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Chattanooga Mocs vs Samford Result & Analysis

Date: Sat 10 Jan 2026
Tip-off: 21:30
Final 88-79
49-28 39-51
Position#273
Record6-10
FormLWLLL
Points / game76.2
Allowed / game72.6
vs
Position#149
Record9-7
FormWWWLW
Points / game77.9
Allowed / game75.6
USANCAA
Other2025-26
Meetings · Chattanooga Mocs v Samford
22 Dec 2026
CHAT v SAMF
upcoming
10 Jan 2026
CHAT88
SAMF79
23 Jan 2025
CHAT69
SAMF73
03 Feb 2024
CHAT56
SAMF78
22 Feb 2023
CHAT70
SAMF75
26 Feb 2022
CHAT70
SAMF57
06 Jan 2021
CHAT73
SAMF68
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chattanooga Mocs winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Samford winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Chattanooga MocsUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wesleyan Univ.
#513
W
109-59
109
59
+50
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
64-70
64
70
-6
H30/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
L
70-74
70
74
-4
H06/12
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#621
W
103-46
103
46
+57
H10/12
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
78-92
78
92
-14
A13/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
L
64-79
64
79
-15
A18/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
73-66
73
66
+7
A21/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
72-77
72
77
-5
A01/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
71-79
71
79
-8
A03/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
67-78
67
78
-11
H07/01
NCAA
1H
2H
50-31
59-28
33-42
31-28
46-44
24-30
58-20
45-26
38-43
40-49
36-27
28-52
37-33
36-33
34-33
38-44
23-39
48-40
30-39
37-39
149.1Avg total
77.1Scored
72.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)76.272.6148.8+3.738%
Season at home (7)82.360.4142.7+21.957%
Season away (9)71.682.0153.6-10.422%
Last 10 (10)77.172.0149.1+5.130%
Last 5 (5)69.475.8145.2-6.420%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)65.778.3144.0-12.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)74.977.4152.2-2.550%
vs Weaker (12)85.465.2150.7+20.292%
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordUSALast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
L
72-81
72
81
-9
A22/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
78-63
78
63
+15
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
45-89
45
89
-44
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
57-83
57
83
-26
A06/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
W
93-90
93
90
+3
H08/12
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
106-51
106
51
+55
H15/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
85-49
85
49
+36
H19/12
NCAA
VMI
#364
W
78-58
78
58
+20
A01/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
82-89
82
89
-7
A03/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
W
82-77
82
77
+5
H08/01
NCAA
1H
2H
32-40
40-41
37-32
41-31
14-42
31-47
31-34
26-49
42-50
51-40
60-18
46-33
41-17
44-32
34-36
44-22
35-43
47-46
34-38
48-39
150.8Avg total
77.8Scored
73.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (16)77.975.6153.5+2.256%
Season at home (6)85.069.3154.3+15.783%
Season away (10)73.679.4153.0-5.840%
Last 10 (10)77.873.0150.8+4.860%
Last 5 (5)86.664.8151.4+21.880%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)59.083.7142.7-24.70%
vs Similar ◀ (14)76.178.8154.9-2.643%
vs Weaker (12)87.270.8158.0+16.583%
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Halves

