Shymkent vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Thu 12 Dec 2024

Tip-off: 08:30

Final 108-65

23-26 25-11 30-11 30-17

Position#3

Record7-3

FormWWWLW

Points / game83.9

Allowed / game72.9

Shymkent 🏆

ChelSU Kostanay

Position#5

Record6-4

FormLLWWW

Points / game73.1

Allowed / game68.9

Higher League· Zhaksy

Other2024-25

Meetings · Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay

Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winWon

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

ChelSU Kostanay winLost

-no forecast

Best oddsnone

Implied-

Edge-

No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

Shymkent

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormShymkent

Date

Competition

CHAMP1ON

113-54

113

+59

110avg 77

H15/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

85-64

+21

80avg 77

A16/10

Higher League

Turan

63-82

-19

52avg 77

H18/10

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

75-87

-12

59avg 77

A19/10

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

91-86

91avg 77

H20/10

Higher League

Karaganda

79-63

+16

no box

A08/11

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

88-60

+28

82avg 77

H09/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

93-81

+12

89avg 77

A10/11

Higher League

Turan

73-77 OT

-4

56avg 77

H12/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

79-75

71avg 77

A13/11

Higher League

35-18

35-7

19-13

24-16

24-18

23-10

21-12

17-24

21-18

16-16

16-26

10-22

23-24

18-18

14-26

20-19

25-21

16-23

24-23

26-19

29-8

12-15

18-19

20-21

23-14

28-9

23-9

14-28

29-19

24-20

27-17

13-25

14-10

16-12

18-24

19-21

33-18

17-24

11-18

18-15

156.8Avg total

83.9Scored

72.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	83.9	72.9	156.8	+11.0	70%
Season at home (5)	85.6	71.8	157.4	+13.8	60%
Season away (5)	82.2	74.0	156.2	+8.2	80%
Last 10 (10)	83.9	72.9	156.8	+11.0	70%
Last 5 (5)	82.4	71.2	153.6	+11.2	80%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	68.0	79.5	147.5	-11.5	0%
vs Similar (8)	83.0	88.9	171.9	-5.9	50%
vs Weaker ◀ (20)	89.5	68.2	157.7	+21.2	95%

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChelSU Kostanay Kazakhstan

Last 10 – points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

🔥 FormKostanay

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

63-78

-15

46avg 64

A15/10

Higher League

Karaganda

81-71 OT

+10

73avg 64

H17/10

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

78-64

+14

73avg 64

A18/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

71-46

+25

65avg 64

H19/10

Higher League

Shymkent

86-91

-5

74avg 64

A20/10

Higher League

Turan

58-74

-16

45avg 64

H08/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

41-97

-56

26avg 64

A09/11

Higher League

Karaganda

71-55

+16

70avg 64

H11/11

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

90-57

+33

86avg 64

A12/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

92-56

+36

82avg 64

H13/11

Higher League

16-19

15-17

18-25

14-17

25-15

8-20

17-15

14-14

28-7

11-22

20-21

19-14

24-14

11-13

12-12

24-7

21-25

23-16

23-24

19-26

13-22

13-18

19-20

13-14

11-25

16-21

8-38

6-13

17-18

18-11

24-11

12-15

25-16

38-14

19-12

8-15

16-11

27-11

19-15

30-19

142.0Avg total

73.1Scored

68.9Allowed

Split	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Win %
Season (10)	73.1	68.9	142.0	+4.2	60%
Season at home (5)	74.6	60.4	135.0	+14.2	80%
Season away (5)	71.6	77.4	149.0	-5.8	40%
Last 10 (10)	73.1	68.9	142.0	+4.2	60%
Last 5 (5)	70.4	67.8	138.2	+2.6	60%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	67.8	81.7	149.5	-13.9	12%
vs Similar (2)	81.5	51.0	132.5	+30.5	100%
vs Weaker (12)	74.2	64.0	138.2	+10.2	83%

This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

ShymkentChelSU Kostanay

Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.

Bets by quarter and half · pick a period

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	24.4	18.1	42.5	+6.3	69%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	24.7	17.0	41.7	+7.7	79%	-
Last 30 away (15)	24.1	19.1	43.2	+4.9	60%	-
Last 10 (10)	25.6	16.8	42.4	+8.8	90%	-
Last 5 (5)	25.6	13.8	39.4	+11.8	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.5	14.0	31.5	+3.5	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.8	21.2	43.0	+0.5	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	26.2	17.2	43.4	+9.0	79%	-

