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Chemnitz vs Bonn Prediction & Stats

Date: Sun 17 Jan 2027
Tip-off: 15:30
Scheduled
Position#16
Record2-6
FormWWLLL
Points / game87.1
Allowed / game90.0
vs
Form · last 5 games
5.6/10
Above normal
6.7/10
Above normal
Position#4
Record6-3
FormLWWWW
Points / game87.7
Allowed / game81.2
GermanyBBLRound 17· Messe Chemnitz
Domestic2026-27
Meetings · Chemnitz v Bonn
17 Jan 2027
CHE v BON
upcoming
04 Apr 2026
CHE75
BON76
21 Dec 2024
CHE88
BON123
06 Apr 2024
CHE80
BON66
22 May 2023
CHE83
BON89
26 Mar 2023
CHE79
BON81
01 May 2022
CHE90
BON68
15 Jan 2021
CHE93
BON92
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Chemnitz win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Bonn win
-no forecast
Best oddsnot yet
Implied-
Edge-
Pythia's probabilities appear here once today's forecast has run (it covers the NBA and Europe's top competitions).

🏀 2. Points Analysis

ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
93-84
93
84
+9
88avg 74
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
L
83-87
83
87
-4
77avg 74
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
88-80
88
80
+8
75avg 74
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
95-67
95
67
+28
88avg 74
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
88-98
88
98
-10
87avg 74
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
96-77
96
77
+19
92avg 74
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
W
94-78
94
78
+16
no box
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
84-96
84
96
-12
no box
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
L
90-99
90
99
-9
no box
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
90-112
90
112
-22
no box
H11/11
Eurocup
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
31-15
26-24
18-27
18-18
25-21
25-24
12-22
21-20
19-17
18-17
18-24
33-22
20-21
26-19
24-20
25-7
17-27
25-23
15-27
31-21
25-19
21-13
29-17
21-28
18-23
25-25
24-10
27-20
22-23
22-26
22-24
18-23
24-27
26-18
14-33
26-21
22-24
19-35
28-20
21-33
177.9Avg total
90.1Scored
87.8Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (8)87.190.0177.1-2.925%
Season at home (3)90.386.0176.3+4.367%
Season away (5)85.292.4177.6-7.20%
Last 10 (10)90.187.8177.9+2.350%
Last 5 (5)90.892.4183.2-1.640%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)76.583.5160.0-7.030%
vs Similar (10)84.287.1171.3-2.930%
vs Weaker (10)89.785.0174.7+4.770%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
77-72
77
72
+5
70avg 75
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
L
76-83
76
83
-7
74avg 75
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
78-74
78
74
+4
75avg 75
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
115-68
115
68
+47
116avg 75
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
L
74-76
74
76
-2
63avg 75
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
68-84
68
84
-16
57avg 75
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
W
95-88
95
88
+7
95avg 75
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
W
101-89
101
89
+12
no box
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
W
97-87
97
87
+10
no box
H07/11
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
85-71
85
71
+14
no box
A14/11
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
21-16
19-21
16-16
21-19
17-21
19-15
19-21
21-26
25-16
18-16
19-16
16-26
28-11
26-22
32-16
29-19
22-19
18-17
14-19
20-21
14-17
15-26
25-19
14-22
21-26
21-19
24-20
29-23
27-25
21-23
27-23
26-18
22-35
26-17
27-24
22-11
21-25
21-12
19-22
24-12
165.8Avg total
86.6Scored
79.2Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (9)87.781.2168.9+6.467%
Season at home (5)96.077.4173.4+18.6100%
Season away (4)77.286.0163.2-8.825%
Last 10 (10)86.679.2165.8+7.470%
Last 5 (5)89.283.8173.0+5.480%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)73.789.4163.1-15.70%
vs Similar (10)75.476.4151.8-1.060%
vs Weaker ◀ (13)92.879.4172.2+13.585%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