Half by half

-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +3.8+3.8
-5-2+0+2+51st half1st half: +3.4+3.41st half: +1.0+1.02nd half2nd half: +1.7+1.72nd half: +3.8+3.8
Chattanooga MocsSamford
Each team's average half over its last 10 games. Net is the half margin (above zero = the team wins that half on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the half means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by half · pick a half
Chattanooga MocsLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Wesleyan Univ.
#513
W
50-31
50
31
+19
H28/11
NCAA
Tennessee State
#51
L
33-42
33
42
-9
H30/11
NCAA
Southeast Missouri State
#110
W
46-44
46
44
+2
H06/12
NCAA
Oakwood Ambassadors
#621
W
58-20
58
20
+38
H10/12
NCAA
Auburn
#188
L
38-43
38
43
-5
A13/12
NCAA
Bellarmine
#279
W
36-27
36
27
+9
A18/12
NCAA
Alabama A&M Bulldogs
#172
W
37-33
37
33
+4
A21/12
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
W
34-33
34
33
+1
A01/01
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
23-39
23
39
-16
A03/01
NCAA
Furman
#93
L
30-39
30
39
-9
H07/01
NCAA
73.6Avg total
38.5Scored
35.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.934.971.8+2.057%-
Last 30 at home (15)39.533.472.9+6.160%-
Last 30 away (15)34.336.470.7-2.153%-
Last 10 (10)38.535.173.6+3.460%-
Last 5 (5)32.034.266.2-2.260%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)32.043.075.0-11.00%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)35.135.970.9-0.864%-
vs Weaker (12)39.730.770.3+9.067%-
This opponent (Samford) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
SamfordLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
New Mexico State
#178
L
32-40
32
40
-8
A22/11
NCAA
Georgia State
#332
W
37-32
37
32
+5
A25/11
NCAA
Utah Valley State
#33
L
14-42
14
42
-28
A26/11
NCAA
VCU Rams
#27
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A06/12
NCAA
Cornell
#175
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H08/12
NCAA
Bryan
#659
W
60-18
60
18
+42
H15/12
NCAA
Reinhardt
#663
W
41-17
41
17
+24
H19/12
NCAA
VMI
#364
L
34-36
34
36
-2
A01/01
NCAA
NC Greensboro
#252
L
35-43
35
43
-8
A03/01
NCAA
Western Carolina
#221
L
34-38
34
38
-4
H08/01
NCAA
71.0Avg total
36.0Scored
35.0Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)35.737.473.1-1.733%-
Last 30 at home (12)39.835.375.1+4.442%-
Last 30 away (18)32.938.871.7-5.828%-
Last 10 (10)36.035.071.0+1.030%-
Last 5 (5)40.830.471.2+10.440%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (3)26.740.367.0-13.70%-
vs Similar ◀ (14)32.638.971.5-6.214%-
vs Weaker (12)42.434.376.8+8.167%-
This opponent (Chattanooga Mocs) is Similar. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Chattanooga Mocs wins
6
Samford wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/01/26HFurman67-78
03/01/26AVMI71-79
01/01/26ANC Greensboro72-77
21/12/25AAlabama A&M Bulldogs73-66
18/12/25ABellarmine64-79
13/12/25AAuburn78-92
10/12/25HOakwood Ambassadors103-46
06/12/25HSoutheast Missouri State70-74
30/11/25HTennessee State64-70
28/11/25HWesleyan Univ.109-59
Samfordlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
08/01/26HWestern Carolina82-77
03/01/26ANC Greensboro82-89
01/01/26AVMI78-58
19/12/25HReinhardt85-49
15/12/25HBryan106-51
08/12/25HCornell93-90
06/12/25AVCU Rams57-83
26/11/25AUtah Valley State45-89
25/11/25AGeorgia State78-63
22/11/25ANew Mexico State72-81

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chattanooga Mocs
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 3 Wins / 7 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWLLL38%
HomeWLLWL57%
AwayLLWLL22%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games1679
Win %38%57%22%
Points / game76.282.371.6
Allowed / game72.660.482.0
Point differential+3.7+21.9-10.4
Avg total148.8142.7153.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%57%11%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (2)0% (1)0% (1)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Samford
NCAA 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW56%
HomeLWWWW83%
AwayWLLWL40%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games16610
Win %56%83%40%
Points / game77.985.073.6
Allowed / game75.669.379.4
Point differential+2.2+15.7-5.8
Avg total153.5154.3153.0
Over main line---
Win by 10+31%50%20%
Close games (≤5 pts) won75% (4)100% (2)50% (2)
Overtime %12%0%20%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

Southern conference
#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 East Tennessee St1712571%78.866.2+12.6
2 Furman1712571%77.669.5+8.1
3 Wofford1711665%79.376.9+2.4
4 Mercer1710759%84.874.5+10.3
5 Samford169756%77.975.6+2.2
6 Chattanooga Mocs1661038%76.272.6+3.7
7 VMI1761135%74.575.9-1.4
8 NC Greensboro1761135%78.280.3-2.1
9 Western Carolina1551033%77.280.8-3.6
10 Citadel1751229%71.776.8-5.1
Conference membership from the data provider's standings; records are this season's games before tip-off (conference and non-conference). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team1H2HFinal
Chattanooga Mocs493988
Samford285179
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