1st quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.9	20.1	39.0	-1.2	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	17.3	20.1	37.4	-2.9	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	20.5	20.1	40.5	+0.4	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.6	17.2	36.8	+2.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.4	18.4	34.8	-2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.8	21.9	39.6	-4.1	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	20.0	12.5	32.5	+7.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	20.5	18.9	39.4	+1.5	45%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	22.0	16.8	38.8	+5.1	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	20.6	15.6	36.1	+5.0	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.3	18.0	41.3	+5.3	67%	-
Last 10 (10)	20.5	15.4	35.9	+5.1	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	16.0	35.4	+3.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	16.0	14.0	30.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.8	20.8	42.5	+1.0	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	22.7	15.5	38.2	+7.2	63%	-

2nd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.4	18.5	35.9	-1.0	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	16.7	17.9	34.6	-1.2	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	19.0	37.1	-0.9	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.0	16.3	34.3	+1.7	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	22.4	15.0	37.4	+7.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.2	20.9	37.1	-4.8	19%	-
vs Similar (2)	19.0	12.0	31.0	+7.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	19.0	16.1	35.1	+2.9	64%	-

ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

CHAMP1ON

70-25

+45

H15/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

47-28

+19

A16/10

Higher League

Turan

37-34

H18/10

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

41-42

-1

A19/10

Higher League

ChelSU Kostanay

41-44

-3

H20/10

Higher League

Karaganda

41-23

+18

A08/11

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

51-23

+28

H09/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

53-39

+14

A10/11

Higher League

Turan

30-22

H12/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

50-42

A13/11

Higher League

78.3Avg total

46.1Scored

32.2Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	46.3	34.9	81.3	+11.4	79%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	45.3	32.6	77.9	+12.7	86%	-
Last 30 away (15)	47.3	37.1	84.5	+10.2	73%	-
Last 10 (10)	46.1	32.2	78.3	+13.9	80%	-
Last 5 (5)	45.0	29.8	74.8	+15.2	100%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	33.5	28.0	61.5	+5.5	100%	-
vs Similar (8)	43.5	42.0	85.5	+1.5	50%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	48.9	32.7	81.6	+16.2	89%	-

This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against

Opponent

Position

Result

Score

Points

Margin

Date

Competition

Bars Petropavlovsk

31-36

-5

A15/10

Higher League

Karaganda

33-35

-2

H17/10

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

39-29

+10

A18/10

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

35-27

H19/10

Higher League

Shymkent

44-41

A20/10

Higher League

Turan

26-40

-14

H08/11

Higher League

Bars Petropavlovsk

27-46

-19

A09/11

Higher League

Karaganda

35-29

H11/11

Higher League

CHAMP1ON

63-30

+33

A12/11

Higher League

Tigers-KazATU

43-22

+21

H13/11

Higher League

71.1Avg total

37.6Scored

33.5Allowed

1st half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	36.4	38.6	75.0	-2.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	34.0	38.1	72.1	-4.1	43%	-
Last 30 away (15)	38.6	39.1	77.7	-0.5	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.6	33.5	71.1	+4.1	60%	-
Last 5 (5)	38.8	33.4	72.2	+5.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.9	42.8	76.8	-8.9	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	39.0	24.5	63.5	+14.5	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	39.5	35.0	74.5	+4.5	64%	-

This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge

No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	23.5	21.1	44.6	+2.3	59%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	23.1	19.6	42.6	+3.5	71%	-
Last 30 away (15)	23.9	22.6	46.5	+1.3	47%	-
Last 10 (10)	19.1	18.7	37.8	+0.4	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	19.4	17.4	36.8	+2.0	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	17.0	25.0	42.0	-8.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	21.5	25.8	47.2	-4.2	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	25.0	18.8	43.8	+6.2	79%	-

3rd quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.7	19.7	38.4	-1.0	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	18.5	37.9	+0.9	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	20.9	39.0	-2.7	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	17.9	19.3	37.2	-1.4	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	17.8	19.2	37.0	-1.4	60%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	17.5	22.3	39.8	-4.8	25%	-
vs Similar (2)	15.5	13.5	29.0	+2.0	50%	-
vs Weaker (11)	21.1	17.1	38.2	+4.0	73%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	18.6	20.7	39.2	-2.1	38%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.1	20.1	39.2	-1.1	50%	-
Last 30 away (15)	18.1	21.1	39.2	-3.1	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	18.1	21.0	39.1	-2.9	40%	-
Last 5 (5)	16.8	22.0	38.8	-5.2	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	14.5	21.5	36.0	-7.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	18.0	21.1	39.1	-3.1	38%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	19.2	20.4	39.6	-1.2	42%	-