-4-2+0+2+4Q1Q1: +0.6+0.6Q1: +0.7+0.7Q2Q2: +0.9+0.9Q2: +1.6+1.6Q3Q3: -2.0-2.0Q3: +2.6+2.6Q4Q4: +2.8+2.8Q4: +2.5+2.5
ChemnitzBonn
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Neptunas
#26
W
57-39
57
39
+18
H07/10
Eurocup
Bayern
#1
W
50-45
50
45
+5
H10/10
BBL
Trento
#27
W
37-34
37
34
+3
A13/10
Eurocup
Slask Wroclaw
#31
W
46-40
46
40
+6
H21/10
Eurocup
Wurzburg
#9
L
42-50
42
50
-8
A26/10
BBL
JL Bourg
#24
W
46-32
46
32
+14
H28/10
Eurocup
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
43-48
43
48
-5
H31/10
BBL
Buducnost
#10
L
44-49
44
49
-5
A03/11
Eurocup
Vechta
#13
W
50-45
50
45
+5
A07/11
BBL
Basket Napoli
#2
L
41-59
41
59
-18
H11/11
Eurocup
89.7Avg total
45.6Scored
44.1Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.541.584.0+1.150%-
Last 30 at home (14)44.939.784.6+5.264%-
Last 30 away (16)40.443.083.4-2.638%-
Last 10 (10)45.644.189.7+1.560%-
Last 5 (5)44.846.691.4-1.840%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (10)41.343.084.3-1.740%-
vs Similar (10)43.741.585.2+2.250%-
vs Weaker (10)42.639.982.5+2.760%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Syntainics MBC
#3
W
40-37
40
37
+3
H27/09
BBL
Wurzburg
#9
D
36-36
36
36
+0
A02/10
BBL
FC Porto
#34
W
43-32
43
32
+11
H07/10
Champions League
Jena
#18
W
54-33
54
33
+21
H09/10
BBL
Joventut Badalona
#2
W
40-36
40
36
+4
A21/10
Champions League
Ludwigsburg
#7
L
29-43
29
43
-14
A24/10
BBL
Alba Berlin
#8
L
42-45
42
45
-3
H01/11
BBL
Bnei Herzliya
#47
D
48-48
48
48
+0
H04/11
Champions League
Basketball Braunschweig
#14
L
48-52
48
52
-4
H07/11
BBL
Bamberg
#10
W
42-37
42
37
+5
A14/11
BBL
82.1Avg total
42.2Scored
39.9Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)39.239.778.9-0.643%-
Last 30 at home (15)41.738.380.1+3.447%-
Last 30 away (15)36.641.177.7-4.540%-
Last 10 (10)42.239.982.1+2.350%-
Last 5 (5)41.845.086.8-3.220%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger (7)34.143.077.1-8.929%-
vs Similar (10)35.037.672.6-2.630%-
vs Weaker ◀ (13)45.139.684.7+5.562%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
No 1st half markets priced for this game yet.

⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

No special markets priced for this game yet.

🔥 7. Top picks for this game

No priced selection above 70% for this game yet.
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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 87.0 points a game scored
🏀🏀50%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀17%
🏀🏀 2-pointers43.6 pts a game · 50% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.5 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.9 pts a game · 17% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers39.321.8
55.5%
55.6%43.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.09.5
31.7%
33.7%28.5
🏀 Free throws19.314.9
77.2%
73.4%14.9
They take 69.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 30.0 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀37%
🏀18%
🏀🏀 2-pointers37.0 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers30.3 pts a game · 37% of the points
🏀 Free throws14.3 pts a game · 18% of the points
League average for comparison: 85.4 points a game
49%
34%
17%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)
League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.318.5
51.0%
55.6%37.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers26.910.1
37.5%
33.7%30.3
🏀 Free throws20.014.3
71.5%
73.4%14.3
They take 63.2 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 26.9 of them are 3-pointers, so 43% of their shots are threes (league average: 43%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 Jan 2027 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Chemnitz
LLLWWLWWLW
Bonn
WWWWLLWWLW
#16
League position
#4
+4.0
Net rating
+2.5
94.5
Offensive rating
96.4
90.5
Defensive rating
93.9
52.0%
Effective FG%
53.2%
52.3%
Opp. effective FG%
52.1%
16.6%
Turnover %
15.5%
0.28
Free-throw rate
0.32
31.7%
3-point %
37.5%
60.4%
Assist %
59.8%
50%
Form (last 10/10)
70%

