ChelSU Kostanay vs Karaganda Result & Analysis

Date: Mon 16 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 06:00

Final 74-64

21-15 20-19 9-15 24-15

Position#5

Record6-7

FormWWLLL

Points / game71.6

Allowed / game74.5

ChelSU Kostanay 🏆

Karaganda

Position#7

Record1-13

FormLWLLL

Points / game59.3

Allowed / game81.1

Higher League· Zhaksy

Other2024-25

Meetings · ChelSU Kostanay v Karaganda

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ChelSU Kostanay winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

Karaganda winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChelSU Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Tigers-KazATU

71-46

+25

65avg 63

H19/10

Higher League

Shymkent

86-91

-5

74avg 63

A20/10

Higher League

Turan

58-74

-16

45avg 63

H08/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

41-97

-56

26avg 63

A09/11

Higher League

Karaganda

71-55

+16

70avg 63

H11/11

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

90-57

+33

86avg 63

A12/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

92-56

+36

82avg 63

H13/11

Higher League

Shymkent

65-108

108

-43

52avg 63

A12/12

Higher League

Turan

68-79

-11

66avg 63

H13/12

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

67-92

-25

no box

A14/12

Higher League

24-14

11-13

12-12

24-7

21-25

23-16

23-24

19-26

13-22

13-18

19-20

13-14

11-25

16-21

8-38

6-13

17-18

18-11

24-11

12-15

25-16

38-14

19-12

8-15

16-11

27-11

19-15

30-19

26-23

11-25

11-30

17-30

21-26

13-23

24-11

10-19

12-21

18-16

20-31

17-24

146.4Avg total

70.9Scored

75.5Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (13)	71.6	74.5	146.1	-2.8	46%
Season at home (6)	73.5	63.5	137.0	+10.0	67%
Season away (7)	70.0	83.9	153.9	-13.9	29%
Last 10 (10)	70.9	75.5	146.4	-4.6	40%
Last 5 (5)	76.4	78.4	154.8	-2.0	40%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	67.4	83.2	150.6	-15.7	11%
vs Similar (2)	81.5	51.0	132.5	+30.5	100%
vs Weaker ◀ (10)	71.7	61.2	132.9	+10.5	90%

This opponent (Karaganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

Karaganda

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKaraganda

Date

Competition

Tigers-KazATU

48-55

-7

36avg 50

A20/10

Higher League

Shymkent

63-79

-16

no box

H08/11

Higher League

Turan

60-83

-23

51avg 50

A09/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

46-84

-38

29avg 50

H10/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

55-71

-16

49avg 50

A11/11

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

62-65 OT

-3

54avg 50

H13/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

76-73

85avg 50

A12/12

Higher League

Shymkent

67-115

115

-48

64avg 50

H13/12

Higher League

Turan

65-79

-14

57avg 50

A14/12

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

39-114

114

-75

24avg 50

H15/12

Higher League

9-7

19-14

10-20

10-14

8-29

15-12

19-18

21-20

19-24

13-26

16-17

12-16

11-18

16-30

14-18

5-18

18-17

11-18

11-24

15-12

11-12

11-17

25-15

12-15

20-17

18-28

22-18

16-10

14-33

10-31

27-29

16-22

15-18

21-22

12-22

17-17

16-27

8-23

10-36

5-28

139.9Avg total

58.1Scored

81.8Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (14)	59.3	81.1	140.4	-21.9	7%
Season at home (7)	57.6	89.6	147.1	-32.0	0%
Season away (7)	61.0	72.7	133.7	-11.7	14%
Last 10 (10)	58.1	81.8	139.9	-23.7	10%
Last 5 (5)	61.8	89.2	151.0	-27.4	20%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	60.2	82.8	143.0	-22.6	4%
vs Similar (4)	58.0	52.2	110.2	+5.8	50%
vs Weaker (3)	20.0	0.0	20.0	+20.0	100%