4th quarter	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the quarter	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	17.0	16.0	32.9	+1.0	41%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	19.4	14.9	34.3	+4.6	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	14.7	17.0	31.7	-2.3	27%	-
Last 10 (10)	15.9	15.4	31.3	+0.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	13.8	15.2	29.0	-1.4	20%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	16.4	16.6	32.9	-0.2	38%	-
vs Similar (2)	27.0	13.0	40.0	+14.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	16.0	15.6	31.6	+0.4	36%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	42.0	41.8	83.8	+0.2	45%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	42.1	39.7	81.9	+2.4	57%	-
Last 30 away (15)	41.9	43.7	85.7	-1.8	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	37.2	39.7	76.9	-2.5	30%	-
Last 5 (5)	36.2	39.4	75.6	-3.2	0%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (2)	31.5	46.5	78.0	-15.0	0%	-
vs Similar (8)	39.5	46.9	86.4	-7.4	25%	-
vs Weaker ◀ (19)	44.2	39.2	83.4	+5.1	58%	-

2nd half	Scored	Allowed	Total	Margin	Won the half	Over main line
Last 30 (29)	35.7	35.7	71.4	+0.0	48%	-
Last 30 at home (14)	38.8	33.4	72.1	+5.4	64%	-
Last 30 away (15)	32.8	37.9	70.7	-5.1	33%	-
Last 10 (10)	33.8	34.7	68.5	-0.9	50%	-
Last 5 (5)	31.6	34.4	66.0	-2.8	40%	-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)	33.9	38.9	72.8	-5.0	31%	-
vs Similar (2)	42.5	26.5	69.0	+16.0	100%	-
vs Weaker (11)	37.1	32.7	69.8	+4.4	64%	-

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record

Shymkent wins

ChelSU Kostanay wins

Date	Game	Score
20/10/24	Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay	91-86
24/02/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	78-95
24/01/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	66-82
22/01/24	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	68-99
11/11/23	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	71-81
09/04/23	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	78-87
18/11/22	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	60-93
23/10/22	ChelSU Kostanay v Shymkent	56-88

Shymkentlast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/24	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	79-75
12/11/24	H	Turan	73-77 OT
10/11/24	A	Tigers-KazATU	93-81
09/11/24	H	CHAMP1ON	88-60
08/11/24	A	Karaganda	79-63
20/10/24	H	ChelSU Kostanay	91-86
19/10/24	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	75-87
18/10/24	H	Turan	63-82
16/10/24	A	Tigers-KazATU	85-64
15/10/24	H	CHAMP1ON	113-54

ChelSU Kostanaylast 10

Date	H/A	Opponent	Score
13/11/24	H	Tigers-KazATU	92-56
12/11/24	A	CHAMP1ON	90-57
11/11/24	H	Karaganda	71-55
09/11/24	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	41-97
08/11/24	H	Turan	58-74
20/10/24	A	Shymkent	86-91
19/10/24	H	Tigers-KazATU	71-46
18/10/24	A	CHAMP1ON	78-64
17/10/24	H	Karaganda	81-71 OT
15/10/24	A	Bars Petropavlovsk	63-78

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent

Higher League 2024-25

Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	WWWLW	70%
Home	WLWWL	60%
Away	WLWWW	80%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	70%	60%	80%
Points / game	83.9	85.6	82.2
Allowed / game	72.9	71.8	74.0
Point differential	+11.0	+13.8	+8.2
Avg total	156.8	157.4	156.2
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	50%	40%	60%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	67% (3)	50% (2)	100% (1)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

ChelSU Kostanay

Higher League 2024-25

Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)

Form	Last 5	Win %
Overall	LLWWW	60%
Home	WWLWW	80%
Away	LWLLW	40%

Stats	Overall	Home	Away
Games	10	5	5
Win %	60%	80%	40%
Points / game	73.1	74.6	71.6
Allowed / game	68.9	60.4	77.4
Point differential	+4.2	+14.2	-5.8
Avg total	142.0	135.0	149.0
Over main line	-	-	-
Win by 10+	60%	80%	40%
Close games (≤5 pts) won	0% (1)	-	0% (1)
Overtime %	10%	20%	0%

This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#	Team	GP	W	L	Win %	PF/g	PA/g	Diff
1	Turan	10	9	1	90%	82.3	58.9	+23.4
2	Bars Petropavlovsk	11	9	2	82%	85.5	63.5	+22.1
3	Shymkent	10	7	3	70%	83.9	72.9	+11.0
4	ChelSU Kostanay	10	6	4	60%	73.1	68.9	+4.2
5	Tigers-KazATU	11	3	8	27%	66.7	79.6	-12.9
6	CHAMP1ON	11	2	9	18%	58.1	87.0	-28.9
7	Karaganda	11	1	10	9%	59.9	75.3	-15.4

Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

Team	Q1	Q2	Q3	Q4	Final
Shymkent	23	25	30	30	108
ChelSU Kostanay	26	11	11	17	65

← all games of the day

Shymkent vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

🎯 1. Model Analysis

🏀 2. Points Analysis

📊 3. Team Totals

⚖️ 4. Spread

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

Get it on Telegram

🎯 8. Shooting Profile

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

🤝 10. Games History

📊 11. Overall Statistics

🏆 12. League Table

📋 13. Box Score

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