Profile

Offence94.5 · 96.4Defence90.5 · 93.9Shooting52.0% · 53.2%3-point %31.7% · 37.5%Ball care16.6% · 15.5%Free throws0.28 · 0.32Form (last 10/10)50% · 70%
■ Chemnitz   ■ Bonn
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
3
Chemnitz wins
7
Bonn wins
DateGameScore
04/04/26Chemnitz v Bonn75-76
06/12/25Bonn v Chemnitz86-82 OT
02/02/25Bonn v Chemnitz80-84
21/12/24Chemnitz v Bonn88-123
06/04/24Chemnitz v Bonn80-66
12/01/24Bonn v Chemnitz77-85
22/05/23Chemnitz v Bonn83-89
19/05/23Bonn v Chemnitz95-78
17/05/23Bonn v Chemnitz94-63
26/03/23Chemnitz v Bonn79-81
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
11/11/26HBasket Napoli90-112
07/11/26AVechta90-99
03/11/26ABuducnost84-96
31/10/26HLudwigsburg94-78
28/10/26HJL Bourg96-77
26/10/26AWurzburg88-98
21/10/26HSlask Wroclaw95-67
13/10/26ATrento88-80
10/10/26HBayern83-87
07/10/26HNeptunas93-84
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/11/26ABamberg85-71
07/11/26HBasketball Braunschweig97-87
04/11/26HBnei Herzliya101-89
01/11/26HAlba Berlin95-88
24/10/26ALudwigsburg68-84
21/10/26AJoventut Badalona74-76
09/10/26HJena115-68
07/10/26HFC Porto78-74
02/10/26AWurzburg76-83
27/09/26HSyntainics MBC77-72

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Chemnitz
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 5 Wins / 5 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallLLLWL25%
HomeWLW67%
AwayLLLLL0%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games835
Win %25%67%0%
Points / game87.190.385.2
Allowed / game90.086.092.4
Point differential-2.9+4.3-7.2
Avg total177.1176.3177.6
Over main line---
Win by 10+12%33%0%
Close games (≤5 pts) won33% (3)50% (2)0% (1)
Overtime %25%33%20%
Bonn
BBL 2026-27
Recent: 7 Wins / 3 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWLWWW67%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayLLLW25%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games954
Win %67%100%25%
Points / game87.796.077.2
Allowed / game81.277.486.0
Point differential+6.4+18.6-8.8
Avg total168.9173.4163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+44%60%25%
Close games (≤5 pts) won100% (1)100% (1)-
Overtime %0%0%0%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bayern87188%96.070.1+25.9
2 Trier76186%98.486.1+12.3
3 Syntainics MBC86275%86.680.1+6.5
4 Bonn96367%87.781.2+6.4
5 Frankfurt64267%87.383.3+4.0
6 Rostock85362%89.882.4+7.4
7 Ludwigsburg95456%86.185.2+0.9
8 Alba Berlin95456%87.286.6+0.7
9 Wurzburg84450%81.883.2-1.5
10 Bamberg94544%85.185.7-0.6
11 Ulm94544%84.185.4-1.3
12 Oldenburg94544%74.783.4-8.8
13 Vechta83538%86.290.8-4.5
14 Basketball Braunschweig83538%86.096.5-10.5
15 Hamburg93633%83.390.8-7.4
16 Chemnitz82625%87.190.0-2.9
17 Phoenix Hagen92722%83.492.0-8.6
18 Jena92722%77.989.6-11.7
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).
← all games of the day
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