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ChelSU KostanayKaraganda

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	19.2	20.3	39.4	-1.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	17.6	20.5	38.2	-2.9	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	20.4	20.1	40.5	+0.4	38%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.6	20.1	38.7	-1.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	20.0	19.4	39.4	+0.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	18.1	22.0	40.1	-3.9	28%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	12.5	32.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.2	18.6	39.8	+2.7	44%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	14.5	19.3	33.9	-4.8	15%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	13.9	20.0	33.9	-6.1	0%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.2	18.6	33.8	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.1	20.2	34.3	-6.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	15.2	21.4	36.6	-6.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	14.5	19.7	34.2	-5.3	17%	-
vs Similar (3)	15.0	16.3	31.3	-1.3	0%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.6	18.9	35.4	-2.3	31%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	15.7	18.8	34.5	-3.1	31%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.2	19.0	36.2	-1.8	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.8	16.8	35.6	+2.0	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	21.4	17.8	39.2	+3.6	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	15.3	20.9	36.3	-5.6	17%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	12.0	31.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	18.4	16.3	34.8	+2.1	56%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	14.6	20.1	34.7	-5.5	23%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	13.5	20.8	34.3	-7.3	14%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.9	19.2	35.2	-3.3	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	14.2	22.1	36.3	-7.9	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.6	24.2	37.8	-10.6	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	14.4	20.6	35.0	-6.2	22%	-
vs Similar (3)	16.3	16.0	32.3	+0.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tigers-KazATU

35-27

H19/10

Higher League

Shymkent

44-41

A20/10

Higher League

Turan

26-40

-14

H08/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

27-46

-19

A09/11

Higher League

Karaganda

35-29

H11/11

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

63-30

+33

A12/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

43-22

+21

H13/11

Higher League

Shymkent

37-48

-11

A12/12

Higher League

Turan

34-49

-15

H13/12

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

30-37

-7

A14/12

Higher League

74.3Avg total

37.4Scored

36.9Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.7	39.2	74.9	-3.4	41%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	33.3	39.3	72.6	-6.0	38%	-
Last 30 away (16)	37.7	39.1	76.8	-1.4	44%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.4	36.9	74.3	+0.5	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	41.4	37.2	78.6	+4.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	33.4	42.9	76.3	-9.6	22%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.0	24.5	63.5	+14.5	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	39.7	34.9	74.6	+4.8	67%	-

This opponent (Karaganda) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Tigers-KazATU

28-21

A20/10

Higher League

Shymkent

23-41

-18

H08/11

Higher League

Turan

32-50

-18

A09/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

27-48

-21

H10/11

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

29-35

-6

A11/11

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

22-29

-7

H13/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

38-45

-7

A12/12

Higher League

Shymkent

24-64

-40

H13/12

Higher League

Turan

36-40

-4

A14/12

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

24-50

-26

H15/12

Higher League

70.6Avg total

28.3Scored

42.3Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	29.2	39.4	68.6	-10.3	15%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	27.4	40.8	68.2	-13.4	0%	-
Last 30 away (12)	31.2	37.8	69.0	-6.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	28.3	42.3	70.6	-14.0	10%	-
Last 5 (5)	28.8	45.6	74.4	-16.8	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	28.9	40.3	69.2	-11.5	13%	-
vs Similar (3)	31.3	32.3	63.7	-1.0	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.5	19.9	38.4	-1.4	45%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	19.4	17.6	37.0	+1.8	62%	-
Last 30 away (16)	17.8	21.8	39.6	-4.0	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	20.4	38.3	-2.5	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	18.6	19.8	38.4	-1.2	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	17.6	22.4	40.1	-4.8	28%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	13.5	29.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	21.0	16.3	37.3	+4.7	78%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	17.3	23.3	40.5	-6.0	15%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.2	26.3	45.5	-7.1	21%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.0	19.8	34.8	-4.8	8%	-
Last 10 (10)	16.6	21.7	38.3	-5.1	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.2	24.0	43.2	-4.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	16.8	23.8	40.6	-7.0	13%	-
vs Similar (3)	21.0	19.3	40.3	+1.7	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	16.7	16.9	33.6	-0.2	34%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	18.5	15.3	33.8	+3.2	46%	-
Last 30 away (16)	15.2	18.2	33.4	-2.9	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.6	18.2	33.8	-2.6	20%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	21.4	37.8	-5.0	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	16.4	17.8	34.2	-1.3	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	27.0	13.0	40.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	14.9	16.0	30.9	-1.1	22%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	14.6	17.7	32.3	-3.1	27%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	13.7	20.6	34.3	-6.9	14%	-
Last 30 away (12)	15.6	14.3	29.9	+1.2	42%	-
Last 10 (10)	12.9	17.2	30.1	-4.3	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.2	18.4	31.6	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	14.2	17.9	32.1	-3.7	26%	-
vs Similar (3)	17.3	16.0	33.3	+1.3	33%	-
vs Weaker	no games

