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Bonn vs Chemnitz Result & Analysis

Date: Wed 17 May 2023
Tip-off: 17:00
Final 94-63
22-11 16-22 39-15 17-15
Position#1
Record32-2
FormWWWWW
Points / game89.5
Allowed / game72.9
Bonn 🏆
Germany
vs
Chemnitz
Germany
Position#12
Record16-18
FormWWWLW
Points / game83.6
Allowed / game82.7
GermanyBBLBBL - Quarter-finals
Domestic2022-23
Meetings · Bonn v Chemnitz
06 Feb 2027
BON v CHE
upcoming
06 Dec 2025
BON86
CHE82
02 Feb 2025
BON80
CHE84
12 Jan 2024
BON77
CHE85
19 May 2023
BON95
CHE78
17 May 2023
BON94
CHE63
26 Dec 2022
BON80
CHE73
30 Oct 2021
BON76
CHE67
25 Apr 2021
BON86
CHE62
Sections

🎯 1. Model Analysis

Bonn winWon
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
Chemnitz winLost
-no forecast
Best oddsnone
Implied-
Edge-
No frozen forecast was made for this game before tip-off.

🏀 2. Points Analysis

BonnGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormBonn
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
86-42
86
42
+44
83avg 81
H15/04
BBL
Strasbourg
#10
W
83-77
83
77
+6
no box
H18/04
Champions League
Heidelberg
#10
W
91-74
91
74
+17
78avg 81
A22/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
84-77
84
77
+7
no box
H25/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
89-78
89
78
+11
no box
H29/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
95-60
95
60
+35
94avg 81
A02/05
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
102-75
102
75
+27
101avg 81
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
85-83
85
83
+2
86avg 81
H07/05
BBL
Unicaja
#2
W
69-67
69
67
+2
59avg 81
A12/05
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
77-70
77
70
+7
64avg 81
H14/05
Champions League
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
25-11
17-7
17-18
27-6
21-26
23-20
19-19
20-12
23-18
18-22
19-19
31-15
17-12
29-26
19-15
19-24
26-22
21-22
18-15
24-19
23-20
30-13
18-14
24-13
16-12
31-18
39-17
16-28
23-18
18-18
27-27
17-20
22-22
19-9
16-19
12-17
14-7
23-21
20-27
20-15
156.4Avg total
86.1Scored
70.3Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)89.572.9162.3+16.694%
Season at home (17)89.871.6161.4+18.2100%
Season away (17)89.174.1163.2+15.088%
Last 10 (10)86.170.3156.4+15.8100%
Last 5 (5)85.671.0156.6+14.6100%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)69.067.0136.0+2.0100%
vs Weaker ◀ (29)87.171.5158.6+15.797%
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzGermanyLast 10 – points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
🔥 FormChemnitz
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
L
69-71
69
71
-2
58avg 79
H02/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
76-72
76
72
+4
77avg 79
A08/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
70-76
70
76
-6
62avg 79
H11/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
L
89-91
89
91
-2
83avg 79
H15/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
W
102-86
102
86
+16
104avg 79
A18/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
92-86
92
86
+6
95avg 79
H21/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
81-68
81
68
+13
80avg 79
A24/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
W
87-80
87
80
+7
no box
H29/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
L
79-86
79
86
-7
74avg 79
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
W
81-74
81
74
+7
74avg 79
A07/05
BBL
Q1
Q2
Q3
Q4
12-15
23-20
14-16
20-20
17-23
27-13
20-24
12-12
23-20
19-27
12-23
16-6
26-19
24-28
20-23
19-21
24-26
20-26
25-15
33-19
26-21
24-20
19-24
23-21
28-17
19-22
25-15
9-14
25-21
17-29
18-17
27-13
20-19
23-20
21-26
15-21
20-22
16-18
18-14
27-20
161.6Avg total
82.6Scored
79.0Allowed
SplitScoredAllowedTotalMarginWin %
Season (34)83.682.7166.4+0.947%
Season at home (17)83.182.5165.5+0.647%
Season away (17)84.283.0167.2+1.247%
Last 10 (10)82.679.0161.6+3.660%
Last 5 (5)84.078.8162.8+5.280%
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)77.283.8161.0-6.717%
vs Similar (13)80.381.4161.7-1.131%
vs Weaker (11)86.778.5165.3+8.273%
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.

📊 3. Team Totals

No team totals priced for this game yet.

⚖️ 4. Spread

No spread forecast for this game yet.

