
-5
H20/02
NCAA
Samford
#149
W
44-41
44
41
+3
H21/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
32-33
32
33
-1
A26/02
NCAA
East Tennessee St
#61
W
49-35
49
35
+14
H28/02
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
35-36
35
36
-1
H08/03
NCAA
Reinhardt
#434
W
39-21
39
21
+18
H02/11
NCAA
Virginia Tech
#56
L
24-47
24
47
-23
A06/11
NCAA
Davidson
#83
L
33-34
33
34
-1
A08/11
NCAA
Georgia Southern
#275
L
39-46
39
46
-7
A11/11
NCAA
71.4Avg total
35.2Scored
36.2Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.735.174.8+4.653%-
Last 30 at home (14)45.633.278.9+12.471%-
Last 30 away (16)34.536.871.2-2.238%-
Last 10 (10)35.236.271.4-1.030%-
Last 5 (5)34.036.870.8-2.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)28.540.569.0-12.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (8)36.536.873.2-0.250%-
vs Weaker (17)40.236.176.3+4.253%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
9
Chattanooga Mocs wins
1
Mercer wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
10/11/26HCovenant97-67
05/11/26APenn State93-97
03/11/26ALouisville70-84
06/03/26HCitadel85-88
28/02/26HVMI86-79
27/02/26HNC Greensboro80-85
21/02/26ACitadel93-72
20/02/26AMercer94-90
14/02/26HWestern Carolina76-81
12/02/26AEast Tennessee St61-73
Mercerlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26AGeorgia Southern97-91 OT
08/11/26ADavidson76-88
06/11/26AVirginia Tech67-96
02/11/26HReinhardt90-53
08/03/26HWestern Carolina73-77
28/02/26HEast Tennessee St82-76
26/02/26AWestern Carolina74-78
21/02/26HSamford89-86
20/02/26HChattanooga Mocs90-94
14/02/26ACitadel70-54

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLW33%
HomeW100%
AwayLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games312
Win %33%100%0%
Points / game86.797.081.5
Allowed / game82.767.090.5
Point differential+4.0+30.0-9.0
Avg total169.3164.0172.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+33%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (1)-0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Mercer
NCAA 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLLW50%
HomeW100%
AwayLLW33%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games413
Win %50%100%33%
Points / game82.590.080.0
Allowed / game82.053.091.7
Point differential+0.5+37.0-11.7
Avg total164.5143.0171.7
Over main line---
Win by 10+25%100%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%0%33%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Furman440100%94.568.0+26.5
2 Citadel32167%94.361.3+33.0
3 Western Carolina32167%97.074.3+22.7
4 NC Greensboro42250%81.070.8+10.2
5 Samford21150%83.073.0+10.0
6 VMI42250%79.574.8+4.8
7 Wofford42250%80.078.2+1.8
8 Mercer42250%82.582.0+0.5
9 Chattanooga Mocs31233%86.782.7+4.0
10 East Tennessee St31233%65.368.3-3.0
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
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