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ChelSU Kostanay vs Karaganda Result & Analysis

Date: Fri 17 Apr 2026
Tip-off: 05:00
Final 61-78
17-19 9-14 19-25 16-20
Position#8
Record15-12
FormLLWLW
Points / game75.6
Allowed / game78.4
vs
Position#7
Record12-15
FormWLWWL
Points / game80.3
Allowed / game79.1
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2025-26
Meetings · ChelSU Kostanay v Karaganda
17 Apr 2026
CHEL61
KARA78
15 Apr 2026
CHEL70
KARA85
06 Apr 2025
CHEL20
KARA0
01 Feb 2025
CHEL72
KARA73
16 Dec 2024
CHEL74
KARA64
11 Nov 2024
CHEL71
KARA55
17 Oct 2024
CHEL81
KARA71
07 Apr 2024
CHEL77
KARA74
10 Dec 2023
CHEL93
KARA71
15 Oct 2023
CHEL81
KARA84
11 Oct 2023
CHEL82
KARA65
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

ChelSU Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Karaganda winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChelSU KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
83-68
83
68
+15
H21/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
68-85
68
85
-17
A02/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
99-103
99
103
-4
H03/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
93-88
93
88
+5
A04/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
78-105
78
105
-27
H05/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
56-85
56
85
-29
A11/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
76-86
76
86
-10
H12/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
64-44
64
44
+20
A14/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
70-85
70
85
-15
H15/04
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
74-70
74
70
+4
A16/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
26-13
32-19
9-15
15-24
23-16
16-22
14-23
23-24
30-25
27-28
19-26
24-27
22-16
16-26
31-19
14-21
17-38
17-30
30-16
13-20
18-21
8-22
17-22
19-20
17-18
20-21
20-27
12-8
21-11
12-9
19-16
20-24
27-26
7-19
16-16
24-14
7-20
17-14
26-22
158.0Avg total
76.1Scored
81.9Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)75.678.4154.0-2.956%
Season at home (14)81.081.6162.6-0.657%
Season away (13)69.875.0144.8-5.254%
Last 10 (10)76.181.9158.0-5.840%
Last 5 (5)68.074.0142.0-6.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)72.289.5161.7-17.313%
vs Similar (7)74.776.3151.0-1.671%
vs Weaker (8)76.561.6138.1+14.9100%
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
101-63
101
63
+38
H12/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
97-86
97
86
+11
A13/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
84-36
84
36
+48
H14/02
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
78-83
78
83
-5
A26/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
79-106
79
106
-27
H27/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
78-67
78
67
+11
A28/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
75-98
75
98
-23
H29/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
83-65
83
65
+18
H14/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
85-70
85
70
+15
A15/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
85-88
85
88
-3
H16/04
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
29-7
15-23
29-17
28-16
31-17
16-22
20-21
30-26
26-2
18-12
28-6
12-16
16-19
25-19
18-18
19-27
25-30
20-27
18-28
16-21
16-24
22-21
22-10
18-12
18-26
12-19
20-23
25-30
17-15
23-18
22-10
21-22
24-20
26-27
19-7
16-16
20-20
26-27
25-24
14-17
160.7Avg total
84.5Scored
76.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (27)80.379.1159.4+1.144%
Season at home (14)83.579.4162.9+4.136%
Season away (13)76.878.9155.8-2.154%
Last 10 (10)84.576.2160.7+8.360%
Last 5 (5)81.277.6158.8+3.660%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (12)57.880.2137.9-22.40%
vs Similar (3)55.765.7121.3-10.00%
vs Weaker ◀ (15)87.269.2156.4+18.080%
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-4+0+4+7Q1Q1: -2.3-2.3Q1: +4.2+4.2Q2Q2: +0.4+0.4Q2: -1.2-1.2Q3Q3: -3.8-3.8Q3: +5.7+5.7Q4Q4: -0.1-0.1Q4: -0.4-0.4
ChelSU KostanayKaraganda
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
42-34
42
34
+8
H21/01
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
38-40
38
40
-2
A02/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
W
53-49
53
49
+4
H03/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
46-43
46
43
+3
A04/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
31-59
31
59
-28
H05/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
31-41
31
41
-10
A11/03
Higher League
Aktobe
#4
L
36-38
36
38
-2
H12/03
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
33-19
33
19
+14
A14/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
47-50
47
50
-3
H15/04
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
L
31-34
31
34
-3
A16/04
Higher League
79.5Avg total
38.8Scored
40.7Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)36.741.077.8-4.343%-
Last 30 at home (16)39.942.882.7-2.950%-
Last 30 away (14)33.139.072.1-5.936%-
Last 10 (10)38.840.779.5-1.940%-
Last 5 (5)35.636.472.0-0.820%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (15)35.148.783.8-13.720%-
vs Similar (7)37.138.075.1-0.943%-
vs Weaker (8)39.529.268.8+10.288%-
This opponent (Karaganda) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
KaragandaLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
AiRom
#13
W
44-30
44
30
+14
H12/02
Higher League
Arlans
#11
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A13/02
Higher League
Pavlodar
#14
W
44-14
44
14
+30
H14/02
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
W
41-38
41
38
+3
A26/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
45-57
45
57
-12
H27/03
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#9
L
38-45
38
45
-7
A28/03
Higher League
BC Almaty 2
#5
L
30-45
30
45
-15
H29/03
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
W
40-33
40
33
+7
H14/04
Higher League
ChelSU Kostanay
#8
W
50-47
50
47
+3
A15/04
Higher League
Tobol Kostanay 2
#12
L
46-47
46
47
-1
H16/04
Higher League
82.0Avg total
42.5Scored
39.5Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (27)40.540.080.5+0.452%-
Last 30 at home (14)42.438.180.5+4.257%-
Last 30 away (13)38.542.180.5-3.646%-
Last 10 (10)42.539.582.0+3.060%-
Last 5 (5)40.843.484.2-2.640%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (10)33.246.980.1-13.710%-
vs Similar (2)45.037.582.5+7.5100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (15)44.735.880.5+8.973%-
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
ChelSU Kostanaytheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