⏱️ 5. Quarters & Halves

Quarter by quarter

-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
-7-3+0+3+7Q1Q1: +4.2+4.2Q1: +1.8+1.8Q2Q2: +5.3+5.3Q2: -1.1-1.1Q3Q3: +2.2+2.2Q3: -0.5-0.5Q4Q4: +4.1+4.1Q4: +3.4+3.4
BonnChemnitz
Each team's average quarter over its last 10 games. Net is the quarter margin (above zero = the team wins that quarter on average: who starts fast, who closes); Pythia projection = the quarter means of tonight's simulation. Hover a bar for its value.
Bets by quarter and half · pick a period
BonnLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Bayreuth
#18
W
42-18
42
18
+24
H15/04
BBL
Strasbourg
#10
L
44-46
44
46
-2
H18/04
Champions League
Heidelberg
#10
W
41-40
41
40
+1
A22/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
W
46-38
46
38
+8
H25/04
BBL
Basketball Braunschweig
#13
W
47-44
47
44
+3
H29/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
53-33
53
33
+20
A02/05
BBL
Bamberg
#9
W
47-30
47
30
+17
A04/05
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
41-36
41
36
+5
H07/05
BBL
Unicaja
#2
W
41-31
41
31
+10
A12/05
Champions League
Hapoel Jerusalem
#3
W
37-28
37
28
+9
H14/05
Champions League
78.3Avg total
43.9Scored
34.4Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)45.335.881.2+9.587%-
Last 30 at home (16)46.936.783.6+10.288%-
Last 30 away (14)43.634.978.4+8.786%-
Last 10 (10)43.934.478.3+9.590%-
Last 5 (5)43.831.675.4+12.2100%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Strongerno games
vs Similar (1)41.031.072.0+10.0100%-
vs Weaker ◀ (29)45.536.081.5+9.586%-
This opponent (Chemnitz) is Weaker. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
ChemnitzLast 10 – 1st half points for & against
Opponent
Position
Result
Score
Points
Margin
Date
Competition
Rostock
#8
D
35-35
35
35
+0
H02/04
BBL
Syntainics MBC
#16
W
44-36
44
36
+8
A08/04
BBL
Alba Berlin
#2
L
42-47
42
47
-5
H11/04
BBL
Oldenburg
#5
W
50-47
50
47
+3
H15/04
BBL
Bayreuth
#18
L
44-52
44
52
-8
A18/04
BBL
Ulm
#4
W
50-41
50
41
+9
H21/04
BBL
Gottingen
#7
W
47-39
47
39
+8
A24/04
BBL
Hamburg
#15
L
42-50
42
50
-8
H29/04
BBL
Ludwigsburg
#6
W
43-39
43
39
+4
A05/05
BBL
Heidelberg
#10
L
36-40
36
40
-4
A07/05
BBL
85.9Avg total
43.3Scored
42.6Allowed
1st halfScoredAllowedTotalMarginWon the halfOver main line
Last 30 (30)42.442.484.8-0.047%-
Last 30 at home (13)43.243.286.5+0.046%-
Last 30 away (17)41.741.883.5-0.147%-
Last 10 (10)43.342.685.9+0.750%-
Last 5 (5)43.641.885.4+1.860%-
Last 30 games by opponent strength
vs Stronger ◀ (6)40.743.584.2-2.833%-
vs Similar (13)41.842.584.4-0.738%-
vs Weaker (11)43.941.685.5+2.364%-
This opponent (Bonn) is Stronger. The matching 'vs' row is the one to weigh.
1st half bets · Pythia's probability, the best price and the edge
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⭐ 6. Specials 🔒 Pro

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🔥 7. Top picks for this game

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🎯 8. Shooting Profile

Show:Over:
Bonntheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Bonn: 85.9 points a game scored
🏀🏀48%
🏀🏀🏀33%
🏀19%
🏀🏀 2-pointers41.0 pts a game · 48% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers28.2 pts a game · 33% of the points
🏀 Free throws16.7 pts a game · 19% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers35.620.5
57.6%
54.4%41.0
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers29.89.4
31.5%
35.4%28.2
🏀 Free throws23.216.7
72.0%
75.8%16.7
They take 65.4 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 29.8 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.
Chemnitztheir own shots, last 10 games

Where their points come from

Chemnitz: 81.6 points a game scored
🏀🏀45%
🏀🏀🏀32%
🏀24%
🏀🏀 2-pointers36.6 pts a game · 45% of the points
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers25.8 pts a game · 32% of the points
🏀 Free throws19.2 pts a game · 24% of the points
League average for comparison: 82.8 points a game
46%
36%
18%

Shooting by shot type

Shot typeAttempts per gameMade per gameAccuracy
(made ÷ attempts)		League accuracyPoints per game
🏀🏀 2-pointers32.818.3
55.8%
54.4%36.6
🏀🏀🏀 3-pointers27.58.6
31.3%
35.4%25.8
🏀 Free throws24.719.2
77.7%
75.8%19.2
They take 60.3 shots from the field a game (2-pointers + 3-pointers); 27.5 of them are 3-pointers, so 46% of their shots are threes (league average: 44%). Accuracy is green when it beats the league average.

