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Shymkent vs ChelSU Kostanay Result & Analysis

Date: Sun 20 Oct 2024
Tip-off: 07:00
Final 91-86
25-21 16-23 24-23 26-19
Position#3
Record2-2
FormLWWLL
Points / game84.0
Allowed / game71.8
vs
Position#5
Record3-1
FormWLWWW
Points / game73.2
Allowed / game64.8
KazakhstanHigher League
Other2024-25
Meetings · Shymkent v ChelSU Kostanay
26 Apr 2026
SHYM115
CHEL64
09 Apr 2025
SHYM96
CHEL45
03 Mar 2025
SHYM65
CHEL48
28 Jan 2025
SHYM88
CHEL76
12 Dec 2024
SHYM108
CHEL65
20 Oct 2024
SHYM91
CHEL86
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Shymkent winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
ChelSU Kostanay winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ShymkentKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormShymkent
Date
Competition
Turan
#3
L
106-110
106
110
-4
no box
A26/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
W
79-74
79
74
+5
no box
A06/04
Higher League
Altay
#8
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H07/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#1
W
90-81
90
81
+9
no box
A08/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
75-60
75
60
+15
no box
H09/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
99-113
99
113
-14
no box
A10/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
113-54
113
54
+59
110avg 75
H15/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
85-64
85
64
+21
80avg 75
A16/10
Higher League
Turan
#1
L
63-82
63
82
-19
52avg 75
H18/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
75-87
75
87
-12
59avg 75
A19/10
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
28-25
31-26
24-25
23-34
20-13
15-23
30-21
14-17
–
–
–
–
18-24
28-17
28-22
16-18
19-19
19-10
19-18
18-13
24-22
18-32
26-40
31-19
35-18
35-7
19-13
24-16
24-18
23-10
21-12
17-24
21-18
16-16
16-26
10-22
23-24
18-18
14-26
20-19
153.0Avg total
80.5Scored
72.5Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)84.071.8155.8+12.250%
Season at home (2)88.068.0156.0+20.050%
Season away (2)80.075.5155.5+4.550%
Last 10 (10)80.572.5153.0+8.060%
Last 5 (5)87.080.0167.0+7.040%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)63.082.0145.0-19.00%
vs Similar (8)82.686.6169.2-4.050%
vs Weaker ◀ (21)89.268.5157.8+20.790%
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayKazakhstanLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormKostanay
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
45-80
45
80
-35
no box
A26/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#1
L
75-84
75
84
-9
no box
A06/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
77-74
77
74
+3
no box
H07/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
73-81
73
81
-8
no box
A08/04
Higher League
Altay
#8
W
20-0
20
0
+20
no box
H09/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#1
W
86-80
86
80
+6
no box
A10/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
63-78
63
78
-15
46avg 64
A15/10
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
81-71 OT
81
71
+10
73avg 64
H17/10
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
78-64
78
64
+14
73avg 64
A18/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
71-46
71
46
+25
65avg 64
H19/10
Higher League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
16-21
11-20
8-24
10-15
30-19
20-24
17-20
8-21
21-25
14-15
25-17
17-17
22-23
13-16
27-17
11-25
–
–
–
–
29-20
23-26
14-16
20-18
16-19
15-17
18-25
14-17
25-15
8-20
17-15
14-14
28-7
11-22
20-21
19-14
24-14
11-13
12-12
24-7
132.7Avg total
66.9Scored
65.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (4)73.264.8138.0+8.575%
Season at home (2)76.058.5134.5+17.5100%
Season away (2)70.571.0141.5-0.550%
Last 10 (10)66.965.8132.7+1.160%
Last 5 (5)75.867.8143.6+8.080%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)68.679.4148.1-10.812%
vs Similar (1)71.046.0117.0+25.0100%
vs Weaker (13)74.568.7143.2+5.869%
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +3.4+3.4Q1: +5.3+5.3Q2Q2: +4.9+4.9Q2: -5.2-5.2Q3Q3: -0.7-0.7Q3: -1.0-1.0Q4Q4: -1.0-1.0Q4: -1.2-1.2
ShymkentChelSU Kostanay
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ShymkentLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Turan
#3
W
59-51
59
51
+8
A26/02
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
35-36
35
36
-1
A06/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#1
W
46-41
46
41
+5
A08/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
W
38-29
38
29
+9
H09/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
42-54
42
54
-12
A10/04
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
70-25
70
25
+45
H15/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
47-28
47
28
+19
A16/10
Higher League
Turan
#1
W
37-34
37
34
+3
H18/10
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
41-42
41
42
-1
A19/10
Higher League
83.9Avg total
46.1Scored
37.8Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)47.235.582.7+11.779%-
Last 30 at home (15)47.734.081.7+13.787%-
Last 30 away (14)46.637.183.8+9.571%-
Last 10 (9)46.137.883.9+8.367%-
Last 5 (5)47.436.684.0+10.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (1)37.034.071.0+3.0100%-
vs Similar (8)42.640.282.9+2.450%-
vs Weaker ◀ (20)49.533.783.2+15.890%-
This opponent (ChelSU Kostanay) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChelSU KostanayLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Atyrau 2
#6
L
27-41
27
41
-14
A26/02
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#1
W
50-43
50
43
+7
A06/04
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
35-40
35
40
-5
H07/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#4
L
35-39
35
39
-4
A08/04
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#1
W
52-46
52
46
+6
A10/04
Higher League
Bars Petropavlovsk
#2
L
31-36
31
36
-5
A15/10
Higher League
Karaganda
#7
L
33-35
33
35
-2
H17/10
Higher League
CHAMP1ON
#6
W
39-29
39
29
+10
A18/10
Higher League
Tigers-KazATU
#4
W
35-27
35
27
+8
H19/10
Higher League
74.8Avg total
37.4Scored
37.3Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (29)35.839.074.8-3.338%-
Last 30 at home (15)35.440.075.4-4.640%-
Last 30 away (14)36.138.074.1-1.936%-
Last 10 (9)37.437.374.8+0.144%-
Last 5 (5)38.034.672.6+3.460%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (16)34.141.675.7-7.419%-
vs Similar (1)35.027.062.0+8.0100%-
vs Weaker (12)38.036.774.7+1.358%-
This opponent (Shymkent) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