ChelSU Kostanay: 76.1 points a game scored
🏀🏀54%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.4 pts a game · 54% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers20.4 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers40.420.7
51.2%
49.5%41.4
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.46.8
26.8%
28.5%20.4
🏀 Free throws20.414.3
70.1%
63.9%14.3
They take 65.8 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 25.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 39% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Karagandatheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Karaganda: 80.4 points a game scored
🏀🏀60%
🏀🏀🏀27%
🏀13%
🏀🏀 2-pointers48.0 pts a game · 60% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers21.9 pts a game · 27% of the points
🏀 Free throws10.6 pts a game · 13% of the points
League average for comparison: 75.8 points a game
56%
30%
14%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.424.0
57.9%
49.5%48.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.47.3
23.9%
28.5%21.9
🏀 Free throws14.410.6
73.3%
63.9%10.6
They take 71.9 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.4 of them are 3-pointers, so 42% of their shots are threes (league average: 39%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/7 games with a box score before 17 Apr 2026 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
ChelSU Kostanay
WLWLLLWLLW
Karaganda
LWWLWLLWWW
#8
League position
#7
-7.4
Net rating
-2.5
97.5
Offensive rating
99.9
104.9
Defensive rating
102.3
47.0%
Effective FG%
48.6%
47.3%
Opp. effective FG%
47.8%
0.0%
Turnover %
0.0%
0.31
Free-throw rate
0.20
26.8%
3-point %
23.9%
52.4%
Assist %
56.6%
40%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence97.5 · 99.9Defence104.9 · 102.3Shooting47.0% · 48.6%3-point %26.8% · 23.9%Ball care0.0% · 0.0%Free throws0.31 · 0.20Form (last 10/10)40% · 60%
■ ChelSU Kostanay   ■ Karaganda
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
ChelSU Kostanay wins
3
Karaganda wins
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/26APavlodar74-70
15/04/26HKaraganda70-85
14/04/26APavlodar64-44
12/03/26HAktobe76-86
11/03/26AAktobe56-85
05/03/26HBC Almaty 278-105
04/03/26ACHAMP1ON93-88
03/03/26HBC Almaty 299-103
02/03/26ACHAMP1ON68-85
21/01/26HAiRom83-68
Karagandalast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
16/04/26HTobol Kostanay 285-88
15/04/26AChelSU Kostanay85-70
14/04/26HTobol Kostanay 283-65
29/03/26HBC Almaty 275-98
28/03/26ACHAMP1ON78-67
27/03/26HBC Almaty 279-106
26/03/26ACHAMP1ON78-83
14/02/26HPavlodar84-36
13/02/26AArlans97-86
12/02/26HAiRom101-63

📊 11. Overall Statistics

ChelSU Kostanay
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 4 Wins / 6 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLWLW56%
HomeWLLLL57%
AwayLWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %56%57%54%
Points / game75.681.069.8
Allowed / game78.481.675.0
Point differential-2.9-0.6-5.2
Avg total154.0162.6144.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+26%29%23%
Close games (≤5 pts) won88% (8)75% (4)100% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Karaganda
Higher League 2025-26
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWL44%
HomeWLLWL36%
AwayWWLWW54%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games271413
Win %44%36%54%
Points / game80.383.576.8
Allowed / game79.179.478.9
Point differential+1.1+4.1-2.1
Avg total159.4162.9155.8
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%36%54%
Close games (≤5 pts) won0% (5)0% (4)0% (1)
Overtime %7%14%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan28280100%87.459.6+27.8
2 Shymkent2825389%94.768.8+26.0
3 Aktobe2823582%83.067.5+15.6
4 Bars Petropavlovsk2722581%86.061.2+24.9
5 BC Almaty 22718967%83.373.5+9.8
6 Atyrau 228171161%76.570.6+5.9
7 ChelSU Kostanay27151256%75.678.4-2.9
8 CHAMP1ON27141352%74.374.4-0.1
9 Karaganda27121544%80.379.1+1.1
10 Tigers-KazATU27101737%68.176.4-8.3
11 Arlans2882029%73.683.0-9.4
12 Tobol Kostanay 22762122%69.482.6-13.2
13 AiRom2852318%63.282.5-19.3
14 Pavlodar272257%56.687.6-31.1
15 Kaspiy Aktau 2281274%55.783.1-27.4
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
ChelSU Kostanay179191661
Karaganda1914252078
← all games of the day
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