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.2	36.8	72.0	-1.6	48%	-
Last 30 at home (13)	37.8	32.9	70.8	+4.9	69%	-
Last 30 away (16)	33.1	40.0	73.1	-6.9	31%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.5	38.6	72.1	-5.1	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	35.0	41.2	76.2	-6.2	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (18)	34.1	40.2	74.3	-6.2	33%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.5	26.5	69.0	+16.0	100%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (9)	35.9	32.3	68.2	+3.6	67%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (26)	31.8	41.0	72.8	-9.1	19%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	32.9	46.9	79.8	-13.9	14%	-
Last 30 away (12)	30.6	34.1	64.7	-3.5	25%	-
Last 10 (10)	29.5	38.9	68.4	-9.4	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	32.4	42.4	74.8	-10.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (23)	31.0	41.7	72.7	-10.7	13%	-
vs Similar (3)	38.3	35.3	73.7	+3.0	67%	-
vs Weaker	no games

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

ChelSU Kostanay wins

Karaganda wins

Date	Game	Score
11/11/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Karaganda	71-55
17/10/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Karaganda	81-71 OT
07/04/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Karaganda	77-74
10/12/23	ChelSU Kostanay v Karaganda	93-71
15/10/23	ChelSU Kostanay v Karaganda	81-84
11/10/23	ChelSU Kostanay v Karaganda	82-65
08/04/23	Karaganda v ChelSU Kostanay	81-71
17/11/22	Karaganda v ChelSU Kostanay	88-51
22/10/22	Karaganda v ChelSU Kostanay	70-39

ChelSU Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
14/12/24	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	67-92
13/12/24	H	Turan	68-79
12/12/24	A	Shymkent	65-108
13/11/24	H	Tigers-KazATU	92-56
12/11/24	A	CHAMP1ON	90-57
11/11/24	H	Karaganda	71-55
09/11/24	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	41-97
08/11/24	H	Turan	58-74
20/10/24	A	Shymkent	86-91
19/10/24	H	Tigers-KazATU	71-46

Karagandalast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
15/12/24	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	39-114
14/12/24	A	Turan	65-79
13/12/24	H	Shymkent	67-115
12/12/24	A	Tigers-KazATU	76-73
13/11/24	H	CHAMP1ON	62-65 OT
11/11/24	A	ChelSU Kostanay	55-71
10/11/24	H	Bars Petropavlovsk	46-84
09/11/24	A	Turan	60-83
08/11/24	H	Shymkent	63-79
20/10/24	A	Tigers-KazATU	48-55

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ChelSU Kostanay

Higher League 2024-25

Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWLLL	46%
Home	WLWWL	67%
Away	LLWLL	29%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	13	6	7
Win %	46%	67%	29%
Points / game	71.6	73.5	70.0
Allowed / game	74.5	63.5	83.9
Point differential	-2.8	+10.0	-13.9
Avg total	146.1	137.0	153.9
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	46%	67%	29%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	8%	17%	0%

Karaganda

Higher League 2024-25

Recent: 1 Wins / 9 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LWLLL	7%
Home	LLLLL	0%
Away	LLLWL	14%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	14	7	7
Win %	7%	0%	14%
Points / game	59.3	57.6	61.0
Allowed / game	81.1	89.6	72.7
Point differential	-21.9	-32.0	-11.7
Avg total	140.4	147.1	133.7
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	0%	0%	0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	50% (2)	0% (1)	100% (1)
Overtime %	14%	14%	14%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Turan	14	13	1	93%	82.9	60.1	+22.8
2	Bars Petropavlovsk	14	11	3	79%	85.9	63.3	+22.6
3	Shymkent	14	11	3	79%	88.2	71.1	+17.1
4	ChelSU Kostanay	13	6	7	46%	71.6	74.5	-2.8
5	Tigers-KazATU	13	4	9	31%	68.2	79.3	-11.1
6	CHAMP1ON	14	2	12	14%	59.6	87.4	-27.8
7	Karaganda	14	1	13	7%	59.3	81.1	-21.9

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
ChelSU Kostanay	21	20	9	24	74
Karaganda	15	19	15	15	64

← all games of the day

ChelSU Kostanay vs Karaganda Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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