No box scores for these teams yet: the shooting profile appears once the data provider has them.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Not enough box scores for both teams yet (the data provider has box scores for the NBA and Europe's top competitions, not every game).

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
7
Shymkent wins
0
ChelSU Kostanay wins
Shymkentlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24ABars Petropavlovsk75-87
18/10/24HTuran63-82
16/10/24ATigers-KazATU85-64
15/10/24HCHAMP1ON113-54
10/04/24ABars Petropavlovsk99-113
09/04/24HKaraganda75-60
08/04/24ATigers-KazATU90-81
07/04/24HAltay20-0
06/04/24ABars Petropavlovsk79-74
26/02/24ATuran106-110
DateH/AOpponentScore
19/10/24HTigers-KazATU71-46
18/10/24ACHAMP1ON78-64
17/10/24HKaraganda81-71 OT
15/10/24ABars Petropavlovsk63-78
10/04/24ATigers-KazATU86-80
09/04/24HAltay20-0
08/04/24ABars Petropavlovsk73-81
07/04/24HKaraganda77-74
06/04/24ATigers-KazATU75-84
26/02/24AAtyrau 245-80

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Shymkent
Higher League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWLL50%
HomeWL50%
AwayWL50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %50%50%50%
Points / game84.088.080.0
Allowed / game71.868.075.5
Point differential+12.2+20.0+4.5
Avg total155.8156.0155.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+50%50%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %0%0%0%
ChelSU Kostanay
Higher League 2024-25
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLWWW75%
HomeWW100%
AwayLW50%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games422
Win %75%100%50%
Points / game73.276.070.5
Allowed / game64.858.571.0
Point differential+8.5+17.5-0.5
Avg total138.0134.5141.5
Over main line---
Win by 10+75%100%50%
Close games (≤5 pts) won---
Overtime %25%50%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Turan440100%85.253.2+32.0
2 Bars Petropavlovsk550100%87.662.4+25.2
3 ChelSU Kostanay43175%73.264.8+8.5
4 Shymkent42250%84.071.8+12.2
5 Tigers-KazATU51420%56.078.8-22.8
6 CHAMP1ON51420%60.690.0-29.4
7 Karaganda5050%59.474.6-15.2
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Shymkent2516242691
ChelSU Kostanay2123231986
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