💪 9. Team Strengths

Side by side

Last 10/10 games with a box score before 17 May 2023 (all competitions); ratings are points per 100 possessions. The better figure is green.
Bonn
WWWWWWWWWW
Chemnitz
WLWWWWLLWL
#1
League position
#12
+22.7
Net rating
+4.9
118.3
Offensive rating
110.9
95.6
Defensive rating
106.0
52.9%
Effective FG%
51.7%
44.7%
Opp. effective FG%
50.2%
16.4%
Turnover %
18.6%
39.5%
Off. rebound %
33.5%
0.35
Free-throw rate
0.41
31.5%
3-point %
31.3%
53.8%
Assist %
78.1%
100%
Form (last 10/10)
60%

Profile

Offence118.3 · 110.9Defence95.6 · 106.0Shooting52.9% · 51.7%3-point %31.5% · 31.3%Ball care16.4% · 18.6%Off. rebounds39.5% · 33.5%Free throws0.35 · 0.41Form (last 10/10)100% · 60%
■ Bonn   ■ Chemnitz
The middle ring is the league average on each axis; outward = better than the league (defence and ball care: fewer points / turnovers is better). Form: share of the last 10 won. The figures are each team's own, the better one bold.

🤝 10. Games History

Head-to-head record
4
Bonn wins
2
Chemnitz wins
DateGameScore
26/03/23Chemnitz v Bonn79-81
26/12/22Bonn v Chemnitz80-73
01/05/22Chemnitz v Bonn90-68
30/10/21Bonn v Chemnitz76-67
25/04/21Bonn v Chemnitz86-62
15/01/21Chemnitz v Bonn93-92 OT
Bonnlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
14/05/23HHapoel Jerusalem77-70
12/05/23AUnicaja69-67
07/05/23HUlm85-83
04/05/23ABamberg102-75
02/05/23AGottingen95-60
29/04/23HBasketball Braunschweig89-78
25/04/23HAlba Berlin84-77
22/04/23AHeidelberg91-74
18/04/23HStrasbourg83-77
15/04/23HBayreuth86-42
Chemnitzlast 10
DateH/AOpponentScore
07/05/23AHeidelberg81-74
05/05/23ALudwigsburg79-86
29/04/23HHamburg87-80
24/04/23AGottingen81-68
21/04/23HUlm92-86
18/04/23ABayreuth102-86
15/04/23HOldenburg89-91
11/04/23HAlba Berlin70-76
08/04/23ASyntainics MBC76-72
02/04/23HRostock69-71

📊 11. Overall Statistics

Bonn
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 10 Wins / 0 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWWW94%
HomeWWWWW100%
AwayWWWWW88%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %94%100%88%
Points / game89.589.889.1
Allowed / game72.971.674.1
Point differential+16.6+18.2+15.0
Avg total162.3161.4163.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+68%71%65%
Close games (≤5 pts) won60% (5)100% (1)50% (4)
Overtime %0%0%0%
Chemnitz
BBL 2022-23
Recent: 6 Wins / 4 Losses (last 10)
FormLast 5Win %
OverallWWWLW47%
HomeLLLWW47%
AwayWWWLW47%
StatsOverallHomeAway
Games341717
Win %47%47%47%
Points / game83.683.184.2
Allowed / game82.782.583.0
Point differential+0.9+0.6+1.2
Avg total166.4165.5167.2
Over main line---
Win by 10+18%12%24%
Close games (≤5 pts) won20% (10)0% (5)40% (5)
Overtime %3%0%6%
This competition's season before tip-off. Green = better than tonight's opponent on the same split; win-% badge green from 60%, red below 40%.

🏆 12. League Table

#TeamGPWLWin %PF/gPA/gDiff
1 Bonn3432294%89.572.9+16.6
2 Alba Berlin3531489%87.677.2+10.4
3 Bayern3526974%82.075.1+6.8
4 Oldenburg35221363%86.383.3+3.0
5 Ludwigsburg35201557%87.185.6+1.5
6 Ulm35191654%89.185.5+3.5
7 Gottingen35191654%84.886.3-1.4
8 Chemnitz34161847%83.682.7+0.9
9 Rostock34161847%84.088.9-4.8
10 Bamberg34151944%88.188.9-0.7
11 Heidelberg34151944%87.589.6-2.1
12 Wurzburg34151944%80.983.5-2.6
13 Basketball Braunschweig34122235%80.183.2-3.1
14 Crailsheim Merlins34122235%84.788.4-3.7
15 Hamburg34122235%80.986.0-5.1
16 Syntainics MBC34112332%84.789.4-4.7
17 Frankfurt34102429%80.286.5-6.3
18 Bayreuth3462818%82.591.4-8.9
Built from this season's results before tip-off (all phases of the competition). Click a column to sort. Bars: win %, points scored and allowed per game across the league, and the point differential (green +, red -).

📋 13. Box Score

TeamQ1Q2Q3Q4Final
Bonn2216391794
Chemnitz1122151563
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